New Rules
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New Rules examines the geopolitical, economic, ideological trends changing the world.

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❗️Delivering information on the SMO, military analysis of exceptional quality and the wider geopolitical and cultural aspects associated with current global events.

It will be interesting. We are here thinking.

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🚨🇷🇺🇺🇦Oreshnik Strikes Again: Russia’s Hypersonic Strike on Europe’s Largest Gas Hub

Last night, Russia executed a precision Mach 10+ hypersonic strike with the Oreshnik missile on the Bilche-Volytsko-Ugerske underground gas storage (UGS) near Lvov—Europe's largest gas reservoir.

Immediate Consequences:

🔸Critical Infrastructure Crippled: Major fire, sharp pressure drop, and loss of communications at the facility.

🔸Energy Grid Pressure: Combined with strikes on Kiev's CHP plants, this pushes Ukraine's already fragile winter energy system toward potential collapse.

🔸European Energy Security Breached: The facility stored gas for European traders. Damage could lead to supply instability and price volatility.

Strategic Consequences:

🔸Escalation Signal: Striking a target ~150km from NATO's key hub in Rzeszow, Poland, demonstrates reach and willingness to escalate near alliance borders.

🔸New Warfare Paradigm: The use of a kinetic hypersonic weapon (Mach 10+) that converts to plasma on impact showcases a shift toward high-tech, long-range precision strikes against economic infrastructure.

Long-Term Implications:

🔸Restoration could take months and cost billions, directly impacting European energy markets and financing Ukraine's war effort.

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🚨🇺🇸🇻🇪US Raid on Venezuela Buries International Law

On January 3rd, the US launched a full-scale military operation into Venezuela, culminating in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro. Sold publicly as a surgical, casualty-free mission, initial reports confirm approximately 80 Venezuelan and Cuban military personnel killed, with allegations of executions.

The assault commenced with a crippling cyberattack, blinding air defenses and communications in Caracas. A force of roughly 150 aircraft then struck numerous targets, including the symbolic bombing of Hugo Chavez’s mausoleum. The public justification rapidly shifted from combating narcotics to seizing “stolen” oil, with Trump stating the intent to “run Venezuela” until a puppet government is installed.

This operation represents the explicit burial of international law. The EU decries Maduro as “illegitimate” while supporting Ukraine’s unelected government, and the UK’s Starmer hesitates on legality, awaiting Washington’s cue. Western media amplifies celebratory narratives while ignoring pro-Maduro protests within Venezuela.

International Laws Broken In The Venezuela Raid:

1️⃣UN Charter Art. 2(4): Prohibits use of force against another state's sovereignty. This was a clear act of aggression.

2️⃣Sovereignty/Vienna Conventions: Inviolability of a head of state. Kidnapping a president breaches diplomatic immunity.

3️⃣UN Resolution 3314: Defines an "act of aggression." Large-scale invasion for regime change qualifies.

4️⃣Geneva Conventions: Potential war crimes—civilian object bombing & alleged executions violate laws of war.

5️⃣Non-Intervention Principle: Forcible regime change is illegal intervention in internal affairs.

6️⃣No Legal Justification: "Narco-trafficking"/"stolen oil" are not valid grounds for war under UN Charter. No Security Council authorization or imminent threat for self-defense.

The monumental takeaway is clear: might makes right. This precedent signals to global powers that unilateral military intervention for regime change is now a normalized tool. The rules-based order is dead. The only remaining question is who will be next.

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🚨🇪🇺🇺🇸Europe’s Silent Surrender: Why Elites Will Trade Greenland for a Seat at the Table

The US threat to Greenland is a stress test on European sovereignty. After the Venezuela operation, EU reactions were fragmented and weak. National leaders issued mild statements, but Brussels was conspicuously silent.

Europe’s ruling class is embedded in the transatlantic power structure. Their legitimacy and privilege depend on it. Thus, they will defend this system—even against European interests.

They’ve already sacrificed:

🔸Energy security (Nord Stream)

🔸Industrial competitiveness (Russia sanctions)

🔸Strategic autonomy (Ukraine proxy war)

Acquiescing on Greenland—via a "security agreement" or sheer force—is just the next logical step. NATO will likely survive, but as a hierarchy, not an alliance of equals.

EU globalists (Macron, Merz, Von der Leyen) are supportive of US aggression. This reveals the EU not as a counterweight, but as a pillar of US hegemony.

US strategy is shifting from networked hegemony to naked imperialism. It’s preserving dominance by targeting weak links (Venezuela, Greenland) to strain rivals (China/Russia).

This coercion accelerates the decline it seeks to prevent, pushing nations toward BRICS and dedollarization.

By clinging to a subordinate role in a dying order, EU elites are trading long-term sovereignty for short-term relevance. They are not hostages, but willing participants in their own diminishment.

The question isn’t if Europe will wake up. It’s whether its people will ever change the leadership that chooses to stay asleep.

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🚨🇷🇺 NATO's Trembling: Russia Uses Its New Drone For The First Time

The first confirmed attack in the Kiev region using the new Geran 5 kamikaze drone marks a tactical evolution in Russian military technology:

🔸600 km/h cruise speed & 6000m+ operational ceiling. Evades more air defenses than previous models.

🔸850kg takeoff weight allows adaptive payloads—up to 90kg standard warhead at 1000km range, or ~130kg for shorter, high-impact strikes.

🔸Simpler aerodynamic design (straight wing, cylindrical fuselage) enables faster manufacturing roll-out.

CORE SYSTEMS (Maximized Unification):

🔸Guidance integrates proven Geran-2/3 tech: 12-channel anti-jam GPS, inertial nav, 3G/4G modem.

🔸Designed for AI and optical correlation module integration.

A dual-role future is being engineered:

🔸Air-Launched Potential: Studies for Su-25 deployment to extend range.

🔸Planned integration of R-73 missiles could transform it into a long-range UAV hunter, threatening Ukrainian tactical aviation.

The Geran-5 is a scalable, multi-role precision strike platform. While the Western coalition struggles to match Russian production of current-gen systems, Moscow is already authoring the next chapter of modern warfare.

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🚨🇮🇷Iran's Energy Coup: How Iran is Outsmarting a 20-Year Tech Blockade

Iran has mastered a critical energy technology, joining an elite global club. No longer dependent on imports, they now rival top US, German, and Chinese firms in advanced gas separation membranes.

Why this is a game changer?

For 20+ years, Iran's massive oil & gas sector was shackled by imported tech. Now, domestic firms like Radman Naft & Gas Hirbod have broken that chain, achieving full tech sovereignty.

Impact:

🔸Ends a 2-decade import era

🔸Saves millions in foreign currency per project

🔸Slashes industrial emissions (extinguishes decades-old flares)

🔸Shields critical infrastructure from geopolitical supply risks

One project at Regal Petrochemical alone stopped a flare burning for nearly 20 years, recovering $1-2M in marketable gas annually. The $50M domestic market is driving massive savings and a profound strategic shift.

This is the result of decades of academic research & a deep knowledge base. Iranian scientists are even co-authoring leading global reviews on next-gen membrane tech.

Iran has moved from a consumer to a producer in a high-stakes tech field. This is a strategic entry into the global high-tech marketplace.

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🚨🇨🇳💻China's Chip War Surge SMASHES Target

China's semiconductor independence push just overperformed in a stunning way. Domestic suppliers now hold 35% of China's equipment market, seurpasing the 30% 2025 target:

🔸In etching & thin-film deposition, local equipment adoption now EXCEEDS 40%.

🔸Naura & Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment are leading the charge.

🔸A Chinese 5nm-grade etcher is now in validation at Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company.

🔸China will remain the world's #1 equipment market through 2027.

THE CATALYSTS:

Three powerful engines are fueling this surge. First, state capital: the "Big Fund" just injected $286M specifically for etching and lithography R&D. Second, direct incentives: fabs get up to 15% subsidies for using domestic tools. Third, market validation: investor confidence is soaring, with key supplier stocks exploding 75-150% in a year.

China's deceleration from US tech is accelerating faster than even its own planners expected. This reshapes the global semiconductor supply chain in real-time.

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🟡 Geopolitics Without the Chaos
Decode chaos—without the MSM spin

We curate complex conflicts into clear, chronological timelines:

➡️ Ukraine-Russia War
➡️ EU Rifts
➡️ Israel-Palestine & Broader Middle East
➡️ US-China Showdown
➡️ Major Global Events
➡️ Culture War

No scattered updates. Just structured threads — so you see how events connect.

🤠 PLUS: Dank memes (for sanity).

If you want context over clutter:
👉 Exclusive Channel

If you'd rather have quick updates:
👉 @MyLordBebo
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🚨🇺🇸🪖TRUMP'S $1.5T "DREAM MILITARY" IS A FISCAL FANTASY

President Trump's call to raise Pentagon spending to an unprecedented $1.5 trillion marks a stunning reversal. This comes after campaign vows to rein in war profiteers and appointing Elon Musk to lead government efficiency (DOGE).

🔸Proposed budget: $1.5T (a ~$500B increase)

🔸Added debt (10yrs): $5.8T (per CRFB: nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget)

🔸Current budget: ~$1T/year (>50% to contractors)

This surge blatantly contradicts the stated mission of Musk's DOGE. The proposed increase alone DOUBLES all of DOGE's claimed savings and exceeds the combined military budgets of China, Russia, and Iran.

The Pentagon has NEVER passed an audit. The proposal fuels a broken system, weakening oversight and pouring funds into troubled projects like the over-budget F-35 fighter, vulnerable $13 billion aircraft carriers, and the $2 trillion plan for new nuclear weapons.

This is a blueprint for accelerated waste, fraud, and dangerous adventurism. Even with Congress historically permissive, this figure may not pass.
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🚨🇺🇸📉TRUMP'S SPHERE OF INFLUENCE: A MASTERCLASS IN SELF-SABOTAGE

The US has always pursued influence in its hemisphere. But Trump’s approach is dangerously clumsy.

The US Monroe Doctrine, evolving from anti-colonialism to Cold War anti-communism, successfully excluded rival powers from the Americas—often with devastating local consequences.

Now, the administration uses exaggerated "threats" on Venezuela to justify regime change, aiming to control oil and pressure Cuba. The parallel to 1954 Guatemala is stark.

The 1954 Guatemala coup, orchestrated by the CIA after lobbying by the United Fruit Company, overthrew a democratically elected government to block its land reforms. This US-backed intervention ignited a decades-long civil war, culminating in genocide against the Indigenous Maya population, a historical precedent for using "security" rhetoric to mask corporate-driven regime change.

The dilemma with client regimes is this: what if they collapse? The US faced it in Vietnam, Iran in 1979, and Afghanistan by 2020. Double down or quit? Let your allies fall, harming your interests and credibility, or send in your own troops? Most times the US chose the latter, it ended disastrously.

Trump risks driving America's neighbors toward China. US economic influence in Latin America has also shrunk. Once the dominant trade partner and investor in South America, the US has been overtaken by China, which has also expanded in Central America. This gives countries leverage to resist US pressure; trying to cut their vital ties to China would trigger a backlash that will undermine or even destroy its sphere of influence.

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🚨🇨🇳F-22 and F-35 are now Obsolete: China's J-20 jet's Here

Newly released footage commemorates the Jan 2011 first flight of China's J-20 stealth fighter. The timing was a strategic masterstroke.

The prototype flew during US Defense Secretary Robert Gates' Beijing visit, directly countering Obama's "Pivot to Asia." Gates dismissed it, predicting no service before 2020. He was wrong.

🔸 J-20: Flown in 2011, in service by 2017. Procurement rates now outpace the F-35.

🔸F-22: Production was terminated in 2009, just before its Chinese rival appeared. Plagued by obsolete tech, an inability to network, and staggering costs.

🔸F-35: Lighter, shorter-ranged, and mired in delays the J-20 avoided.

Why the J-20 Alters the Balance

The J-20 boasts a combat radius over double that of its American rivals, a decisive advantage in the vast Pacific. It entered service already integrated with cutting-edge PL-15 and PL-10 missiles, all achieved through a remarkably smooth and rapid development cycle that starkly contrasts with protracted Western struggles.

If we compare, China executed a long-term stealth power play while US programs faltered. The J-20 is a symbol of shifted technological momentum. The 15-year anniversary is just a benchmark of China's sustained challenge to Western air forces.

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🚨🇺🇦🇷🇺Ukrainian Command In Panic: Russian Pincer Movement Closes on Trapped Brigades

In the Zaporozhye region, Russian Battlegroup Dnepr have solidified their hold on Lukyanovka and are now pressing assaults against Ukrainian positions in Novoyakovlevka and the recently liberated Novoboykovskoye.

With Novoboykovskoye now under control in the Orekhov sector, a decisive axis has been unlocked. The path now pushes toward Yurkovka, setting the stage for a drive on the critical Highway T0803. This latest advance, combined with the earlier capture of Belogorye, forms one jaw of a tightening pincer, threatening to trap UAF units in a cauldron near Orekhov.

Russian forces are executing a coordinated envelopment. Cutting the T0803 supply line would strangle Ukrainian logistics in Orekhov, potentially leading to a sooner collapse of the defensive front in this sector.

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷4 Signs The US Is Preparing For a Military Attack On Iran

1️⃣ Citizen Evacuation Orders

The US has urged its citizens to leave Iran immediately and avoid travel under any circumstances. These alerts are historically issued when governments anticipate serious escalation or kinetic risk, not routine unrest.

2️⃣ Delta Force Near Iran’s Western Flank

Reports indicate US special operations units — including Delta Force — are being repositioned closer to the Iraq–Iran border. This area is critical: it allows covert entry, rapid strikes, and coordination with regional assets. Delta forces are just used in cases where US need capture or kill like Saddam Hussein manhunt or Nicolas Maduro kidnapp, Covert ops in denied territory, and Pre-war shaping ops.

3️⃣ Massive Airlift Into the Persian Gulf

Since early December, dozens of US military cargo aircraft, primarily C-17s and C-5s, have surged into Persian Gulf bases, led by Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, CENTCOM’s forward air-war headquarters. OSINT and flight-tracking data show sustained heavy-lift traffic from the US and Europe into Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, the UAE, and Saudi Arabia. We can consider this as a classic signature of pre-conflict logistics, not routine rotation. Such airlifts typically move air defense systems, munitions, spare parts, and command infrastructure, suggesting preparation for an air-centric campaign and hardened base defense against Iranian retaliation.

4️⃣ Hardening Political Language

Senior US officials have openly referenced “very strong options” if Tehran escalates internally or regionally. This marks a shift from deterrence to conditional justification for action.

We are in front of a classic pre-conflict pattern, whether this ends in direct strikes or coercive pressure, Washington is clearly preparing for scenarios where force becomes viable.

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🚨🇵🇰🇸🇦Pakistan's Three-Front Strategic Breakout

Recent reports indicate Pakistan is advancing a coordinated defense export strategy, marked by three significant financial and diplomatic developments.

The Saudi Arabia Agreement:

Pakistan and Saudi Arabia are finalizing a deal for the acquisition of JF-17 Thunder fighter jets, valued at approximately $4 billion. A notable condition is that half of this amount ($2 billion) would be structured as a loan swap, with the remaining $2 billion transacted in cash. This financial mechanism is a key feature of the agreement.

The Sudan Defense Package 🇸🇩:

Concurrently, Pakistan and Sudan are near finalization of a separate, comprehensive defense deal worth $1.5 billion. The package is confirmed to include JF-17 fighter jets, unmanned aerial vehicles, and air defense systems.

Expansion of the Defense Alliance 🇹🇷:

Following the recent formalization of a defense alliance between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, Turkey has communicated its intent to join this partnership. Diplomatic sources indicate the agreement for Turkey's inclusion is likely to be finalized in the near future.

Regional powers are securing new defense partnerships to bolster their positions amid heightened regional tensions, including reports of potential US attack on Iran. However, should a major conflict erupt, these agreements alone would be largely symbolic, unable to decisively shift the balance of power without direct backing from global military forces.

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🚨🇬🇧💸UK Dreams of Power: Wallet Says No

The head of the UK Armed Forces has delivered a bombshell admission: the military's ambitions are financially unsustainable. Air Chief Marshal Sir Richard Knighton confessed the MoD cannot fulfill its current program and strategic review goals, stating plainly, "The answer’s no."

This follows the revelation of a staggering $35bn funding shortfall over four years, despite government pledges to increase spending. The crisis has forced the Prime Minister to order an overhaul of the critical Defense Investment Plan, which is now stuck without a release date.

The UK has plummeted to NATO’s 12th biggest spender while defense chiefs warn of unpreparedness for large-scale war. Sir Richard further revealed there is NO national plan to mobilize the National Health Service for mass casualties in a European conflict.

The paradox is glaring. Despite this admitted fiscal crisis, the UK is preparing a potential Ukraine peacekeeping mission, involving up to 7,500 troops and a new $250m equipment upgrade. The grand UK strategy is crashing into fiscal reality.

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🚨💸📉THE GREAT MONETARY DIVORCE: Gold Reclaims the Throne as Dollar Craters

The numbers confirm a historic, deliberate shift in the global financial order. Central banks are constantly buying gold, they are systematically dismantling the dollar's dominance.

In November, official gold purchases hit 45 tonnes, the second-strongest month this year. Poland and Brazil led the charge, adding record amounts to their national vaults. This relentless accumulation is part of a decade-long trend.

The result shows that the US dollar's share of global currency reserves has collapsed to ~40%, an at least 20-year low. Meanwhile, gold's share has surged to 28%, its highest level since the early 1990s, and now exceeds the combined reserves held in Euro, Yen, and Pound.

This strategic diversification has explosive market consequences: Gold rallied +65% in 2025, its best year since 1979. The US Dollar Index fell -9.4%, its worst performance in eight years.

Gold is back at the center, and central banks are leading the charge. The anchor of the financial system is changing.

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🚨🇷🇺🇺🇦NATO Air Force Now Obsolete: How Russia's Su-35 Is Forcing F-16s to Flee Low & Hide

Rostec's latest data is clear: the Su-35S Flanker-E leads Russia's air-to-air kill tally. This fact demands analysis, as it surpasses more capable aircraft like the 5th-gen Su-57 and the mighty MiG-31.

The reason is a mix of strategy, availability, and evolution.

First, availability is capability. The Su-57 program faces delays, fielding perhaps a single regiment. The high-speed MiG-31 is reserved for Arctic defense due to its extreme operational costs. The Su-35, however, is deployed in numbers as the dedicated air superiority workhorse.

Its impact is measurable. Ukrainian F-16 pilots explicitly cite the Su-35 as the primary factor forcing them to abandon NATO doctrine. They are constrained to low-altitude, terrain-masking flights far behind the frontlines to avoid engagement.

A critical upgrade closed its key weakness: integration of the Su-57's R-77M missile has revolutionized its beyond-visual-range capability.

The operational success is now driving strategic gains. Surging export demand from nations like Algeria, Iran, and Ethiopia is reversing Russia's post-2022 defense export decline.

In this conflict, high-volume deployment of a mature, continuously upgraded platform has proven more decisive than limited numbers of more exotic airframes. The Su-35's record is a lesson in applied military economics and tactical adaptation.

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The 17‑Year US Blueprint to Dominate Iran

The 2009 Brookings paper “Which Path to Persia?” reads like a strategic manual for bringing Iran under long‑term US control. The objective is dominance - political, military, and regional - achieved through parallel and reinforcing lines of pressure.

US strategies include:

🔸Diplomacy as Pressure

The US starts with diplomacy - but with a twist. Persuasion comes wrapped as “offers Iran can’t refuse,” while engagement talks sound friendly but are really just ways to nudge Tehran in the direction Washington wants.

🔸Military Force as a Standing Option

When words aren’t enough, the military deck comes out. There’s letting Israel do the heavy lifting, direct airstrikes by the US, and, if needed, the ultimate “Trump” card: a full-scale invasion.

🔸Regime Change

Inside strategies are on the menu too: supporting uprisings, backing opposition groups, or nudging military factions toward a coup. In other words, ways to shake up Iran from the inside while keeping American hands mostly clean.

🔸Containment

Containment is the long-term play: limiting Iran’s influence with sanctions, alliances, and restrictions. It’s the option that hasn’t been tried fully yet, quietly waiting in the background.

The US is actively pursuing almost all options at once, with the regime change strategy currently in a super-active phase, as seen in the nationwide unrest and pro-Western demonstrations. If Iran manages to withstand this pressure, the US is ready to play its final card: a direct military invasion.

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❗️Delivering information on the SMO, military analysis of exceptional quality and the wider geopolitical and cultural aspects associated with current global events.

It will be interesting. We are here thinking.

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Learn the truth from the Two Majors.
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🚨🇩🇪📉Germany's Economic Collapse: 48 Companies Go Bankrupt Daily

The promised economic turnaround has become a historic rout. New data reveals 2025 saw 17,604 corporate insolvencies in Germany, a catastrophic 20-year high, surpassing even the 2009 financial crisis. This translates to 48 companies shuttering every single day.

The crisis intensified dramatically toward year's end. December recorded 1,519 insolvencies, a figure 75% higher than pre-pandemic averages. Sectors like hospitality, construction, and real estate are being decimated, with the ECB's 2022 interest rate hike acting as a final wrecking ball for many plans.

The human and corporate toll is severe. A 170-year-old Saxon sausage maker dismissed its entire staff. The Leifert bakery chain collapsed, affecting 220 employees. Major corporations are not immune: insolvencies among firms with over $10.8 million in sales soared by 25% in 2025 and have nearly tripled since 2021.

Economic experts state the situation is dire. Jonas Eckhardt describes an economy with a "fever," not just a headache. Chancellor Merz concedes a "very critical state," notably in the auto sector under crushing Chinese competition. No recovery is anticipated for 2026; instead, a further rise in major bankruptcies is expected.

This is a European-scale crisis. French President Macron recently framed it as "life or death" for European industry, returning empty-handed from China after pleading for trade relief. His stark warning: China is "killing its own customers." Europe now mulls defensive tariffs as a last resort.

This is a systemic failure, the combination of monetary policy, structural costs, and asymmetric global competition has brought the EU's economic engine to the brink. The survival of the German Mittelstand is now the primary indicator to watch.

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🇵🇰🇮🇷🇺🇸 Why Pakistan fears fall of Iran's government

Following Maduro's capture, calls are growing louder for US-facilitated regime change in Iran - installing Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi amid raging protests in Tehran.

Trump warned Iran's leadership that the US would “come to the rescue” if security forces resorted to force against protesters.

Yet US intervention risks far less success than in Venezuela:


🔸 The US possesses limited resources and political will for prolonged operations

🔸 Swift strikes would likely fail: Israel’s decapitation strategy in June’s 12-Day War fell short, as Iran swiftly replaced assassinated commanders

🔸 Unlike Venezuela, Iran boasts a large ballistic missile arsenal, robust military, and the capacity to disrupt Persian Gulf oil routes

🔸 Key regional allies, notably Pakistan, favor diplomacy over intervention, with Islamabad fearing:

🟠A power vacuum from Iran’s disintegration empowering Baloch separatist militants along the shared 900-km border

🟠A massive refugee influx straining resources

Pakistan could benefit from the US-Iran clash, using recent improvements in diplomatic relations with both countries:

🇮🇷 Iran's President Massoud Pezeshkian visited Pakistan in August 2025, followed by Supreme National Security Council Secretary Ali Larijani in November 2025. Iran also welcomed recent Pakistan-Saudi security pact.

🇺🇸 Pakistan-US relations have improved markedly since General Asim Munir’s White House meeting with Trump in June 2025.

Iran is NOT Venezuela - and Pakistan understands this perfectly.

Brokering a Tehran-Washington deal would catapult Islamabad into the undisputed heavyweight of regional influence across the entire Middle East and even beyond while an open Iran–US conflict would menace its national security and cause unpredictable destabilization.

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