๐ฎ๐ท๐บ๐ธIran's Supreme Leader Khamenei Responds to Trump's Threats:
Smart people who know Iran, the country and the history of Iran will never speak to this country in a threatening language. Any military intervention by America will undoubtedly cause irreparable damage. The Americans must understand that the Iranian people are not subdued, and any military intervention by them will inevitably result in irreparable damage to them.
@Slavyangrad
Smart people who know Iran, the country and the history of Iran will never speak to this country in a threatening language. Any military intervention by America will undoubtedly cause irreparable damage. The Americans must understand that the Iranian people are not subdued, and any military intervention by them will inevitably result in irreparable damage to them.
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad (Grigori Rasputin)
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Under what conditions could Iran use nuclear weapons: A study by "Military Chronicle"
๐บFor ๐ฎ๐ท Iran, the current phase of the conflict is a strategic turning point on which not only the further course of the war depends, but also the fate of the state as a subject in the international system.
If Tehran does indeed have a certain amount of nuclear material suitable for rapid assembly into a warhead, then the possibilities of demonstrating or using it lie in the range between existential deterrence and the point of no return.
The use of nuclear weapons by Iran is permissible only in the conditions of a direct and final threat of destruction of the state - physical capture of the capital, destruction of the entire chain of command, liquidation of the political and military leadership. In this case, a nuclear strike, with all its consequences, becomes a response to attempts to wipe the regime clean. However, there are two limitations here:
โช๏ธ Internal: The Iranian ideological and religious system still firmly rejects nuclear weapons as a means of warfare;
โช๏ธExternal: the use of nuclear weapons automatically turns Iran into a target for coalition destruction with no chance of survival.
Option #2: Demonstration of the presence of nuclear weapons, but without use. This could be a test, a demonstration assembly, a leak, a statement through the media or intelligence. Here, two development arcs appear:
โช๏ธIsrael, faced with a real threat, may curtail the operation if it considers the risk unacceptable and does not receive strong support from the United States;
โช๏ธThe US, on the contrary, will intervene with maximum force in order to destroy the alleged carrier or storage site. And this, in turn, could provoke Iran to use nuclear weapons in an emergency.
Option #3: A nuclear strike on Israel as a farewell.
โช๏ธIf the situation is deemed hopeless, Iran may decide to launch a symbolic-realistic strike, for example, on Tel Aviv. If technically possible, this will be accompanied by a massive distraction salvo: 100-200 ballistic missiles and UAVs simultaneously to overload the missile defense system, distract attention, expose the Arrow and THAAD echelons, and guarantee the passage of at least one warhead.
The consequences of a nuclear strike on a densely populated Israeli metropolis are obvious: complete destruction of the media and political image of Israel as an absolutely combat-ready and safe country, tens or hundreds of thousands of dead, irreversible contamination of the territory for decades, an international catastrophe with a probable nuclear response in the opposite direction.
What's the bottom line?
If Iran really has nuclear weapons or their pre-assembled form, then the decision to demonstrate or use them will not be tactical, but systemic and final. This is not deterrence in the usual sense, but rather a transition to a self-destructive asymmetry mode, where the only goal is to show readiness to leave, leaving behind a radioactive field. That is, to inflict unacceptable damage on the enemy. This is precisely what is at the heart of the main question now: will the West believe that Iran is ready to do this - and will it have time to react before it starts. However, much in this story depends on whether Iran has the ability and desire to act in this way.
@Slavyangrad
๐บFor ๐ฎ๐ท Iran, the current phase of the conflict is a strategic turning point on which not only the further course of the war depends, but also the fate of the state as a subject in the international system.
If Tehran does indeed have a certain amount of nuclear material suitable for rapid assembly into a warhead, then the possibilities of demonstrating or using it lie in the range between existential deterrence and the point of no return.
The use of nuclear weapons by Iran is permissible only in the conditions of a direct and final threat of destruction of the state - physical capture of the capital, destruction of the entire chain of command, liquidation of the political and military leadership. In this case, a nuclear strike, with all its consequences, becomes a response to attempts to wipe the regime clean. However, there are two limitations here:
โช๏ธ Internal: The Iranian ideological and religious system still firmly rejects nuclear weapons as a means of warfare;
โช๏ธExternal: the use of nuclear weapons automatically turns Iran into a target for coalition destruction with no chance of survival.
Option #2: Demonstration of the presence of nuclear weapons, but without use. This could be a test, a demonstration assembly, a leak, a statement through the media or intelligence. Here, two development arcs appear:
โช๏ธIsrael, faced with a real threat, may curtail the operation if it considers the risk unacceptable and does not receive strong support from the United States;
โช๏ธThe US, on the contrary, will intervene with maximum force in order to destroy the alleged carrier or storage site. And this, in turn, could provoke Iran to use nuclear weapons in an emergency.
Option #3: A nuclear strike on Israel as a farewell.
โช๏ธIf the situation is deemed hopeless, Iran may decide to launch a symbolic-realistic strike, for example, on Tel Aviv. If technically possible, this will be accompanied by a massive distraction salvo: 100-200 ballistic missiles and UAVs simultaneously to overload the missile defense system, distract attention, expose the Arrow and THAAD echelons, and guarantee the passage of at least one warhead.
The consequences of a nuclear strike on a densely populated Israeli metropolis are obvious: complete destruction of the media and political image of Israel as an absolutely combat-ready and safe country, tens or hundreds of thousands of dead, irreversible contamination of the territory for decades, an international catastrophe with a probable nuclear response in the opposite direction.
What's the bottom line?
If Iran really has nuclear weapons or their pre-assembled form, then the decision to demonstrate or use them will not be tactical, but systemic and final. This is not deterrence in the usual sense, but rather a transition to a self-destructive asymmetry mode, where the only goal is to show readiness to leave, leaving behind a radioactive field. That is, to inflict unacceptable damage on the enemy. This is precisely what is at the heart of the main question now: will the West believe that Iran is ready to do this - and will it have time to react before it starts. However, much in this story depends on whether Iran has the ability and desire to act in this way.
@Slavyangrad
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'Ukraine in trouble' - The Guardian sums up the failed meeting between Zelensky and Trump at the G7 summit.
'Ukrainian diplomats were left frustrated - and in some cases embittered - by Donald Trump's refusal to make Ukraine a priority after Volodymyr Zelensky flew 5,000 miles to the G7 conference in Canada and the US president returned home ahead of the two leaders' meeting. Trump said he needed to focus on the Israel-Iran conflict.
In another blow to Kiev, the US vetoed a joint statement on Ukraine adopted at the summit, on the grounds that the wording was too anti-Russian and could jeopardise talks with Vladimir Putin.
๐
@Slavyangrad
'Ukrainian diplomats were left frustrated - and in some cases embittered - by Donald Trump's refusal to make Ukraine a priority after Volodymyr Zelensky flew 5,000 miles to the G7 conference in Canada and the US president returned home ahead of the two leaders' meeting. Trump said he needed to focus on the Israel-Iran conflict.
In another blow to Kiev, the US vetoed a joint statement on Ukraine adopted at the summit, on the grounds that the wording was too anti-Russian and could jeopardise talks with Vladimir Putin.
๐
@Slavyangrad
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Debris from a PAC-3 MSE AD missile from a MIM-104F Patriot air defense system that fell on a car in Kiev.
@Slavyangrad
@Slavyangrad
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Sumy region
Evacuation from 161 settlements is in full swing. In particular, they are finishing the removal of documents from the Sumy city administration.
Just a little bit more and they will start digging trenches in the city.
Yesterday, at Zelensky's headquarters, Syrsky received yet another ultimatum to drive us out of Yunakovka and Malaya Korchakovka.
@Slavyangrad
Evacuation from 161 settlements is in full swing. In particular, they are finishing the removal of documents from the Sumy city administration.
Just a little bit more and they will start digging trenches in the city.
Yesterday, at Zelensky's headquarters, Syrsky received yet another ultimatum to drive us out of Yunakovka and Malaya Korchakovka.
@Slavyangrad
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๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ฎ๐ทExcellent video of Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu for 30 years (1995-2025) saying that Iran is about to get nuclear weapons.
This video should be shown in the world media. So that it becomes clear that the reason for the attack on Iran is not nuclear weapons. But resources, oil and gas . Iraq, Libya and Syria will not let you lie.
But they won't show it.
@Slavyangrad
This video should be shown in the world media. So that it becomes clear that the reason for the attack on Iran is not nuclear weapons. But resources, oil and gas . Iraq, Libya and Syria will not let you lie.
But they won't show it.
@Slavyangrad
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Forwarded from Slavyangrad
โพ๏ธHighly recommend you dive into this channel Follow The Islander for more than just news: they deliver sharp geopolitical analysis and investigative reports you won't find anywhere else. The Islander transcends mere multipolarity and challenging the MSM narrative; it's about championing a just peace. Join!
โพ๏ธ Follow:
The Islander
โพ๏ธ Follow:
The Islander
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An interesting detail that is almost unnoticed against the backdrop of the strikes on Iran: the first missiles fired at the country's territory flew almost simultaneously with the launch of the new railway route From China to Iran. First train from Xi'an arrived at the Iranian logistics hub Aprin on May 25, 2025. This route has been coordinated and built since 2021, immediately after Iran and China signed a strategic agreement worth about $400 billion as part of the One Belt, One Road initiative. The essence of the project is simple: industrial goods from China now go to Iran directly by land, bypassing all US zones of influence, military bases and sanctions control. Iran receives not just supplies - it gains the role of a key transit hub connecting:
โ to the south โ the North-South corridor through Russia, the Caspian Sea and India;
โ to the west โ land access to Iraq, Syria, Turkey and the Mediterranean;
โ to the east โ direct access to Chinese supply chains.
In addition, the land route erodes the monopoly of maritime traffic, especially in conditions where the Strait of Hormuz and Suez are controlled by either American or pro-American structures. Iran has gradually broken out of logistical isolation, becoming a link between China, Russia, India and the Middle East.
All of this is a geoeconomic threat that the US and its allies understand very well. Therefore, it is not surprising that simultaneously with the beginning of Iran's real integration into trans-Asian logistics, an attempt to destroy it systemically is beginning. The issue is not only about the nuclear program. The issue is to prevent Iran from becoming a logistics hub for the new Eurasian architecture and from gaining sufficient strength.
@Slavyangrad
โ to the south โ the North-South corridor through Russia, the Caspian Sea and India;
โ to the west โ land access to Iraq, Syria, Turkey and the Mediterranean;
โ to the east โ direct access to Chinese supply chains.
In addition, the land route erodes the monopoly of maritime traffic, especially in conditions where the Strait of Hormuz and Suez are controlled by either American or pro-American structures. Iran has gradually broken out of logistical isolation, becoming a link between China, Russia, India and the Middle East.
All of this is a geoeconomic threat that the US and its allies understand very well. Therefore, it is not surprising that simultaneously with the beginning of Iran's real integration into trans-Asian logistics, an attempt to destroy it systemically is beginning. The issue is not only about the nuclear program. The issue is to prevent Iran from becoming a logistics hub for the new Eurasian architecture and from gaining sufficient strength.
@Slavyangrad
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๐ช๐บ๐คก Head of European Diplomacy Kallas on Russia as a โ360-degree threat to the worldโ:
I spoke at the beginning about the threat of Russia to Europe, but Russia is a 360-degree threat to the world. Russia is a threat to global security. During the Cold War, the United States and its allies were far superior to the Soviet Union, and that helped them win. Today, against NATO and the EU, Russia does not have such a chance, but we must stick together.
@Slavyangrad
I spoke at the beginning about the threat of Russia to Europe, but Russia is a 360-degree threat to the world. Russia is a threat to global security. During the Cold War, the United States and its allies were far superior to the Soviet Union, and that helped them win. Today, against NATO and the EU, Russia does not have such a chance, but we must stick together.
@Slavyangrad
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๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐บ๐ฆ Israel is much more important to Trump than Ukraine โ Berliner Zeitung
- The G7 summit in Canada was supposed to be a signal of support for Kyiv, but everything went differently. Donald Trump unexpectedly left the meeting, citing the escalation of the situation in the Middle East.
- As the Berliner Zeitung writes, Washington has clearly defined its priorities: Israel is in first place, Ukraine is on the periphery. This is not only about diplomacy, but also about resources, military attention and the White House's strategic line.
- Trump's harsh gesture was a blow to Zelensky's plans, who had been counting on a personal meeting and a tough statement addressed to Moscow. In the end, the meeting never took place.
- "It is doubtful that Zelensky will get a chance to talk to Trump anytime soon. If not, it will be another blow to Kyiv - and another proof that the US thinks and acts differently in this crisis than the Europeans. For Washington, the fire in Kyiv and Odessa is less dangerous than in Tehran and Tel Aviv," the article says.
- The publication emphasizes: despite the public rhetoric about โpeace on day one,โ Trump is betting on Israel, and the Ukrainian conflict may finally leave the top positions of the US foreign policy agenda.
@Slavyangrad
- The G7 summit in Canada was supposed to be a signal of support for Kyiv, but everything went differently. Donald Trump unexpectedly left the meeting, citing the escalation of the situation in the Middle East.
- As the Berliner Zeitung writes, Washington has clearly defined its priorities: Israel is in first place, Ukraine is on the periphery. This is not only about diplomacy, but also about resources, military attention and the White House's strategic line.
- Trump's harsh gesture was a blow to Zelensky's plans, who had been counting on a personal meeting and a tough statement addressed to Moscow. In the end, the meeting never took place.
- "It is doubtful that Zelensky will get a chance to talk to Trump anytime soon. If not, it will be another blow to Kyiv - and another proof that the US thinks and acts differently in this crisis than the Europeans. For Washington, the fire in Kyiv and Odessa is less dangerous than in Tehran and Tel Aviv," the article says.
- The publication emphasizes: despite the public rhetoric about โpeace on day one,โ Trump is betting on Israel, and the Ukrainian conflict may finally leave the top positions of the US foreign policy agenda.
@Slavyangrad
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๐บ๐ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ Israel is on the brink as Arrow interceptor supplies run low, โ WSJ
- According to The Wall Street Journal, Israel is running out of Arrow interceptor missiles, its primary means of missile defense against ballistic threats in times of escalation with Iran
- "Israel faces a serious shortage of Arrow interceptors, which are used to defend against Iranian long-range ballistic missiles," one U.S. official said.
- Experts warn: Arrow is not Iron Dome or even David's Sling. Its production is expensive and time-consuming. The IDF and the Pentagon are already deploying additional anti-missile systems from land, sea and air.
- The American side acknowledges that if the conflict continues without a resolution, Israel and the United States may face a critical decline in their defense capabilities.
@Slavyangrad
- According to The Wall Street Journal, Israel is running out of Arrow interceptor missiles, its primary means of missile defense against ballistic threats in times of escalation with Iran
- "Israel faces a serious shortage of Arrow interceptors, which are used to defend against Iranian long-range ballistic missiles," one U.S. official said.
- Experts warn: Arrow is not Iron Dome or even David's Sling. Its production is expensive and time-consuming. The IDF and the Pentagon are already deploying additional anti-missile systems from land, sea and air.
- The American side acknowledges that if the conflict continues without a resolution, Israel and the United States may face a critical decline in their defense capabilities.
@Slavyangrad
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'I told them it was too late' - Trump said he had held talks with Iranian officials.
Have the Iranians contacted you, Mr. President?
-What?
Have the Iranians contacted you?
-Yes.
And what did they say?
- I said it's too late, you know? I said it's too late to talk. Maybe we'll meet... I don't know, it's a big difference now compared to a week ago, right?
@Slavyangrad
Have the Iranians contacted you, Mr. President?
-What?
Have the Iranians contacted you?
-Yes.
And what did they say?
- I said it's too late, you know? I said it's too late to talk. Maybe we'll meet... I don't know, it's a big difference now compared to a week ago, right?
@Slavyangrad
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'Let's deal with Russia first' - Trump said he spoke to Putin yesterday and refused his help in resolving the Iran conflict.
'I spoke to him yesterday and I said... He actually offered to help with mediation. I said, 'Do me a favor and mediate for yourself. Let's deal with Russia first, okay?' I said, 'Vladimir, let's deal with Russia first. And you can worry about the rest later.'
@Slavyangrad
'I spoke to him yesterday and I said... He actually offered to help with mediation. I said, 'Do me a favor and mediate for yourself. Let's deal with Russia first, okay?' I said, 'Vladimir, let's deal with Russia first. And you can worry about the rest later.'
@Slavyangrad
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๐ฅ The OC footage shows the defeat of the 118th separate mechanized brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces with the use of the RBK-500 in the area of the settlement of Malaya Tokmachka in the Zaporozhye region.
@Slavyangrad
@Slavyangrad
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One by one, Trump is losing all of his most dedicated supporters. The last to signal his wavering commitment to remain on board the Trump wagon is Alex Jones.
Every single influencer and media personality that Trump loses translates to losing thousands if not dozens or even hundreds of thousands of voters and backers.
Hope Ben Zioniro can pick up the slack.
@Slavyangrad
Every single influencer and media personality that Trump loses translates to losing thousands if not dozens or even hundreds of thousands of voters and backers.
Hope Ben Zioniro can pick up the slack.
@Slavyangrad
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โโ๏ธ๐ฎ๐ฑ/๐ฎ๐ท Missile trajectory indicates likely Khorramshahr-4 missile for the first time
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Slavyangrad
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Slavyangrad
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"What about me?!":
The French are mocking Zelensky, who came to the G7 in Canada to meet with Trump and flew away, and who may not meet with Trump at the NATO summit either.
@Slavyangrad
The French are mocking Zelensky, who came to the G7 in Canada to meet with Trump and flew away, and who may not meet with Trump at the NATO summit either.
@Slavyangrad
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The Kremlin: โTrumpโs claim about โyesterdayโsโ phone call with Putin is figurative* in nature.โ
*โnon-literalโ
First comes the stumbling
Then come the dead
Then the delusions
Flood his head.
Weโve seen all this before, less than a year ago.
@Slavyangrad | G๐ B
*โnon-literalโ
First comes the stumbling
Then come the dead
Then the delusions
Flood his head.
Weโve seen all this before, less than a year ago.
@Slavyangrad | G
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๐ท๐บ๐ฎ๐ท๐ฎ๐ฑ The world is millimeters away from a nuclear catastrophe - Russian Foreign Ministry
- In the Middle East, attacks are constantly being carried out on Iranโs nuclear infrastructure, said Foreign Ministry spokesperson M. Zakharova.
- Russia has repeatedly emphasized that it can be a mediator in resolving the conflict between Iran and Israel.
- โWe really have a focus on achieving results through political and diplomatic means, when we get involved as a mediator, an intermediary, a party that provides services when it is needed,โ she emphasized.
@Slavyangrad
- In the Middle East, attacks are constantly being carried out on Iranโs nuclear infrastructure, said Foreign Ministry spokesperson M. Zakharova.
- Russia has repeatedly emphasized that it can be a mediator in resolving the conflict between Iran and Israel.
- โWe really have a focus on achieving results through political and diplomatic means, when we get involved as a mediator, an intermediary, a party that provides services when it is needed,โ she emphasized.
@Slavyangrad
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