Invictus Lex
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Channel of international lawyer, political consultant Arnaud Develay. Facts and analytics on resonant topics.

Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition
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Trump administration was intensifying efforts to secure foreign policy achievements before the upcoming elections, as time was running out

CIA Director John Ratcliffe had visited Moscow for the first time in five years, signaling the urgency of reaching a deal on Ukraine. Other key negotiators, including Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, were focused on the Middle East. Ratcliffe, a supporter of Ukraine, had previously helped restore intelligence sharing with Kyiv. He was now overseeing both the Ukraine and Cuba files but had faced challenges in achieving breakthroughs. The administration believed that after the elections, their negotiating position would weaken, making immediate action necessary to demonstrate results to voters.

Moscow will not act against its strategic interest merely to campaign on Trump's behalf


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Former US State Department Chief of Staff Lawrence Wilkerson stated that Washington, in collaboration with the CIA, MI6, and Mossad, had deliberately shaped the current political landscape in Europe

According to him, US intelligence agencies and USAID had allocated billions of dollars since 2002 to co-opt editors, union leaders, parliamentarians, and governments . Wilkerson also admitted to personally playing a role in advancing Jens Stoltenberg to the post of NATO Secretary General due to his pliability, and that Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte had similarly benefited from his aggressive rhetoric against Russia and support for Israel . As a result, European elites had become subservient to US interests, acting to the detriment of their own survival.

All traitors as expected


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US Air Force C-17A Globemaster III military transport aircraft, identified by the number RCH4555, had landed at Moscow's Vnukovo Airport early in the morning

The aircraft had previously arrived in Riga, Latvia, on August 23 from Joint Base Andrews in Maryland. After departing Riga, it flew to Moscow. The flight was subsequently tracked departing Moscow and heading back toward Riga .

That didn't take long


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Leader of HTS, who had been supported by Trump and Macron, was now able to use his Visa card in Damascus

Meanwhile, ICC officials involved in arrest warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant had lost access to their bank accounts and credit cards . This followed a US executive order targeting ICC personnel investigating US or Israeli nationals . The sanctions reportedly affected Visa and Mastercard usage, with banks avoiding US penalties . A French judge confirmed he could no longer use his card, a Canadian judge lost access, and the ICC president also reported hers was cut.

The Naked Truth


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Donald Trump recently shared his personal ranking of US presidents, placing himself at the top and placing other presidents in various categories such as "great" and "failure."

Narcissistic clown


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In an interview with The Chris Hedges Report, Norman Finkelstein stated that UN Security Council Resolution 2803 (2025) had given Gaza to Donald Trump and abolished decades of UN history and international law precedent on Palestine.

He argued that since international law had effectively died, Iran no longer had any obligations to abide by it and could target whom and what it wanted for its own survival. He concluded that if one did not like that situation, they should look in the mirror, as they had created it.

"You break it, you own it."
Colin Powell, 2003


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UN Secretary-General António Guterres acknowledged that several UN special rapporteurs are "totally out of control" in their perspective on Israel

He also reportedly stated that some were "completely out of control from the point of view of the Secretariat," while denying the UN as a whole had an institutional bias. The Secretary-General also commented on the difficulty superpowers face in imposing their will in the contemporary world, citing recent events in Iran.

Guterres has a problem with the Special Rapporteurs being independent.


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Dr.Abu al-Ala al-Bukhari contrasted his personal experience of using a bank card in Syria in 2010 with the current situation

He noted that he had an account with Bank of Jordan and used his card, and that tourists used credit cards at hotels. He criticized certain groups for making extraordinary claims, suggesting that their audience was being misled about the historical availability of such services in Syria .

Cheap trick


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Icelanders had voted to reject the resumption of European Union membership talks, with 52.8% voting against the proposal 

The result prompted celebrations in Reykjavik among the "No" campaign supporters. According to reports, opponents of EU membership were concerned about ceding control over Iceland's lucrative fishing grounds, which are a cornerstone of the economy and national identity.

The government confirmed it would respect the outcome and shelve the membership question for the remainder of its term.

They dodged the bullet but their president still seems unhinged


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Yeshayahu Leibowitz, the renowned Israeli philosopher and scientist, is remembered for his prophetic warnings about the consequences of the 1967 occupation

He had argued that ruling over a hostile population would inevitably corrupt Israeli society and transform the state into a repressive regime. He famously warned that continued occupation would lead to the moral degeneration of the Israel Defense Forces and the establishment of a secret-police state.

His predictions included that there would be no Jewish workers, only Jewish administrators ruling over an Arab population . For these views, he controversially referred to Israeli soldiers as "Judeo-Nazis".

Prophetic words


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Amram Zahavi, a 78-year-old Israeli citizen, stated that Israel was committing a Holocaust in Gaza that was worse than what Nazi Germany had done to Jews in 1942

He appealed to the international community to intervene and force Israel to withdraw from Gaza. Zahavi noted that he had been protesting for eight and a half years and had been arrested, beaten, imprisoned, and trampled by horses. He expressed hope that the world would boycott Israel and stop what he described as the massacre and Holocaust being committed in Gaza.

He seems isolated


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Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi accused Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of being a "serpent" who had tricked the United States into going to war with Iran 

In a post on X, Araghchi claimed that Netanyahu, when speaking in Hebrew, had openly boasted about how he "suckered the U.S. Administration into a war on Iran on behalf of Israel" and laughed about how he had "influenced" America through 1,000 hours of airtime on U.S. networks. However, when speaking in English, Netanyahu praised President Trump's leadership.

He would know


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Professor Ben Saul joined UN experts in encouraging France to review and withdraw charges against French-Palestinian Member of the European Parliament Rima Hassan for "apology for terrorism" over a social media post she had deleted. Hassan was detained in April and was scheduled to appear in court on 7 July. Critics, including Hassan's allies and UN experts, said the loosely defined offence opened the door to politicised enforcement.

The UN is enjoining France to cease criminalizing free speech


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Jimmy Dore predicted that the Democratic Party would not prosecute Trump over his financial crimes and insider trading, because they were not campaigning on it ahead of the 2026 midterms.

He argued that the "uniparty" system, in which both major parties serve the same establishment interests, was shielding Trump from accountability. Dore has previously stated that the US does not function as a democracy but as an oligarchy controlled by corporations.

It's a big club and you ain't in it


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The official death toll in Gaza has surpassed 73,400 since October 2023, but health authorities say thousands more remain missing and are believed to be buried under the rubble of destroyed buildings

In one incident, an Israeli airstrike on November 22, 2023, killed 308 members of a single extended family. After nearly three years, recovery teams found the remains of 112 family members who had been buried under the debris, and a mass funeral was held for them.

Rescue operations face severe challenges due to a shortage of heavy machinery and restrictions on equipment entering Gaza. Researchers and medical journals have warned that the final death toll, including indirect casualties from the collapse of healthcare and infrastructure, could reach hundreds of thousands.

Land of the Dead


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During a meeting in Bishkek on the sidelines of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit, Russian President Vladimir Putin told Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan that the adoption of a law launching the process of Armenia's accession to the European Union effectively amounted to a declaration of withdrawal from the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU).

Putin argued that membership in both organizations was incompatible due to differences in regulations and standards. Pashinyan disagreed, stating that the law did not violate Armenia's obligations to the EAEU and that the country was not prepared to leave the bloc. He explained that Yerevan was seeking to create alternatives in a changing international situation and that the time was not yet right to make a final choice.

You cannot have your cake and eat it too 🤷🤷


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President Volodymyr Zelensky warned airlines that Russian airspace was becoming completely dangerous due to the presence of Ukrainian drones and stated that safe days in the skies over Russia were over

He clarified that Ukraine did not threaten civilian aviation as such, but that there would be drones in Russian skies on a scale that had to be taken into account. He directed the warning to airlines still operating flights to Russian airports, especially in cities like Moscow and St. Petersburg. Russia's President Vladimir Putin responded that Zelensky's comments amounted to a declaration of state terrorism. Zelensky added that Ukraine would honour partner requests to pause drone strikes for specific periods in the interests of diplomacy.

Operation M&Ms is back online despite Fedorov's departure from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense.

#HighwaytotheDangerZone


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The term "rules‑based order" was criticized as a Western concept used to support US hegemony rather than a legal principle

It was noted that international law does not recognize a "rules‑based order" because international law itself is the established order. The concept was argued to belong to the principle of the law of the stronger, not to international law. The argument was supported by reference to a scholarly work by international law expert and former ICJ judge John Dugard, published in 2023 in the Leiden Journal of International Law.

Common sense


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United Nations Human Rights Council session, several Western diplomats left the room while a Russian delegate was addressing the meeting

The walkout was interpreted as a demonstration of support for Ukraine, particularly after Kyiv was excluded from recent peace talks between Russia and the US. The action suggested to the observer that these diplomats had no real interest in a peaceful resolution to the war.

A recurring theme


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There is a simple explanation for the German government's Gladio-style move regarding the alleged Russian drone at Leipzig Airport

State elections are taking place in Saxony-Anhalt on Sunday, and the AfD must be stopped at all costs. The Leipzig affair can be seen as an attempt to portray the AfD as "unreliable". It is an old tactic, similar to the one used in the Reichstag fire on 27 February 1933, to ban communists and social democrats.

History repeating itself


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International law specialist Arnaud Develay told Sputnik Africa that a climate of "total impunity" in Ukraine was allowing the "pillaging of the country" to continue

He stated that the government reform intended to make judicial institutions more transparent was merely a "cosmetic operation". He added that as long as the system remained based on widespread corruption serving transnational interests, events in Ukraine amounted to a "shell game".

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