Iran made threats of retaliation against the US, but they do not have the military fortitude.
So, I think they’ll make a retarded move through the strait of Hormuz.
If this happens, Oil prices will skyrocket and Global inflation will ensue.
At that stage, we’ll be begging for BTC to find a support somewhere around 75/80k.
So, I think they’ll make a retarded move through the strait of Hormuz.
If this happens, Oil prices will skyrocket and Global inflation will ensue.
At that stage, we’ll be begging for BTC to find a support somewhere around 75/80k.
It goes without saying that ETH and SOL will be cooked too.
•BTC - 75/80k
•ETH - 1300/1500
•SOL - 90/110
(Context from the preceding post)
•BTC - 75/80k
•ETH - 1300/1500
•SOL - 90/110
(Context from the preceding post)
Those ballistic Missiles by Iran to the US base in Qatar was to save face. Likely with Trumps go ahead. They needed to not look totally weak.
The war might be over.
The war might be over.
Any person or state thinking they can bring down the United States through a fiasco in the Middle East, are delusional and simply do not understand why the United States is and will remain the major force in world governance and political might.
Read a retarded article calling on a Second American Civil War through Iran and a scenario were the United States loses. (Which is a blatantly stupid take, considering the US knows their strength and will capitalize on that as they always have since 1937).
If you don’t see this as the second cornerstone towards the emergence of the new world order with a subtle move in this moment towards engaging and setting up dominoes that will undoubtedly lead to the trilateral commission advancing in its agenda globally, then you are either not informed (which is fine, there’s joy in the simple things of life), or willingly ignoring the signs.
——-
In Trade regards, the smart thing to do is stay sidelined till Israel’s Sabbath(Saturday, to see if Iran attacks or not).
If they do, I’ll be shorting the market as much as I possibly can.
Because everything might be far from over.
Read a retarded article calling on a Second American Civil War through Iran and a scenario were the United States loses. (Which is a blatantly stupid take, considering the US knows their strength and will capitalize on that as they always have since 1937).
If you don’t see this as the second cornerstone towards the emergence of the new world order with a subtle move in this moment towards engaging and setting up dominoes that will undoubtedly lead to the trilateral commission advancing in its agenda globally, then you are either not informed (which is fine, there’s joy in the simple things of life), or willingly ignoring the signs.
——-
In Trade regards, the smart thing to do is stay sidelined till Israel’s Sabbath(Saturday, to see if Iran attacks or not).
If they do, I’ll be shorting the market as much as I possibly can.
Because everything might be far from over.
NYRCJ by Nate 🜲 pinned «It goes without saying that ETH and SOL will be cooked too. •BTC - 75/80k •ETH - 1300/1500 •SOL - 90/110 (Context from the preceding post)»
Pinned targets will be viable in the event that Iran does attack Israel over the weekend.
I wouldn’t pay much attention to the current situation of Iran supposedly launching a missile that breaks the ceasefire.
I wouldn’t pay much attention to the current situation of Iran supposedly launching a missile that breaks the ceasefire.
Getting back to posting on X, perhaps there are individuals on the timeline that can gain value off what’s being shared here.
https://x.com/natetrades/status/1937435441990631889?s=46
https://x.com/natetrades/status/1937435441990631889?s=46
📊 Updated Perps Desk Thesis – June 28, 2025
BTC outlook – Still bearish
• Holding near $107.5K intraday, but heavy options expiry activity (largest this year: $15–20B) with max-pain clustering around $102K
• Technical: BTC stuck in a descending channel since June, capped at $108–109K resistance; immediate support is $100K-$102K
• Macro drivers: weak USD and ETF inflows are tailwinds, but geopolitical fragility (Middle East ceasefire barely holding) injects risk-off bias.
SOL outlook – increasingly bearish
• Trading at ~$146, rebounding slightly but failing to reclaim the $150–153 resistance .
• Despite on-chain MACD bullish crossover, volume and ecosystem tokens remain weak; bearish price structure intact.
• No fresh catalyst, network activity stagnant and risk-off macro backdrop unfavorable. All eyes on $138–133 support zone.
My Trade strategy – Same game plan
• Short BTC on any re-test of $108–109K. Targets: initial $105K, then $102K–100K range.
• Short SOL on bounce above $147. Structure points lower; initial target $133, next $120 if BTC rolls over.
BTC outlook – Still bearish
• Holding near $107.5K intraday, but heavy options expiry activity (largest this year: $15–20B) with max-pain clustering around $102K
• Technical: BTC stuck in a descending channel since June, capped at $108–109K resistance; immediate support is $100K-$102K
• Macro drivers: weak USD and ETF inflows are tailwinds, but geopolitical fragility (Middle East ceasefire barely holding) injects risk-off bias.
SOL outlook – increasingly bearish
• Trading at ~$146, rebounding slightly but failing to reclaim the $150–153 resistance .
• Despite on-chain MACD bullish crossover, volume and ecosystem tokens remain weak; bearish price structure intact.
• No fresh catalyst, network activity stagnant and risk-off macro backdrop unfavorable. All eyes on $138–133 support zone.
My Trade strategy – Same game plan
• Short BTC on any re-test of $108–109K. Targets: initial $105K, then $102K–100K range.
• Short SOL on bounce above $147. Structure points lower; initial target $133, next $120 if BTC rolls over.
Summary: Derivatives expiry pressures, fading momentum, and geopolitical uncertainty maintain downside bias for BTC. SOL remains more vulnerable, with weaker structure and lower liquidity. Volatile relief rallies could offer ideal entry points for shorting.
NYRCJ by Nate 🜲
📊 Updated Perps Desk Thesis – June 28, 2025 BTC outlook – Still bearish • Holding near $107.5K intraday, but heavy options expiry activity (largest this year: $15–20B) with max-pain clustering around $102K • Technical: BTC stuck in a descending channel since…
All entries given fully.
Now we watch how events unfold politically and economically to support our market rationale.
Now we watch how events unfold politically and economically to support our market rationale.
SOL ETF. Should’ve seen that coming with the motion disparity of SOL over BTC the past few days.
Temporary FOMO. Dust settles by weekend. SL hit on SOL position, BTC still open.
Temporary FOMO. Dust settles by weekend. SL hit on SOL position, BTC still open.
Max FOMO when it is official (perhaps late July).
What a way to start the week though!
What a way to start the week though!
NYRCJ by Nate 🜲
Invalidation ONLY on a bull strength index smashing through 109k into 110k.
Partially TPed when we dipped to 105k per thesis.
Invalidation hit after the surge from the lows per thesis still.
Still got half my position open for a certain speculative reason.
Let’s see how the market unfolds within 48hrs.
Invalidation hit after the surge from the lows per thesis still.
Still got half my position open for a certain speculative reason.
Let’s see how the market unfolds within 48hrs.
Haven't been sharing a lot lately since our invalidation hit, but I am watching the market and politics surrounding inflation and tariffs to capture a basis to build a sentiment and thesis for the next couple of weeks.
Patience in our market, is an immense virtue. GM.
Patience in our market, is an immense virtue. GM.
Forwarded from Watcher Guru
Alpha - the next market short window we get is going to be a long and profitable one (on a global scale), stocks, crypto and Forex.
Capitalize.
Capitalize.