Openly Biased
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆThe SBU struck a Russian submarine in Novorossiysk

Sub Sea Baby underwater drones blew up a Russian 636.3 Varshavianka-class submarine (classified as Kilo by NATO). As a result of the explosion, the submarine suffered critical damage and was effectively put out of action.

This was a joint operation by the 13th Main Directorate of Military Counterintelligence of the Security Service of Ukraine and the Ukrainian Navy.

The cost of a Varshavianka-class submarine is about $400 million. Given the international sanctions in place, the construction of a similar submarine could now cost up to $500 million.
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Openly Biased
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆThe SBU struck a Russian submarine in Novorossiysk Sub Sea Baby underwater drones blew up a Russian 636.3 Varshavianka-class submarine (classified as Kilo by NATO). As a result of the explosion, the submarine suffered critical damage and was effectivelyโ€ฆ
636.3 Varshavianka (Black Hole) was the pride of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, called the โ€œinvisibleโ€ carrier of Kalibr missiles, which were used to strike Ukrainian cities. For years, it was presented as a technological fetish and a symbol of control over the Black Sea.

Minus $400-500 million. Minus another myth.
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(ChatGPT) Narcissism is a personality trait (and in extreme cases, a disorder) marked by an inflated sense of self-importance, a strong need for admiration, and low empathy for others.

Common symptoms / traits:

Grandiosity
: exaggerating achievements, feeling superior or special
Constant need for validation: craving praise, attention, or approval
Lack of empathy: difficulty recognizing or caring about othersโ€™ feelings
Entitlement: expecting special treatment or favors
Manipulative behavior: using others to get what they want
Sensitivity to criticism: reacting with anger, defensiveness, or shame
Arrogance: dismissive or condescending attitude toward others
Fragile self-esteem (often hidden): confidence collapses when not admired
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐ŸŸฃ ๐Ÿ“ก Russian airdefense is highly capable against current Ukrainian and European capabilities. -RUSI

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Up to 80% of NATO firepower is air-delivered.

๐Ÿช– Experienced contract soldiers manning Airdefenses have managed to adapt to every threat thrown at them by Ukraine.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿš€ โšก๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Effectiveness of European/US missiles against Russian defenses:

โ—๏ธ GMLRS effectiveness 70% 2022, 30% 2023-4, 8% 2025.

๐Ÿš€ HARMs largely ineffective after brief very effective window in 2022.

๐Ÿš€Up to 10 ATACMS needed to destroy S-3/400.

๐Ÿ“ก 50% of Storm Shadows intercepted.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€The effectiveness of Ukrainian drones is around 10%.

โš ๏ธ Out of 100-150 UAVs, 10 will reach their targets. Each costs $20-80k.

๐Ÿ›ก Against defended targets its necessary to exhaust the airdefenses in one vector with ~100 UAVs.

๐Ÿ›กโ€ผ๏ธ Against hardened targets its necessary to follow the previous step with missiles or drones with larger payloads.
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โœ๏ธ For both missile and drone attacks, the attacks can be many times more successful with the right combination of strike systems, good intelligence and EW.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โš ๏ธ Ukrainian aircraft have to fly below 75m when less than 80km from the fronline. Nevertheless, one Ukrainian aircraft was shot down by Russian air defences at a range of 150 km while flying below 15m (luck, not skill).
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ“‰ Currently there are big shortages of Pansir SHORAD vehicles and interceptors. Russian no.1 priority is expanding its production. It has been observed it has lower hit rate than TORs systems. ๐Ÿš€

โš ๏ธ Other obsolete systems like OSA have near depleted interceptors.

๐Ÿง  ๐Ÿง  (My own observation (Chimonixโ€™s observation))
Buk-M3 is often observed with fewer than 2 interceptors from 6 it can carry.

๐Ÿ•ฏ Russians are losing less launchers than they are launching missiles in comparison to their production. Forcing more launchers to share the same amout of missiles. If Russia can keep up the production of interceptors.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ›  Production of high-end radars for systems such as the S-400 is sufficient to replenish the losses but not for expanding their inventory, forcing Russia to keep the same amount of batteries in the field despite having a surplus of launchers.

๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ”ฅ Every interceptor is being expended faster than produced.
Except Long range 40N6 and 48N6 interceptors for S400 which are being very sparingly launched.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ—๏ธ Russia can be weakened both by sanctions and kinetic means.

๐Ÿ–ฅ ๐Ÿ’ป Russia has significant dependence on foreign software to design and measure equipment to certify their performance. Russia also has a dependence on foreign components and raw materials for production. Moreover, many of its key facilities are concentrated and potentially vulnerable to attacks.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russian doctrine was to launch an excessive amount (up to 6) of interceptors at one target. This has now changed as they learned and interceptors became more scarce

โ—๏ธ Now Russia is still regularly shooting down or attempting to shoot down every missile, drone larger than a mavic, bomb, rocket and even some long range artillery shells without using as many interceptors per target as they previously did
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โค๏ธ๐Ÿ’‹
Thanks to LL, who has sugar daddy to buy him premium tg, and facilitated this.
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Forwarded from War Noir
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#Cambodia / #Thailand ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ: Royal Cambodian Army soldiers attempting to shoot down a Thai F-16 Fighter jet with an RPG.

Cambodian soldiers are seemingly armed with an RPG-2 pattern Launcher with PG-2 HEAT (Anti-Tank) projectile.

https://x.com/i/status/2000627299390275588
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Openly Biased
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโšก๏ธ Hebrew media "Yedioth Ahronoth": "Following the incident that took place in Sydney yesterday, the security establishment fears similar attacks against official Israeli targets around the world."
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโšก๏ธ

Israeli army's radio: The operations division of the Israeli army warned Israeli soldiers living abroad not to reveal their military identities, fearing they might be attacked.
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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ› 
Volkswagen will be launching the electric ID. Polo next year

โ‚ฌ24.990

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ› 
Entirely made in Europe.
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness (Meer)
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov accused European countries of fighting Russia "under the banner of Nazism" by financing and arming Ukraine.

He condemned the revival of European militarism as highly dangerous, specifically criticising Germany's renewed military ambitions.

Lavrov warned of increased neo-Nazi activity in Germany and Finland.

He asserted that European ambitions in Ukraine have failed and that Russia is defending people oppressed by Kyiv's post-2014 government.

@wfwitness
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ

Levet 4 ceramic plate worn by an IDF soldier in Gaza managed to stop a "12.7ร—108mm" anti material round.

The soldier survived the attack and broke a few ribs in the process.
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โ€” ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ/๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ NEW: The International Criminal Court denied Israel's appeal to halt its investigation into war crimes committed in Gaza following October 7, 2023

If successful, the appeal would have led to the revocation of the arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister and international fugitive Benjamin Netanyahu.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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