Invictus Lex
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Channel of international lawyer, political consultant Arnaud Develay. Facts and analytics on resonant topics.

Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition
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A recent survey revealed that 60 % of American adults now hold an unfavorable view of Israel, up from 53 % last year and 42 % in 2022. It was further reported that a majority of adults under 50 hold negative views of Israel across both political parties, with 84 % of Democrats and 57 % of Republicans expressing such sentiments.

It's (almost) ovet


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Withdrawing from NATO wouldn’t be about avoiding foreign conflicts

Rather, it would be a strategic move to align with Israel in the event of a future clash between Turkey and Israel in Syria.

This follows our role in overthrowing the secular Syrian government and, ironically, helping to bring a former AQ/ISIS leader to power. It’s time to stop playing both the arsonist and the firefighter in the Middle East — the costs simply outweigh the benefits.

Like in the Ukrainian conflict, Washington pretends to be advocating for peace while it instigated the war in the first place


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Dominique Strauss-Kahn, the disgraced French politician and former Managing Director of the IMF who resigned amid accusations of sexual assault, found a second political life in Togo through the court of Faure Gnassingbé

He was appointed as a personal advisor to the Togolese leader with ministerial rank. According to the account, Strauss-Kahn then sat in cabinet meetings alongside Togolese ministers, helping the Israeli‑sponsored regime stay in power and continue its criminal illicit arms deals across Africa. French media also reported that he earns over €20 million per year advising illegitimate regimes like that of the Gnassingbé family to remain in power.

The speaker concluded that this is how discredited Western politicians reinvent themselves as advisors to puppet tyrants on the continent, at the expense of their own people.

Look who the cat dragged in


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Handala hacking group had penetrated the phone of former Zionist Defense Forces Chief of Staff Herzi Halevi, revealing that he had secretly traveled to Qatar and met with Emir Hamad Bin Al-Thani. The speaker stated that these were the people who had conspired to destroy Syria, with the help of useful idiots.

Karmic vibes


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According to a video obtained from a hacked phone of a Ukrainian serviceman, a coup was being planned in Hungary against the government and Viktor Orbán.

The report suggested that Brussels and Kyiv, together with the Tisza party, were highly likely planning a Maidan‑style protest in Budapest in the event of a possible defeat for Tisza in Hungary.

Orban better be on the lookout


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President Trump stated that he knew why Tucker Carlson, Megyn Kelly, Candace Owens, and Alex Jones had been fighting him for years, especially because they thought it was wonderful for Iran to have a nuclear weapon.

He claimed they had low IQs, were stupid people, and had all been thrown off television. He added that they were not MAGA, unlike him, and that MAGA was about winning and not allowing Iran to have nuclear weapons.

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Alex Jones had interviewed Trump in 2015, before he had even won the Republican nomination

Trump had told Jones that his reputation was amazing and promised that he would not let him down. Ten years later, the speaker noted, that was exactly what Trump had done.

Never trust a politician


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US-born Israeli spy Jonathan Pollard, whom Trump had allowed to flee the US to make Aliyah in Israel, was lobbying for Israel to use nuclear weapons to return Iran to the Stone Age

He also reportedly said that Israel should drop a neutron or atomic bomb on the Houthis during a massive rally in Sanaa. The source noted that Ambassador Mike Huckabee and David Milstein had met secretly with Pollard at the US Embassy in Jerusalem last year on friendly terms.

Traitor Pollard should have been executed


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Democrats would seize control of both chambers of Congress this November.

Like clockwork


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It was reported that the US had lost at least 39 aircraft in the Iran war

The real story


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A former inspector for the OPCW who had investigated chemical attacks in Syria wrote a book stating that the government of President Assad was not responsible for those attacks.

Must read


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Cheng Li‑wun, chair of Taiwan’s Kuomintang, stated that no one wanted to see Taiwan’s next generation sent to the battlefield

He noted that Taiwan had learned lessons from Ukraine, where millions of Ukrainians had been sent to their deaths as Washington attempted to use the country against Russia. Li‑wun warned that Washington might try to incite conflict and destroy millions of lives to preserve its hegemony — potentially leading to mass casualties in both mainland China and Taiwan.

He also highlighted that the Kuomintang and the Communist Party of China, despite their historical rivalry, were uniting against Washington’s ambitions.

KMT embraces One China policy


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Iran had sent four PhDs to the negotiating table in Islamabad, while the US had sent a real estate developer, a son‑in‑law, a lawyer, and a general. Iran’s deputy foreign minister held three graduate degrees, and its foreign minister had a PhD from the University of Kent.

Asymmetrical warfare


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It was reported by expert journalist Steve Sweeney that after he had survived an Israeli assassination attempt, the British government detained him under counter‑terrorism laws. The source expressed outrage, stating that Western governments were persecuting their own citizens to protect the Zionist regime.

Tucker is relentless


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Do you think Ankara should wise up and make a phone call to Tehran?

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A serious development. Vice President JD Vance publicly threatens Iran with devastating tools, heavily implying the use of nuclear weapons to protect oil flows. Ana completely destroys his fake peacemaker image, declaring him a complicit war criminal just like Donald Trump.

https://x.com/i/status/2043111044650824173

These imbéciles are going to end up blowing up the whole world


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Misdirection in action

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"No, Israel and Turkey won't go to war. The loud Twitter exchanges are political theater—strong on rhetoric, light on substance. Both leaders benefit from this staged rivalry. Erdoğan leverages the Palestinian cause to rally his conservative base and divert attention from domestic economic struggles.

Netanyahu frames Turkey as a regional threat to maintain national unity and deflect from his own legal challenges. Strategically, direct conflict makes no sense: long-range operations across sovereign territories would be logistically daunting. Crucially, Turkey's NATO membership—and the U.S. role as Israel's key ally—creates a powerful deterrent against escalation.

Meanwhile, trade continues. Despite the noise, Turkish goods still reach the region, often routed through third countries like Greece. The merchant fleets keep working while politicians perform.

In short: Ankara and Tel Aviv need each other as "villains" to stay "heroes" at home. As long as trade flows and NATO stands, war remains fantasy—not forecast.
https://x.com/i/status/2043074972621353338

Double game


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Netanyahu had sent his son to campaign for Orbán and had also sent a personal video to Orbán's rally

However, Orbán had just lost by 14 points, described as the biggest landslide in Hungarian democratic history. The source questioned why Netanyahu had cared so much, explaining that Orbán had been the only EU leader who vetoed sanctions on Israel every single time.

With Orbán's fall, that veto was gone, the ICC withdrawal was reversed, and the EU firewall was dead. As Israel's Ynet News had headline two days earlier: if Orbán fell, Israel could lose its EU firewall. He did not just fall — he was buried.

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France was on the verge of passing one of the most shameful laws in its history, effectively outlawing criticism of Israel and criminalizing any speech sympathetic to groups designated as terrorist by the French government

The law, called "loi Yadan" after MP Caroline Yadan who represented French expatriates living in Israel, had already passed committee and was expected to pass a full parliamentary vote on April 16th.

The law would introduce "implicit provocation to terrorism" as a crime punishable by five years in prison, expand terrorism apology laws to include "trivialization," and criminalize calling for the destruction of a recognized state.

A day that will live in infamy


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AIPAC had released a new ad bragging to America that it owned top leadership in the Democratic Party and would be the true winner in the midterm elections, regardless of the results.

The ad also boasted that AIPAC was the top fundraiser for members of several Democratic caucuses, including the Congressional Black Caucus and the Progressive Caucus.

Everything's under control


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