— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇯🇴 A short note on Muwaffaq Salti airbase in Jordan, and why Iran may not strike it (although I argue they should):

For striking Muwaffaq Salti airbase, which currently hosts the majority of U.S. aerial assets (F-35s, F-15s etc.), Iran would need to utilize its longer range ballistic missiles. The vast majority of Iran's ballistic missile stockpile are SRBMs that are capable of striking U.S. bases in countries like Qatar and the UAE, but that are incapable of reaching Jordan. Iran has spent significant resources to increase its stockpile of long-range missiles since the 12-Day War, but no stockpile is infinite.

Iran's long range missiles are more valuable, exist in more limited numbers, and they would likely be prioritized to target Israel. Using these missiles to strike U.S. forces in Jordan instead of Israel may be perceived as a waste by Iran, especially considering the large amount of air defenses that have been deployed near the airbase.

This is also the main reason America is using Jordan as its primary staging grounds. It's not because Saudi Arabia and Qatar refuse to let their airspace be used, that's just the spin. It's simply because the U.S. has decided that it prefers to be outside the range of the majority of Iran's missile arsenal.

@Middle_East_Spectator

🇮🇷⚡- Iran has issued a NOTAM for missile launches for the 19th of February.

The NOTAM restricts airspace along a corridor in eastern Iran, from central Iran to the Strait of Hormuz.

— 🇮🇱⚡🇮🇷

Today, Israeli media claims the civil defense are planning for the worse case scenario and hospital staffs in Israel are told to prepare.

Interestingly, same thing happened in Iran with SMS messages sent to all medical staff in Iran to be ready for possible mass casualties event.

🇨🇿 | @duckdiaries