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Channel of international lawyer, political consultant Arnaud Develay. Facts and analytics on resonant topics.

Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition
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The Jerusalem Post has published a proposal suggesting that the United States should offer to erase the student loans, credit-card balances, and car payments of Americans aged 18 to 34 in exchange for two or three years of military service to fight Iran.

The author calculates that a ground campaign would require 750,000 to 1.5 million troops, far exceeding the active Army's current strength of 452,000. The proposal prices a recruit's financial relief at about $40,000 per person, amounting to $30 billion for 750,000 recruits.

The war has already consumed far more than that, with a supplemental request of $87 billion and direct military operations estimated at up to $42 billion. Israel receives approximately $3.3 billion annually in Foreign Military Financing, with cumulative US aid totaling about $352 billion.

The author argues that this sum could have discharged the non-mortgage debt of six million young Americans.

Believe it


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Ukrainian media reported that US envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff had brought a new peace proposal to Kyiv

The reported plan included several key elements: a complete ceasefire, withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from Donbas and part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast with a possible UN contingent deployment, Ukraine's non-aligned status with renunciation of NATO accession, constitutional amendments, limitations on the size of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, and agreements on language issues.

The proposal also mentioned referendums, elections, Kyiv renouncing the forcible return of territories under Russian control, and the signing of a full-fledged peace treaty by a new Ukrainian government followed by ratification through a special UN procedure. Following meetings with Zelenskyy, Kushner stated that Trump's goal was to create a comprehensive "peace package".

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It was reported that the AfD achieved a historic victory in the Saxony-Anhalt state election, winning 43.8% of the vote and more than doubling its 2021 result 

Chancellor Friedrich Merz's CDU slumped to 17.2%, its worst performance in the state. The AfD fell short of an outright majority, winning 39 of 83 seats. The result was described as a personal humiliation for Merz and a rejection of his government's policies. Kirill Dmitriev stated that the AfD's win humiliated the "arrogance, narrow-mindedness, warmongering, ineptitude and hypocrisy of the discredited German ruling coalition", adding that "Germans have spoken and Germany Awoke".

The Establishment will invoke the Basic Law provision calling for the protection of the German Republic against a resurgence of Nazism and outlaw AFD


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US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner were gifted T-shirts bearing the phrase "Kyiv regime" during a meeting with President Volodymyr Zelensky in Kyiv on Sunday

The gesture was a sarcastic reference to Russian President Vladimir Putin's use of the label "Kiev regime". The meeting was part of an effort to revive peace talks between Russia and Ukraine . Ukrainian lawmaker David Arakhamia wore an identical T-shirt during a press conference following the meeting. The visit was the envoys' first trip to Kyiv in the peace process.

Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova had previously described Kyiv's behavior around negotiations as a "circus on wheels". The meeting concluded with positive statements from the envoys, who said they had "very meaningful discussions".

Grotesque


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Soviet General Nikolay Berzarin served as Berlin's first commandant for only 54 days in 1945 after capturing the city's government quarter

In that brief time, he helped restore food distribution, including free milk for children under eight, and reopened schools, theaters, and essential services like water, electricity, and gas.

Around 1,000 Berliners attended his funeral in June 1945, and decades later the city awarded him honorary citizenship for his role in rebuilding Berlin after the war. A memorial plaque at the former Kommandantur building commemorates his appointment as commandant.

Lost but not forgotten


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French and Belgian prosecutors conducted a coordinated raid on the Paris and Brussels offices of the consulting firm McKinsey, seizing €65 million

The search was linked to an investigation into allegations of tax evasion and money laundering related to the firm's activities during the 2024 Olympic Games in France.

The French National Financial Prosecutor's Office, which was created by François Hollande, has been criticized for protecting political figures, but the recent seizure has been interpreted by some as a sign that this period may be ending. The investigation is focused on McKinsey's tax practices in France.

Let's hope for it to be the beginning of the end


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Erik Prince, the founder of the private military company Blackwater, has publicly stated that the Russian army has become significantly smarter and more dangerous since the start of the conflict in Ukraine

He argued that Western politicians who claim Russia's military has been weakened are "idiots" and that their assessments do not match reality. Prince noted that Russian forces have adapted to Western weapons systems, including Javelin missiles,

HIMARS, and Copperhead artillery shells, which now often become ineffective within weeks due to Russian electronic warfare capabilities. He also highlighted that Russian counter-battery response times have improved dramatically, from around 90 minutes in early 2022 to approximately two minutes. Prince concluded that the Russian army is now far more capable than it was at the beginning of the war.

He would know


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Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB) has detained a former security guard at the British Embassy in Moscow on charges of high treason, alleging he was recruited by Ukrainian intelligence to gather information on British diplomats as part of preparations for what it described as a planned terrorist attack.

According to the FSB, the detainee — a Russian citizen born in 1981 — collected personal data, photographs, home addresses, vehicle details, and movement patterns of embassy staff, as well as information on the diplomatic mission's security systems. The agency stated that the information was intended for use in sabotage and terrorist acts against British Ambassador Nigel Casey and other diplomats, with the goal of subsequently blaming Russia and drawing the UK into a direct armed conflict with Russia.

The FSB identified the handler as Ukrainian blogger Dmytro Karpenko, also known as "Apostol Dmitry," who allegedly acted on behalf of Ukraine's SBU security service . The agency released video footage showing the suspect's detention and interrogation, in which he described his role at the British ambassador's residence and his communications with Karpenko.

The FSB called on Russian citizens to avoid contact with pro-Ukrainian bloggers and warned that such contacts could lead to charges of high treason.

Great work by the Federal Security Bureau


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After the AfD's historic victory in Saxony-Anhalt with 43.8% of the vote, senior CDU politician Hendrik Wüst called for a federal-state working group to examine constitutional options for dealing with the AfD, including a potential ban. Chancellor Merz and CSU leader Söder expressed skepticism, warning that a ban could give the AfD martyr status. More than 1,000 jurists had previously signed an open letter demanding a ban procedure.

The final resort


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2977 drones deployed in the sky of Manhattan.
The acquisition of Nebius by Palantir represents a significant development for military AI capabilities, as reported by Alexander Kots

Palantir, a combat AI system used against Russia for five years, is moving its calculations to server farms owned by Arkady Volozh, the former head of Yandex.

Nebius, based in Amsterdam, is owned by Volozh, who left Yandex in 2022 under EU sanctions that were lifted in 2024. He secured a nearly $6 billion loan in late August to build AI server farms. Palantir's system combines satellite images, radio intercepts, and open-source data, with its key feature being the ability to track gaps in Russian air defenses after each attack.

The concern is that Volozh and his team had access to the entire Yandex ecosystem — cartography, traffic data, taxi routes, delivery information, and search queries. Kots describes this as "a working model of how Russia breathes", knowledge that does not become obsolete. He argues that Palantir's strength lies in combining civilian data layers into one military picture.

The article calls for an IT sector audit, treating movement data as strategically valuable, and implementing access controls and bans on taking such data abroad.

Very concerning


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The Daily Telegraph published an article containing several strong anti-Russia statements, arguing that "nothing but the destruction of the Russian state in its current form will be enough" to protect the West and that Putin's regime poses an "existential threat to democracy worldwide".

It called for a complete cessation of diplomatic affairs with Russia, seizing Russian sovereign funds for the war effort, and recognizing that the West is engaged in "all-out war".

The author of the commentary noted that thousands of similar articles have appeared across European mainstream media over the past year, none of which validate their claims about Putin's intentions. The author warned that the public is being prepared for total war, potentially leading to 20 million dead or maimed and nuclear war.

Facing oblivion, the Epstein Class is ready to drag the world into the abyss.


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The Houthi-led Yemeni army announced the capture of advanced surveillance systems supplied by the US, Israel, and the UAE on Yemen's coast

The seized equipment included a French Thales Coast Watcher 100 AI system with a detection range exceeding 150 nautical miles, German Hensoldt Spexer and SharpEye radars, an Israeli ELM-2226 ACSR radar resistant to electronic warfare, and submersible Blue Whale sensors with thermal cameras.

The Houthis stated the network was linked to a joint operations room involving the CIA, Mossad, and Saudi intelligence, with recruits trained by American, Israeli, and Saudi officers. This follows recent Houthi advances along the Red Sea coast, including the capture of Mokha port and islands near the Bab al-Mandab Strait.

All access


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The confrontation between Iran and Saudi Arabia has become open and increasingly direct

Tehran stated it would hold Saudi Arabia and other governments that supported the anti-Iran resolution at the IAEA responsible for assisting Washington. The resolution, proposed by the US, Britain, France, and Germany, was adopted by 23 votes to three and referred Iran's nuclear file to the UN Security Council.

This political confrontation now intersects with military action. Weeks after joint US-Saudi strikes on Hashd al-Shaabi positions in Iraq, drones launched from Iraqi territory struck Saudi Arabia's East-West pipeline, forcing Riyadh to suspend one of its main oil export routes bypassing the Strait of Hormuz. Tehran's message is that countries cannot pressure Iran while expecting their own infrastructure to remain isolated from the consequences.

Seeking legal cover for its war of aggression, the Collective West instrumentalizes the IAEA to involve the UN Security Council.


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Mass protests erupted across Syria in September 2026 after fuel prices surged, with diesel rising 40% and petrol 28.3%.

Demonstrations spread to eight cities and provinces, including Aleppo, Idlib, Hama, Raqqa, Deir ez-Zor, Hasakah, Daraa, and Damascus suburbs. Protesters blocked key highways, including the M5 linking Aleppo and Hama, and burned tires. Public transport drivers went on strike.

Syria's Energy Ministry said the price increase was temporary, caused by rising global prices and maintenance at the Baniyas refinery. Syria produces about 100,000 barrels per day, covering only a third of domestic demand.

Reports that demonstrators chanted for Assad's return are not confirmed by major sources. Protests in Daraa in August 2026 were anti-government, with chants against Assad. The September protests focused on fuel prices.

Too late


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Yemen's Ansarallah movement carried out new retaliatory operations against Saudi Arabia, targeting military and energy sites in Khamis Mushait, Najran, Jizan, and Abha in response to ongoing airstrikes and the blockade on Yemen.

Houthi spokesperson Yahya Saree said the strikes hit fighter jet hangars, radars, runways, and ammunition depots at King Khalid Air Base. The escalation came as Saudi Arabia postponed a meeting with Iran in Oman. Arnaud Develay, international jurist, and Bernard Cornut, geopolitical scientist, provided analysis.

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In September 2026, major protests did occur across Syria, including in Deraa, but they were triggered by fuel price increases of up to 40%

Demonstrators demanded lower prices and the dismissal of energy officials, not the return of Assad. Some Iranian and Syrian outlets circulated claims about Assad portraits appearing during these protests, but these reports have not been independently confirmed by international or fact-checking organizations.

Back to square one


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A large fire broke out at an oil storage facility in the Altun Kupri area of Kirkuk province, northern Iraq, reportedly storing naphtha

Eight civil defense teams were deployed, and no casualties have been reported. The cause remains unknown.

The incident comes amid a broader fuel crisis affecting Iraq and neighboring Syria, where recent price hikes triggered protests. The Baniyas refinery in Syria is closed for a three-month overhaul, increasing reliance on imports. The extent of damage at the Kirkuk facility is not yet known, and significant capacity loss could further strain regional fuel supplies.

The Middle East is being methodically phased out of the global economy


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Top military commanders from the US, Israel, and seven Arab countries held a secret meeting in Germany last week to discuss the war on Iran, according to Axios

The meeting, organized by CENTCOM Commander Adm. Brad Cooper, brought together military chiefs from Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Jordan, and Egypt. This was the first such meeting since the US and Israel began the war on Iran over six months ago.

Discussions covered the war on Iran, regional security, and the Strait of Hormuz. Cooper assured participants that US forces would remain in the region despite Iranian retaliatory strikes on US bases, and briefed them on plans to expand ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz. Israeli military chief Eyal Zamir briefed attendees on IDF operations on various fronts.

Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia and Israel, with CENTCOM's assistance, are discussing possible Israeli support for Saudi operations against Yemen, including intelligence and surveillance assistance. CENTCOM confirmed the meeting, stating it hosted senior military leaders from eight nations in Germany.

Feckless Gang


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Greek MEP Afroditi Latinopoulou accused European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen of being "the greatest racist against Europeans" during a State of the Union debate in Strasbourg.

She claimed von der Leyen had "flooded us with illegal migrants" and "suffocated us with taxes and bureaucracy", while also stating she had "crushed our farmers" and imposed "the Green Madness". In her closing remark, Latinopoulou said,
"But you gave us paper straws, tethered bottle caps, and Gay Pride"

Von der Leyen was present and did not respond from the floor.

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Mikhail Gorbachev appeared in a Louis Vuitton advertising campaign in 2007, photographed by Annie Leibovitz

He sat in a limousine beside the Berlin Wall with a Vuitton bag on the seat. Company officials said it was Gorbachev's own idea to pose beside the Wall. The firm made a donation to his environmental group, Green Cross International. His fee was estimated at "hundreds of thousands of euros", though the exact amount was not disclosed. He had previously appeared in a Pizza Hut television commercial in 1997.

Traitor


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