Slavyangrad
Christ is risen, Orthodox believers! Happy holiday ❤️ @Slavyangrad
Воистину воскресе!
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Representative of the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Baghaei - on the fact that the Iranians discussed various aspects of the main topics of the negotiations with the Americans in Islamabad:
Over the past 24 hours, discussions have been held on various aspects of the main topics of the negotiations, including the Strait of Hormuz, the nuclear issue, military reparations, the lifting of sanctions, and the complete cessation of the war against Iran and in the region.
Iran intends to use all available means, including diplomacy, to ensure its national interests and the well-being of the country. The success of this diplomatic process depends on the seriousness and good faith of the opposing side, refraining from excessive and illegal demands, and recognizing the legitimate rights and interests of Iran.
@Slavyangrad
Over the past 24 hours, discussions have been held on various aspects of the main topics of the negotiations, including the Strait of Hormuz, the nuclear issue, military reparations, the lifting of sanctions, and the complete cessation of the war against Iran and in the region.
Iran intends to use all available means, including diplomacy, to ensure its national interests and the well-being of the country. The success of this diplomatic process depends on the seriousness and good faith of the opposing side, refraining from excessive and illegal demands, and recognizing the legitimate rights and interests of Iran.
@Slavyangrad
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Iran issues a sharply worded statement following the collapse of negotiations that lasted 21 hours in Islamabad:
"The perfidious, evil, and deceitful American enemy sought to achieve through the negotiating table what it failed to accomplish in war.
Iran has decided to reject these conditions and continue the sacred defense of its homeland by all available means, whether military or diplomatic."
This is what the Iranian Revolutionary Guard said, describing the United States as "perfidious, evil, and deceitful," just minutes after Vance boarded Air Force Two.
They claim that the United States demanded that Iran surrender its enriched uranium and relinquish its sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran rejected both demands.
This statement was not written after the failure of the negotiations.
Rather, it was written before the negotiations even began.
The Iranian Revolutionary Guard had no intention of accepting these conditions, and the phrase "sacred defense by all possible means" is a clear signal of the military wing's return to control over Iran's decision-making process.
Qalibaf entered carrying pictures of children killed in Manab.
The Revolutionary Guard delegation arrived separately.
86 officials sat for 21 hours.
And in the end, those who actually run Iran's affairs decided that what America offered does not equal what it destroyed.
@Slavyangrad
"The perfidious, evil, and deceitful American enemy sought to achieve through the negotiating table what it failed to accomplish in war.
Iran has decided to reject these conditions and continue the sacred defense of its homeland by all available means, whether military or diplomatic."
This is what the Iranian Revolutionary Guard said, describing the United States as "perfidious, evil, and deceitful," just minutes after Vance boarded Air Force Two.
They claim that the United States demanded that Iran surrender its enriched uranium and relinquish its sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran rejected both demands.
This statement was not written after the failure of the negotiations.
Rather, it was written before the negotiations even began.
The Iranian Revolutionary Guard had no intention of accepting these conditions, and the phrase "sacred defense by all possible means" is a clear signal of the military wing's return to control over Iran's decision-making process.
Qalibaf entered carrying pictures of children killed in Manab.
The Revolutionary Guard delegation arrived separately.
86 officials sat for 21 hours.
And in the end, those who actually run Iran's affairs decided that what America offered does not equal what it destroyed.
@Slavyangrad
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🇭🇺"The elections have begun": Foreign special services are eavesdropping on Hungarian Foreign Minister Szijjártó even during calls to his mother.
"Péter Szijjártó can't even call his mother anymore, lest some special service draw up a report," said Orban. He emphasized that such unprecedented interest from foreign services in the Hungarian elections is related to Budapest's position on certain controversial issues: from gender ideology to migration. "We have proven: it can be done differently," stated Orban.
An investigation is underway in Hungary in connection with the eavesdropping of conversations. It became known that Hungarian journalist Szabolcs Panyi, who works for the VSquare publication, provided his mobile phone number to foreign special services. As reported by the Hungarian authorities, after this, the minister began to be eavesdropped by Ukrainians.
@Slavtangrad
"Péter Szijjártó can't even call his mother anymore, lest some special service draw up a report," said Orban. He emphasized that such unprecedented interest from foreign services in the Hungarian elections is related to Budapest's position on certain controversial issues: from gender ideology to migration. "We have proven: it can be done differently," stated Orban.
An investigation is underway in Hungary in connection with the eavesdropping of conversations. It became known that Hungarian journalist Szabolcs Panyi, who works for the VSquare publication, provided his mobile phone number to foreign special services. As reported by the Hungarian authorities, after this, the minister began to be eavesdropped by Ukrainians.
@Slavtangrad
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Iran’s FM Spokesperson Esmaeil Baqaei:
🔹 We reached understandings on a # of issues, but on 2-3 major points, there were differences in views, which ultimately prevented an agreement
🔹This round was the longest set of negotiations we’ve had with the US in the past year
🔹 The talks began yesterday morning through indirect discussions and message exchanges between the two sides, mediated by Pakistan, and continued without interruption
🔹 Discussions went on through the night, covering a range of topics, including items in Iran’s 10-point plan as well as points raised by the other side
🔹 These negotiations took place after 40 days of imposed war and were conducted in an atmosphere of mistrust and suspicion; naturally, we should not have expected to reach an agreement in a single session. No one had such an expectation
🔹 Another point was the complexity of the issues and conditions. Some new issues, like Hormuz, were added to the negotiations
• Drop Site News
@Slavyangrad
🔹 We reached understandings on a # of issues, but on 2-3 major points, there were differences in views, which ultimately prevented an agreement
🔹This round was the longest set of negotiations we’ve had with the US in the past year
🔹 The talks began yesterday morning through indirect discussions and message exchanges between the two sides, mediated by Pakistan, and continued without interruption
🔹 Discussions went on through the night, covering a range of topics, including items in Iran’s 10-point plan as well as points raised by the other side
🔹 These negotiations took place after 40 days of imposed war and were conducted in an atmosphere of mistrust and suspicion; naturally, we should not have expected to reach an agreement in a single session. No one had such an expectation
🔹 Another point was the complexity of the issues and conditions. Some new issues, like Hormuz, were added to the negotiations
• Drop Site News
@Slavyangrad
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According to the NYT, Qalibaf and Vance shook hands when preparing for trilateral talks in presence of Pakistani PM
Despite them framing it as a ‘rare moment’, this is customary in diplomacy, regardless of the opponent, and Araqchi & Witkoff similarly shook hands months ago.
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Slavyangrad
Despite them framing it as a ‘rare moment’, this is customary in diplomacy, regardless of the opponent, and Araqchi & Witkoff similarly shook hands months ago.
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Slavyangrad
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The NYT confirms Axios's report that the Strait of Hormuz and uranium enrichment were key points of contention in the Iran-US talks.
The NYT adds that there has also been no progress on Tehran's demand to unfreeze approximately $27B in assets.
The US insisted on immediately opening the Strait of Hormuz to shipping, while Iran agreed to do so only after a final peace agreement.
Another key demand from Washington was the transfer or sale of Iran's entire stockpile of uranium, amounting to 400 kg of material. Tehran proposed an alternative, but no compromise was reached.
Iran also demanded compensation for damage from airstrikes and the release of frozen oil revenues in several countries, but the US refused
Despite the lack of progress, the negotiations themselves represented a breakthrough, according to the NYT: the delegations held a direct meeting, which sources described as "calm and constructive." These are the longest and most serious direct negotiations between the parties in decades
@Slavyangrad
The NYT adds that there has also been no progress on Tehran's demand to unfreeze approximately $27B in assets.
The US insisted on immediately opening the Strait of Hormuz to shipping, while Iran agreed to do so only after a final peace agreement.
Another key demand from Washington was the transfer or sale of Iran's entire stockpile of uranium, amounting to 400 kg of material. Tehran proposed an alternative, but no compromise was reached.
Iran also demanded compensation for damage from airstrikes and the release of frozen oil revenues in several countries, but the US refused
Despite the lack of progress, the negotiations themselves represented a breakthrough, according to the NYT: the delegations held a direct meeting, which sources described as "calm and constructive." These are the longest and most serious direct negotiations between the parties in decades
@Slavyangrad
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Peace talks appear to have come to a screeching halt.
JD Vance just announced that the US delegation is leaving Pakistan with no deal. And, Iranian media is reporting that Iran does not have plans for further talks with the US.
So, what does this mean going forward?
Currently, all indications point to a sharp move higher in oil prices and a drop in stocks.
The Nasdaq 100 was up over +5% on expectations of a peace deal this weekend, and the outcome of talks was arguably the worst case scenario.
That said, we still have a lot of time ahead of us before futures open at 6 PM ET on Sunday.
As we saw countless times during the 2025 trade war and other geopolitical conflicts involving President Trump, he tends to release major statements on Sunday.
The question now becomes which route President Trump chooses to take.
Will Trump push harder for a deal and reassure markets or will he ramp up military operations in Iran?
Regardless, we believe the market will continue to "discount" this conflict as the potential for talks to resume or advance at any given time is material.
It's going to be an eventful 24 hours.
• The Kobeissi Letter
@Slavyangrad
JD Vance just announced that the US delegation is leaving Pakistan with no deal. And, Iranian media is reporting that Iran does not have plans for further talks with the US.
So, what does this mean going forward?
Currently, all indications point to a sharp move higher in oil prices and a drop in stocks.
The Nasdaq 100 was up over +5% on expectations of a peace deal this weekend, and the outcome of talks was arguably the worst case scenario.
That said, we still have a lot of time ahead of us before futures open at 6 PM ET on Sunday.
As we saw countless times during the 2025 trade war and other geopolitical conflicts involving President Trump, he tends to release major statements on Sunday.
The question now becomes which route President Trump chooses to take.
Will Trump push harder for a deal and reassure markets or will he ramp up military operations in Iran?
Regardless, we believe the market will continue to "discount" this conflict as the potential for talks to resume or advance at any given time is material.
It's going to be an eventful 24 hours.
• The Kobeissi Letter
@Slavyangrad
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Alex Jones posts Epstein insane body-snatch Trump to hand Netanyahu ‘EVERYTHING’.
Trump has lost a lot of supporters with his neo-con actions.
@Slavyangrad
Trump has lost a lot of supporters with his neo-con actions.
@Slavyangrad
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The US debt crisis is heading into uncharted territory:
The US government spent 18 cents of every Dollar of revenue on interest expense in Fiscal Year 2025, the highest since the 1990s.
Interest expense as a percentage of revenue has TRIPLED since 2015.
The CBO projects this will surge to a record 25 cents of every Dollar by 2035, meaning a quarter of all tax revenue will go to servicing debt alone.
These projections assume no major slowdown, recession, or significant rise in Treasury yields over this period.
The US debt crisis is intensifying.
• The Kobeissi Letter
@Slavyangrad
The US government spent 18 cents of every Dollar of revenue on interest expense in Fiscal Year 2025, the highest since the 1990s.
Interest expense as a percentage of revenue has TRIPLED since 2015.
The CBO projects this will surge to a record 25 cents of every Dollar by 2035, meaning a quarter of all tax revenue will go to servicing debt alone.
These projections assume no major slowdown, recession, or significant rise in Treasury yields over this period.
The US debt crisis is intensifying.
• The Kobeissi Letter
@Slavyangrad
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🇯🇵"Japan is considering the possibility of using reserves": In Japan, drivers of cars have been urged to save fuel and switch to public transport.
"If, for example, you use eco-driving, you can save a lot of fuel. It's very beneficial," the authorities noted. There will be no legislative or regulatory initiatives obliging people to do this, but the Japanese authorities will conduct active educational work in this direction.
In Japan, energy-saving driving means, in particular, avoiding rapid acceleration and prolonged idling of the car. Models of cars with hybrid engines, which make up the majority of cars on the roads of Japanese cities, also have a special eco-driving mode, which significantly reduces fuel consumption by regulating the response of the accelerator pedal and reducing the power of the air conditioner."
@Slavyangrad
"If, for example, you use eco-driving, you can save a lot of fuel. It's very beneficial," the authorities noted. There will be no legislative or regulatory initiatives obliging people to do this, but the Japanese authorities will conduct active educational work in this direction.
In Japan, energy-saving driving means, in particular, avoiding rapid acceleration and prolonged idling of the car. Models of cars with hybrid engines, which make up the majority of cars on the roads of Japanese cities, also have a special eco-driving mode, which significantly reduces fuel consumption by regulating the response of the accelerator pedal and reducing the power of the air conditioner."
@Slavyangrad
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🇩🇪🇷🇺🇺🇦 In Germany, they want to expel Ukrainians and resume relations with Russia, — FT
- The German party "Alternative for Germany" has released a 156-page manifesto, the main points of which are:
- the lifting of sanctions against Russia;
- the resumption of gas purchases through the "Nord Stream" gas pipeline;
- the reduction of social payments for Ukrainians;
- the deprivation of Ukrainians of refugee status and the encouragement of their return home;
- stricter rules for staying in the country;
- the reduction of support for Ukraine;
@Slavyangrad
- The German party "Alternative for Germany" has released a 156-page manifesto, the main points of which are:
- the lifting of sanctions against Russia;
- the resumption of gas purchases through the "Nord Stream" gas pipeline;
- the reduction of social payments for Ukrainians;
- the deprivation of Ukrainians of refugee status and the encouragement of their return home;
- stricter rules for staying in the country;
- the reduction of support for Ukraine;
@Slavyangrad
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🇷🇺🇺🇦 The Armed Forces of Ukraine violated the Easter truce regime 1971 times, - Ministry of Defense
- The Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked the positions of the Russian Armed Forces three times at night from the Pokrovsky district in the direction of Gaya and Otradnoe in the Dnepropetrovsk region. All attacks were repelled.
- Four attempts to advance the enemy to our troops' positions in the areas of Kondratovka, Nova Sech of the Sumy region and the populated area of Kaleniki of the DPR were also thwarted.
- Ukrainian militants used two; drones over the territories of the Kursk and Belgorod regions. As a result, civilians, including a child, were injured.
- The Armed Forces of Ukraine fired 258 times from multiple launch rocket systems, artillery guns, tanks and mortars at the border territories of Russia and our troops' positions, carried out 1329 strikes with FPV drones, and dropped 375 various munitions, including with the use of UAVs.
@Slavyangrad
- The Armed Forces of Ukraine attacked the positions of the Russian Armed Forces three times at night from the Pokrovsky district in the direction of Gaya and Otradnoe in the Dnepropetrovsk region. All attacks were repelled.
- Four attempts to advance the enemy to our troops' positions in the areas of Kondratovka, Nova Sech of the Sumy region and the populated area of Kaleniki of the DPR were also thwarted.
- Ukrainian militants used two; drones over the territories of the Kursk and Belgorod regions. As a result, civilians, including a child, were injured.
- The Armed Forces of Ukraine fired 258 times from multiple launch rocket systems, artillery guns, tanks and mortars at the border territories of Russia and our troops' positions, carried out 1329 strikes with FPV drones, and dropped 375 various munitions, including with the use of UAVs.
@Slavyangrad
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The idea of a naval blockade of Iran, similar to the Venezuelan operation, promoted by Trump after the complete failure of negotiations in Pakistan, as well as an attempt to clear the Strait of Hormuz of mines, would immediately encounter the anti-ship and anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) zone set up by the IRGC.
The Strait of Hormuz is not an ocean theater. Its width allows Iranian coastal systems to control every nautical mile. The islands of Larak, Qeshm, and Abu Musa have been turned into fortified outposts with underground command posts and launchers. Iran has deployed a layered system to destroy surface targets:
To counter these means, the US Navy's large strike groups simply won't have enough RIM-162 and RIM-116 missiles for SeaRAM systems and long-range SM-6, while only a few US Navy surface ships are equipped with Coyote Block II anti-drone missiles.
Eliminating the mine threat under conditions of counteraction will take many weeks. The US Navy's mine countermeasures group in the CENTCOM area of responsibility has been reduced. At the same time, clearing Iraqi mines in 1991 required 40 ships and four months of work.
Against this backdrop, the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier, often mentioned as a potential core of the strike group, is under repair in Croatia. Its replacement, the USS George H. W. Bush, is only being deployed to the region.
This means that an attempt to establish a classic blockade would lead to high risks and losses. Iranian forces are capable of causing significant damage and de facto blocking the strait with asymmetric methods without engaging in a general naval battle. The operation has all the prerequisites for failure at the operational and tactical levels.
Amid the discussion of the blockade, the activation of the strategic "air bridge" is noted: Flightradar24 records the operation of six heavy military transport aircraft C-17A Globemaster III on routes to the Middle East.
@Slavyangrad
The Strait of Hormuz is not an ocean theater. Its width allows Iranian coastal systems to control every nautical mile. The islands of Larak, Qeshm, and Abu Musa have been turned into fortified outposts with underground command posts and launchers. Iran has deployed a layered system to destroy surface targets:
- ballistic anti-ship missiles Khalij Fars with optoelectronic guidance are designed to hit moving ships at ranges of up to 300 km; at the terminal stages, these missiles dive on targets at speeds of 4M and can perform anti-aircraft maneuvers; their high-explosive warheads weigh up to 650 kg;
- subsonic anti-ship missiles Noor and Qader, hidden in coastal rock shelters;
- thousands of loitering munitions (like Shahed), swarms of fast boats, a fleet of underwater drone carriers (Mahan, Arund) and a vast arsenal of sea mines, including complex bottom samples.
To counter these means, the US Navy's large strike groups simply won't have enough RIM-162 and RIM-116 missiles for SeaRAM systems and long-range SM-6, while only a few US Navy surface ships are equipped with Coyote Block II anti-drone missiles.
Eliminating the mine threat under conditions of counteraction will take many weeks. The US Navy's mine countermeasures group in the CENTCOM area of responsibility has been reduced. At the same time, clearing Iraqi mines in 1991 required 40 ships and four months of work.
Against this backdrop, the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier, often mentioned as a potential core of the strike group, is under repair in Croatia. Its replacement, the USS George H. W. Bush, is only being deployed to the region.
This means that an attempt to establish a classic blockade would lead to high risks and losses. Iranian forces are capable of causing significant damage and de facto blocking the strait with asymmetric methods without engaging in a general naval battle. The operation has all the prerequisites for failure at the operational and tactical levels.
Amid the discussion of the blockade, the activation of the strategic "air bridge" is noted: Flightradar24 records the operation of six heavy military transport aircraft C-17A Globemaster III on routes to the Middle East.
@Slavyangrad
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