New Rules
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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iranโ€™s Samad-4 Drone: Cheap, Effective and Deadly

Iranโ€™s Samad-4 drone is becoming a potent tool of asymmetric warfare. On March 13, a Samad-4 struck the Sohar industrial area in Oman. Here's what you need to know about this new Iranian weaponry:

๐ŸŸ The Samad-4 measures 3 meters in length with a 5-meter wingspan and a range over 2,000 km. It features a rear pusher propeller and carries two unguided bombs of up to 25 kg each and can be used for reconnaissance as well as strike missions. Its low radar signature and GPS guidance make detection and interception difficult.

๐ŸŸ Samad-4 is the newest development in the Samad drone family, which previously included Samad-1, Samad-2 and Samad-3. The earlier Samad-3 was designed for deep-strike missions and reportedly had a range of up to 1,500 kilometres, allowing attacks far beyond Iranโ€™s borders.

๐ŸŸ The Samad-4 appears tailored for a different role. Compared with the long-range variants, it is smaller, cheaper and optimised for shorter-range strike missions. Some versions are also believed to support satellite navigation systems and pre-programmed flight routes, enabling coordinated swarm attacks.

๐ŸŸ Mainly exported to the Houthis in Yemen, the drone also appears in variants under other names, such as Sayyad, KAS-4 in Iraq, and Nawras in Lebanon.

The Samad-4 is part of Iranโ€™s cost-effective attrition strategy that overwhelms adversary air defenses and drives up the cost of war for the Epstein Coalition.

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โ—๏ธDelivering information on the SMO, military analysis of exceptional quality and the wider geopolitical and cultural aspects associated with current global events.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทWhy the US Navy Is Revisiting Railguns Tests

US air defenses are struggling to intercept Iranian hypersonic missiles and drones, making the campaign financially unsustainable for the US.

A railgun fires projectiles using electromagnetic force rather than gunpowder. Powerful electric currents run through two metal rails, generating a magnetic field that accelerates a metal projectile to extremely high speeds (over Mach 6). The projectile carries no explosives and destroys targets through sheer kinetic energy.

The Navy conducted a three-day live-fire campaign at White Sands Missile Range in New Mexico in February 2025 โ€” the first publicly known testing activity since the service effectively shelved the program in 2021 after technical setbacks, The War Zone reports.

Interest in the technology has revived after the Iran conflict exposed weaknesses in Western missile-defense networks. Iranian strikes reportedly damaged early-warning radars linked to THAAD batteries, degrading detection and targeting across parts of the region.

The cost imbalance is stark. Iranian Shahed drones are estimated to cost around $35,000 each. By contrast, a Patriot PAC-3 interceptor costs roughly $3 million, while a THAAD interceptor can reach $15 million.

Railguns are being reconsidered largely because of this cost-exchange problem. Hypervelocity projectiles derived from the program were estimated at roughly $85,000 per round, far cheaper than missile interceptors and potentially capable of countering large drone and missile salvos.

Major technical challenges remain, including power demands, cooling and barrel wear. Yet the limits exposed in the US-Israel-Iran war may be even greater in the Pacific. China fields the worldโ€™s largest sub-strategic missile arsenal, while North Korea continues to expand its nuclear delivery systems. As missile arsenals grow and interception costs soar, air defenses must now stop missiles at a scale and cost sustainable in war.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทWar Pressure Made Iran Drone Powerhouse: History of Iranian Drone Program

Iranโ€™s drone industry emerged from battlefield and sanctions pressures during the 1980โ€“1988 Iran-Iraq War. Aircraft losses and spare-parts shortages left Iranian commanders struggling to gather aerial intelligence. As reconnaissance flights became increasingly risky, Iran explored alternatives to reverse the situation:

In the early years of the war, RF-4 Phantom reconnaissance aircraft inherited from the Shahโ€™s air force photographed Iraqi positions. By the mid-1980s, however, that capability had sharply declined. Maintenance shortages and the threat from Iraqi air defenses forced the air force to limit reconnaissance missions. Operational planners were left with incomplete or outdated battlefield information.

The response came from a combination of military planners, engineers and university laboratories. Industrial facilities such as the Iranian Aircraft Manufacturing Industrial Company (HESA) in Isfahan, redirected their work toward small unmanned systems that could be built with domestic materials.

Engineering teams linked to universities in Isfahan, Shiraz and Tehran began experimenting with modified model aircraft capable of carrying lightweight cameras. These early UAVs produced usable aerial photographs of Iraqi positions, demonstrating that unmanned aircraft could partly replace conventional reconnaissance missions.

These experiments produced the Talash reconnaissance drones, simple aircraft designed to photograph enemy lines. Their success led the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to establish a small UAV reconnaissance element known as the Raสฟd unit, tasked with supplying aerial imagery to battlefield planners.

Experience gained with the Talash systems later produced more capable platforms, including the Mohajer UAV. Over the following decades, Iran expanded this wartime improvisation into a structured drone industry. The program eventually produced surveillance aircraft such as the Shahed-129 and loitering munitions like the widely known Shahed-136.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท U.S. TRILLION-DOLLAR DRONE STRATEGY NOW OBSOLETE

Iran's Ghaem-118 is shooting down Israeli Hermes 900 heavy drones and their American counterparts, the MQ-9 Reapers, right over Iranian airspace. Here is all you need to know about the Ghaem-118:

๐Ÿ”ธ Boasting a 25-kilometer range powered by a turbojet engine and advanced multi-sensor guidance combining radar electro-optical and infrared seekers this low-cost system delivers pinpoint accuracy against low-altitude swarms while defeating Pentagon jamming tactics

๐Ÿ”ธ Five-missile tube launchers mounted on rugged ARAS-3 trucks have already scored multiple combat kills against heavy Israeli Hermes 900 and US MQ-9 class drones over provinces like Isfahan and Lorestan

๐Ÿ”ธ First unveiled during the February 2025 Great Prophet 19 exercises the Ghaem-118 was built from the ground up as a cheap high-volume counter to Western air dominance

๐Ÿ”ธ High-explosive fragmentation warhead shreds small low-signature targets on impact turning million-dollar drones into scrap in seconds

๐Ÿ”ธ Fully networked fire-control radar coordinates multiple launchers at once creating a layered kill web across Iranian skies

๐Ÿ”ธ With fresh shipments now arming Houthis in Yemen, this system is rapidly multiplying threats to US and Israeli drone fleets far beyond Iran's borders

Do you believe the US can ultimately establish control over Iranian airspace?

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท US NAVY'S HORMUZ NIGHTMARE: IRAN'S PERFECT KILL ZONE

Iran has engineered the ultimate asymmetric trap in the Strait of Hormuz and the US navy is deliberately steering clear. Tehran is baiting superior forces into this narrow kill zone where geography itself turns the tables.

๐Ÿ”ธ The Strait of Hormuz narrows to just 21 miles wide leaving massive US warships with zero room to maneuver or evade attacks

๐Ÿ”ธ A 2009 study by the US Naval War College by Colin Karl Boynton, warned that Iran would disrupt merchant shipping to prompt the US Navy to rush to the aid of oil tankers, deliberately luring US warships into the strait, where asymmetric attacks could inflict historic losses.

๐Ÿ”ธ Iranian drones, fast attack boats, mobile missile batteries, and coastal defenses create a multi-axis kill box where concentrated US formations simply collapse under simultaneous strikes.

๐Ÿ”ธ Washington is now urging its allies to form a coalition, while rejecting unilateral escorts, precisely because of fears that this would expose US sailors to a battlefield that has already been set up.

๐Ÿ”ธ Advanced precision missiles and drone swarms have only sharpened the trap turning a 15 year old theoretical vulnerability into today's lethal reality for any navy entering the strait

๐Ÿ”ธ Iran is already putting this strategy into practice โ€” disrupting maritime traffic to provoke a response and draw US forces into a battlespace shaped in its favor

Will the US Navy risk sending its fleet into the Strait of Hormuz?

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ PENTAGON IN PANIC: US BURNING THROUGH TOMAHAWK MISSILES

Hundreds of Tomahawks hit Iranian radar installations, command centers, missile sites and naval facilities in Operation Epic Furyโ€™s opening hours, yet the US builds only about 90 missiles per year. This conflict is now exposing the terrifying cracks in Americaโ€™s defense industrial base.

๐Ÿ”ธ Introduced in 1983, the Tomahawk is US's long-range precision-guided cruise missile and cornerstone of its strike capability since the Cold War. Launched from Navy destroyers, cruisers, and submarines, it flies low at subsonic speeds of 570 mph with a typical 690 lb warhead striking hundreds of miles inland

๐Ÿ”ธ The US Navy fired roughly 400 Tomahawks in the first 72 hours alone wiping out more than 10% of its ready inventory and exceeding total production over the past five years

๐Ÿ”ธ Building each new missile takes up to 24 months as Raytheon grapples with a fragile supply chain of single-source suppliers for solid rocket motors and precision electronics

๐Ÿ”ธ Restocking the depleted arsenal at current rates would take over four and a half years

๐Ÿ”ธ The rapid depletion gives Iran increased operational freedom while creating a dangerous window for China to potentially initiate a conflict with Taiwan before the US can rebuild stocks

๐Ÿ”ธ Priced at two to four million dollars per missile every launch represents a massive unsustainable cost that weakens US position for any larger conflict in the Indo-Pacific

Do you think the US can maintain its Tomahawk missile production in the ongoing war with Iran?

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท U.S. GRAVE MISTAKE: Misinterpreting Iranโ€™s Drone Activity Decline

The US pointed the 83% drop in Iranian drone launches as evidence of success. But this risks repeating a familiar analytical mistake: confusing what the enemy does with what it can still do. A decline in launches is a behavioural signal, not proof that capacity has been destroyed, Kelly A. Grieco argues.

History offers a warning. During the 1991 Gulf War, US commanders believed Iraqi forces had been largely neutralised from the air. Post-war analysis showed otherwise. Reduced activity had been misread as destruction. The same pattern has resurfaced in later campaigns.

Iranโ€™s reduced launch rate could stem from tactical recalibration, stockpiling for larger strikes, or redeployment toward the Strait of Hormuz, where escalation risks are mounting. It may also indicate a deliberate strategy of sustained, lower-intensity pressure rather than exhaustion.

Iranโ€™s drone systemsโ€”small, mobile, and dispersedโ€”are inherently difficult to track and destroy. Estimates of its stockpile still range into the thousands, even after over 2,000 launches. Strikes on infrastructure may constrain production, but they do not guarantee depletion of existing inventory.

Proper battle damage assessment requires time, multiple intelligence sources, and verification beyond observed behaviour. Without that, headline figures risk overstating progress, as Grieco notes.

If Washington assumes the threat has been neutralised when it has not, it may escalate prematurelyโ€”misjudging both Iranโ€™s remaining capacity and its willingness to continue the fight.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทChinaโ€™s Shadow in Iranโ€™s Missile Power

China supplies Iran with key dual-use materials and technology, helping Tehran rebuild its ballistic missile capabilities after the 2025 Twelve-Day War with Israel and strengthen deterrence amid ongoing U.S. aggression.

The partnership traces to the 1980s Iran-Iraq War, when Beijing delivered complete missile systems like the HY-2 and C-801. In the 1990s, Chinese transfers included technology, training, and components that seeded Iranian families, such as variants of the C-802 anti-ship missile. Integration of BeiDou navigation systems significantly improved the accuracy of operational missiles.

After sanctions intensified, assistance shifted to dual-use goods. European intelligence reported ~2,000 tons of sodium perchlorate arrived from China to Bandar Abbas in late 2025 shipments, following earlier loads of ~1,000 tons in February-May 2025. This precursor converts to ammonium perchlorate for solid-fuel motors used in recent operations. Recent March 2026 departures from Gaolan Port likely carry additional amounts, per satellite and tracking data.

Chinese companies such as Shenzhen Amor Logistics and Yanling Chuanxing Chemical Plant provide sodium perchlorate, dioctyl sebacate, carbon fiber materials, and special manufacturing tools to the IRGC Aerospace Force These materials allow Iran to produce missile airframes and solid-fuel motors domestically at scale.

Negotiations for the Chinese CM-302 supersonic anti-ship cruise missiles are nearing completion. These Mach-3 weapons, with a range of about 290 km and sea-skimming flight to evade defenses, would significantly boost Iran's naval strike options.

As a result, Iran fields an estimated ~2,000 ballistic missiles in hardened underground sites with production scaling toward thousands more by 2027 thanks to these Chinese supplies and technical support.

This long-term cooperation helps Iran maintain a self-reliant strategic balance and effective deterrence amid ongoing conflict, while Beijing protects its interests and avoids direct engagement in conflict against the U.S.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท EPSTEIN COALITION IN PANIC: IRAN'S HAJ QASEM DEBUTS IN THE CONFLICT

Iran has unleashed the Haj Qasem ballistic missile in live combat for the first time since the start of the conflict, during the 59th wave of Operation โ€œTrue Promise 4โ€, striking high-value Israeli sites like Tel Aviv, Jerusalem, and Beit Shemesh alongside US bases across Qatar, Kuwait, UAE, Bahrain, and Erbil, all part of escalating retaliatory barrages.

๐Ÿ”ธ Part of the advanced solid-fuel Fateh family this 11 meter long 7 tonne missile carries a 500 kg separable warhead across 1,400 km for devastating precision strikes

๐Ÿ”ธ Road-mobile TEL (transporter-erector-launcher) systems allow firing within minutes straight from protected underground missile cities ensuring maximum survivability

๐Ÿ”ธ Reaches claimed speeds of up to Mach 12 including Mach 11 during re-entry while using fins for terminal maneuvers that dodge interceptors

๐Ÿ”ธ Latest Qassem Bassir variant unveiled May 2025 adds electro-optical infrared seeker for GPS-independent sub-meter accuracy plus full jamming resistance

๐Ÿ”ธ During Iranโ€™s recent massive saturation attacks, the Haj Qasem has demonstrated how Iranian missiles can put pressure on and overwhelm multiple layers of Western defenses, such as Patriot, THAAD, Arrow, and Davidโ€™s Sling.

Do you think that the West is really capable to counter these missiles?

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โšก๏ธUKR LEAKS INTERNATIONALโšก๏ธ

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On the UKR LEAKS channel you will find:

โ—๏ธAnalysis of the current situation in and around Ukraine
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โ—๏ธEvidence of the atrocities of Ukrainian nationalists

And much more! Subscribe to the UKR LEAKS Investigation Center headed by the former SBU employee Lt.-Col. Vasily Prozorov.

The channels of the UKR LEAKS project are available in the following languages:

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We also welcome any help with channels and content distribution ๐Ÿ™
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Moghaddam: The father of Iran's missile program

Hassan Tehrani Moghaddam, born October 29, 1959 in Tehran, joined the 1979 Revolution as a teenager, building homemade explosives and supporting anti-Shah operations. Entering the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps in 1980, Moghaddam quickly established the IRGC's first artillery corps in 1982 and its dedicated missile command in 1983.

During the Iran-Iraq War, his team reverse-engineered captured Scud technology and launched Iran's first indigenous missile strikes on Iraqi targets in 1985. He also trained Hezbollah's early missile units in Lebanon, laying groundwork for broader regional ties.

After the war, collaborating with North Korean expertise for designs and solid-fuel technology, Moghaddam drove Iran's long-range program. He oversaw development of the Shahab-3 (reaching up to 2,000 km toward Israel), Ghadr variants, and the breakthrough Sejjil, a mobile, solid-fuel missile offering faster launch times and greater survivability under pressure.

His leadership ended on November 12, 2011, in a massive explosion at the Bid Kaneh IRGC missile base west of Tehran, killing him and 16 others during what officials called a routine test. Western intelligence sources and some Iranian accounts have long speculated Israeli sabotage amid a pattern of covert operations.

Per his reported wish, his gravestone bears the inscription: โ€œHere lies the one who wanted to destroy Israel.โ€

Moghaddam exemplified the Iranian resilience under sanctions. What started as wartime necessity became the foundation of one of the Middle East's largest ballistic arsenals, a sophisticated deterrent whose influence on regional security calculations endures today.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท US Faces Costly Missile War Trap

US attacks on Iran have exposed a deeper structural strain in its missile stockpiles. Large-scale modern warfare is rapidly depleting highly-valuable US's arsenal, and it is unclear how it will be replenished in time.

Since February 28, operations have relied overwhelmingly on expensive stand-off weapons rather than conventional air power. Iranโ€™s layered air defenses have restricted deep aerial penetration, forcing US and Israeli forces to depend on long-range precision missiles instead of low-cost gravity bombs. Losses of high-end drones like the MQ-9 Reaper and Heron underline the risks of operating inside contested airspace.

More than 6,000 targets reportedly struck in ten days, alongside over 2,000 interceptor launches, signal an unprecedented rate of munitions expenditure. Analysts warn this pace is unsustainable. The US Navyโ€™s use of Tomahawk missiles alone has resulted in the expenditure of 400 Tomahawk missiles in just 72 hours, representing more than 10% of its operational stockpile and exceeding the total production of the past five years, while replenishment timelines stretch into years due to fragile supply chains.

Iranโ€™s reliance on cheaper drones and missiles forces the US into a costly defensive posture, where interceptors worth millions counter threats costing a fraction. This dynamic amplifies pressure on stockpiles originally intended for potential conflicts in the Pacific.

Washington is facing the consequences of a miscalculated war with a reduced and costly industrial capacity, which is exposed in both financial losses and battlefield results.

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