Sadegh Koushki, an Iranian university professor and political analyst, argued that Iran's deterrence erosion stemmed from a lack of political will rather than military capability
He said the decline began after Qassem Soleimani's assassination, when Iran's limited response led the US and Israel to conclude that Tehran had the means but lacked the resolve to use them. He contrasted this with the Iran-Iraq War, when conventional weapons alone sustained deterrence for years because the will was clear.
Koushki cited several subsequent events as evidence: no response to Mohsen Fakhrizadeh's killing, silence after strikes on drone and missile sites, senior commanders killed in Syria with little reaction, and a response to the Damascus consulate strike that caused no Israeli casualties. He placed the blame on Iran's political decision-making rather than the military.
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He said the decline began after Qassem Soleimani's assassination, when Iran's limited response led the US and Israel to conclude that Tehran had the means but lacked the resolve to use them. He contrasted this with the Iran-Iraq War, when conventional weapons alone sustained deterrence for years because the will was clear.
Koushki cited several subsequent events as evidence: no response to Mohsen Fakhrizadeh's killing, silence after strikes on drone and missile sites, senior commanders killed in Syria with little reaction, and a response to the Damascus consulate strike that caused no Israeli casualties. He placed the blame on Iran's political decision-making rather than the military.
Long in the tooth
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Sadegh Koushak, an Iranian expert, made some interesting remarks about why Iran's deterrence has eroded.
The problem was never weapons, but will.
He says the decline began after the assassinati…
The problem was never weapons, but will.
He says the decline began after the assassinati…
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Dr. Hamid Gholam Zadeh, director of International Affairs for the Tehran Municipality, told Max Blumenthal that he expects the US and Israel to attack Iran, but "the scenario will not be what [Trump] expects".
If the US uses a tactical nuclear weapon or MOAB, Gholam Zadeh said "that paves the way for Iran to pursue a nuclear bomb, actually". He concluded that
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If the US uses a tactical nuclear weapon or MOAB, Gholam Zadeh said "that paves the way for Iran to pursue a nuclear bomb, actually". He concluded that
"the best way for the Americans is to concede the defeat that they have suffered in the war and just leave the scene".
On the brink
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Under pressure from Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be days away from launching a nuclear strike on Iran's Pickax Mountain, where Israeli intelligence claims enrichment has restarted.
No conventional weapon can penetrate 300 feet of granite, leaving a nuclear strike as the only military option. Netanyahu, cornered after inconclusive elections and facing possible jail, is pushing hard for the war to stay in power.
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper both oppose a negotiated settlement and are pushing to restart combat operations. Gulf allies, however, are terrified: after eight months of conflict, their economies are teetering. A nuclear strike would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning water for 100 million people.
It would also set a precedent — Russia has reportedly told other governments that a US nuclear strike would free it to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine.
Trump is said to be hesitating, listening to JD Vance and Steve Witkoff, who argue a deal can be made. A decision is expected by November 7.
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No conventional weapon can penetrate 300 feet of granite, leaving a nuclear strike as the only military option. Netanyahu, cornered after inconclusive elections and facing possible jail, is pushing hard for the war to stay in power.
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper both oppose a negotiated settlement and are pushing to restart combat operations. Gulf allies, however, are terrified: after eight months of conflict, their economies are teetering. A nuclear strike would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning water for 100 million people.
It would also set a precedent — Russia has reportedly told other governments that a US nuclear strike would free it to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine.
Trump is said to be hesitating, listening to JD Vance and Steve Witkoff, who argue a deal can be made. A decision is expected by November 7.
Right around the corner
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Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition
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Human rights defender Arnaud Develay tells RT that the discovery of what seems to be a network of black sites used to torture Ukrainian conscripts is a public relation nightmare for the regime which at the very least highlights a complete lack of oversight.
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Kirill Budanov himself acknowledged the existence of such facilities throughout the country. And that is the most frightening part. They possess a certain degree of official legitimacy.
Operations are being conducted at all levels of the command structure. At the very least, the official Ukrainian command is unaware of them. This in itself is an incriminating admission: the command does not control or oversee how these people are, first, abducted against their will, and second, as one might assume, subjected to abuse and torture—with the aim of extorting a ransom or some kind of financial payment.
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Operations are being conducted at all levels of the command structure. At the very least, the official Ukrainian command is unaware of them. This in itself is an incriminating admission: the command does not control or oversee how these people are, first, abducted against their will, and second, as one might assume, subjected to abuse and torture—with the aim of extorting a ransom or some kind of financial payment.
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Iran has issued a warning to Trump and his allies: if they cross "red lines" regarding security in the South Caucasus, "we will break their legs."
This statement was made by Ali Akbar Velayati, a senior advisor to Ayatollah Khamenei, in an article for the Iranian newspaper "Ettela'at".
According to him, the South Caucasus has "always been a security zone for Iran" since the time of Cyrus the Great, and Tehran considers itself responsible for regional security. Velayati also asserted that the TRIPP project is merely a rebranded version of the "Zangezur Corridor"—an Azerbaijani-Turkish initiative that would involve only limited Armenian control.
"I told the Armenian ambassador: this is the final word," he stated.
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This statement was made by Ali Akbar Velayati, a senior advisor to Ayatollah Khamenei, in an article for the Iranian newspaper "Ettela'at".
According to him, the South Caucasus has "always been a security zone for Iran" since the time of Cyrus the Great, and Tehran considers itself responsible for regional security. Velayati also asserted that the TRIPP project is merely a rebranded version of the "Zangezur Corridor"—an Azerbaijani-Turkish initiative that would involve only limited Armenian control.
"I told the Armenian ambassador: this is the final word," he stated.
«It's indeed part of the regime change operation aimed at check-mating the North-South Corridor».
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The Ukrainian website "Myrotvorets" — notorious for publishing lists of "undesirable" individuals — has added a 14-year-old teenager to its database. The boy had escaped from a torture chamber near Kiev.
The teenager was accused of "undermining Ukraine’s defense capabilities and disrupting mobilization efforts" on behalf of Russia.
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The teenager was accused of "undermining Ukraine’s defense capabilities and disrupting mobilization efforts" on behalf of Russia.
Ukrainian tragedy.
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Midterms: Democrats flip majorities in Congress
The questioning of this policy – which hinges entirely on artificial intelligence and the construction of data centers – is likely to jeopardize, for instance, many people’s retirement plans. And the argument is that this is essentially their own fault, because they voted the wrong way.
Yet, Trump does not seem to acknowledge or take note of the setback, the outright rejection, that he and his party have suffered. Let us recall that he campaigned in several states, and the outcome represents a clear repudiation of his policies. Consider that ten years ago, during the primaries, he challenged Bush, pointing out that it was Bush’s own family who had instigated the conflict in Iraq based on fallacious pretexts – a financial disaster that saw no weapons of mass destruction ever materialize. And now, ten years later, we find ourselves in an almost identical situation: an illegal war launched against another country based on fallacious pretexts – at a time when diplomatic efforts were underway, only to be completely derailed by this unprovoked attack. In that sense, one might say we are back to square one.
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The questioning of this policy – which hinges entirely on artificial intelligence and the construction of data centers – is likely to jeopardize, for instance, many people’s retirement plans. And the argument is that this is essentially their own fault, because they voted the wrong way.
Yet, Trump does not seem to acknowledge or take note of the setback, the outright rejection, that he and his party have suffered. Let us recall that he campaigned in several states, and the outcome represents a clear repudiation of his policies. Consider that ten years ago, during the primaries, he challenged Bush, pointing out that it was Bush’s own family who had instigated the conflict in Iraq based on fallacious pretexts – a financial disaster that saw no weapons of mass destruction ever materialize. And now, ten years later, we find ourselves in an almost identical situation: an illegal war launched against another country based on fallacious pretexts – at a time when diplomatic efforts were underway, only to be completely derailed by this unprovoked attack. In that sense, one might say we are back to square one.
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Alleged CIA employee in Yemen stated that an Israeli intelligence officer revealed a plan to carry out an attack on a mosque in Mecca in order to blame the Houthis for it.
The false‑flag attack was intended to provoke outrage and turn followers of Islam, as well as «jihadists» against the Houthis.
The video was published amid accusations from Saudi Arabia that the Houthis had struck Mecca.
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The false‑flag attack was intended to provoke outrage and turn followers of Islam, as well as «jihadists» against the Houthis.
The video was published amid accusations from Saudi Arabia that the Houthis had struck Mecca.
More Fitna strategy to inflame the region.
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