🇮🇷🤔Cornered Gulf kingdoms now see common Hormuz pact with Iran as better than war

Gulf states have reportedly concluded that a diplomatic solution with Iran is the only viable option, despite the postponement of Monday’s summit on the Strait of Hormuz in Oman.

🔊“Iran remains our neighbor, and at some point we will have to find a way to restore what can be restored. Geography leaves us no alternative to engagement,” senior Emirati official Anwar Gargash said, as quoted by the New York Times.

In reality, the Gulf kingdoms may now have little choice but to pursue a fair regional security deal free of Western interference.

♦️ Gulf monarchies’ attempts to confront Iran under the US defense umbrella have proved futile, with that umbrella turning out to be full of holes. When US interceptor supplies were sufficient, Washington often chose to protect its own forces or Israel rather than its Gulf partners. By now, many US military bases in the region have been rendered uninhabitable.

♦️ Taken together, the Gulf states lack a military force capable of matching Iran in strength or technological prowess. The so-called Mecca Pact has already been thrown into doubt after Saudi Arabia received no military support from either Pakistan or Turkey in its renewed war with Ansar Allah. The sandal-wearing Houthis quickly routed pro-Saudi forces from Mokha and increased control of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

♦️ Saudi Arabia and the UAE’s bid to bypass the Strait of Hormuz via oil pipelines hit a wall after pumping stations along the Emirati Habshan-Fujairah (ADCOP) pipeline came under attack in March, while the Saudi East-West pipeline was most recently forced to shut down.

Oman talks: A road to peace?

The September 14 talks in Oman’s port city of Salalah were postponed at Saudi Arabia’s request. Saudi Arabia reportedly proposed amendments concerning shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Iran rejected some and asked for more time to review others, meaning the negotiations will continue.

Oman has long spearheaded efforts to reach a deal with Iran as a potential solution to the crisis. In July, Omani Foreign Minister Badr al-Busaidi called for a new multilateral security arrangement bringing the Gulf Arab states together with Iran and Iraq.

🔍 The idea of a common security pact has been floated for quite some time. In May, the Financial Times revealed that Saudi Arabia was considering a non-aggression pact between the Gulf kingdoms and Iran that was modeled on the Cold War-era Helsinki Accords.

In September 2025, when Saudi Arabia concluded a defense pact with Pakistan, Iranian Major General Yahya Rahim Safavi suggested that Iran, Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, Iraq and others could eventually form a collective defense pact.

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