Yesterday, BTC experienced a sharper than expected pullback after the rebound, returning to the previous consolidation area. The volatility is mainly driven by macro uncertainty, with Brent above 100 dollars and Treasury yields rising sharply ahead of the Fed decision. Today, the Senate is holding the CLARITY Act procedural vote, while US spot BTC ETFs returned to inflows with about 160 million dollars after five consecutive outflow sessions. These factors could increase short term volatility but also provide potential catalysts for a reversal.
The 1H candles are testing the lower range after rejecting the 79,000 area. RSI has fallen to 32.42, showing short term oversold conditions, while CCI at minus 61.54 remains weak but is approaching a potential recovery zone. MACD remains below zero, confirming current bearish momentum, but the decline appears increasingly stretched. The structure suggests selling pressure may be approaching exhaustion.
Support is 76,630, followed by 75,600. Resistance is 78,020, then 80,440. Holding above 76,630 would preserve the possibility of a bottoming pattern. Reclaiming 78,020 would strengthen the recovery scenario, while a confirmed break below 75,600 would invalidate the current bullish reversal thesis.
The current decline looks increasingly like an oversold adjustment rather than a confirmed trend reversal. If 76,630 holds, BTC could stabilize and gradually recover. The CLARITY Act vote and Fed decision are the main catalysts, so volatility is likely to remain elevated before the market chooses its next direction.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Sep 15
The current decline looks increasingly like an oversold adjustment rather than a confirmed trend reversal. If 76,630 holds, BTC could stabilize and gradually recover.
#bt…
The current decline looks increasingly like an oversold adjustment rather than a confirmed trend reversal. If 76,630 holds, BTC could stabilize and gradually recover.
#bt…
Yesterday, BTC suffered a sharp decline after the Senate rejected the CLARITY Act in a 49 to 50 procedural vote, triggering a broad crypto risk off move. Today, attention shifts to the Federal Reserve decision, with markets pricing a high probability of a 25 basis point hike. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about 288.7 million dollars of net outflows on Tuesday, while large on chain movements remain mixed, including significant exchange withdrawals.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Sep 16
BTC is stabilizing near support after the CLARITY Act shock. A break above 77,250 could signal a rebound, with the Fed decision as the key catalyst.
#btc #crypto #futures…
BTC is stabilizing near support after the CLARITY Act shock. A break above 77,250 could signal a rebound, with the Fed decision as the key catalyst.
#btc #crypto #futures…
Yesterday, BTC stabilized after the sharp post CLARITY Act decline and has begun recovering gradually. The Federal Reserve raised rates to 3.75 to 4.00 percent, creating short term macro pressure, but BTC has remained resilient. US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw about 450 million dollars of outflows on September 15, while large Bitcoin withdrawals from exchanges continue, including a reported 20,350 BTC transfer from Bitbank cold storage, although such movements do not necessarily indicate buying.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Sep 17
BTC is gradually recovering despite the hawkish Fed backdrop. The key test is whether MA120 can be reclaimed and turned into support. A breakout could accelerate the recov…
BTC is gradually recovering despite the hawkish Fed backdrop. The key test is whether MA120 can be reclaimed and turned into support. A breakout could accelerate the recov…
BTC successfully broke above the MA120 resistance and accelerated upward, confirming the recovery structure discussed previously. BTC is now around 78,200. The broader market has shown resilience despite the CLARITY Act setback and the Fed rate hike. The SEC has since introduced a five year conditional exemption supporting tokenized securities activity, helping reduce regulatory pressure. US spot BTC ETFs also returned to net inflows of about 159.5 million dollars on September 17 after two sessions of heavy outflows.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Sep 18
BTC has broken above MA120, shifting the short-term structure upward. Consolidation and gradual expansion are likely next. Momentum remains strong, but elevated RSI sugges…
BTC has broken above MA120, shifting the short-term structure upward. Consolidation and gradual expansion are likely next. Momentum remains strong, but elevated RSI sugges…
After weekend consolidation, BTC broke above 82,807 and accelerated toward 84,620, confirming the upward structure. Institutional demand also improved, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs recording 433 million dollars of inflows on September 18, although the full week ended almost flat at 6.2 million dollars. Macro conditions remain important, with markets still pricing further Fed tightening risk.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Sep 21
BTC has broken out, strengthening the short-term trend. Elevated momentum suggests consolidation may come next, with 82,800 as key support and 90,600 as the next target.
…
BTC has broken out, strengthening the short-term trend. Elevated momentum suggests consolidation may come next, with 82,800 as key support and 90,600 as the next target.
…
BTC continued its strong advance after breaking 84,620. The strongest recent fund signal is the 999 million dollar net inflow into US spot Bitcoin ETFs on September 21, the largest daily inflow in twelve months. Institutional demand is therefore providing meaningful support for the current move. Regulatory sentiment also remains constructive, with the SEC continuing its proposed crypto asset framework.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Sep 22
BTC remains bullish, with the pullback likely forming consolidation after the breakout. A sustained move above 86,898 would confirm further upside, while higher timeframe …
BTC remains bullish, with the pullback likely forming consolidation after the breakout. A sustained move above 86,898 would confirm further upside, while higher timeframe …
BTC remains in a high level consolidation after the recent breakout, with price holding around 85,800 to 86,000. Market sentiment remains supported by strong institutional demand, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs recording nearly 999 million dollars of inflows on September 21. The market is also watching ongoing crypto regulatory developments and broader risk sentiment.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Sep 23
BTC is currently consolidating after breaking higher, with the overall structure still constructive. Short term indicators are being adjusted while price holds at elevate…
BTC is currently consolidating after breaking higher, with the overall structure still constructive. Short term indicators are being adjusted while price holds at elevate…
Yesterday, BTC moved into a high level consolidation after reaching the 87,000 area, followed by a pullback toward 83,700. The current correction is consistent with profit taking after the recent advance. Market structure remains sensitive to the 84,500 to 85,000 resistance zone. Meanwhile, US spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about 347 million dollars of net inflows on September 23, extending the inflow streak to five sessions, with cumulative inflows of roughly 2.65 billion dollars.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Sep 24
BTC is currently undergoing a high level pullback after failing to hold the 87,000 area. The indicators show weakening momentum, but selling pressure is also beginning to …
BTC is currently undergoing a high level pullback after failing to hold the 87,000 area. The indicators show weakening momentum, but selling pressure is also beginning to …
After several days of consolidation, BTC has moved lower and is currently testing the 82,777 area, which is an important short term support. The recent decline appears to be a corrective move after the previous advance. Capital flow remains supportive in the medium term, with US spot Bitcoin ETFs recording 2.39 billion dollars of net inflows from September 21 to 25, including five consecutive positive sessions. However, a dormant whale also transferred 4,500 BTC, worth about 379 million dollars, while another 1,700 BTC moved from Coinbase Institutional to an unidentified wallet, creating additional short term supply uncertainty.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Sep 28
BTC is testing key support after a short-term correction. A rebound requires reclaiming 83,821 and 84,548, while a break below 82,777 could open the way to 80,756.
#btc #…
BTC is testing key support after a short-term correction. A rebound requires reclaiming 83,821 and 84,548, while a break below 82,777 could open the way to 80,756.
#btc #…
After several sessions of consolidation, BTC remains near the 84,000 area. The latest structure shows a recovery from the 82,777 support zone, while current market sentiment is still mixed. Recent spot BTC ETF flows remained positive, while large on chain movements continue to show elevated activity. At the same time, higher US Treasury yields are creating short term pressure on risk assets, so the recovery still needs confirmation.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Sep 29
BTC’s short-term structure is improving after several days of consolidation. A double bottom and recovering momentum support a gradual recovery. Reclaiming 85,102 could o…
BTC’s short-term structure is improving after several days of consolidation. A double bottom and recovering momentum support a gradual recovery. Reclaiming 85,102 could o…
After the previous recovery, BTC failed to establish a clear breakout and has returned to range consolidation. The current market remains focused on the August PCE inflation report due today, while expectations for an October Fed rate hike have fallen sharply, with markets now nearly evenly split. This could increase volatility around the data release. Recent ETF inflows have also cooled, with US spot BTC ETFs recording about 31 million dollars of inflows on Monday.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Sep 30
BTC is now consolidating, with momentum gradually improving but no confirmed breakout. A break above 85,102 or below 82,777 could trigger the next major move, with PCE dat…
BTC is now consolidating, with momentum gradually improving but no confirmed breakout. A break above 85,102 or below 82,777 could trigger the next major move, with PCE dat…
BTC remains within the 82,777 to 85,102 range after several sessions of consolidation. The latest PCE data showed August inflation at 3.4 percent year over year, below expectations, reducing market expectations for an October Fed hike and supporting risk assets. However, Bitcoin ETF flows reversed on September 30, with about 148.7 million dollars of net outflows after nine positive sessions.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Oct 1
BTC remains in consolidation, with momentum stabilizing but no confirmed direction. Softer inflation offers a supportive backdrop, while mixed ETF flows suggest uncertain s…
BTC remains in consolidation, with momentum stabilizing but no confirmed direction. Softer inflation offers a supportive backdrop, while mixed ETF flows suggest uncertain s…
Yesterday, BTC broke above the 85,102 resistance and continued moving higher toward 86,269, confirming a stronger upward structure. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded 102.7 million dollars of net inflows on October 1, while September finished with 2.65 billion dollars of total inflows. The SEC also proposed a new framework for crypto asset custody, improving regulatory clarity.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Oct 2
BTC has shifted from consolidation into an upward breakout structure. However, elevated CCI and RSI suggest short-term conditions are stretched. The key focus is whether B…
BTC has shifted from consolidation into an upward breakout structure. However, elevated CCI and RSI suggest short-term conditions are stretched. The key focus is whether B…
BTC remains above 83,000, but yesterday’s price action showed rejection near 87,237 and a pullback toward 85,900. Market sentiment remains supported by weaker U.S. employment data, which reduced expectations for an October Fed hike. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded 189.8 million dollars of net inflows on October 2, extending institutional demand.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Oct 5
BTC remains bullish above $83,000, with a sustained breakout above $87,237 needed for further upside. Until then, expect consolidation. Holding $85,700 keeps the short-term…
BTC remains bullish above $83,000, with a sustained breakout above $87,237 needed for further upside. Until then, expect consolidation. Holding $85,700 keeps the short-term…
BTC held above 83,000 yesterday and remains inside the broader consolidation zone, with price around 85,800. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded 89.9 million dollars of net outflows on October 5, showing short term institutional demand has weakened. However, whale exchange flows remain net negative, suggesting large holders are still reducing selling pressure. The CFTC also proposed a new federal framework for leveraged crypto markets, adding regulatory clarity.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Oct 6
BTC remains bullish above 83,000, but the market is still consolidating. The key confirmation remains a sustained breakout above 87,237, which could open the path toward …
BTC remains bullish above 83,000, but the market is still consolidating. The key confirmation remains a sustained breakout above 87,237, which could open the path toward …
BTC failed to break above 87,237 again, followed by a sharp decline toward 83,600. The move was accompanied by broader risk pressure from rising Treasury yields, a stronger dollar and higher oil prices. Markets are also awaiting the Fed meeting minutes, while October rate hike expectations have fallen to around 21.6 percent.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Oct 7
BTC has entered a deeper correction after another failed breakout. A rebound remains possible, but confirmation requires reclaiming 84,439–85,035. Until then, further downs…
BTC has entered a deeper correction after another failed breakout. A rebound remains possible, but confirmation requires reclaiming 84,439–85,035. Until then, further downs…
Yesterday, BTC suffered a sharp selloff after failing to reclaim the 87,237 resistance, falling toward the 82,000 area. Today, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about 484.9 million dollars of net outflows on October 7, the largest daily withdrawal since June. Rising Treasury yields, a stronger dollar and Brent crude above 100 dollars are also pressuring risk assets. The SEC continues moving toward clearer crypto custody rules, providing a longer term regulatory positive.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Oct 8
BTC is at a critical technical level after the sharp decline. Oversold indicators allow for a rebound, but weak ETF flows and macro pressure keep downside risk elevated. Ho…
BTC is at a critical technical level after the sharp decline. Oversold indicators allow for a rebound, but weak ETF flows and macro pressure keep downside risk elevated. Ho…
Yesterday, BTC suffered a sharp selloff toward the 80,000 area before rebounding. Price has recovered to around 83,200, but the broader structure remains fragile. Rising Treasury yields and oil prices have pressured risk assets, while hopes for diplomatic progress in the Middle East have helped BTC recover slightly. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded 244.1 million dollars in net outflows on October 8, signaling continued short term demand weakness.
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BTC 1H Analysis | Oct 9
BTC is attempting a rebound after a sharp decline,. Holding above 82,000 while reclaiming 84,420 would improve the outlook. A renewed break below support would increase the…
BTC is attempting a rebound after a sharp decline,. Holding above 82,000 while reclaiming 84,420 would improve the outlook. A renewed break below support would increase the…