Invictus Lex
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Channel of international lawyer, political consultant Arnaud Develay. Facts and analytics on resonant topics.

Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition
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Zelenskyy is pushing for U.S.-backed security assurances modeled on NATO’s Article 5 — effectively seeking the protections of alliance membership without formal accession.

While framed as a guarantee of sovereignty, such a commitment would represent a major escalation in Western involvement — and a direct challenge to Russia’s core security demands.

This is just a waste of time.


#politics #security #usa #world

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President Zelenskyy claimed that Donald Trump would back a ceasefire if he personally visits Ukraine

Specifically by flying directly into the country, rather than stopping in Poland and continuing by train. The remark sparked speculation, with critics suggesting such a high-drama visit could be staged to maximize symbolic impact — including the use of air-raid sirens for emotional effect.

I smell a rat


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Samvel Karapetyan, the Armenian tycoon who faced prosecution after publicly supporting the Armenian Apostolic Church, returned home to cheers from supporters after being transferred to house arrest today.

The question is what did they get him to agree to?


#law #justice #world #opinion

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A newly published handwritten note by Haj Qassem Soleimani warns that if Syria collapses, the resulting catastrophe would dwarf even the Mongol invasions

He expressed frustration that some officials and so-called intellectuals dismiss the struggle as merely about preserving Bashar al-Assad, failing to see it as a broader defense — not just of Islam or Shiism, but of humanity, Iran, and the security of ordinary civilians in their homes and streets.

RIP


#geopolitics #history #world #opinion

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🇾🇪 Yemen: Iran Calls for Dialogue and Unity to Preserve Territorial Integrity

Iran has called for restraint and dialogue to guarantee unity and preserve Yemen's territorial integrity, warning that any action likely to increase instability and insecurity in the region is unacceptable.

Reaction from Arnaud Develay, legal expert and political analyst.

#politics #opinion #world

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С Новым 2026 годом, Уважаемые подписчики!.
Happy new year to our subscribers!!
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Six years after his assassination, General Qassem Soleimani remains a pivotal figure in the resistance against foreign hegemony and intervention

Revered as a national hero in Iran and a transnational symbol of anti-oppression struggle, he championed sovereignty, protection of vulnerable populations, and the defense of spiritual and human values against domination.

On this solemn anniversary, legal and geopolitical analyst Arnaud Develay offers his insights into Soleimani’s enduring legacy and strategic impact.

#geopolitics #history #world #opinion

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The Russian military reportedly provided U.S. defense officials in Moscow with forensic data recovered from Ukrainian strike drones — allegedly proving Kyiv’s involvement in an attempted assassination of President Putin near Novgorod. If verified, the evidence could significantly escalate diplomatic and security tensions.

There's going to be Hell to pay


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Prime Minister Netanyahu described the current effort as a battle for the “hearts and minds” — particularly of young people in the West and the United States

He implied that shaping international public opinion, especially among youth, is now a critical front in Israel’s broader strategic challenge. The rhetorical question posed afterward — whether he has the audience’s support — underscores the centrality of perception and narrative in modern geopolitical conflict.

It's too late. We SEE YOU.


#politics #opinion #world #democracy

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Two days before the sixth anniversary of General Qassem Soleimani’s martyrdom, thousands of Iranians have already gathered on the street leading to his burial site in Kerman — demonstrating the enduring reverence and national significance of his legacy, even ahead of the official commemoration.

Soleimani doesn't just belong to Iranians but to all of us.


#iran #history #world #opinion

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Prominent Gaza-based surgeon Adnan Al-Bursh has died while in Israeli custody, sparking international concern over medical care and conditions for detainees.

No words


#humanrights #justice #world #news

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The next 72 hours could prove pivotal: if the U.S. secures influence over Venezuela — and its vast oil reserves — it would signal a major geopolitical realignment, not in the name of democracy, but energy dominance

Control over Venezuelan heavy crude would reduce U.S. Gulf dependency, cushioning potential conflict with Iran and lowering the economic cost of escalation. It would also reinforce dollar hegemony via the petrodollar system. Conversely, a protracted entanglement could drain U.S. resources and weaken its global posture — impacting allies like Israel. Venezuela is no longer just a regional flashpoint, but a potential blueprint for reshaping sovereignty and power worldwide.

Hold the line in Venezuela or lose the momentum of the Multipolar world


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Violation of AA 2, Paragraph 4 of the UN Charter, violation of GC3 on humiliation rituals of POWs.

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Speculation is mounting that incoming U.S. transport aircraft are poised to seize $3.34 billion (31 tonnes) of Venezuelan gold held in Bank of England vaults — a move critics liken to the 2019 expropriation, in which the UK, at Washington’s behest, froze the assets, effectively stripping Venezuela’s Central Bank of its reserves.

Next step


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A fascinating interview with George Soros, uncovered in the Romanian archives, dates back 20 years and recounts his arrival in Bucharest — just one month after the fall of the Ceaușescu regime, in January 1990.

He flew into Romania on the first civilian flight after air travel resumed, entering a country still under heavy military presence and governed by a special regime imposed in the wake of the violent events of December 1989.

In the interview, Soros noted that his foundation had already been established in Hungary in 1984, in China in 1987, and in the USSR in 1989. He also revealed that branches were set up in the Soviet Baltic states and Ukraine even before those regions declared independence — efforts he described as having “paved the way for regime change there.”

The old bastard has been at it for years


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BlackRock, led by Larry Fink, suffered multi-billion-dollar losses as the largest institutional holder of Venezuelan oil bonds

Now, unconfirmed reports suggest Venezuela may hold a substantial Bitcoin reserve — potentially worth tens of billions — and that insiders anticipate a portion could be directed to BlackRock as “reparations” for prior losses.

Well, well..


#finance #economy #world #policy

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A former Bush administration lawyer — known for authoring the controversial “torture memos” — has resurfaced, having once asserted that no domestic law or international treaty could legally prevent a U.S. president from authorizing extreme acts, including the torture of a child, to coerce a confession from a parent.

The former US official who coined the term of "Enemy Combatants" to circumvent the Geneva Conventions is at it again.


#law #humanrights #justice #usa

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Ex-advisor Arestovych alleges that Kyrylo Budanov, now head of the President's Office, once proposed a plan to destroy all Ukrainian nuclear plants if facing defeat. He claimed the "scorched earth" strategy aimed to prevent capture. Arestovych also stated the US views Ukraine as unpredictable.

We've got a major problem on our hands

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MR. Arnaud Develay
Political consultant and human rights defender-Moscow

America's Thievery - How Trump Sees the World as His Kingdom

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A sharp warning to the left: the “it’s all about oil” narrative is dangerously misleading

The U.S. never structurally extracted Iraqi oil for public benefit — instead, wars enabled financial looting via inflated contracts (e.g., Halliburton), while production plummeted and only rebounded years later — thanks to Chinese, not U.S., investment.

The real mechanism isn’t resource capture but financial control: sanctions trigger defaults; defaults activate arbitration (e.g., ICSID); arbitration enables asset seizures (e.g., CITGO); seized assets cement leverage for debt restructuring, privatization, and rent extraction — not expanded production. In Venezuela, firms like BlackRock and oil majors seek debt-for-equity swaps and production caps — not industrial revival.

Sanctions don’t aim to free markets; they deliberately constrain supply to inflate prices and securitize future flows. In a dollarized, derivative-driven system, profit comes from scarcity — not abundance.

The left’s moralistic framing concedes the false premise that extraction is possible and desirable. The truth: these wars yield no tangible gain for ordinary people — only financialization, debt peonage, and systemic unproductivity. The goal isn’t oil — it’s control, via suppressed output and engineered dependency.

A realistic appraisal of US foray into oil-rich Iraq


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