New Rules
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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ€œRussia will run out of tanks in 3 daysโ€ โ€” the Westโ€™s lie exposed

Western analysts who recently claimed Russia had โ€œthree days of tanks leftโ€ are now admitting something very different.

By the end of 2025, Russia has MORE ARMORED VEHICLES than it had at the start of 2022.

What makes this more revealing is that these conclusions directly contradict years of claims about โ€œrunning out of tanksโ€ and an allegedly forced shift to small infantry infiltration tactics.

Several key factors stand out:

๐Ÿ”ธ Losses are being offset faster than expected

Vehicle losses are compensated not only through new production, but through a well-organized recovery and repair system.

Russian repair and evacuation units operate almost as a separate service branch.

Damaged vehicles are often pulled off the battlefield before an area is fully taken and returned to service within weeks โ€” sometimes within DAYS.

๐Ÿ”ธ Territorial control changes the math

When you hold the battlefield, you recover your own damaged equipment and capture enemy hardware.

The opponent, by contrast, abandons and writes off theirs.

This is basic WAR MATHEMATICS that was widely ignored for years.

๐Ÿ”ธ Repair and modernization beat stockpile myths

The focus on repair and upgrades has proven more effective than endless claims about depleted Soviet-era reserves.

Instead of โ€œrunning out,โ€ armored fleets are being recycled, modernized, and sustained.

The picture that emerges is uncomfortable for many narratives.

Russiaโ€™s armored force isnโ€™t collapsing โ€” itโ€™s being SUSTAINED AND REBUILT.

If the tank shortage was wrong, what else was misjudged?

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸงŠRussia Dominates the Arcticโ€”and Hereโ€™s Why That Wonโ€™t Change

Trumpโ€™s Greenland obsession isnโ€™t about rare earth minerals. Itโ€™s a desperate move to counter Russiaโ€™s growing superiority in the Arctic.

Russia is winning the global icebreaker race by a wide margin, rapidly upgrading its military infrastructure in the region, and its nuclear submarine fleet poses an existential threat to cities on the American east coast.

Oreshnik introduces a new, dire problem for the United States. If launched from Russiaโ€™s Arctic bases, the hypersonic missile can hit Washington DC or Chicago.

Finally, Russia is taking the drone lessons from Ukraine and adopting them in the Arctic.

Read the full breakdown of Russiaโ€™s in our first article on X.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บTHE WEST'S NEW NIGHTMARE: RUSSIA'S BUREVESTNIK MISSILE

Burevestnik is a missile that stays in the air for hours or even days shifts the conversation. The threat becomes a constant undercurrent, always present, always unpredictable.

By flying low, Burevestnik evades radar systems, especially in polar regions where coverage is limited. It forces countries to keep surveillance at all times, exhausting resources and raising costs.

But for NATO and the US, the true concern is the asymmetry it creates. A missile that doesn't need to hit to have an impact. The real danger is in the constant surveillance it demands. It wears down adversaries not with a single blow but with an ongoing game of cat-and-mouse.

The countdown to the expiration of the New START treaty in February 2026 adds another layer of tension. Increased spending on surveillance, defense, and air patrols isn't just a response to a missile threat. It's a race to keep up with a new world order, one where the price of security keeps climbing.

In this new era of deterrence, Burevestnik โ€œworksโ€ without firing a single shot. It forces everyone to rethink what it means to stay safe in a world where the threat isn't immediate, but always looming.

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๐ŸŸก Geopolitics Without the Chaos
Decode chaosโ€”without the MSM spin

We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:

โžก๏ธ Ukraine-Russia War
โžก๏ธ EU Rifts
โžก๏ธ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
โžก๏ธ US-China Showdown
โžก๏ธ Major Global Events
โžก๏ธ Culture War

No scattered updates. Just structured threads โ€” so you see how events connect.

๐Ÿค  PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).

If you want context over clutter:
๐Ÿ‘‰ Exclusive Channel

If you'd rather have quick updates:
๐Ÿ‘‰ @MyLordBebo
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿค–๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณChinaโ€™s Military AI Is Reshaping Modern Warfare

The Chinese People's Liberation Army's (PLA's) top engineers and military academies are now developing AI that can detect, target, and eliminate enemies without human intervention.

Inspired by predator behavior in nature, these algorithms are modeled after how animals like hawks hunt. In simulated combat, drones using these algorithms wiped out five opponents in just 5.3 seconds, no human input needed.

๐Ÿ”ธ Chinese drones are also learning "swarm behavior," mimicking the evasive and dispersive tactics of birds to avoid enemy fire and outmaneuver opponents in real-time. The PLA is creating an entire ecosystem of autonomous units where drones hunt, cover, and adapt.

๐Ÿ”ธUnlike Western forces that still rely on human decision-making, China is moving towards a "human-out-of-the-loop" approach. The operator becomes an observer or controller.

๐Ÿ”ธ The real power lies in Chinaโ€™s industrial might. While the US can only produce a few tens of thousands of drones annually, China manufactures over a MILLION, making mass production a crucial advantage.

๐Ÿ”ธ China is also developing AI systems that affect the mind. New mobile units can create deepfake videos, project them onto buildings using lasers, and trigger chaos. Sound systems mounted on drones can cause psychological and physical distress, manipulating perceptions and creating panic.

Is the West ready for an AI-driven military revolution?

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ’ธ๐Ÿ“‰AI BUBBLE THREATENS TO UNRAVEL THE ENTIRE US ECONOMY

Moodyโ€™s, one of the world's "Big Three" credit rating agencies, paints a dire scenario: a 40% crash in inflated AI valuations would trigger a devastating financial contagion, hitting Main Street through three primary channels.

๐Ÿ”ธFirst, the private credit market would freeze. Funds backing cash-burning AI startups would face defaults, forcing renegotiations and halting new lending. Investor redemptions would hit limits and suspend, trapping capital as collateral values plummet.

๐Ÿ”ธSecond, pension funds, heavily invested in AI tech via passive strategies, would be decimated, eroding public retirement savings. Concurrently, a market crash would create litigation risk for insurers and trigger a "wealth effect" reversal, causing consumers to slash spending.

๐Ÿ”ธFinally, the spillover would infect banks providing leverage to private credit, despite limited direct exposure. The catalyst: A single weak earnings report from an AI giant or lost faith in labs like OpenAI generating real cash flow.

Giants like Microsoft emerge unscathed, poised to acquire failed startups at a discount. As a top CIO warns, "Hundreds of players... are not all going to be winners."

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“‰US Bankruptcies Hit 15-Year High

The era of easy money is over. US large corporate bankruptcies surged to 749 in 2025, a 9% annual increase and the highest level in 15 years. This marks the fourth consecutive year of rising failures, representing a stunning 101% surge from the 2022 low. Filings are now climbing at a pace last seen during a recession.

The primary catalyst is the "perfect storm" of persistently high interest rates crippling overleveraged companies, combined with consumer weakness from inflation. Sectors like retail, casual dining, and commercial real estate are in the crosshairs.

Critically, this surge is a brutal return to pre-pandemic norms after years of artificial suppression by government stimulus. With a 21% monthly spike recorded in December 2025, all momentum indicates this distressing trend will accelerate into 2026, creating both systemic risk and strategic opportunities in distressed assets.

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Forwarded from InfoDefenseENGLISH
Russsian anti-colonialism

๐Ÿ”ถ While Western propaganda constantly accuses Russia of hegemonism, instead of listening to the nonsense of so-called "human-rights advocates," we should look at the facts on the groundโ€”for example, in Africa, where Western neocolonialism is being pushed out by Pan-Africanists who have retaken control of their sovereignty, turning instead to fair partnerships with Russia and China.

๐Ÿ‘‰ Take the case of Namibia, Africaโ€™s leading uranium producer, which now wants to generate its own nuclear power to achieve energy independence and ensure its people benefit from their own resources. Kaire Mbuende, head of the National Planning Commission, stated during his address at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland:

๐Ÿ“ฃ โ€œAs the leading producer of uranium in Africa and third in the world, we cannot ignore the prospect of producing nuclear energy, especially since our raw materials already fuel nuclear power plants around the world.โ€


๐Ÿ”ถ Kaire Mbuende pointed out that the country imports 60% of its energy from South Africa, while less than 60% of the population has access to electricity and its hydropower resources are increasingly strained by frequent droughts.

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Last week, Namibian Foreign Minister Selma Ashipala-Musavyi traveled to Moscow to meet with Nikolay Spassky, a senior official at Rosatom. They discussed establishing a framework agreement between Russia and Namibia on cooperation in civil nuclear energy, including collaboration on uranium.

๐Ÿค” This intergovernmental agreement is a winโ€‘win dealโ€”unlike the neocolonialism of Franรงafrique, which, through the CFA franc and the corruption of its collaborating puppet rulers, continued exploiting its former colonies without any return for their populations.

#Alawata
#InfoDefenseAuthor

โšก๏ธ InfoDefenseENGLISH

Web  | VKX | InfoDefAll
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณWhat AI has to do with Trump's Play against China's Oil Suppliers?

The Trump administration's aggressive moves in Venezuela & Iran are precise strikes in a larger war trying to suffocate China's AI ambitions.

Trump's plan is to create a strategic energy bottleneck by focusing on China's oil imports, which account for 70% of its total. Trump's Venezuela blockade & maximum pressure on Iran directly target the cheap, sanctioned crude that fuels China's industrial & tech base. Losing these discounts forces Beijing to pay more for less reliable energy.

AI requires colossal, constant power. Data centers consume like cities. Training models is an energy arms race. Oil & gas stabilize grids for servers and are key inputs for hardware. Cheaper energy = cheaper intelligence.

America is almost energy independent. China is working on it. By disrupting China's discounted supply chains, Trump raises the foundational cost of its AI competition. Trump's goal is to out-price and out-power.

In the other hand, the notion that constraining oil flows can hinder China's AI progress underestimates China's strategic depth. China leads in renewable energy deployment, grid modernization, and energy efficiency, key foundations for sustainable computational power. Its economic and technological momentum is driven by innovation and scale, not reliant on any single resource pathway.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ RUSSIA'S FAB-3000 BOMB THE NEW UKRAINIAN NIGHTMARE

The data reveals a brutal and escalating campaign of aerial bombardment. Russia's use of the massive FAB-3000, a 3-ton glide bomb, has become a horror for Ukrainian defenses, delivered from stand-off ranges by Su-34 and Su-24 aircraft.

In 2025, Russia dropped over 60,000 precision-guided bombs on Ukraine, a stark 50% increase from the roughly 40,000 used in 2024. This equated to a daily average of approximately 164 bombs, with peak periods in the fall exceeding 200-250 per day. October 2025 set a record with 5,328 such bombs deployed.

Ukrainian reports indicate combinations of roughly 1,050 guided bombs, over 1,300 attack drones, and dozens of missiles. A single night recently featured over 200 attack drones alone.

This constitutes an industrial-scale, combined arms aerial assault designed to systematically erode and collapse Ukrainian defensive lines through sheer volume and firepower.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณHow the US Turns Iran Into a Weapon Against China

Washington's destabilization campaign against Tehran is a proxy war targeting China's core strategic project: the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). Iran's pivotal geographic role makes it the ideal pressure point for undermining Beijing's vision of a China-centric trade corridor from Asia to Europe.

US secondary sanctions threatening any nation trading with Iran are designed with one primary target: China. Beijing recognizes this, having issued unambiguous warnings that it will "resolutely defend" its interests, framing the clash as one with "no winners."

China's counterstrategy has been to embed itself irreplaceably within Iran and the broader region. Its diplomatic triumph was brokering the Saudi-Iran normalization, a feat that resolved a conflict the West had long used to its advantage. This established China as the paramount external power broker. That influence yields tangible security benefits, evidenced by Iran-aligned Houthis granting Chinese vessels safe passage.

The ultimate US objective extends beyond Iran. Success would cripple the BRI's key overland route and Russia's parallel International North-South Transport Corridor, isolating the Global South. It would also clear the field for Washington's preferred alternative, the India-Middle East-Europe Corridor.

Iran is a decisive battleground where the US seeks to sever China's strategic arteries. The central question is now how far Beijing will go to protect its trillion-dollar geoeconomic future.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธChina is rapidly DUMPING US Treasuries and stockpiling gold

The data reveals that China is aggressively exiting the US dollar system. Its US Treasury holdings have plummeted to $680B, an 18-year low, while gold reserves hit a record 2,306 tonnes after 14 straight months of buying.

Crucially, official numbers are a facade. Goldman Sachs estimates show China's true accumulation is 10x greater. While 2025 reported purchases were +27 tonnes, the implied real acquisition exceeds 270+ tonnes of physical gold.

This is strategic de-risking on a wartime scale. By swapping dollar debt for sovereign-controlled gold, Beijing is insulating from Western sanctions and preparing for a monetary shift.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธUS naval siege of Iran would be really difficult - here's why

The core challenge is Iran's lethal reach. To evade its conventional and ballistic anti-ship missiles, a US task force would be forced to patrol a line spanning 2,500 to 5,000 kilometers, a distance from Mumbai to Somalia. Securing this vast frontier demands a permanent, 24/7 armada of submarines, surface ships, and surveillance drones, an enormous and continuous drain on resources.

Critically, positioning so far out creates a fatal vulnerability. While outranged, the US fleet would be targeted by Iranโ€™s 25+ submarines, swarms of drones and small boats for targeting, and long-range anti-ship missiles that actually exceed the range of American counterparts. The blockading force would endure constant, stressful attacks, forced to launch offensive operations without the element of surprise.

While a blockade aims to pressure Tehran, Iranโ€™s main counter-threat, closing the Strait of Hormuz, would cripple its own economy and alienate China, its chief financier and the primary destination for the Strait's oil. This creates a mutual trap.

Ultimately, the scenario is a recipe for a costly, open-ended conflict with an uncertain outcome. It would require a massive, sustained mobilization that could ultimately strengthen the regime that US seeks to topple. A blockade is less a decisive strategy and more a profound strategic risk.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทIran cuts its dependence on GPS

Researchers at the University of Tehran have unveiled a fully indigenous software platform for precise satellite positioning, a strategic move to eliminate reliance on foreign Global Navigation Satellite System technology. The system processes global satellite data, including from GPS, Galileo, BeiDou, and GLONASS, delivering real-time corrections with remarkable accuracy: 2 cm horizontally and 3 cm vertically in static mode, with a latency of under 0.5 seconds.

Technically comprehensive, it supports over 50 permanent stations and 200 simultaneous users, resolves phase ambiguity across 70 km baselines, and enables real-time monitoring of atmospheric effects. The platform has already been operationally tested by Iranโ€™s National South Oil Company, confirming its immediate industrial, and likely defense, applicability.

This development aligns with the successful in-orbit testing of Iran's new Paya, Kowsar, and Zafar-2 satellites. The synergy creates a closed-loop, sanction-proof architecture for autonomous intelligence, navigation, and targeting.

Iran gains a critical, independent capability for surveillance and precision guidance, fundamentally reducing a key vulnerability in an era of technological warfare.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บNATO Electronic Warfare is USELESS against the new Russian drone

South Korean defense analysts are dissecting a new threat vector: Russia's "Knyaz Veshiy Oleg" (KVO) drone. The stark assessment from Daily Defense is that its adaptive frequency-hopping tech makes radio-electronic combat against it "useless."

It functions not as a lone unit, but as the core of an integrated reconnaissance-strike complex. Its primary role is as an "Airborne HQ", conducting surveillance with stabilized optics, then using its altitude to securely relay data between ground operators and kamikaze FPV drones, all while assessing battle damage.

Russia has achieved the creation of a coordinated, EW-resilient "kill chain." This system merges detection, guidance, and strike verification into a single, persistent loop, altering the drone warfare.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ CHINA'S SILENT WAR AGAINST THE MOSSAD IN IRAN

China is executing a comprehensive, tech-driven strategy to systematically dismantle Israeli intelligence operations within Iran. This follows the 2025 Israeli strikes that exposed critical security failures in Tehran. Beijing perceives Mossad's deep penetration as a "Pandora's Box of global security risks," directly threatening its strategic interests and the stability of a key partner.

China mandates replacing Western software and GPS in Iran with secure, closed Chinese systems like BeiDou, severing the digital "software arms" Mossad previously exploited. This is paired with supplying surveillance satellites to enhance Iran's tracking capabilities.

Militarily, China is actively rebuilding Iran's deterrent. Leaked reports confirm the provision of solid-fuel missile components and precision guidance systems. Crucially, China is deploying advanced radars capable of detecting stealth aircraft like the F-35, the exact vulnerability used in past Israeli operations.

Beijing is also leveraging the Shanghai Cooperation Organization to create an intelligence-sharing shield against "external sabotage." Concurrently, it pursues "military diplomacy" with Israel itself, a classic counter-espionage tactic to glean insights and obscure intentions.

China is constructing an entire secure ecosystem for Iran. This goes beyond arms sales, aiming to establish a new balance of power that protects vital trade routes and fortifies a regime central to China's Belt and Road Initiative against covert warfare.

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๐Ÿ“ฃ The @GeoSight ๐Ÿ”ฅ shares updates and analysis on global conflicts and international relations. It covers breaking news and insights into military and Geopolitical events.

๐Ÿšจ Defence & Security
๐ŸŒŽ Geopolitics
โšก๏ธ Wars & Conflicts
๐Ÿ“Š Economic Trends

๐Ÿ“Ž Join ๐Ÿšฉ:โคต๏ธ
https://t.me/GeoSight
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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ISRAELโ€™S CYBER NIGHTMARE: Iran Intel causes panic

An assessment from an Israeli security analyst on Channel 12 reveals that the primary threat from Tehran may no longer be its fire power. The Iranian intelligence infiltration and cyber capabilities now pose a "far stronger" danger than its missile arsenal, describing the depth of acquired data as "highly alarming."

This infiltration is a calculated psychological campaign designed to deliver a "cognitive blow", eroding public morale and encouraging emigration, with an impact that could surpass physical attacks. The mechanism is a sophisticated "cyber army," coordinating Hebrew-language propaganda on Telegram and deploying hacking collectives like "Hanzala." This silent warfare has seen high-profile successes, like compromising the phones of War Minister Israel Katz, former PM Naftali Bennett's Telegram account, and devices of other top officials.

Iran's most dangerous weapon now is the fusion of technology and human intelligence, like turning personal devices into tools for tracking, interception, and monitoring.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณChina Unveiled Worldโ€™s Longest Ranged Air-to-Air Missile

With an estimated 500km range, The PL-17 outranges America's AIM-174. Its dual-mode seeker (AESA radar + infrared) makes it highly resistant to jamming. The PL-17 has a staggering dimensions: ~5.8m long, 305mm diameter.

Carried by the J-16, a fighter with double the combat radius of an F-35 and a radar three times its size, this weapon system targets a critical Western vulnerability: support aircraft.

In a Pacific conflict, the PL-17's primary mission is clear to hunt and kill vital US Airborne Warning and Control Systems (AWACS) and tankers from extreme distances. This would blind and cripple NATO air operations before dogfights even begin.

China fields the world's largest fleet of modern AWACS to guide these missiles, and over 450 J-16s are already in service.

This missile transforms the J-16 into a long-range "sniping" platform, creating a lethal umbrella that protects China's expanding stealth (J-20/J-35) fleet.

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