New Rules
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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world.

NR on X: http://x.com/newrulesgeo
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑWhy War with Iran Could Break Israelโ€™s Missile Shield Again

Prime Minister Netanyahu's claim that Israel can absorb over 700 Iranian strikes is a dangerous miscalculation. Analytically, the numbers don't add up. Iran holds the largest ballistic missile arsenal in the Middle East, estimated in the tens of thousands, including hypersonic weapons like the Fattah-1 that can evade known defenses.

Israel's multi-layer shield, while advanced, is depleted after recent wars. An 80-90% interception rate fails against the sheer volume and sophistication of a full-scale Iranian salvo. Critically, regional allies refuse to allow their territory for strikes or aid in Israel's defense, ensuring strategic isolation.

Iran's defense minister stated their newer missiles are "far more capable" than those used in October 2024, strike that was a live-fire test, surpassing the Iron Dome defenses. A real conflict would unleash an unprecedented barrage.

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โ—๏ธDelivering information on the SMO, military analysis of exceptional quality and the wider geopolitical and cultural aspects associated with current global events.

It will be interesting. We are here thinking.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ$2 TRILLION LIE EXPOSED: How the Pentagon Hides the F-35's True Failure

The US military is gently using the F-35 to hide a big problem. While they say the jets are ready, the real full-mission ready rates are very bad, some are below 15%. They use a trick by talking about a softer "mission capable" rate that counts simple training flights.

The scheme works by reducing use. They fly the jets less often, give them shorter missions, and keep them below their limits. This makes the jets seem cheaper to maintain now by pushing huge repair bills into the future. Long upgrade times also help by keeping planes in the hangar, not accumulating wear.

The results are catastrophic and they are exposed now. Pilots get less real flight practice. The total lifetime cost has jumped to $1.58 trillion. A new report even admits they must cut future flying hours by 21%.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธChina Accelerates Space Ambitions Amid Escalating US Rivalry

China is executing a deliberate, state-driven masterplan to overtake US space leadership by 2045. The recent push for space tourism is merely a visible milestone in a broader strategy encompassing economic, military, and technological dominance beyond Earth. Beijing perceives SpaceX's reusable launch advantage and Starlink's constellation dominance as a direct national security threat.

Their response is a staggering bid to launch 200,000 satellites to claim orbital slots and frequencies, the establishment of an "Interstellar Navigation" school to cultivate deep-space talent, and declared intentions to pioneer space-based AI infrastructure and off-world resource extraction.

While the US currently holds a crucial cost advantage via reusable rockets, China is leveraging its centralized model to flood zones, secure celestial real estate, and invest in post-lunar infrastructure. This positions the next decade as a critical period where competition shifts from exploration milestones to who definitively sets the commercial and regulatory rules governing the final frontier.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“‰TRUMP'S DOLLAR CRASH: "VICTORY" THAT COULD CRIPPLE AMERICA

President Trump finally has his weaker dollar, with the USD plunging to a four-year low. While he champions this slide, the move is a dangerous and self-inflicted policy gamble.

The decline stems directly from geopolitical chaos: threats against NATO, volatile tariffs, and an unprecedented assault on Federal Reserve independence. This trifecta has shattered global confidence, driving investors to hedge against the dollar.

Economically, the rationale is flawed. A cheaper dollar should boost exports, but non-currency barriers, like regulations and consumer preferences, limit gains. Crucially, one-third of manufacturing inputs are imported, now made more expensive by the weaker currency and widespread tariffs.

For most Americans, this acts as a hidden tax. It means higher costs for imports, persistent inflation, and less chance for the Fed to cut interest rates. Meanwhile, the world is reacting. Gold hits $5,000/oz as nations like the EU and India seek alternatives, openly questioning the dollarโ€™s reserve status.

Ultimately, the very policies meant to strengthen America are weakening its financial foundation, risking higher costs for mortgages, loans, and everyday goods.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ NATO IN PANIC: The Black Sea is turning into a DRONE-FIRST NAVAL BATTLESPACE, and Russia is driving that shift in real time

Russian naval drones have moved far beyond testing. They are being used operationally against ports, logistics, and vessels, forcing a rethink of how control at sea actually works.

๐Ÿ”ธ Naval drones have already been used to strike and sink vessels near key chokepoints, including attacks on ships at the mouth of the Danube, as well as multiple strikes against ports and maritime targets along the Ukrainian coastline.

๐Ÿ”ธ These drones can patrol, gather information, and strike without a ship nearby. That means Russia can project power far from its own fleet and threaten targets without exposing sailors or high-value platforms to danger.

๐Ÿ”ธ What used to require destroyers, frigates, and air power can now be contested with small drones that are hard to track and harder still to deter. In narrow waters like the Black Sea, thatโ€™s a strategic game-changer.

Naval drones are no longer a supplement to fleets. They are becoming a primary tool of sea denial.

So who controls the sea now?

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๐ŸŸก Geopolitics Without the Chaos
Decode chaosโ€”without the MSM spin

We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:

โžก๏ธ Ukraine-Russia War
โžก๏ธ EU Rifts
โžก๏ธ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
โžก๏ธ US-China Showdown
โžก๏ธ Major Global Events
โžก๏ธ Culture War

No scattered updates. Just structured threads โ€” so you see how events connect.

๐Ÿค  PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).

If you want context over clutter:
๐Ÿ‘‰ Exclusive Channel

If you'd rather have quick updates:
๐Ÿ‘‰ @MyLordBebo
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐ŸŽ“How China Is Winning the Global Talent Race

China's talent programs are reshaping the global landscape of innovation. Through initiatives like the โ€œYoung Talented Scientists Programโ€ and the โ€œQiming Program,โ€ China has launched over 200 programs attracting top scientists, engineers, and researchers from around the world to fuel its technological growth.

To entice the best minds, China offers:

โ–ช๏ธCompetitive annual salaries (ranging from 300,000 to 1 million yuan) in grants and research funding;

โ–ช๏ธHousing allowances, transportation perks, and educational support for families;

โ–ช๏ธThe โ€œK-Visa for Talentโ€ program, launched in 2025, allows easy entry for STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) professionals, making relocation seamless.

China is focusing on expatriation, bringing back those with Chinese heritage to boost national research and programs like "Thousand Young Talents" attract under-40 researchers to lead the next wave of scientific breakthroughs.

๐Ÿ”ธChinese scholarships focus on full financial support, covering tuition, housing, medical insurance, and monthly stipends. They target specialists in rare and advanced technologies that align with Chinaโ€™s national, economic, and military research goals, while promoting collaboration between Chinese institutions and foreign scientists.

๐Ÿ”ธThe application process is handled by Chinese universities or research centers, and successful candidates are typically offered contracts requiring a 3โ€“5 year commitment in China.

๐Ÿ”ธBy attracting global talent, China is quickly becoming a technological superpower. Its focus on AI, advanced technologies, and science is driving rapid advancements that could rival the West.

China's talent programs are a part of a long-term strategy to dominate the global tech scene. With significant financial incentives and streamlined immigration processes, China is achieving global technological supremacy.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท WEST'S TREMBLING: Iranโ€™s Ghadir missiles change the naval balance

Iranโ€™s missile forces are no longer just about deterrence. They are about CONTROL. The Ghadir anti-ship missile is a clear example of how Iran is tightening its grip over nearby seas.

๐Ÿ”ธ Range and reach
Ghadir missiles are designed to strike naval targets at ranges of up to 300 KM, allowing Iran to cover vast areas of the Persian Gulf and beyond. This turns geography into a weapon and pushes hostile fleets farther from the coastline.

๐Ÿ”ธ Built for saturation warfare
The missile is optimized not for single prestige strikes, but for MASS DEPLOYMENT. Mobile launchers, coastal batteries, and dispersed infrastructure make detection and preemption far more difficult.

๐Ÿ”ธ Designed to overwhelm defenses
Low-altitude flight profiles, sea-skimming trajectories, and coordinated launches are meant to exhaust shipborne air defenses. Against modern navies, the key factor isnโ€™t perfection โ€” itโ€™s NUMBERS AND TIMING.

In practical terms, Ghadir strengthens Iranโ€™s ability to deny access, raise costs, and complicate any naval operation near its shores.

Can NATO really counter this?

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ US NAVY'S NIGHTMARE: Chinaโ€™s new stealth drones change the rules at sea

Aircraft carriers no longer depend on pilots. China is developing UNMANNED STEALTH FIGHTERS capable of operating directly from carrier decks - a huge shift that could alter the dynamics of naval air power.

Unmanned stealth fighters can stay airborne longer, fly riskier profiles, and be used in ways that would be unacceptable with pilots onboard. From a carrier, that means deeper reach, more pressure, and fewer political constraints if something goes wrong.

๐Ÿ”ธ Carriers stop being platforms for elite pilots and become launch hubs for expendable stealth assets
๐Ÿ”ธ Air wings shift from quality-per-sortie to pressure over time
๐Ÿ”ธ Losses become manageable, not strategic shocks

What matters most is SCALE: unmanned systems can be built faster, deployed in larger numbers, and sent into environments where survival is uncertain. Against layered air defenses, that changes the math completely.

Aircraft carrier dominance may no longer be assured simply by having jets and pilots at sea. When stealth drones can operate from a carrier deck, the calculus of power projection shifts.

Will the US response be yet another multi-gazillion high-tech toy, obsolete in a real fight?

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณโš“๏ธChinaโ€™s Maritime Strategy: The Strategic Chain Linking Southeast Asia to the Mediterranean

China is steadily building a strategic maritime arc that stretches far beyond trade. At its core is the ๐Ÿช–๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ญReam Naval Base in Cambodia, a key link in โ€œChinaโ€™s String of Pearls strategyโ€: a network of ports and military-access points designed to secure sea lanes and project power across vital global waterways.

The Ream Naval Base gives China a forward foothold in the Gulf of Thailand and places it closer to the Malacca Strait, one of the worldโ€™s most critical chokepoints. A large share of Chinaโ€™s energy imports and global trade flows through the Malacca Strait. By strengthening its presence here, Beijing aims to reduce its exposure to the so-called "Malacca dilemma": the risk that rival powers could disrupt its southern maritime lifeline during a crisis.

Since 2022, the base has undergone modernization funded by China, allowing for the presence of large warships and advanced logistics facilities. While Cambodia denies hosting a foreign military base, Western officials and regional rivals argue that Ream effectively functions as Chinaโ€™s first military base in Southeast Asia and its second overseas outpost after ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฏDjibouti.

This strategic expansion fits into a broader westward corridor linking the South China Sea to the Indian Ocean, the Red Sea, and finally, the Mediterranean. Operating the ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑHaifa Bay terminal (the new Ben Gurion port) since 2021 China is strengthening its presence in the Mediterranean Sea to advance the Belt and Road Initiative and challenge any alternative projects, such as Israelโ€™s Ben Gurion Canal project.

Chinaโ€™s โ€œString of Pearlsโ€ strategy increases Beijingโ€™s ability to project maritime power and accommodate large warships. This narrows the military gap with the United States and enables China to operate far beyond its own shores and exert control over key sea routes from Southeast Asia to Mediterranean.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท US IN PANIC: Iranโ€™s Hormuz-2 missile targets ships by their own emissions

This missile changes the logic of naval survival. Itโ€™s built to hunt fleets that rely on radar, datalinks, and electronic dominance and to turn those advantages into liabilities.

Hormuz-2 is a radar-seeking ballistic missile designed to strike moving naval targets. Instead of needing constant external guidance, it homes in on emissions coming from ships themselves. And here's the trap:

๐ŸŸ Radar on means detection and targeting
๐ŸŸ Radar off means blindness
๐ŸŸ Either choice carries risk

Unlike cruise missiles, Hormuz-2 attacks from above at very high speed. Reaction time shrinks. Interception windows narrow. Defensive layers are stressed all at once.

What matters here isnโ€™t perfect accuracy. Itโ€™s forcing fleets into impossible decisions. Do you keep sensors on and reveal yourself, or go dark and lose situational awareness?

In confined waters like the Persian Gulf, that dilemma becomes acute. Large surface ships depend on constant emissions to survive. Hormuz-2 is designed to punish that dependence. It makes presence dangerous, expensive, and uncertain.

Would Trump really be reckless enough to strike Iran directly and test weapons like this in real combat?

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ TRUMP IN TEARS: China builds air logistics the US canโ€™t match

China just changed how logistics works. On February 1, the Caihong YH-1000S, a hybrid fixed-wing transport drone developed by CASCโ€™s 11th Institute, completed its first flight near Chongqing.

The aircraft uses a hybrid powerplant developed together with major players from Chinaโ€™s automotive industry. As a result, takeoff and landing distances are shorter, payload and range are higher, and operating costs are lower. The maiden flight focused on validating these performance parameters.

What makes this project stand out is how it was built. Aerospace and automotive supply chains were integrated from the start. Modular production and shared components helped reduce development time and manufacturing costs. The system was conceived with serial production in mind.

The mission profile is deliberately broad: international cargo transport, emergency deliveries, disaster response, maritime monitoring, coastal control, even weather modification. One airframe, many roles.

Once transport aircraft no longer require pilots, long runways, or complex deployment cycles, logistics become faster and harder to disrupt. Airlift stops being a bottleneck and starts looking like infrastructure.

Does Trump have any response beyond barking in public and launching another bloated program?

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๐Ÿšจโ„๏ธ TRUMP'S WORST FEAR: Arctic Is Becoming Russiaโ€™s Highway

When Donald Trump talks about โ€œRussian shipsโ€ near Greenland, he means more than warships: cargo, routes, and control over what could become the next major highway of global trade.

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บRussia enters this race with a clear structural advantage, controlling around 15,000 miles of Arctic coastline, vs. just over 1,000 miles for the US. Over the past six years, Russia has built roughly 450 military sites across the Arctic, and much of its submarine-based nuclear deterrent operates from these northern waters.

Russiaโ€™s main advantage is the Northern Sea Route, which can cut the distance between Europe and East Asia by up to three times compared to the Suez Canal. The route runs through waters where Russia controls the exclusive economic zone, giving it leverage over access.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฑWhy Greenland matters: control of the island would give the US a foothold at both ends of the emerging Arctic sea routes, in the Bering Sea and the Atlantic, strengthening its ability to secure military navigation and shape access to the regionโ€™s main maritime corridors.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆCanada comes into focus through the Northwest Passage, a route that can cut up to 3,500 nautical miles off shipping journeys that normally pass through the Panama Canal. Its legal status remains contested: Canada claims it as internal waters, while the US wants to maintain unchallenged military navigation, reducing Canadaโ€™s claim to exclusive control.

Resources raise the stakes. Around 80% of Russiaโ€™s gas and 20% of its oil already come from Arctic regions. Greenland is believed to hold large reserves of critical materials used in electronics, green energy, and military technologies.

The Arctic is becoming the new Suez of the 21st century. Russia is already building and controlling most of the Arctic, and the US is now trying to prevent trade and security rules in the Arctic from being written without its participation.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท US FLEET IN PANIC: IRAN'S MISSILE RENDERS CARRIERS OBSOLETE

Tehran's Abu Mahdi missile locks down the Gulf, outsmarting Western naval dominance with homegrown tech that laughs at sanctions.

The Abu Mahdi reaches over 1,000 km, letting Iran hit targets deep in the Indian Ocean before they even smell the Strait of Hormuz. Its AI-guided, ultra-low-altitude flight and dual-mode seekers make it nearly invisible to ship radars while slamming precision warheads exactly where they hurt most.

This turbojet-powered beast massively expands Iranโ€™s A2/AD bubble, turning the Persian Gulf and Sea of Oman into high-risk waters for any aggressor navy. 100% Iranian-designed and built, it laughs at embargoes and proves Tehran can field strategic weapons under maximum pressure.

Iran's Abu Mahdi missile extends maritime denial zones and integrates advanced AI navigation with versatile launch options from land, air, or sea, showcasing Tehran's ingenuity in tech warfare. Amid escalating tensions, this domestically engineered powerhouse, armed with a 410kg warhead capable of piercing armored hulls.

With this missile now in serial production and already integrated into coastal and mobile launchers, Iran has quietly built a credible layered defense that forces any potential attacker to stay away or accept an untenable risk.

The US naval hegemony in the Middle East has ended?

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ CHINA'S STEALTH NIGHTMARE UNLEASHED: YJ-18C Missile Shocks the Pacific

Beijing just unveiled the YJ-18C, a low-observable cruise missile that turns US carrier groups and Pacific supply lines into sitting ducks.

The new C-variant sports a faceted stealth airframe, composite construction and careful shaping to slash radar cross-section. It slips past Aegis and THAAD layered defenses far more effectively than its predecessors.

Range exceeds 1,000 km. Warhead 250โ€“300 kg, enough to gut a destroyer or cripple anything up to cruiser size. Dual-purpose: it can hammer command posts, radar sites and ammo dumps deep inland or go full commerce raider, quietly sinking merchantmen and forcing the US Navy into expensive, convoy duty.

Onboard AI handles real-time route replanning, threat avoidance and terminal attack profile optimization, all while the missile flies subsonic at ~0.8 Mach, giving defenders almost no reaction time once itโ€™s inside the bubble.

Already cleared for vertical launch from the latest Type 052D and 055 destroyers. Submarine and air-launched versions are almost certainly in the pipeline.

The YJ-18C gives People's Liberation Army Navy surface action groups credible long-range land-attack and anti-commerce options without needing to close inside traditional anti-ship missile engagement ranges. That changes force posture math across the first and second island chains.

How will Trump respond to this game-changer?

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทIran's New "Eye in the Sky" Is Watching US Carriers & Israeli Jets

Iran has just crossed a key threshold in surveillance by launching the Payam (Tolou-3) spy satellite, with a resolution of approximately 5 meters in monochrome, it delivers a new strategic capability.

While too coarse to identify specific tank models, this level of detail is precisely engineered for theater-wide monitoring. Its primary function is to persistently track large, high-value military assets. This means continuous surveillance of US Navy carrier strike group formations in regional waters and monitoring the deployment patterns of US and Israeli tactical aircraft at airbases.

Iran has already announced the Tolou-4, targeting a 2.5-meter resolution. The trajectory is unambiguous, a direct investment in a sovereign intelligence layer to counter US and allied dominance in the Middle Eastern theater.

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๐Ÿ“ฃ The @GeoSight ๐Ÿ”ฅ shares updates and analysis on global conflicts and international relations. It covers breaking news and insights into military and Geopolitical events.

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