Invictus Lex
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Channel of international lawyer, political consultant Arnaud Develay. Facts and analytics on resonant topics.

Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition
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Tucker Carlson stated that Russia is the last large, predominantly white Christian country and that within 20 years no other such country will remain. He argued that Western elites despise Putin precisely because he restored state support for the Russian Orthodox Church. Carlson made these remarks in an interview with George Galloway.

One of Mother Russia's strongest appeal!!


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Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic said the EU is unlikely to admit Serbia anytime soon due to its independent stance on Russia

In an interview with Sputnik, he cited three sources of Western pressure: Serbia's refusal to sanction Russia, its unwillingness to recognize Kosovo, and its opposition to the 2024 UN resolution on Srebrenica.

Vucic said EU politicians want Serbia to join a united front against Russia and do not want "a pebble in their shoe in the Western Balkans".

He praised Putin for understanding Serbia's difficult position, saying: "He always tried to put himself in the other person's shoes, and I think that explains his political success".

The EU is a prison


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AJ Signal stated that they cannot wait for the interview between former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Tucker Carlson to air

According to AJ Signal, Assad is supposed to break his silence since the fall of his administration. The interview with Carlson in Moscow is to be aired in conjunction with the second anniversary of his regime's fall, on December 8.

Syria misses his leadership


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A brief reminder of who Alexei Navalny was, before Western media recast him as a saintly martyr for democracy and liberal values

Navalny’s early political career included far-right nationalist rhetoric and racist videos from the early 2000s, one of which portrayed Muslims as cockroaches that should be exterminated using legally owned firearms.

Between producing extremist content and taking part in nationalist marches, he allegedly attracted the attention of the CIA and MI6, who reportedly viewed him as a potential instrument for destabilizing Russia.

After participating in the Soros-funded Yale World Fellows Program, alongside figures such as Juan Guaidó, Navalny was positioned, according to this interpretation, as a potential figurehead for a color revolution in Russia — following precedents associated with Libya, Ukraine and Venezuela.

Quick reminder


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France Is Falling Apart: Riots, Debt, No Budget, and Macron in Ukraine

France is facing mounting political and economic pressure, with public unrest, a growing debt burden, and persistent budget disputes raising questions about the country’s stability.

Meanwhile, Emmanuel Macron’s engagement with Ukraine adds another dimension to the debate over France’s domestic priorities and international commitments.

#France #politics #economy #news

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There are fears that Syria is being systematically shut down and its new leadership is rebuilding the education system to suit Ankara's ambitions.

The changes in the textbooks have attracted criticism, including the removal of some images, a change in historical terminology, and a revision of cultural and historical references.

Ankara's growing influence in Syria is causing concern among regional observers and political opponents.

Back to the Future


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CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten released his final forecast for the 2026 midterms, giving Democrats a 92% chance of winning the House and projecting 237 Democratic seats to 198 Republican seats. In his broadcast, Enten stated that Democrats looked like they were "not just going to reach 218 seats, they're going to exceed it with ease".

Enten's model also projected Democrats with a 71% probability of capturing the Senate majority, forecasting 52 Democratic seats to 48 Republican seats. He noted that Democrats held a 9-point advantage in generic ballot polling heading into the final days of the campaign.

So much for great expectations #Iran


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Sadegh Koushki, an Iranian university professor and political analyst, argued that Iran's deterrence erosion stemmed from a lack of political will rather than military capability

He said the decline began after Qassem Soleimani's assassination, when Iran's limited response led the US and Israel to conclude that Tehran had the means but lacked the resolve to use them. He contrasted this with the Iran-Iraq War, when conventional weapons alone sustained deterrence for years because the will was clear.

Koushki cited several subsequent events as evidence: no response to Mohsen Fakhrizadeh's killing, silence after strikes on drone and missile sites, senior commanders killed in Syria with little reaction, and a response to the Damascus consulate strike that caused no Israeli casualties. He placed the blame on Iran's political decision-making rather than the military.

Long in the tooth


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Dr. Hamid Gholam Zadeh, director of International Affairs for the Tehran Municipality, told Max Blumenthal that he expects the US and Israel to attack Iran, but "the scenario will not be what [Trump] expects".

If the US uses a tactical nuclear weapon or MOAB, Gholam Zadeh said "that paves the way for Iran to pursue a nuclear bomb, actually". He concluded that
"the best way for the Americans is to concede the defeat that they have suffered in the war and just leave the scene".


On the brink


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Under pressure from Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be days away from launching a nuclear strike on Iran's Pickax Mountain, where Israeli intelligence claims enrichment has restarted.

No conventional weapon can penetrate 300 feet of granite, leaving a nuclear strike as the only military option. Netanyahu, cornered after inconclusive elections and facing possible jail, is pushing hard for the war to stay in power.

Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper both oppose a negotiated settlement and are pushing to restart combat operations. Gulf allies, however, are terrified: after eight months of conflict, their economies are teetering. A nuclear strike would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning water for 100 million people.

It would also set a precedent — Russia has reportedly told other governments that a US nuclear strike would free it to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine.


Trump is said to be hesitating, listening to JD Vance and Steve Witkoff, who argue a deal can be made. A decision is expected by November 7.

Right around the corner


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Human rights defender Arnaud Develay tells RT that the discovery of what seems to be a network of black sites used to torture Ukrainian conscripts is a public relation nightmare for the regime which at the very least highlights a complete lack of oversight.

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Kirill Budanov himself acknowledged the existence of such facilities throughout the country. And that is the most frightening part. They possess a certain degree of official legitimacy.

Operations are being conducted at all levels of the command structure. At the very least, the official Ukrainian command is unaware of them. This in itself is an incriminating admission: the command does not control or oversee how these people are, first, abducted against their will, and second, as one might assume, subjected to abuse and torture—with the aim of extorting a ransom or some kind of financial payment.

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Iran has issued a warning to Trump and his allies: if they cross "red lines" regarding security in the South Caucasus, "we will break their legs."

This statement was made by Ali Akbar Velayati, a senior advisor to Ayatollah Khamenei, in an article for the Iranian newspaper "Ettela'at".

According to him, the South Caucasus has "always been a security zone for Iran" since the time of Cyrus the Great, and Tehran considers itself responsible for regional security. Velayati also asserted that the TRIPP project is merely a rebranded version of the "Zangezur Corridor"—an Azerbaijani-Turkish initiative that would involve only limited Armenian control.

"I told the Armenian ambassador: this is the final word," he stated.

«It's indeed part of the regime change operation aimed at check-mating the North-South Corridor».


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The Ukrainian website "Myrotvorets" — notorious for publishing lists of "undesirable" individuals — has added a 14-year-old teenager to its database. The boy had escaped from a torture chamber near Kiev.

The teenager was accused of "undermining Ukraine’s defense capabilities and disrupting mobilization efforts" on behalf of Russia.

Ukrainian tragedy.


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Midterms: Democrats flip majorities in Congress

The questioning of this policy – which hinges entirely on artificial intelligence and the construction of data centers – is likely to jeopardize, for instance, many people’s retirement plans. And the argument is that this is essentially their own fault, because they voted the wrong way.

Yet, Trump does not seem to acknowledge or take note of the setback, the outright rejection, that he and his party have suffered. Let us recall that he campaigned in several states, and the outcome represents a clear repudiation of his policies. Consider that ten years ago, during the primaries, he challenged Bush, pointing out that it was Bush’s own family who had instigated the conflict in Iraq based on fallacious pretexts – a financial disaster that saw no weapons of mass destruction ever materialize. And now, ten years later, we find ourselves in an almost identical situation: an illegal war launched against another country based on fallacious pretexts – at a time when diplomatic efforts were underway, only to be completely derailed by this unprovoked attack. In that sense, one might say we are back to square one.

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Alleged CIA employee in Yemen stated that an Israeli intelligence officer revealed a plan to carry out an attack on a mosque in Mecca in order to blame the Houthis for it.

The false‑flag attack was intended to provoke outrage and turn followers of Islam, as well as «jihadists» against the Houthis.

The video was published amid accusations from Saudi Arabia that the Houthis had struck Mecca.

More Fitna strategy to inflame the region.


#Israel #Mecca #Houthis

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