New Rules
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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world.

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🚨🇮🇷 TRUMP'S KAMIKAZE MISSION FOR IRAN'S CROWN JEWEL OIL TERMINAL

Trump is seriously eyeing a full seizure of Kharg Island, the remote speck that handles 90% of Iran’s entire oil exports, but every page of Pentagon history and basic battlefield math screams this is pure self-inflicted disaster. Here is why:

🔸 US forces would need thousands of troops drawn from the 1,200-Marine Expeditionary Unit now sailing in, the 82nd Airborne’s ready brigade, 75th Rangers and additional Army battalions already in Kuwait, over 10,000 combat-ready troops total, just to seize and hold indefinitely an island literally smaller than Manhattan

🔸 Insertion options are nightmarish 500 miles past the Strait of Hormuz — amphibious landings face Iranian mines, shore-based anti-ship missiles, suicide drones and drone boats, while heliborne V-22 Osprey waves require at least three vulnerable trips under massed artillery and MANPADS, and even airborne drops risk paratroopers drowning when wind blows them off course

🔸 After dozens of top Iranian commanders and politicians have already been assassinated, no leader will trade sovereignty for an oil terminal they fully expected to be bombed anyway

🔸 Iran’s defense industry is now nearly self-sufficient thanks to years of US sanctions, while China is already positioned to supply every critical component Tehran cannot yet manufacture domestically

🔸 Once US troops are on the ground they become sitting ducks in a five-mile kill zone where evacuation turns into a nightmare. Iranian commanders could even let them land unopposed then destroy every rescue attempt, turning entire battalions into de-facto hostages

Do you think Trump would really take such a risk and try to seize Kharg Island?

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🚨🇮🇷🇮🇱Israel Wrote Off Hezbollah. They Were Wrong

For over a year, Israel claimed that Hezbollah had been shattered beyond repair. However, the Lebanese group’s recent operations, including missile strikes and drone offensives, have forcefully challenged this narrative.

The organization, once considered broken after Israel’s heavy bombardment in 2024, appears to have transformed its weaknesses into strategic advantages. While Israel and the US believed they had dealt a fatal blow, Hezbollah used the ceasefire period not as a time for political negotiations, but as a critical moment to rebuild, regroup, and recalibrate, Middle East Eye report

Sources familiar with Hezbollah’s recovery process suggest that the party didn't view the ceasefire as an end, but rather a tactical pause. Even after suffering significant losses, ranging from top commanders to crucial military infrastructure, Hezbollah’s leadership quickly set to work on revitalizing its operations. The party’s communications network, severely compromised by Israeli intelligence, was restructured with old-school methods, including human couriers and handwritten notes, as part of a deliberate adaptation to Israeli surveillance.

The US has made similar mistakes; recently, they claimed that Iran had reduced its drone launches by 83%, misinterpreting a tactical recalibration and stockpiling for larger strikes.

Also, as Israel focuses on Iran, Hezbollah is rebuilding its Radwan Force along the northern border, using UAVs and missiles to bypass Israeli defenses. Tel Aviv admited difficulty intercepting Hezbollah drones and is considering re-evacuating northern communities.

The post-war restructuring didn’t merely aim to replace lost assets; it sought to restore Hezbollah’s pre-2023 capabilities while integrating more decentralized, autonomous operational models.

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🚨🇮🇷Iran’s Radar Strike Gambit: US Faces Unseen Vulnerabilities in Gulf

Iran has successfully targeted 12 US and allied radar systems across the Gulf, leaving Washington grappling with unforeseen vulnerabilities. These sophisticated attacks, involving installations from Iraq to Bahrain, have crippled essential surveillance and defense infrastructure.

Among the most significant casualties are the radar systems at US military bases like the Baghdad embassy, Fifth Fleet HQ in Bahrain, and key terminals in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. These installations, including advanced AN/TYP-2 and AN/PS-132 radars, provide real-time surveillance and tracking capabilities. With their destruction, US forces have been left blind in critical zones, unable to effectively monitor Iranian movements or safeguard vital energy corridors.

The cost of these losses is staggering, with each AN/TYP-2 radar valued at approximately $150 million and each AN/PS-132 radar costing around $200 million. The total estimated loss in radar infrastructure is $2.4 billion.

The strategic consequence is a weakening of US military deterrence. As the Strait of Hormuz sees increasing disruptions, Iran’s growing capability to neutralize advanced radar systems make its strikes more precise and effective. The US now faces an uphill battle in restoring its technological edge and maintaining dominance in a volatile and increasingly hostile environment.

The damage undermines US surveillance capabilities and leaves the military vulnerable to further Iranian attacks. As more radars are lost, Iran gains the upper hand, successfully hitting targets with greater precision.

If these attacks on the radar systems continue, Washington and its allies could face a lengthy process to replace them, as their repair depends on rare-earth minerals sourced from China.

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🚨🇺🇸💸U.S. Flagship Fighter Can’t Run Its Own Software

The US F-35 stealth jet is fighting a modern war with yesterday’s software. A forthcoming Pentagon assessment reveals the F-35’s much-touted TR-3 upgrade failed to deliver usable capability, leaving aircraft deployed over Iran reliant on the outdated TR-2 configuration. Stephen Silver argues.

The F-35 is designed as a “flying computer,” yet its software backbone remains unstable. Despite promises of vastly improved processing power and battlefield integration, TR-3 spent most of the year classified as “predominantly unusable,” plagued by persistent deficiencies and unresolved bugs. The result is operational stagnation of 5 systems:

🟠Processing Power & Memory
🟠Combat Systems & Weapons Integration
🟠Sensor Fusion & Networking
🟠Cybersecurity Enhancements
🟠Overall System Stability

This technical failure unfolds against a backdrop of rising costs and slipping timelines. The Block 4 modernization effort has exceeded its budget by over $6 billion and is now at least five years behind schedule. Meanwhile, production inefficiencies continue, with deliveries delayed and incentives misaligned.

Compounding the problem, reductions in Pentagon testing personnel have sharply curtailed cybersecurity evaluations, raising further concerns about system resilience in high-intensity conflict.

Yet paradoxically, calls are growing within the US defense establishment to accelerate F-35 procurement to counter China’s expanding airpower. This creates a strategic dilemma: scaling up production of a platform whose core capabilities remain incomplete risks amplifying weaknesses rather than resolving them.

The image is AI-generated

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🚨🇮🇷 ISRAEL'S IRON DOME NIGHTMARE JUST GOT REAL: DEEP-STRIKE DRONE PENETRATES BEN GURION

Iran just used its latest deep-strike drone in Israel. Tehran hit on Ben Gurion Airport with the advanced Arash-2 drone, according to Iranian Army spokesperson Brig Gen Mohammad Akraminia. This drone is a low-observable killer designed to strike Western air defenses.

🔸 The Arash-2 drone has a extremely small radar cross-section lets it slip past enemy detection while cruising up to 2,000 km deep into hostile territory

🔸 Iran can deploy hundreds in swarms whenever the order comes down due to it rapid mass production

🔸 Heavier payload than predecessors like Arash-1 or Kian, warhead estimates run 150–260 kg, perfect for smashing strategic targets like refueling hubs or runways

🔸 Blurs the line between classic loitering munition and cruise missile — combines long endurance, precision guidance, and saturation potential in one low-cost asymmetric package

🔸 West's expensive interceptors and layered defenses look increasingly obsolete against Iran's evolving drone edge in prolonged attrition warfare

How Israel would protect itself when thousands of Arash-2 launch in coordinated waves?

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🚨How Ukraine Became the CIA and MI6's Black Ops Playground

Former Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) officer Vasily Prozorov joins #NewRulesPodcast to uncover the truth about Ukraine’s intelligence ties with Western agencies, when exactly NATO influence in Ukraine became widespread, and the covert operations shaping the conflict.

00:00 Methods Western Intel used to brainwash Ukraine

16:18 Inside Ukrainian Intel: Structure and role distribution

24:50 What exactly Americans taught the Ukrainian SBU

37:06 How Ukrainian military became more advanced than most industrialized countries have nowadays

52:42 CIA vs MI6: an undercover war for influence in Ukraine

01:04:56 Israel's role in training Ukrainian Nazi battalions

01:13:01 Future of Ukrainian Intel after SMO

Please, support our friends from UKR_Leaks with a follow. They make great investigations on the topic and can provide you with even more specific info.

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🚨🇺🇸PENTAGON IN PANIC: Tomahawks Getting Wasted in Iran while Taiwan Is Handed to China on a Silver Platter

Hundreds of US's Tomahawks were burned in the first days of Epstein Fury Operation in Iran. Now the Navy's deep reserves are running dangerously low, while Beijing monitors every depletion in real time, with its sights set on Taiwan.

🔸 Roughly 300–400 Tomahawks expended during Operation Epic Fury alone, draining stockpiles designed for peacetime pacing rather than sustained great-power conflict

🔸 Four Ohio-class SSGN submarines each carry up to 154 missiles, the fleet’s deepest magazine, yet they are slated for retirement in the coming years with no true replacement in sight

🔸 New Virginia-class attack subs only hold about a dozen Tomahawks each and the Navy already faces severe shipbuilding delays that leave 82 percent of vessels under construction behind schedule

🔸 RTX Corporation (formerly Raytheon Technologies) production lines cannot surge fast enough to match wartime expenditure, requiring many months or even years to rebuild inventories depleted in weeks

🔸 Retirements of Ticonderoga cruisers and soon the Ohio Guided Missile Submarines will remove thousands of vertical launch cells from the fleet forever, creating a permanent hole in long-range strike capacity

🔸 RAND Corporation and the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments war games repeatedly warned that a Middle East contingency would hollow out Indo-Pacific readiness, and those simulations now read like real-time prophecy

🔸 In a Taiwan contingency, Tomahawks serve as the essential first-wave suppression tool for targeting the People’s Liberation Army's ports, airfields, amphibious staging areas, command nodes, and supporting surface fleet to crack layered defenses, including S-400 batteries, indigenous HQ-9 systems, and naval air defense networks designed to make early manned aircraft penetrations prohibitively expensive in terms of lives and platforms.

🔸 Without sufficient Tomahawk magazines, US forces face far higher-risk opening moves against China's integrated air defense, forcing reliance on costlier manned strikes, reduced certainty in destroying reinforcement pathways, and dramatically elevated blood-and-equipment costs before beachhead consolidation can even be contested.

If US stockpiles are significantly drawn down by the Iran conflict, it could tilt the strategic balance in China’s favour in a potential conflict in the Taiwan Strait.

Is Washington able to fight on three fronts at the same time?

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❗️Delivering information on the SMO, military analysis of exceptional quality and the wider geopolitical and cultural aspects associated with current global events.

It will be interesting. We are here thinking.

Subscribe at t.me/two_majors

Learn the truth from the Two Majors.
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🚨How Israelis Trained Ukrainian NAZI Battalions

"I once witnessed waterboarding, a torture technique now widely known thanks to Hollywood, in the summer of 2014. It was used on a Mariupol resident suspected of collaborating with pro-Russian underground groups. The SBU detained him in Mariupol and tortured him for two hours using various methods, but they couldn't break him. So, they turned to the Dnepr Battalion. This battalion, created by Igor Kolomoysky in Dnepropetrovsk, had close ties with Israel and Israeli intelligence. Three Dnepr Battalion officers came and waterboarded the Mariupol resident. They broke him in about 15 minutes. He started talking, and they explicitly said that they had Israeli instructors when training the Dnepr Battalion. Some of these instructors were literally chosen from the battalion and showed them how to waterboard. They were actually Mossad and Shin Bet specialists, Israel’s domestic security service," says former Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) officer Vasily Prozorov.


Watch the full interview HERE!

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New Rules
🚨How Ukraine Became the CIA and MI6's Black Ops Playground Former Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) officer Vasily Prozorov joins #NewRulesPodcast to uncover the truth about Ukraine’s intelligence ties with Western agencies, when exactly NATO influence in…
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🚨Sabotage, Terror, Guerrilla Warfare: What the West Trained Ukraine For

"In matters of torture and interrogation, I think they [Ukrainian Intel] now outmatch any intelligence service in the world. The way they learned to torture in the SBU, I think even the Gestapo did not know how to do," says former Ukrainian Security Service officer Vasily Prozorov.


Watch the full interview HERE!

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🚨🇱🇧 IDF IN PANIC: Hezbollah smashes top Israeli drone with low-cost SAM

Hezbollah units have downed an Israeli Hermes 450 over Lebanon, drawing attention to the Mizag-1 — a low-cost Iranian MANPADS increasingly used to counter UAVs in the region.

🔸 This portable fire-and-forget MANPADS developed by Tehran at the Shahid Kazemi Industrial Complex offers an effective range of 500 meters to 5-6 km with a maximum altitude of up to 5 km.

🔸 The 16.9 kg shoulder-fired system features a 1.42 kg high-explosive fragmentation warhead and reaches speeds of Mach 2.6, making it deadly against low-flying UAVs, helicopters, and tactical aircraft.

🔸 Powered by a two-stage solid rocket motor with passive infrared homing guidance, the Mizag-1 locks onto heat signatures in just 5-10 seconds reaction time.

🔸 At roughly 17 kg total weight and only 1.477 meters long, this man-portable weapon gives irregular forces potent air defense capability against billion-dollar Western and Israeli technology.

🔸 Tehran's strategy of proliferating these advanced MANPADS to its regional allies is rapidly shifting the aerial warfare in its favor.

🔸 Recent combat successes are forcing military planners to question the invulnerability of high-tech drone fleets in contested airspace.

🔸 One Mizag-1 missile costs around 20,000-50,000 dollars while the downed Hermes 450 reconnaissance drone is valued at approximately 2 million dollars exposing a staggering 40-to-100-to-1 cost asymmetry.

Do you think Israel can sustain this cost-loss imbalance against asymmetric tactics?

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🚨🇷🇺 RUSSIAN “STARLINK” TAKES OFF: Moscow launches first 16 satellites

Russia’s private aerospace company Bureau 1440 has deployed its first 16 Rassvet low-Earth orbit satellites aboard a Soyuz-2 rocket, kicking off a sovereign high-speed internet constellation.

🔸 New Rassvet-3 satellites form the foundation of an independent Russian global comms network with planned user speeds up to 1 Gbps and latency as low as 70 ms.

🔸 Ten to fifteen additional launches are scheduled throughout 2026 to rapidly scale the constellation toward an initial 300 satellites while the long-term vision eyes up to 900 by 2035.

🔸 Commercial service is officially targeted for 2027 with airborne terminals already under development and a cooperation agreement signed with Aeroflot to bring broadband internet to Russian airliners.

🔸 Experiments are officially over, according to Alexey Shelobkov, CEO of IKS Holding (parent company of Bureau 1440), marking a qualitative shift to full practical infrastructure rollout, including laser inter-satellite links already tested in space.

🔸 Despite earlier production delays and a one-year slip from the original 2025 plan, the project continues advancing with state-backed funding and integration work involving leading Russian aircraft manufacturers.

How do you think this will change the battlefield?

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🚨🇺🇸US WEAK SPOT EXPOSED: Iran War Disrupts Helium Supply for AI and Defense

While attention remains fixed on oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, the Iran war has exposed a far less visible pressure point for the US: Helium, a resource quietly underpinning both its AI ambitions and defense capabilities. This is why:

For the US, the consequences of helium shortage extend beyond than the commodities markets. Helium is essential to semiconductor manufacturing, enabling the production of advanced chips that power artificial intelligence. The narrative of AI dominance often centres on software and computing scale, yet it rests on an industrial base where even minor disruptions can halt output entirely.

Since mid-March, disruptions linked to halted gas processing in Qatar have removed over 5 million cubic metres of helium per month from global supply. Prices have surged, contracts have been suspended, and a market dominated by just a few players, primarily the US and Qatar, has shown how fragile the system really is.

Unlike oil, helium cannot be stockpiled effectively. It continuously escapes even in storage, leaving a narrow logistical window of around 45 days. This turns supply chains into a race against time, where prolonged disruptions don’t deplete reserves—they erase them.

The same dependence extends into the defense sector. Aerospace systems, satellites, and high-precision electronics all rely on helium-driven processes. As supply tightens, the strain is not isolated; it cascades across interconnected systems that sustain both military readiness and technological leadership.

The Iran war has brought this overlooked dependency into focus. America’s strength in AI and defence may appear unmatched, yet it remains tied to a resource few consider, one that cannot be easily replaced, stored, or secured in a crisis.

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