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MIDWEEK PREDICTIONS

BRIGHTON VS CHELSEA
• Brighton have won the last two league H2Hs, as many as they had in their first 19 such meetings with Chelsea (D4, L13). In all competitions, the Seagulls have won three of the last four H2Hs they hosted (L1).
• Brighton have scored 60% of their first-half home league goals this term in the opening 15 minutes.
• Ten of Brighton’s last 14 league games produced under 2.5 goals.
• Chelsea have lost five of their last six Tuesday-held Premier League away games (D1).
• Chelsea haven’t kept an away league clean sheet in eight matches.
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BURNLEY VS MANCHESTER CITY
• Burnley have lost their last 11 league H2Hs against City, their longest-ever such losing run against a single opponent in history!
• Burnley have conceded a league-high seven home goals in the opening 15 minutes this season.
• Burnley have conceded 2+ goals in 12 of their last 15 top-flight matches.
• Seven of City’s last nine league games featured over 2.5 goals.
• City have conceded 14 of their 17 away league goals this season after half-time.
REAL MADRID VS ALAVES
• Madrid have won each of the last eight meetings and one more would equal their previous best H2H run in the league against Alavés, who have lost 17 of their 19 La Liga away H2Hs (W2).
• Madrid have conceded the fewest first-half goals in La Liga this season (11).
• Madrid have a 100% winning record in Tuesday-held La Liga home matches (W15).
• Each of Alavés’s last five La Liga fixtures saw both teams score.
• Alavés have conceded first in 12 of their 16 away league outings this term.
4
ELCHE VS ATLETICO MADRID
• After losing their last La Liga visit to Elche (1-0 in May 2023), Atlético could record their first three-game winless streak against Elche in this competition since 1969. They had won each of their prior nine.
• Elche scored a first-half goal in only one of their last eight La Liga matches, with five being 0-0 at half-time.
• Elche managed at least one goal in eight of their last nine La Liga defeats.
• Atlético have led at half-time in only two of their last ten La Liga fixtures.
• Atlético scored exactly one goal in nine of their 15 away matches this La Liga season.
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BARCELONA VS CELTA VIGO
• Barcelona are unbeaten in the last five La Liga H2Hs (W4, D1), which is their best run against Celta in the competition since March 2014. Barça could also win five consecutive home league H2Hs for the first time since December 1993.
• Ten of Barcelona’s league wins have come by a margin of 3+ goals this season.
• Barcelona are the only La Liga side yet to trail a home match at half-time this term (HT: W11, D5).
• Only the league’s top-two teams have scored more goals beyond the 80th minute than Celta's 12 pre-round.
• Only Barcelona have won more points than Celta this season when coming from behind (W3, D5, L9).
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WEEKEND PREDICTIONS

LIVERPOOL VS CRYSTAL PALACE
• Palace have beaten Liverpool three times already this term, and will be looking to complete just their third-ever league double over them here, while becoming the first team to defeat the Reds at Anfield twice in one campaign since Arsenal in 2006/07.
• Liverpool’s matches have featured a Premier League-record nine winning goals in second-half stoppage time this season.
• Six of Liverpool’s last eight domestic games saw over 2.5 goals scored.
• Palace have scored exactly twice in their last five Premier League games against the reigning champions.
• Eight of Palace’s last nine away games saw both teams score.
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WOLVES VS TOTTENHAM
• Wolves’ six-game unbeaten run against Tottenham (W4, D2) is their longest active stretch against any current Premier League club and includes three wins from three home H2Hs.
• Wolves have failed to score in five of their six league losses in 2026.
• Wolves didn't lead any of their last 14 matches at half-time.
• Tottenham have the Premier League’s worst win percentage as a betting favourite so far this season (29%: W4, D3, L7).
• Ten of Tottenham’s last 13 league games produced over 2.5 goals.
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ARSENAL VS NEWCASTLE
• Newcastle are winless in their last 13 Premier League away H2Hs (D1, L12), and have scored just once across their last nine visits to the Emirates.
• Arsenal have won 19 of the 22 league games they scored first in this season (D2, L1).
• Four of Arsenal’s last six league games saw both teams score before half-time.
• Newcastle have scored 12 of their 16 away league goals this season before half-time.
• Newcastle’s last nine Premier League games have been settled by exactly a one-goal margin (W3, L6).
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MANCHESTER UNITED VS BRENTFORD
• Brentford are chasing just their second-ever winning double over United, and first time since 1936/37, after their 3-1 win in September’s reverse fixture. They’ve lost all four Premier League trips to Old Trafford, though the last three came by a one-goal margin.
• United have scored in 21 successive Premier League games, their best such run of the post Sir Alex Ferguson era.
• Only the bottom two have kept fewer Premier League clean sheets than United (6) this season.
• The half-time result has been replicated at full time in 26 of Brentford’s 33 league games this term.
• Brentford have scored just twice across five away league matches against sides starting this round above them (W1,D1,L3)
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MANCHESTER CITY VS SOUTHAMPTON
• City have lost just one of the last ten H2Hs (W6, D3), although that was their most recent cup meeting, in the 2022/23 Carabao Cup. City have also won both FA Cup H2Hs this century.
• Eight of City’s last 12 goals have come after half-time.
• There was at least one goal in each half of all four of City’s FA Cup fixtures this term.
• Southampton have scored at least twice in each of their last seven competitive fixtures.
• Southampton are yet to concede a goal before half-time in the FA Cup this season.
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CHELSEA VS LEEDS
• Chelsea have never been beaten by Leeds in the FA Cup (W6, D3), yet failed to win either of this season’s Premier League H2Hs (D1, L1).
• Chelsea’s last four FA Cup semi-final defeats have come by single-goal margins.
• Fourteen of Chelsea’s 20 FA Cup goals this season came after half-time.
• Just three of Leeds’ last nine matches in all competitions saw both teams score.
• Leeds have conceded 2+ goals in seven of their last eight FA Cup defeats.
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GETAFE VS BARCELONA
• Barcelona won September’s reverse fixture 3-0, extending their unbeaten H2H run to ten matches (W6, D4), but Getafe haven't lost any of their last five home meetings with the Catalan outfit (W1, D4).
• Getafe’s league matches have averaged just 0.75 first-half goals per game this season.
• Just one of Getafe’s last eight games saw both teams score.
• Barcelona have led at half-time in a league-high 18 matches this season.
• Eleven of Barcelona’s last 14 away league games saw both teams score.
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ATLETICO MADRID VS ATHLETIC BILBAO
• After a 1-0 win in the reverse fixture, Athletic are chasing a first winning double over Atlético in La Liga since 1999/00, but they’ve not won this fixture as visitors in the league since January 2011 (D2, L12).
• Five of Atlético’s last seven games featured a red card.
• Atlético’s last four matches each produced over 2.5 first-half goals.
• Only Elche (2) have scored first in fewer La Liga away games than Athletic (3) this season.
• None of Athletic’s last 11 league matches saw both teams score before half-time.
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WEEKEND PREDICTIONS
 
LIVERPOOL VS CHELSEA
• Liverpool lost the last two H2Hs after avoiding defeat in the ten prior (W5, D5), leaving the door open for Chelsea to claim their first H2H league double since 2013/14.
• Liverpool conceded 2+ goals 16 times this Premier League campaign, only doing so more in 2012/13 (17).
• Liverpool were leading at half-time in each of their last five domestic home games.
• Just one of Chelsea’s last nine competitive games saw both teams score.
• Chelsea conceded first in each of their last six competitive away matches.
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SUNDERLAND VS MANCHESTER UNITED
• Sunderland have suffered more defeats against United (24) than any other opponent they’ve faced in the Premier League (W3, D6), with just one of those victories coming at the Stadium of Light (D4, L10).
• Sunderland, along with United (W15, D7), are one of three sides yet to lose when opening the scoring in the league this season (W7, D5).
• Just 12 of Sunderland’s 37 league goals this term came before half-time.
• Only once previously have United scored in more successive Premier League games than their ongoing 23-match streak.
• Thirteen of United’s last 15 away fixtures saw both teams score.
3
MANCHESTER CITY VS BRENTFORD
• City are unbeaten in the last six H2Hs (W5, D1) and have already beaten Brentford at the Etihad once this season, knocking them out of the Carabao Cup here. 
• City’s 12 Premier League points dropped from winning positions in 2026 is a pre-round joint-league high.
• City have led 75% of their home league games at half-time this season (HT: W12, D3, L1).
• Only Liverpool (19) have scored more Premier League goals after the 75th minute than Brentford (18) pre-round. 
• Brentford’s away league matches this term have averaged 11 corners per game.
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WEST HAM VS ARSENAL
• West Ham have only suffered more Premier League defeats against Liverpool (39) than against Arsenal (38), while the Gunners have only beaten Everton more (40). • Arsenal last lost an away league H2H in January 2019 (W4, D2), winning their last two trips by an 11-2 combined scoreline.
• West Ham have conceded a pre-round league-high 15 goals from corners this season.
• West Ham have the lowest points-per-game average (1.7) in Premier League games they led at half-time this term (W5, D2, L3).
• Arsenal have opened the scoring inside ten minutes in their last two league matches, last doing so in three in a row in October 2002.
• Arsenal have scored first in just nine of their 17 away league fixtures this season.
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ATLETICO MADRID VS CELTA VIGO
• The reverse fixture (1-1) extended Atlético’s unbeaten record against Celta Vigo to 14 H2Hs (W9, D5), but it has been anything but a mismatch recently, with five of the last six H2Hs ending 1-0 or 1-1. 
• Eight of Atlético’s last 11 La Liga matches produced over 2.5 goals. 
• Atlético led at the end of both halves in just two of their last 13 La Liga matches. 
• Celta boast the league’s best away record as a betting outsider this season (W6, D3, L3). 
• Eleven of Celta’s last 15 La Liga games produced over 2.5 goals.
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BARCELONA VS REAL MADRID
• None of the last 12 league H2Hs produced a draw (Madrid: W8, L4), the longest such streak since a run of 18 that ended in 1986, while Barcelona have only won two of the last six La Liga meetings they hosted (D1, L3).
• Barcelona haven’t conceded a first-half goal in any of their last four La Liga games (HT: W3, D1).
• Each of Barcelona’s last eight home league fixtures - and their last four home H2Hs - produced an odd number of goals.
• Seven of Madrid’s last eight league matches saw both teams score.
• Madrid haven’t lost an away league match on a Sunday since a 4-3 defeat in last season’s corresponding fixture (W6, D3).
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