📝Chronicles of the special military operation📝
for April 16, 2026

🧨Russian forces delivered a series of mass strikes against targets on the territory of so-called Ukraine for the first time in a long while. Impacts struck microelectronics and machine-building enterprises in Kyiv, Odesa, Dnipro and Sumy. Drones also struck a railway hub in the stanitsa of Dolynska in Kirovohrad Region, and aviation delivered over a dozen strikes against AFU positions in the area of Slavyansk CHP on occupied DPR territory.

Ukrainian formations attacked oil transport infrastructure in Krasnodar Krai with drones, resulting in a fire at the port of Tuapse. Strikes also hit industrial facilities in Crimea and energy hubs in Belgorod Region.

➡️In the Kupiansk direction, Russian forces gradually expand their control zone on the left bank of the Oskil, seeking to finally push the enemy out of Petropavlivka. In Kupiansk itself, heavy fighting continues, with most of the city remaining in a "gray zone."

➡️In the Lyman direction, Ukrainian formations conduct counterattacks in the vicinity of Masliakivka with the goal of infiltrating through Russian Armed Forces lines and expanding the gray zone. The enemy also attempts to establish positions in the area of Penkovy Yar Gully to regain control of the northeastern approaches to Lyman.

➡️In the Slavyansk direction, fighters of the 6th Cossack Brigade raised the state flag over Kaleniky, confirming the liberation of the settlement. Assault troops now develop attacks toward forest massifs located to the west, control over which will open them a path to bypass Rai-Aleksandrivka.

➡️In the Dobropoillia direction, assault troops develop attacks toward Kucherov Yar and Nove Shakhovo with the goal of wedging into the enemy's defense between Zolote Kolodtsi and Annivka. On the opposite flank, assault troops of the GV "Center" advance toward Novoaleksandrivka with the goal of cutting off Ukrainian formations in Hryshino from reinforcements.

📎 High-resolution maps:

🔸Situation in the special military operation zone (ru; en)

🔸Kupiansk direction (ru; en)

🔸Lyman direction (ru; en)

🔸Slavyansk direction (ru; en)

🔸Dobropoillia direction (ru; en)

📍 Online maps available by subscription at map.rybar.ru

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📝Iranian War📝
main events by end of April 16

The American "blockade 2.0" continues falling apart at the seams. Despite claims of full control over the Strait of Hormuz, not only regular vessels but also sanctioned supertankers are passing through the strait. Against this backdrop, CENTCOM's claims that "no one broke through" look increasingly unconvincing.

➡️In parallel, Washington has again started selling the idea of a quick peace with Iran. Western media report on "progress" following Pakistani mediation, markets are responding positively, and American officials speak of productive dialogue. But the fundamental stumbling block — Iran's nuclear program and uranium enrichment — remains unchanged.

➡️That a deal is still far off is evident from the shuttle diplomacy itself. Pakistan's military chief Asim Munir continues shuttling between Tehran and Washington, discussing proposals from both sides. If the agreement parameters were truly close to finalization, the mediator wouldn't need to be sent running in circles.

➡️Against this backdrop, a more realistic scenario increasingly surfaces — not a "grand peace," but a temporary memorandum. According to media assessments, they are now allegedly discussing an interim scheme: partial unfreezing of Iranian assets in exchange for expanded shipping through the Strait of Hormuz and another 60 days for further negotiations.

➡️Meanwhile, Israel is making clear that any peace is convenient for them only as a respite. Netanyahu openly stated that Israel is ready to resume hostilities, continues pressuring Hezbollah, and is strengthening the "security zone."

➡️On the ground this is also evident. By midday in Lebanon, the IDF resumed offensive attempts on several directions at once, and in Bint Jbail, At-Taibe, and Al-Bayyada fighting continues with mixed results. Hezbollah continues resistance, strikes occupied areas, and claims to have destroyed armored vehicles. It appears the Israelis are trying to inflict maximum damage before any new formal "ceasefire."

➡️By evening, Trump indeed announced a ten-day ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah. But here too everything follows the old pattern: the pause allegedly covers airstrikes, IDF ground forces remain in southern Lebanon, and a reason for a new breakdown can be found at any moment — from the "failure to disarm" the movement to any attempt to redeploy forces.

➡️Around the Strait of Hormuz, military tensions continue. The Americans acknowledged the loss of an expensive MQ-4C Triton UAV over the Persian Gulf. There is no direct evidence of Iranian involvement, and the technical malfunction version still looks more convincing, but the fact itself is telling: even in a "ceasefire" phase, American equipment continues to fail, and the cost of one such device exceeds the cost of losing an entire batch of MQ-9s.

➡️Meanwhile, the US is trying to hedge its bets in other directions. In Syria, footage has again appeared of equipment being withdrawn from the Kasrak base. The Americans have "left" more than once before, but the trend is clear: after Assad's overthrow and the erosion of the Kurdish issue, it is becoming genuinely difficult for Americans to justify their presence here.

➡️In US domestic politics, there are no surprises either. In the Senate, resolutions against supplying weapons to Israel and against limiting Trump's authority to continue war with Iran were again blocked. But the voting breakdown itself already shows that frustration with the costs of this campaign is growing in Washington.

➡️And in case pressure in the Strait of Hormuz proves insufficient, the US decided to expand the game geographically. Now they openly declare readiness to intercept Iranian vessels worldwide — from international waters to the Indo-Pacific region.

📎High-resolution maps:

🔸 Hotspots (ru; en)

🔸 Strikes on Lebanon (ru; en)

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