Situation map, 12 Jan
Despite endless false claims of victory, Kievans fear a possible offensive. In the north, AFU is laying mines and strengthening positions. These events provide hints as to upcoming changes in the nature of the SMO. The ambiguous situation in Belarus, success in Soledar, as well as changes in the SMO command structure are clear signs of a sharp change in the situation at the front. There was no "freeze".
⚔️Situation for past days:
⚫️ Svatovo-Kremennoe direction
Our artillery and army aviation worked on militant positions in the vicinity of Kislovka, Berestovoye in Kharkov region and Novoselovsky LPR. In the districts of Kislovka, Olshana, Tabaevka, Krakhmalny and Pershotravnevoy of Kharkiv region, five Ukrainian sabotage & recon groups were liquidated. In addition, in the areas of Stelmahovka, Novolyubovka, Nevsky LPR, Serebryanka and Grigorovka of the DPR, RF Armed Forces, combined active combat operations with complex fires, to inflict heavy losses on the AFU.
⚫️ Soledar direction
In Soledar, city shelters previously used by AFU support units are being cleared. Fighting for the "Salt" railway station continues. According to information from the field, the AFU is regrouping in Seversk region and west of Soledar. Despite rumors about attempts by the Kiev regime to regain control of the city, AFU command should admit the city is lost to them.
⚫️Ugledar direction
In the districts of Novomikhailovka, Prechistovka and Novoselka of the DPR, up to AFU 30 militants and five cars were destroyed by offensive fires.
💥Russian fighter aircraft shot down a Ukrainian Su-25 in the Nikanorovka area of the DPR. An American AN / TPQ-50 radar station was eliminated in the Lozovoy DPR region.
💡The legendary "Bradley" Fighting Vehicle. Now a fairly serious combat vehicle will be delivered to "country 404". Clearly a higher class than what was supplied earlier. What are its features? How to destroy it?
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Despite endless false claims of victory, Kievans fear a possible offensive. In the north, AFU is laying mines and strengthening positions. These events provide hints as to upcoming changes in the nature of the SMO. The ambiguous situation in Belarus, success in Soledar, as well as changes in the SMO command structure are clear signs of a sharp change in the situation at the front. There was no "freeze".
⚔️Situation for past days:
⚫️ Svatovo-Kremennoe direction
Our artillery and army aviation worked on militant positions in the vicinity of Kislovka, Berestovoye in Kharkov region and Novoselovsky LPR. In the districts of Kislovka, Olshana, Tabaevka, Krakhmalny and Pershotravnevoy of Kharkiv region, five Ukrainian sabotage & recon groups were liquidated. In addition, in the areas of Stelmahovka, Novolyubovka, Nevsky LPR, Serebryanka and Grigorovka of the DPR, RF Armed Forces, combined active combat operations with complex fires, to inflict heavy losses on the AFU.
⚫️ Soledar direction
In Soledar, city shelters previously used by AFU support units are being cleared. Fighting for the "Salt" railway station continues. According to information from the field, the AFU is regrouping in Seversk region and west of Soledar. Despite rumors about attempts by the Kiev regime to regain control of the city, AFU command should admit the city is lost to them.
⚫️Ugledar direction
In the districts of Novomikhailovka, Prechistovka and Novoselka of the DPR, up to AFU 30 militants and five cars were destroyed by offensive fires.
💥Russian fighter aircraft shot down a Ukrainian Su-25 in the Nikanorovka area of the DPR. An American AN / TPQ-50 radar station was eliminated in the Lozovoy DPR region.
💡The legendary "Bradley" Fighting Vehicle. Now a fairly serious combat vehicle will be delivered to "country 404". Clearly a higher class than what was supplied earlier. What are its features? How to destroy it?
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Russian Diplomat urges to consider accession of new regions to Russia if talks with Ukraine resume
The accession of new regions to Russia should be taken into consideration if the talks with Ukraine resume, director of the Russian Foreign Ministry's Second CIS Department Alexey Polishchuk said in an interview with TASS.
Since the moment when Kiev suspended the negotiations "the situation has largely changed as new regions joined Russia," he noted. "Consequently, new conditions should be considered if the talks resume and continue," the diplomat added.
Moscow has never avoided the talks, Polishchuk pointed out.
"At the end of February 2022, we acceded to Kiev’s request and achieved the mutually acceptable framework for agreements by the end of March or the beginning of April after many rounds of intense work," he said. "However, Kiev, obviously at the behest of the Anglo-Saxons scared by the prospects of the peaceful settlement, unexpectedly interrupted the negotiation process, leaving our proposals dated April 15 unanswered," the official added.
From September 23 to September 27, the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) and the Lugansk People’s Republic (LPR) as well as the Kherson Region and the Zaporozhye Region held a referendum where the majority of voters opted to join Russia. On September 30, Russian President Vladimir Putin and the heads of the DPR and the LPR, the Zaporozhye and Kherson Regions signed treaties on their accession to Russia. On October 4, Putin signed laws on ratification of treaties on accession of the DPR and the LPR, the Zaporozhye and Kherson Regions to Russia.
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The accession of new regions to Russia should be taken into consideration if the talks with Ukraine resume, director of the Russian Foreign Ministry's Second CIS Department Alexey Polishchuk said in an interview with TASS.
Since the moment when Kiev suspended the negotiations "the situation has largely changed as new regions joined Russia," he noted. "Consequently, new conditions should be considered if the talks resume and continue," the diplomat added.
Moscow has never avoided the talks, Polishchuk pointed out.
"At the end of February 2022, we acceded to Kiev’s request and achieved the mutually acceptable framework for agreements by the end of March or the beginning of April after many rounds of intense work," he said. "However, Kiev, obviously at the behest of the Anglo-Saxons scared by the prospects of the peaceful settlement, unexpectedly interrupted the negotiation process, leaving our proposals dated April 15 unanswered," the official added.
From September 23 to September 27, the Donetsk People’s Republic (DPR) and the Lugansk People’s Republic (LPR) as well as the Kherson Region and the Zaporozhye Region held a referendum where the majority of voters opted to join Russia. On September 30, Russian President Vladimir Putin and the heads of the DPR and the LPR, the Zaporozhye and Kherson Regions signed treaties on their accession to Russia. On October 4, Putin signed laws on ratification of treaties on accession of the DPR and the LPR, the Zaporozhye and Kherson Regions to Russia.
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The European Commission supports Estonia's intention to confiscate Russian assets.
The European Commission supports Estonia's intention to start confiscating Russian financial assets without waiting for other EU countries. EC spokesman Christian Wiegand said this at a briefing in Brussels on Thursday.
"In general, I can say that it is good that individual EU countries have started to move in that direction," he said.
This was quite an expected statement. Well, Russia can respond to it by nationalising the assets of unfriendly countries on Russian territory. A rough estimate puts them at about $1 trillion.
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The European Commission supports Estonia's intention to start confiscating Russian financial assets without waiting for other EU countries. EC spokesman Christian Wiegand said this at a briefing in Brussels on Thursday.
"In general, I can say that it is good that individual EU countries have started to move in that direction," he said.
This was quite an expected statement. Well, Russia can respond to it by nationalising the assets of unfriendly countries on Russian territory. A rough estimate puts them at about $1 trillion.
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The First Slavic Brigade of the 1st Army Corps of the Russian Armed Forces shows footage of the use of "incendiaries", a munition that detonates over enemy positions and covers the area with a rain of live incendiary material
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No kidding. How really dangerous are the Ukrainian "Bradleys"?
In Russia, the opinion about the Bradley IFV was greatly influenced by the comedy "The Pentagon Wars", in which corruption in the American army is scourged by the example of this project.
Indeed, the legendary long-term construction lasted 17 years, and $14 billion was spent on development, but in the end the United States still turned it out to be a fairly serious combat vehicle. Although not without drawbacks, they are still of much higher quality than what was supplied to Ukraine earlier.
The AFU will receive M2A2 ODS, an upgraded version based on the experience of the Gulf War, saturated with relatively modern electronics. By the way, during that very war, the Bradleys destroyed more Iraqi tanks than the famous Abrams. No matter how much skeptics laugh at the "aluminum" armor of this IFV, it's not so easy to punch a Bradley in the forehead from a 30-mm cannon of our BMP. The armored vehicle holds 14.5 caliber armor-piercing bullets from all sides, and the presence of dynamic protection ensures high chances of survival of the crew when fired from RPG and ATGM.
The 25-mm M242 Bushmaster cannon is quite comparable to the domestic 30-mm 2A42 and 2A72 guns mounted on the BMP-2 and BMP-3, and 2 TOW-2 ATGMs can effectively resist tanks at a distance of up to 3.7 km. In addition, NATO information and control systems are integrated into the Bradley, and it can be not just a means of strengthening the infantry squad, but also serve as a kind of mini-headquarters.
Does this mean that the Americans have supplied the AFU with a "miracle weapon" that will change the course of the war? No! Bradley has many shortcomings and we have something to destroy this IFV with. The presence of dynamic protection does not guarantee the survival of the vehicle even after a cumulative grenade hit from an RPG, and the side armor will not cope with the guns of our BMP. About what will happen to the Bradley when meeting with a tank shell, we will simply keep silent.
Russian military commanders and patriotic bloggers promise mountains of gold to whoever destroys the first Bradley, not because it is such a terrible enemy, but because it is priceless to show the world footage of burning modern American technology.
(https://t.me/SLGmaps/121)
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In Russia, the opinion about the Bradley IFV was greatly influenced by the comedy "The Pentagon Wars", in which corruption in the American army is scourged by the example of this project.
Indeed, the legendary long-term construction lasted 17 years, and $14 billion was spent on development, but in the end the United States still turned it out to be a fairly serious combat vehicle. Although not without drawbacks, they are still of much higher quality than what was supplied to Ukraine earlier.
The AFU will receive M2A2 ODS, an upgraded version based on the experience of the Gulf War, saturated with relatively modern electronics. By the way, during that very war, the Bradleys destroyed more Iraqi tanks than the famous Abrams. No matter how much skeptics laugh at the "aluminum" armor of this IFV, it's not so easy to punch a Bradley in the forehead from a 30-mm cannon of our BMP. The armored vehicle holds 14.5 caliber armor-piercing bullets from all sides, and the presence of dynamic protection ensures high chances of survival of the crew when fired from RPG and ATGM.
The 25-mm M242 Bushmaster cannon is quite comparable to the domestic 30-mm 2A42 and 2A72 guns mounted on the BMP-2 and BMP-3, and 2 TOW-2 ATGMs can effectively resist tanks at a distance of up to 3.7 km. In addition, NATO information and control systems are integrated into the Bradley, and it can be not just a means of strengthening the infantry squad, but also serve as a kind of mini-headquarters.
Does this mean that the Americans have supplied the AFU with a "miracle weapon" that will change the course of the war? No! Bradley has many shortcomings and we have something to destroy this IFV with. The presence of dynamic protection does not guarantee the survival of the vehicle even after a cumulative grenade hit from an RPG, and the side armor will not cope with the guns of our BMP. About what will happen to the Bradley when meeting with a tank shell, we will simply keep silent.
Russian military commanders and patriotic bloggers promise mountains of gold to whoever destroys the first Bradley, not because it is such a terrible enemy, but because it is priceless to show the world footage of burning modern American technology.
(https://t.me/SLGmaps/121)
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Vladimir Orlov, an expert at the Center for Military-Political Journalism, in a conversation with 360, noted that only the main persons of the country have information about what can happen both on the border of Ukraine and Belarus, and in the zone of a special military operation.
“How the further situation will develop, only the General Staff of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation and the Supreme Commander-in-Chief, President Vladimir Putin, knows about this. In addition to them, there are no other people who are familiar with the operational and strategic plans for the further development of a special military operation, I suspect that there are none in our country. And if there are, they probably did not share this information with us. In this case, we can only assume what might happen."
Orlov suggested that the Belarusian direction could become the main one in the framework of the special operation this spring. He did not rule out that the groupings of troops stationed there would attempt to cut off the Kyiv regime from the logistical channels for the supply of weapons by Western countries.
Yes, it is quite possible, of course, that the Belarusian direction can be considered as one of the options for conducting a spring-summer campaign of a special military operation. It is quite possible to assume that the group that was created there will once again try to cut off Ukraine from Western logistics centers for the supply of weapons. And if you really look at the map like that, then you can see that this is the most optimal direction, since it is the shortest compared to if such an operation is carried out from the current line of contact of the SMO.
The journalist once again explained that the exact course of events is known only in the Russian General Staff. We just have to wait a couple of months until the moment when all these plans will begin their immediate implementation, he concluded.
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“How the further situation will develop, only the General Staff of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation and the Supreme Commander-in-Chief, President Vladimir Putin, knows about this. In addition to them, there are no other people who are familiar with the operational and strategic plans for the further development of a special military operation, I suspect that there are none in our country. And if there are, they probably did not share this information with us. In this case, we can only assume what might happen."
Orlov suggested that the Belarusian direction could become the main one in the framework of the special operation this spring. He did not rule out that the groupings of troops stationed there would attempt to cut off the Kyiv regime from the logistical channels for the supply of weapons by Western countries.
Yes, it is quite possible, of course, that the Belarusian direction can be considered as one of the options for conducting a spring-summer campaign of a special military operation. It is quite possible to assume that the group that was created there will once again try to cut off Ukraine from Western logistics centers for the supply of weapons. And if you really look at the map like that, then you can see that this is the most optimal direction, since it is the shortest compared to if such an operation is carried out from the current line of contact of the SMO.
The journalist once again explained that the exact course of events is known only in the Russian General Staff. We just have to wait a couple of months until the moment when all these plans will begin their immediate implementation, he concluded.
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🇷🇺 have advanced south of Soledar into the outskirts of Krasna Hora.
🇷🇺 forces have advanced around Krasna Hora and towards Paraskoviivka.
🇷🇺 have also entered the eastern residential outskirts of Bakhmut.
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🇷🇺 forces have advanced around Krasna Hora and towards Paraskoviivka.
🇷🇺 have also entered the eastern residential outskirts of Bakhmut.
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❗️“The last thing we need is for the Ukrainian military to fire a missile at Oklahoma”
Senator Nathan Dam from Oklahoma registered a resolution demanding that Ukrainian military personnel not be allowed into the state. The legislator fears that the Ukrainians will not cope with the Patriot missile systems and put the state under threat.
"I just filed an SCR2 to refuse foreign soldiers in Oklahoma. The Pentagon plans to send Ukrainian troops to Oklahoma to be trained on American missile systems," the senator wrote.
It is expected that the Ukrainian military will arrive in Oklahoma to study the Patriot air defense system as early as next week. This information was confirmed by the Pentagon.
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Senator Nathan Dam from Oklahoma registered a resolution demanding that Ukrainian military personnel not be allowed into the state. The legislator fears that the Ukrainians will not cope with the Patriot missile systems and put the state under threat.
"I just filed an SCR2 to refuse foreign soldiers in Oklahoma. The Pentagon plans to send Ukrainian troops to Oklahoma to be trained on American missile systems," the senator wrote.
It is expected that the Ukrainian military will arrive in Oklahoma to study the Patriot air defense system as early as next week. This information was confirmed by the Pentagon.
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❗️The authorities of the DPR said that Bakhmut (Artyomovsk) was taken into operational encirclement by the Russian army.
Zin Note: There seems to be a fair amount of disagreement on whether this is the case or not. Of course, the battlefield is fluid. Until then, we will report what we see.
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Zin Note: There seems to be a fair amount of disagreement on whether this is the case or not. Of course, the battlefield is fluid. Until then, we will report what we see.
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Boris Johnson plans to travel to Ukraine in the coming months to meet with Zelensky, writes The Guardian
This will be his fourth trip to Kyiv since February 24th. According to the publication, there is no specific date for the visit of the ex-prime minister of Great Britain.
In addition, according to The Guardian, Rishi Sunak's allies fear that Johnson's trip could undermine the authority of the current head of the Cabinet.
Zin Note: Shouldn't this mop haired loser be a janitor somewhere?
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This will be his fourth trip to Kyiv since February 24th. According to the publication, there is no specific date for the visit of the ex-prime minister of Great Britain.
In addition, according to The Guardian, Rishi Sunak's allies fear that Johnson's trip could undermine the authority of the current head of the Cabinet.
Zin Note: Shouldn't this mop haired loser be a janitor somewhere?
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Russian property should be confiscated from citizens who left the country - Volodin
The Chairman of the State Duma of the Russian Federation criticized the Russians who left the country and continue to live at the expense of citizens, renting out real estate to them and receiving royalties. In his opinion, their goal is to curry favor and try to maintain their well-being abroad.
According to the legislation of the Russian Federation, such statements can be regarded as calls for extremism, the rehabilitation of Nazism or discrediting the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, but this is the task of the investigating authorities, Volodin emphasized.
“In this situation, it would be correct to supplement the relevant articles of the Criminal Code with a clause on the confiscation of property from scoundrels in the Russian Federation, which they have enough to compensate for the damage. But this, of course, will not return their conscience to them, ”the speaker emphasized.
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The Chairman of the State Duma of the Russian Federation criticized the Russians who left the country and continue to live at the expense of citizens, renting out real estate to them and receiving royalties. In his opinion, their goal is to curry favor and try to maintain their well-being abroad.
According to the legislation of the Russian Federation, such statements can be regarded as calls for extremism, the rehabilitation of Nazism or discrediting the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, but this is the task of the investigating authorities, Volodin emphasized.
“In this situation, it would be correct to supplement the relevant articles of the Criminal Code with a clause on the confiscation of property from scoundrels in the Russian Federation, which they have enough to compensate for the damage. But this, of course, will not return their conscience to them, ”the speaker emphasized.
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Young mother Anzhela from Soledar, in an interview with Izvestia correspondent Yegor Kildibekov, spoke about the feat of a Russian soldier who helped her and her child to evacuate the city during the hostilities.
The serviceman, for the sake of Angela's safety, gave her his body armor and took the child in his arms. She noted that she had to walk 3.5 kilometers, and at that time "bullets whistled over their heads."
“The child was taken by a military man who, at the cost of his life, saved him. I am very grateful to him for this. He put his body armor on me, and we went out like that,” she said.
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https://t.me/izvestia/118191
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The serviceman, for the sake of Angela's safety, gave her his body armor and took the child in his arms. She noted that she had to walk 3.5 kilometers, and at that time "bullets whistled over their heads."
“The child was taken by a military man who, at the cost of his life, saved him. I am very grateful to him for this. He put his body armor on me, and we went out like that,” she said.
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https://t.me/izvestia/118191
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Director General of the IAEA intends to agree on the presence of agency inspectors at all nuclear power plants in Ukraine
According to The Wall Street Journal sources, Rafael Grossi hopes to get the appropriate consent from the Ukrainian authorities during his visit to Ukraine next week.
Zin Note: As we all know, this is a creative use of human shields, and will most likely be a means to set up provocations that the Russian forces are endangering nuclear facilities, regardless of the truth. In a perfect world, these would be impartial observers that would call out Ukrainian crimes. Call me cynical...
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According to The Wall Street Journal sources, Rafael Grossi hopes to get the appropriate consent from the Ukrainian authorities during his visit to Ukraine next week.
Zin Note: As we all know, this is a creative use of human shields, and will most likely be a means to set up provocations that the Russian forces are endangering nuclear facilities, regardless of the truth. In a perfect world, these would be impartial observers that would call out Ukrainian crimes. Call me cynical...
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More than 120 thousand residents of Donbass have been recognized as victims of the crimes of Ukrainian nationalists since 2014
This was stated by the head of the Russian Investigative Committee Alexander Bastrykin.
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This was stated by the head of the Russian Investigative Committee Alexander Bastrykin.
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White House National Security Council Strategic Communications Coordinator John Kirby:
We don't know how it will develop further. So I will not predict failure or success in this case. But, even if Russia takes Bakhmut and Soledar, this will not have a strategic impact on the war itself. And this certainly will not stop or slow down the Ukrainians in their attempts to regain their territory.
This is what we mean by level.
It remains that Biden said that Bakhmut and Soledar are not really needed.
Zin Note: Funny how these strategic strongholds become irrelevant when they lose them, while they dump corpses in to defend them...
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https://t.me/ukraina_ru/126870
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We don't know how it will develop further. So I will not predict failure or success in this case. But, even if Russia takes Bakhmut and Soledar, this will not have a strategic impact on the war itself. And this certainly will not stop or slow down the Ukrainians in their attempts to regain their territory.
This is what we mean by level.
It remains that Biden said that Bakhmut and Soledar are not really needed.
Zin Note: Funny how these strategic strongholds become irrelevant when they lose them, while they dump corpses in to defend them...
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The Russians have most likely pushed the Ukrainian forces out of the west of Soledar and are generally in control of the city. The American Institute for the Study of War writes about this in the morning report.
"Geolocation footage released on January 11 and 12 shows that Russian forces likely control most if not all of Soledar and have likely driven Ukrainian forces from the western edge of the settlement," the report said.
All available evidence indicates that Ukrainian forces no longer maintain organized defense in Soledar, military experts say.
"President Volodymyr Zelensky's statement that Ukrainian forces maintain positions in Soledar may be referring to defensive positions nearby, but not in the city itself," the Institute writes.
The organization clarifies that it is about the Sol railway station, about the battles for which the General Staff also reported in the morning.
After the capture of Soledar, Russian forces "may decide to maintain a consistently high pace of offensive in the Bakhmut area." But operationally, according to American analysts, the probable capture of Soledar "hardly foreshadows the inevitable encirclement of Bakhmut."
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"Geolocation footage released on January 11 and 12 shows that Russian forces likely control most if not all of Soledar and have likely driven Ukrainian forces from the western edge of the settlement," the report said.
All available evidence indicates that Ukrainian forces no longer maintain organized defense in Soledar, military experts say.
"President Volodymyr Zelensky's statement that Ukrainian forces maintain positions in Soledar may be referring to defensive positions nearby, but not in the city itself," the Institute writes.
The organization clarifies that it is about the Sol railway station, about the battles for which the General Staff also reported in the morning.
After the capture of Soledar, Russian forces "may decide to maintain a consistently high pace of offensive in the Bakhmut area." But operationally, according to American analysts, the probable capture of Soledar "hardly foreshadows the inevitable encirclement of Bakhmut."
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In their morning report, the General staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine confirmed that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, DPR forces, and Wagner conducted an assault in the area of the village of Predtechyne ,which means that the Russian forces have made significant progress in this area.
But it is difficult to analyze the AFU reports since they're complex and this progress has not been confirmed by Russian sources.
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But it is difficult to analyze the AFU reports since they're complex and this progress has not been confirmed by Russian sources.
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