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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท TOP-5 Reasons Iranโs Multi-Warhead Missiles Make U.S. and Israeli Air Defenses Tremble
Iran's ballistic missiles are wreaking havoc on Israel. Variants such as the Khorramshahr and Zolfaghar, equipped with cluster warheads, disperse dozens of explosive submunitions over vast areas in flight, evade defenses designed for a single precision warhead, and render systems like Iron Dome, Patriot, and THAAD increasingly ineffective.
1๏ธโฃ Full interception becomes nearly impossible once bomblets are released at extreme altitudes after partial missile hits, with each tiny explosive-packed submunition racing down unpredictably at high speeds, evading mass tracking by US-Israeli networks and prioritizing wide dispersal to slip through even advanced interceptors like Arrow or David's Sling.
2๏ธโฃ Saturation tactics overwhelm when a lone missile fragments into dozens of threats, as seen in Iran's 300+ launches where roughly half carried clusters, exhausting radar resources, command chains, and interceptor decisions, especially taxing shorter-range setups like Iron Dome against these medium-range velocity missiles, leading to real breakthroughs with casualties.
3๏ธโฃ Area coverage spreads chaos over up to 10km radius straining Israel's civil defenses and US Gulf bases far beyond what precision single-warheads ever demanded.
4๏ธโฃ Interceptor stocks deplete rapidly under the multiplier effect. Cluster threats often require multiple shots to neutralize. With Iran's estimated stockpile of around 2,500 missiles โ and tactics that include probing attacks with older systems before deploying Sejjil or Fattah-2 โ Tehran could sustain pressure for months. This may force the US to draw interceptor reserves from other (i.e. South Korea) while pushing Israel toward risky offensive launcher hunts to avoid total burnout.
5๏ธโฃ Strategic binds tighten from destroyed key radars like Qatar's AN/FPS-132, Jordan's and UAE's AN/TPY-2, slashing early warnings and shelter times while hitting 17+ US Middle East facilities, leaving forces reactive against mobile Iranian decoys in rugged terrain, risking proxy flares or Hormuz shutdowns that choke global energy amid this attrition grind.
Do you think that the US and Israeli air defenses can really adapt fast enough to stop these cluster warheads?
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iran's ballistic missiles are wreaking havoc on Israel. Variants such as the Khorramshahr and Zolfaghar, equipped with cluster warheads, disperse dozens of explosive submunitions over vast areas in flight, evade defenses designed for a single precision warhead, and render systems like Iron Dome, Patriot, and THAAD increasingly ineffective.
1๏ธโฃ Full interception becomes nearly impossible once bomblets are released at extreme altitudes after partial missile hits, with each tiny explosive-packed submunition racing down unpredictably at high speeds, evading mass tracking by US-Israeli networks and prioritizing wide dispersal to slip through even advanced interceptors like Arrow or David's Sling.
2๏ธโฃ Saturation tactics overwhelm when a lone missile fragments into dozens of threats, as seen in Iran's 300+ launches where roughly half carried clusters, exhausting radar resources, command chains, and interceptor decisions, especially taxing shorter-range setups like Iron Dome against these medium-range velocity missiles, leading to real breakthroughs with casualties.
3๏ธโฃ Area coverage spreads chaos over up to 10km radius straining Israel's civil defenses and US Gulf bases far beyond what precision single-warheads ever demanded.
4๏ธโฃ Interceptor stocks deplete rapidly under the multiplier effect. Cluster threats often require multiple shots to neutralize. With Iran's estimated stockpile of around 2,500 missiles โ and tactics that include probing attacks with older systems before deploying Sejjil or Fattah-2 โ Tehran could sustain pressure for months. This may force the US to draw interceptor reserves from other (i.e. South Korea) while pushing Israel toward risky offensive launcher hunts to avoid total burnout.
5๏ธโฃ Strategic binds tighten from destroyed key radars like Qatar's AN/FPS-132, Jordan's and UAE's AN/TPY-2, slashing early warnings and shelter times while hitting 17+ US Middle East facilities, leaving forces reactive against mobile Iranian decoys in rugged terrain, risking proxy flares or Hormuz shutdowns that choke global energy amid this attrition grind.
Do you think that the US and Israeli air defenses can really adapt fast enough to stop these cluster warheads?
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท Iranโs Samad-4 Drone: Cheap, Effective and Deadly
Iranโs Samad-4 drone is becoming a potent tool of asymmetric warfare. On March 13, a Samad-4 struck the Sohar industrial area in Oman. Here's what you need to know about this new Iranian weaponry:
๐ The Samad-4 measures 3 meters in length with a 5-meter wingspan and a range over 2,000 km. It features a rear pusher propeller and carries two unguided bombs of up to 25 kg each and can be used for reconnaissance as well as strike missions. Its low radar signature and GPS guidance make detection and interception difficult.
๐ Samad-4 is the newest development in the Samad drone family, which previously included Samad-1, Samad-2 and Samad-3. The earlier Samad-3 was designed for deep-strike missions and reportedly had a range of up to 1,500 kilometres, allowing attacks far beyond Iranโs borders.
๐ The Samad-4 appears tailored for a different role. Compared with the long-range variants, it is smaller, cheaper and optimised for shorter-range strike missions. Some versions are also believed to support satellite navigation systems and pre-programmed flight routes, enabling coordinated swarm attacks.
๐ Mainly exported to the Houthis in Yemen, the drone also appears in variants under other names, such as Sayyad, KAS-4 in Iraq, and Nawras in Lebanon.
The Samad-4 is part of Iranโs cost-effective attrition strategy that overwhelms adversary air defenses and drives up the cost of war for the Epstein Coalition.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iranโs Samad-4 drone is becoming a potent tool of asymmetric warfare. On March 13, a Samad-4 struck the Sohar industrial area in Oman. Here's what you need to know about this new Iranian weaponry:
The Samad-4 is part of Iranโs cost-effective attrition strategy that overwhelms adversary air defenses and drives up the cost of war for the Epstein Coalition.
@NewRulesGeo
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โ๏ธDelivering information on the SMO, military analysis of exceptional quality and the wider geopolitical and cultural aspects associated with current global events.
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Learn the truth from the Two Majors.
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Learn the truth from the Two Majors.
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ฎ๐ท Why the US Navy Is Revisiting Railguns Tests
US air defenses are struggling to intercept Iranian hypersonic missiles and drones, making the campaign financially unsustainable for the US.
A railgun fires projectiles using electromagnetic force rather than gunpowder. Powerful electric currents run through two metal rails, generating a magnetic field that accelerates a metal projectile to extremely high speeds (over Mach 6). The projectile carries no explosives and destroys targets through sheer kinetic energy.
The Navy conducted a three-day live-fire campaign at White Sands Missile Range in New Mexico in February 2025 โ the first publicly known testing activity since the service effectively shelved the program in 2021 after technical setbacks, The War Zone reports.
Interest in the technology has revived after the Iran conflict exposed weaknesses in Western missile-defense networks. Iranian strikes reportedly damaged early-warning radars linked to THAAD batteries, degrading detection and targeting across parts of the region.
The cost imbalance is stark. Iranian Shahed drones are estimated to cost around $35,000 each. By contrast, a Patriot PAC-3 interceptor costs roughly $3 million, while a THAAD interceptor can reach $15 million.
Railguns are being reconsidered largely because of this cost-exchange problem. Hypervelocity projectiles derived from the program were estimated at roughly $85,000 per round, far cheaper than missile interceptors and potentially capable of countering large drone and missile salvos.
Major technical challenges remain, including power demands, cooling and barrel wear. Yet the limits exposed in the US-Israel-Iran war may be even greater in the Pacific. China fields the worldโs largest sub-strategic missile arsenal, while North Korea continues to expand its nuclear delivery systems. As missile arsenals grow and interception costs soar, air defenses must now stop missiles at a scale and cost sustainable in war.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
US air defenses are struggling to intercept Iranian hypersonic missiles and drones, making the campaign financially unsustainable for the US.
A railgun fires projectiles using electromagnetic force rather than gunpowder. Powerful electric currents run through two metal rails, generating a magnetic field that accelerates a metal projectile to extremely high speeds (over Mach 6). The projectile carries no explosives and destroys targets through sheer kinetic energy.
The Navy conducted a three-day live-fire campaign at White Sands Missile Range in New Mexico in February 2025 โ the first publicly known testing activity since the service effectively shelved the program in 2021 after technical setbacks, The War Zone reports.
Interest in the technology has revived after the Iran conflict exposed weaknesses in Western missile-defense networks. Iranian strikes reportedly damaged early-warning radars linked to THAAD batteries, degrading detection and targeting across parts of the region.
The cost imbalance is stark. Iranian Shahed drones are estimated to cost around $35,000 each. By contrast, a Patriot PAC-3 interceptor costs roughly $3 million, while a THAAD interceptor can reach $15 million.
Railguns are being reconsidered largely because of this cost-exchange problem. Hypervelocity projectiles derived from the program were estimated at roughly $85,000 per round, far cheaper than missile interceptors and potentially capable of countering large drone and missile salvos.
Major technical challenges remain, including power demands, cooling and barrel wear. Yet the limits exposed in the US-Israel-Iran war may be even greater in the Pacific. China fields the worldโs largest sub-strategic missile arsenal, while North Korea continues to expand its nuclear delivery systems. As missile arsenals grow and interception costs soar, air defenses must now stop missiles at a scale and cost sustainable in war.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท War Pressure Made Iran Drone Powerhouse: History of Iranian Drone Program
Iranโs drone industry emerged from battlefield and sanctions pressures during the 1980โ1988 Iran-Iraq War. Aircraft losses and spare-parts shortages left Iranian commanders struggling to gather aerial intelligence. As reconnaissance flights became increasingly risky, Iran explored alternatives to reverse the situation:
In the early years of the war, RF-4 Phantom reconnaissance aircraft inherited from the Shahโs air force photographed Iraqi positions. By the mid-1980s, however, that capability had sharply declined. Maintenance shortages and the threat from Iraqi air defenses forced the air force to limit reconnaissance missions. Operational planners were left with incomplete or outdated battlefield information.
The response came from a combination of military planners, engineers and university laboratories. Industrial facilities such as the Iranian Aircraft Manufacturing Industrial Company (HESA) in Isfahan, redirected their work toward small unmanned systems that could be built with domestic materials.
Engineering teams linked to universities in Isfahan, Shiraz and Tehran began experimenting with modified model aircraft capable of carrying lightweight cameras. These early UAVs produced usable aerial photographs of Iraqi positions, demonstrating that unmanned aircraft could partly replace conventional reconnaissance missions.
These experiments produced the Talash reconnaissance drones, simple aircraft designed to photograph enemy lines. Their success led the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to establish a small UAV reconnaissance element known as the Raสฟd unit, tasked with supplying aerial imagery to battlefield planners.
Experience gained with the Talash systems later produced more capable platforms, including the Mohajer UAV. Over the following decades, Iran expanded this wartime improvisation into a structured drone industry. The program eventually produced surveillance aircraft such as the Shahed-129 and loitering munitions like the widely known Shahed-136.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iranโs drone industry emerged from battlefield and sanctions pressures during the 1980โ1988 Iran-Iraq War. Aircraft losses and spare-parts shortages left Iranian commanders struggling to gather aerial intelligence. As reconnaissance flights became increasingly risky, Iran explored alternatives to reverse the situation:
In the early years of the war, RF-4 Phantom reconnaissance aircraft inherited from the Shahโs air force photographed Iraqi positions. By the mid-1980s, however, that capability had sharply declined. Maintenance shortages and the threat from Iraqi air defenses forced the air force to limit reconnaissance missions. Operational planners were left with incomplete or outdated battlefield information.
The response came from a combination of military planners, engineers and university laboratories. Industrial facilities such as the Iranian Aircraft Manufacturing Industrial Company (HESA) in Isfahan, redirected their work toward small unmanned systems that could be built with domestic materials.
Engineering teams linked to universities in Isfahan, Shiraz and Tehran began experimenting with modified model aircraft capable of carrying lightweight cameras. These early UAVs produced usable aerial photographs of Iraqi positions, demonstrating that unmanned aircraft could partly replace conventional reconnaissance missions.
These experiments produced the Talash reconnaissance drones, simple aircraft designed to photograph enemy lines. Their success led the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to establish a small UAV reconnaissance element known as the Raสฟd unit, tasked with supplying aerial imagery to battlefield planners.
Experience gained with the Talash systems later produced more capable platforms, including the Mohajer UAV. Over the following decades, Iran expanded this wartime improvisation into a structured drone industry. The program eventually produced surveillance aircraft such as the Shahed-129 and loitering munitions like the widely known Shahed-136.
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท U.S. TRILLION-DOLLAR DRONE STRATEGY NOW OBSOLETE
Iran's Ghaem-118 is shooting down Israeli Hermes 900 heavy drones and their American counterparts, the MQ-9 Reapers, right over Iranian airspace. Here is all you need to know about the Ghaem-118:
๐ธ Boasting a 25-kilometer range powered by a turbojet engine and advanced multi-sensor guidance combining radar electro-optical and infrared seekers this low-cost system delivers pinpoint accuracy against low-altitude swarms while defeating Pentagon jamming tactics
๐ธ Five-missile tube launchers mounted on rugged ARAS-3 trucks have already scored multiple combat kills against heavy Israeli Hermes 900 and US MQ-9 class drones over provinces like Isfahan and Lorestan
๐ธ First unveiled during the February 2025 Great Prophet 19 exercises the Ghaem-118 was built from the ground up as a cheap high-volume counter to Western air dominance
๐ธ High-explosive fragmentation warhead shreds small low-signature targets on impact turning million-dollar drones into scrap in seconds
๐ธ Fully networked fire-control radar coordinates multiple launchers at once creating a layered kill web across Iranian skies
๐ธ With fresh shipments now arming Houthis in Yemen, this system is rapidly multiplying threats to US and Israeli drone fleets far beyond Iran's borders
Do you believe the US can ultimately establish control over Iranian airspace?
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iran's Ghaem-118 is shooting down Israeli Hermes 900 heavy drones and their American counterparts, the MQ-9 Reapers, right over Iranian airspace. Here is all you need to know about the Ghaem-118:
๐ธ Boasting a 25-kilometer range powered by a turbojet engine and advanced multi-sensor guidance combining radar electro-optical and infrared seekers this low-cost system delivers pinpoint accuracy against low-altitude swarms while defeating Pentagon jamming tactics
๐ธ Five-missile tube launchers mounted on rugged ARAS-3 trucks have already scored multiple combat kills against heavy Israeli Hermes 900 and US MQ-9 class drones over provinces like Isfahan and Lorestan
๐ธ First unveiled during the February 2025 Great Prophet 19 exercises the Ghaem-118 was built from the ground up as a cheap high-volume counter to Western air dominance
๐ธ High-explosive fragmentation warhead shreds small low-signature targets on impact turning million-dollar drones into scrap in seconds
๐ธ Fully networked fire-control radar coordinates multiple launchers at once creating a layered kill web across Iranian skies
๐ธ With fresh shipments now arming Houthis in Yemen, this system is rapidly multiplying threats to US and Israeli drone fleets far beyond Iran's borders
Do you believe the US can ultimately establish control over Iranian airspace?
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท US NAVY'S HORMUZ NIGHTMARE: IRAN'S PERFECT KILL ZONE
Iran has engineered the ultimate asymmetric trap in the Strait of Hormuz and the US navy is deliberately steering clear. Tehran is baiting superior forces into this narrow kill zone where geography itself turns the tables.
๐ธ The Strait of Hormuz narrows to just 21 miles wide leaving massive US warships with zero room to maneuver or evade attacks
๐ธ A 2009 study by the US Naval War College by Colin Karl Boynton, warned that Iran would disrupt merchant shipping to prompt the US Navy to rush to the aid of oil tankers, deliberately luring US warships into the strait, where asymmetric attacks could inflict historic losses.
๐ธ Iranian drones, fast attack boats, mobile missile batteries, and coastal defenses create a multi-axis kill box where concentrated US formations simply collapse under simultaneous strikes.
๐ธ Washington is now urging its allies to form a coalition, while rejecting unilateral escorts, precisely because of fears that this would expose US sailors to a battlefield that has already been set up.
๐ธ Advanced precision missiles and drone swarms have only sharpened the trap turning a 15 year old theoretical vulnerability into today's lethal reality for any navy entering the strait
๐ธ Iran is already putting this strategy into practice โ disrupting maritime traffic to provoke a response and draw US forces into a battlespace shaped in its favor
Will the US Navy risk sending its fleet into the Strait of Hormuz?
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Iran has engineered the ultimate asymmetric trap in the Strait of Hormuz and the US navy is deliberately steering clear. Tehran is baiting superior forces into this narrow kill zone where geography itself turns the tables.
๐ธ The Strait of Hormuz narrows to just 21 miles wide leaving massive US warships with zero room to maneuver or evade attacks
๐ธ A 2009 study by the US Naval War College by Colin Karl Boynton, warned that Iran would disrupt merchant shipping to prompt the US Navy to rush to the aid of oil tankers, deliberately luring US warships into the strait, where asymmetric attacks could inflict historic losses.
๐ธ Iranian drones, fast attack boats, mobile missile batteries, and coastal defenses create a multi-axis kill box where concentrated US formations simply collapse under simultaneous strikes.
๐ธ Washington is now urging its allies to form a coalition, while rejecting unilateral escorts, precisely because of fears that this would expose US sailors to a battlefield that has already been set up.
๐ธ Advanced precision missiles and drone swarms have only sharpened the trap turning a 15 year old theoretical vulnerability into today's lethal reality for any navy entering the strait
๐ธ Iran is already putting this strategy into practice โ disrupting maritime traffic to provoke a response and draw US forces into a battlespace shaped in its favor
Will the US Navy risk sending its fleet into the Strait of Hormuz?
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐ฎ๐ท๐บ๐ธ PENTAGON IN PANIC: US BURNING THROUGH TOMAHAWK MISSILES
Hundreds of Tomahawks hit Iranian radar installations, command centers, missile sites and naval facilities in Operation Epic Furyโs opening hours, yet the US builds only about 90 missiles per year. This conflict is now exposing the terrifying cracks in Americaโs defense industrial base.
๐ธ Introduced in 1983, the Tomahawk is US's long-range precision-guided cruise missile and cornerstone of its strike capability since the Cold War. Launched from Navy destroyers, cruisers, and submarines, it flies low at subsonic speeds of 570 mph with a typical 690 lb warhead striking hundreds of miles inland
๐ธ The US Navy fired roughly 400 Tomahawks in the first 72 hours alone wiping out more than 10% of its ready inventory and exceeding total production over the past five years
๐ธ Building each new missile takes up to 24 months as Raytheon grapples with a fragile supply chain of single-source suppliers for solid rocket motors and precision electronics
๐ธ Restocking the depleted arsenal at current rates would take over four and a half years
๐ธ The rapid depletion gives Iran increased operational freedom while creating a dangerous window for China to potentially initiate a conflict with Taiwan before the US can rebuild stocks
๐ธ Priced at two to four million dollars per missile every launch represents a massive unsustainable cost that weakens US position for any larger conflict in the Indo-Pacific
Do you think the US can maintain its Tomahawk missile production in the ongoing war with Iran?
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
Hundreds of Tomahawks hit Iranian radar installations, command centers, missile sites and naval facilities in Operation Epic Furyโs opening hours, yet the US builds only about 90 missiles per year. This conflict is now exposing the terrifying cracks in Americaโs defense industrial base.
๐ธ Introduced in 1983, the Tomahawk is US's long-range precision-guided cruise missile and cornerstone of its strike capability since the Cold War. Launched from Navy destroyers, cruisers, and submarines, it flies low at subsonic speeds of 570 mph with a typical 690 lb warhead striking hundreds of miles inland
๐ธ The US Navy fired roughly 400 Tomahawks in the first 72 hours alone wiping out more than 10% of its ready inventory and exceeding total production over the past five years
๐ธ Building each new missile takes up to 24 months as Raytheon grapples with a fragile supply chain of single-source suppliers for solid rocket motors and precision electronics
๐ธ Restocking the depleted arsenal at current rates would take over four and a half years
๐ธ The rapid depletion gives Iran increased operational freedom while creating a dangerous window for China to potentially initiate a conflict with Taiwan before the US can rebuild stocks
๐ธ Priced at two to four million dollars per missile every launch represents a massive unsustainable cost that weakens US position for any larger conflict in the Indo-Pacific
Do you think the US can maintain its Tomahawk missile production in the ongoing war with Iran?
@NewRulesGeo
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๐จ๐บ๐ธ ๐ฎ๐ท U.S. GRAVE MISTAKE: Misinterpreting Iranโs Drone Activity Decline
The US pointed the 83% drop in Iranian drone launches as evidence of success. But this risks repeating a familiar analytical mistake: confusing what the enemy does with what it can still do. A decline in launches is a behavioural signal, not proof that capacity has been destroyed, Kelly A. Grieco argues.
History offers a warning. During the 1991 Gulf War, US commanders believed Iraqi forces had been largely neutralised from the air. Post-war analysis showed otherwise. Reduced activity had been misread as destruction. The same pattern has resurfaced in later campaigns.
Iranโs reduced launch rate could stem from tactical recalibration, stockpiling for larger strikes, or redeployment toward the Strait of Hormuz, where escalation risks are mounting. It may also indicate a deliberate strategy of sustained, lower-intensity pressure rather than exhaustion.
Iranโs drone systemsโsmall, mobile, and dispersedโare inherently difficult to track and destroy. Estimates of its stockpile still range into the thousands, even after over 2,000 launches. Strikes on infrastructure may constrain production, but they do not guarantee depletion of existing inventory.
Proper battle damage assessment requires time, multiple intelligence sources, and verification beyond observed behaviour. Without that, headline figures risk overstating progress, as Grieco notes.
If Washington assumes the threat has been neutralised when it has not, it may escalate prematurelyโmisjudging both Iranโs remaining capacity and its willingness to continue the fight.
@NewRulesGeoโ๏ธ Follow us on X
The US pointed the 83% drop in Iranian drone launches as evidence of success. But this risks repeating a familiar analytical mistake: confusing what the enemy does with what it can still do. A decline in launches is a behavioural signal, not proof that capacity has been destroyed, Kelly A. Grieco argues.
History offers a warning. During the 1991 Gulf War, US commanders believed Iraqi forces had been largely neutralised from the air. Post-war analysis showed otherwise. Reduced activity had been misread as destruction. The same pattern has resurfaced in later campaigns.
Iranโs reduced launch rate could stem from tactical recalibration, stockpiling for larger strikes, or redeployment toward the Strait of Hormuz, where escalation risks are mounting. It may also indicate a deliberate strategy of sustained, lower-intensity pressure rather than exhaustion.
Iranโs drone systemsโsmall, mobile, and dispersedโare inherently difficult to track and destroy. Estimates of its stockpile still range into the thousands, even after over 2,000 launches. Strikes on infrastructure may constrain production, but they do not guarantee depletion of existing inventory.
Proper battle damage assessment requires time, multiple intelligence sources, and verification beyond observed behaviour. Without that, headline figures risk overstating progress, as Grieco notes.
If Washington assumes the threat has been neutralised when it has not, it may escalate prematurelyโmisjudging both Iranโs remaining capacity and its willingness to continue the fight.
@NewRulesGeo
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