Openly Biased
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โœ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ/๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ/๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ ~ As the noise settles, we still havenโ€™t received official information about the men responsible for the mass shootings in Australia yesterday.. Today I saw an interview on Australian media where his friend claimed Naveed Akramโ€™s father is Indian and his mother is Italian.

Itโ€™s interesting to note how quickly his driving licence spread on social media. Heโ€™s wearing a Pakistan shirt on his ID, claiming to be a Pakistani national immigrant, contradicting the official claim that he was born and bred in Australia.

This raises concerns about Israelis faking identities and passports to carry out false flags in other countries and blaming it on Muslims. This pattern has been evident since 9/11, particularly after the Gaza massacre, which led to widespread anti-Israeli sentiment in many Western nations. Israel is desperate to portray Muslims as evil and enemies.

Iโ€™m not here to discuss the shooterโ€™s identity and whether it makes any difference. However, I want to remind you that Israel has used this tactic before. In 2001, Mossad agents posing as Pakistani nationals entered Mexican Parliament in a failed attempt to commit a massacre. The media buried the story, and Israel fought to get them back home.

Israel owns multiple media outlets in every major Western country. While I donโ€™t believe in conspiracy theories, I find it suspicious that this incident seems to be a false flag operation from the outset.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆUS negotiators want Ukraine to give up Donetsk and Luhansk as a condition to start peace talks with Russia, an official told AFP, but Kyiv is refusing.
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Israeli media:

The Israeli police are now investigating two unknown Arabs seen purchasing Haredi clothing.

"The police and Shin Bet have opened an investigation after two Arab men were recorded purchasing Haredi clothing items at a store in Bnei Brak. According to the saleswoman's testimony, the two bought a tzitzit, boxers, and a suit. After the purchase, they left the place, and their identity and destination are unknown at this stage. The suspects have not yet been located, and the circumstances are being examined."
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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง LAF presentation to foreign diplomats about the disarmament process

Was the budget REALLY too tight for them to afford a semi-decent graphic designer? ๐Ÿซฉ

Or a cracked version of photoshop? ๐Ÿซฉ

Or just anything bigger than A3 papers to print on ๐Ÿซฉ
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Thank God they at least had the money to print it in color
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๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ The Hero of Bondi is awake and is currently recovering
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Kan reports that about 30% of Kiryat Shmonaโ€™s residents, mainly younger residents, are yet to return following the end of the war
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Hebrew media "Yedioth Ahronoth":

"Following the incident that took place in Sydney yesterday, the security establishment fears similar attacks against official Israeli targets around the world."
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Media is too big
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆThe SBU struck a Russian submarine in Novorossiysk

Sub Sea Baby underwater drones blew up a Russian 636.3 Varshavianka-class submarine (classified as Kilo by NATO). As a result of the explosion, the submarine suffered critical damage and was effectively put out of action.

This was a joint operation by the 13th Main Directorate of Military Counterintelligence of the Security Service of Ukraine and the Ukrainian Navy.

The cost of a Varshavianka-class submarine is about $400 million. Given the international sanctions in place, the construction of a similar submarine could now cost up to $500 million.
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Openly Biased
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆThe SBU struck a Russian submarine in Novorossiysk Sub Sea Baby underwater drones blew up a Russian 636.3 Varshavianka-class submarine (classified as Kilo by NATO). As a result of the explosion, the submarine suffered critical damage and was effectivelyโ€ฆ
636.3 Varshavianka (Black Hole) was the pride of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, called the โ€œinvisibleโ€ carrier of Kalibr missiles, which were used to strike Ukrainian cities. For years, it was presented as a technological fetish and a symbol of control over the Black Sea.

Minus $400-500 million. Minus another myth.
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(ChatGPT) Narcissism is a personality trait (and in extreme cases, a disorder) marked by an inflated sense of self-importance, a strong need for admiration, and low empathy for others.

Common symptoms / traits:

Grandiosity
: exaggerating achievements, feeling superior or special
Constant need for validation: craving praise, attention, or approval
Lack of empathy: difficulty recognizing or caring about othersโ€™ feelings
Entitlement: expecting special treatment or favors
Manipulative behavior: using others to get what they want
Sensitivity to criticism: reacting with anger, defensiveness, or shame
Arrogance: dismissive or condescending attitude toward others
Fragile self-esteem (often hidden): confidence collapses when not admired
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐ŸŸฃ ๐Ÿ“ก Russian airdefense is highly capable against current Ukrainian and European capabilities. -RUSI

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Up to 80% of NATO firepower is air-delivered.

๐Ÿช– Experienced contract soldiers manning Airdefenses have managed to adapt to every threat thrown at them by Ukraine.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿš€ โšก๏ธ ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Effectiveness of European/US missiles against Russian defenses:

โ—๏ธ GMLRS effectiveness 70% 2022, 30% 2023-4, 8% 2025.

๐Ÿš€ HARMs largely ineffective after brief very effective window in 2022.

๐Ÿš€Up to 10 ATACMS needed to destroy S-3/400.

๐Ÿ“ก 50% of Storm Shadows intercepted.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿš€The effectiveness of Ukrainian drones is around 10%.

โš ๏ธ Out of 100-150 UAVs, 10 will reach their targets. Each costs $20-80k.

๐Ÿ›ก Against defended targets its necessary to exhaust the airdefenses in one vector with ~100 UAVs.

๐Ÿ›กโ€ผ๏ธ Against hardened targets its necessary to follow the previous step with missiles or drones with larger payloads.
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โœ๏ธ For both missile and drone attacks, the attacks can be many times more successful with the right combination of strike systems, good intelligence and EW.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โš ๏ธ Ukrainian aircraft have to fly below 75m when less than 80km from the fronline. Nevertheless, one Ukrainian aircraft was shot down by Russian air defences at a range of 150 km while flying below 15m (luck, not skill).
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ“‰ Currently there are big shortages of Pansir SHORAD vehicles and interceptors. Russian no.1 priority is expanding its production. It has been observed it has lower hit rate than TORs systems. ๐Ÿš€

โš ๏ธ Other obsolete systems like OSA have near depleted interceptors.

๐Ÿง  ๐Ÿง  (My own observation (Chimonixโ€™s observation))
Buk-M3 is often observed with fewer than 2 interceptors from 6 it can carry.

๐Ÿ•ฏ Russians are losing less launchers than they are launching missiles in comparison to their production. Forcing more launchers to share the same amout of missiles. If Russia can keep up the production of interceptors.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ›  Production of high-end radars for systems such as the S-400 is sufficient to replenish the losses but not for expanding their inventory, forcing Russia to keep the same amount of batteries in the field despite having a surplus of launchers.

๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ”ฅ Every interceptor is being expended faster than produced.
Except Long range 40N6 and 48N6 interceptors for S400 which are being very sparingly launched.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ—๏ธ Russia can be weakened both by sanctions and kinetic means.

๐Ÿ–ฅ ๐Ÿ’ป Russia has significant dependence on foreign software to design and measure equipment to certify their performance. Russia also has a dependence on foreign components and raw materials for production. Moreover, many of its key facilities are concentrated and potentially vulnerable to attacks.
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