DOGEUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 4H close above 0.098
TP: 0.105
SL: 4H close under 0.094
Why: three rejections near 0.098 in six days. That is the level, not 0.095.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DOGEUSDT/cHHm0U7e-DOGE-everyone-is-watching-0-095-I-am-watching-0-098/
Entry: 4H close above 0.098
TP: 0.105
SL: 4H close under 0.094
Why: three rejections near 0.098 in six days. That is the level, not 0.095.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/DOGEUSDT/cHHm0U7e-DOGE-everyone-is-watching-0-095-I-am-watching-0-098/
NEARUSDT short: cancelled.
Price never closed under 4.55, so there was no entry, and today a 4H candle closed above 5.07. Idea closed, no trade taken.
Price never closed under 4.55, so there was no entry, and today a 4H candle closed above 5.07. Idea closed, no trade taken.
NEARUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 4.75 - 4.85 (wait for the dip, not at 5.00)
TP: 5.50
SL: 4H close under 4.55
Why: my short got cancelled, the floor held even on the hack news. Now it is a box and I buy near the floor.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NEARUSDT/YjrGy90P-NEAR-beat-my-short-Now-I-want-to-buy-the-floor-it-held/
Entry: 4.75 - 4.85 (wait for the dip, not at 5.00)
TP: 5.50
SL: 4H close under 4.55
Why: my short got cancelled, the floor held even on the hack news. Now it is a box and I buy near the floor.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NEARUSDT/YjrGy90P-NEAR-beat-my-short-Now-I-want-to-buy-the-floor-it-held/
HYPEUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 92 - 93
TP: 98
SL: 4H close under 91
Why: a week under 92, then a 4H close above it, and today's unlock could not push it back under. Old ceiling is the floor.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/HYPEUSDT.P/tt7UBt74-HYPE-took-92-and-the-unlock-did-nothing-I-buy-the-retest/
Entry: 92 - 93
TP: 98
SL: 4H close under 91
Why: a week under 92, then a 4H close above it, and today's unlock could not push it back under. Old ceiling is the floor.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/HYPEUSDT.P/tt7UBt74-HYPE-took-92-and-the-unlock-did-nothing-I-buy-the-retest/
ADAUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 0.272 - 0.277 (on a dip, not at market)
TP: 0.296
SL: 4H close under 0.262
Why: it came back to 0.265, held and broke out. May highs at 0.278 - 0.289 are right above, so I wait for the dip.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ADAUSDT.P/PKuJj9xG-ADA-gave-me-the-retest-I-asked-for-Next-stop-is-the-May-highs/
Entry: 0.272 - 0.277 (on a dip, not at market)
TP: 0.296
SL: 4H close under 0.262
Why: it came back to 0.265, held and broke out. May highs at 0.278 - 0.289 are right above, so I wait for the dip.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ADAUSDT.P/PKuJj9xG-ADA-gave-me-the-retest-I-asked-for-Next-stop-is-the-May-highs/
Update on open signals, 7 Oct
WLDUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 0.518, under 0.550)
AAVEUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 173.4, under 175)
HYPEUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 90.7, under 91)
ADAUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 0.254, under 0.262)
DOGEUSDT: cancelled, entry never triggered, no trade
NEARUSDT long: entry 4.75 - 4.85 not filled (low 4.87), still valid
BTCUSDT long: still open
The whole market got flushed overnight, about 550M of longs liquidated. Four stops in one morning. That is what the SL is there for.
WLDUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 0.518, under 0.550)
AAVEUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 173.4, under 175)
HYPEUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 90.7, under 91)
ADAUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 0.254, under 0.262)
DOGEUSDT: cancelled, entry never triggered, no trade
NEARUSDT long: entry 4.75 - 4.85 not filled (low 4.87), still valid
BTCUSDT long: still open
The whole market got flushed overnight, about 550M of longs liquidated. Four stops in one morning. That is what the SL is there for.
SOLUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 117 - 118
TP: 122
SL: 4H close under 116
Why: six tests of 116 - 117 in ten days and not one 4H close under 117, even in today's flush.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SOLUSDT.P/lzaoR7uI-My-alt-longs-got-stopped-today-SOL-is-the-floor-that-held/
Entry: 117 - 118
TP: 122
SL: 4H close under 116
Why: six tests of 116 - 117 in ten days and not one 4H close under 117, even in today's flush.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SOLUSDT.P/lzaoR7uI-My-alt-longs-got-stopped-today-SOL-is-the-floor-that-held/
SOLUSDT long: SL hit, closed
4H candle closed at 115.81, under 116. The floor held six times and broke on the seventh, a few hours after the Fed minutes. Entry 117 - 118, so about -1.5%.
Open now: BTCUSDT long (still valid above 81,900), NEARUSDT long (entry 4.75 - 4.85 never filled, price is 5.30).
4H candle closed at 115.81, under 116. The floor held six times and broke on the seventh, a few hours after the Fed minutes. Entry 117 - 118, so about -1.5%.
Open now: BTCUSDT long (still valid above 81,900), NEARUSDT long (entry 4.75 - 4.85 never filled, price is 5.30).
NEARUSDT long: cancelled, no trade
Entry was 4.75 - 4.85. Yesterday's low was 4.87, the order never filled, and this morning price went through the 5.50 target without it. Not counted as a win.
New NEAR plan below.
Entry was 4.75 - 4.85. Yesterday's low was 4.87, the order never filled, and this morning price went through the 5.50 target without it. Not counted as a win.
New NEAR plan below.
NEARUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: only after a 4H close above 5.65
TP: 6.20
SL: 4H close back under 5.40
Why: box top 5.58 and the January 2025 high 5.64 are the same wall. I buy it once it is broken, not under it.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NEARUSDT.P/pJ9GULkO-NEAR-hit-its-January-2025-high-to-the-cent-I-am-not-chasing/
Entry: only after a 4H close above 5.65
TP: 6.20
SL: 4H close back under 5.40
Why: box top 5.58 and the January 2025 high 5.64 are the same wall. I buy it once it is broken, not under it.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NEARUSDT.P/pJ9GULkO-NEAR-hit-its-January-2025-high-to-the-cent-I-am-not-chasing/
SUIUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 1.03 - 1.05 (retest)
TP1: 1.12
TP2: 1.20
SL: 4H close under 1.00
Why: it tagged 1.00 yesterday, the shelf the September run started from, and was bought straight back.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SUIUSDT.P/liwXJZdt-SUI-tagged-1-and-got-bought-I-want-the-retest-not-1-07/
Entry: 1.03 - 1.05 (retest)
TP1: 1.12
TP2: 1.20
SL: 4H close under 1.00
Why: it tagged 1.00 yesterday, the shelf the September run started from, and was bought straight back.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/SUIUSDT.P/liwXJZdt-SUI-tagged-1-and-got-bought-I-want-the-retest-not-1-07/
WLDUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 0.52 - 0.535 (pullback)
TP1: 0.60
TP2: 0.62
SL: 4H close under 0.50
Why: 26% bounce from the flush low and back over 0.55, I wait for the half-way pullback.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WLDUSDT.P/3asrLEvb-WLD-got-back-over-0-55-I-am-not-chasing-I-want-the-pullback/
Entry: 0.52 - 0.535 (pullback)
TP1: 0.60
TP2: 0.62
SL: 4H close under 0.50
Why: 26% bounce from the flush low and back over 0.55, I wait for the half-way pullback.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/WLDUSDT.P/3asrLEvb-WLD-got-back-over-0-55-I-am-not-chasing-I-want-the-pullback/
AVAXUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 4H close above 12.05
TP1: 13.0
TP2: 14.0
SL: 4H close back under 11.5
Why: three weeks in a 10.0 to 11.8 box and the Goldman news got sold, so I only buy the confirmed break.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AVAXUSDT.P/mefs5xQA-AVAX-got-sold-on-Goldman-news-I-buy-only-above-12-05/
Entry: 4H close above 12.05
TP1: 13.0
TP2: 14.0
SL: 4H close back under 11.5
Why: three weeks in a 10.0 to 11.8 box and the Goldman news got sold, so I only buy the confirmed break.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/AVAXUSDT.P/mefs5xQA-AVAX-got-sold-on-Goldman-news-I-buy-only-above-12-05/
SUIUSDT long: TP1 1.12 hit
The 1.03 - 1.05 zone only filled at its top edge (low 1.0484 on 9 Oct), so only a bid at 1.05 got in. TP1 was touched on 10 Oct, high 1.14.
TP2 1.20 is still open. SL stays: 4H close under 1.00.
The 1.03 - 1.05 zone only filled at its top edge (low 1.0484 on 9 Oct), so only a bid at 1.05 got in. TP1 was touched on 10 Oct, high 1.14.
TP2 1.20 is still open. SL stays: 4H close under 1.00.
XRPUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 4H close above 1.44
TP1: 1.50
TP2: 1.56
SL: 4H close under 1.41
Why: Evernorth lists Monday but the chart is flat on thin volume, so I only buy the confirmed move.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XRPUSDT.P/NSC40Kld-XRP-is-quiet-and-X-is-loud-about-Evernorth-I-buy-above-1-44/
Entry: 4H close above 1.44
TP1: 1.50
TP2: 1.56
SL: 4H close under 1.41
Why: Evernorth lists Monday but the chart is flat on thin volume, so I only buy the confirmed move.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XRPUSDT.P/NSC40Kld-XRP-is-quiet-and-X-is-loud-about-Evernorth-I-buy-above-1-44/
NEARUSDT long: trigger fired
The 4H candle from 11 Oct 12:00 UTC closed at 5.788, the first 4H close above 5.65. Entry is live.
TP 6.20 (high so far 6.04). SL: 4H close back under 5.40.
The 4H candle from 11 Oct 12:00 UTC closed at 5.788, the first 4H close above 5.65. Entry is live.
TP 6.20 (high so far 6.04). SL: 4H close back under 5.40.
HYPEUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 85.8 - 86.8 (retest)
TP1: 91
TP2: 94.2
SL: 4H close under 84.5
Why: four higher lows since the 8 Oct flush and back over the 4H average, I buy the retest, not the 88 highs.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/HYPEUSDT.P/NpZlWE8c-HYPE-made-four-higher-lows-I-buy-the-retest-of-86-not-88/
Entry: 85.8 - 86.8 (retest)
TP1: 91
TP2: 94.2
SL: 4H close under 84.5
Why: four higher lows since the 8 Oct flush and back over the 4H average, I buy the retest, not the 88 highs.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/HYPEUSDT.P/NpZlWE8c-HYPE-made-four-higher-lows-I-buy-the-retest-of-86-not-88/
Update on open signals, 13 Oct
HYPEUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 84.37, under 84.5)
NEARUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 5.09, under 5.40)
WLDUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 0.498, under 0.50)
XRPUSDT: trigger 1.44 not hit, no trade
AVAXUSDT: trigger 12.05 not hit, no trade
SUIUSDT long: still open, TP1 hit on 10 Oct, TP2 1.20 open
Another flush on the evening of 12 Oct took three at once. That is what the SL is for.
HYPEUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 84.37, under 84.5)
NEARUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 5.09, under 5.40)
WLDUSDT long: SL hit, closed (4H close 0.498, under 0.50)
XRPUSDT: trigger 1.44 not hit, no trade
AVAXUSDT: trigger 12.05 not hit, no trade
SUIUSDT long: still open, TP1 hit on 10 Oct, TP2 1.20 open
Another flush on the evening of 12 Oct took three at once. That is what the SL is for.
BTCUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 4H close above 84.4k
TP1: 86.0k
TP2: 87.2k
SL: 4H close under 83.0k
Why: a second low above the 8 Oct low, but four quiet days before it, so I only buy the break.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT.P/qgAWuzX6-BTC-wicked-to-81k-and-came-back-I-buy-the-break-not-the-box/
Entry: 4H close above 84.4k
TP1: 86.0k
TP2: 87.2k
SL: 4H close under 83.0k
Why: a second low above the 8 Oct low, but four quiet days before it, so I only buy the break.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT.P/qgAWuzX6-BTC-wicked-to-81k-and-came-back-I-buy-the-break-not-the-box/
XMRUSDT | LONG | 4H
Entry: 4H close above 573
TP1: 594
TP2: 637
SL: 4H close under 524
Why: four tries at 563-572 since 3 Oct, so I only buy the break. Stop is wider than TP1, small size.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XMRUSDT.P/Z687UPLG/
Entry: 4H close above 573
TP1: 594
TP2: 637
SL: 4H close under 524
Why: four tries at 563-572 since 3 Oct, so I only buy the break. Stop is wider than TP1, small size.
https://www.tradingview.com/chart/XMRUSDT.P/Z687UPLG/