Inmortal TA
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Thoughts on stable coins reserves and outflows data

Nance holds $47.5B in stablecoin reserves (CryptoQuant data)

That’s 65% of all exchange stablecoin liquidity

One of the biggest problems during bear markets is the lack of liquidity. Thin orderbooks usually lead to flash crashes, liquidation cascades and big wicks

Big stablecoin reserves on exchanges help absorb volatility, they add depth. That’s extremely important.

Another positive thing I have noticed is that the stablecoin outflows have slowed to $2B in most exchanges (8.4B during the peak correction)

That means the market is stabilizing

After the BTC correction and the extreme fear and greed levels we saw weeks ago, this is a good sign, imo.

Every cycle, bear markets are less brutal, and that’s mostly because adoption and infrastructure keeps growing
ETH ANALYSIS

On HTF, this is just a range, so I’ll trade it like one

When a range breaks, you can do two things:
1. Follow the trend
2. Wait for price to move back inside the range

In my case, after a -65% drop from the ATH, I’m not looking to play continuation

Maybe we go lower, but it feels a bit late to open fresh positions

I’m just waiting for the second option. It may take a while, but imo, the best action right now is no action

https://www.tradingview.com/x/qiztADih/
BTC/USD

Yesterday push was good, but during sideways conditions full retraces are common

Market structure is still bearish (Lower highs). Even if we go to 72k we would still be in a range, so be patient

65k is the only interesting are for me now. It’s the only zone with a good R:R and clear invalidation

If in doubt, stick to spot, trading these market conditions could be frustrating because there is no momentum

Survive

I’ll keep looking at charts so you don’t have to ❤️

https://www.tradingview.com/x/1W5335BN/
Inmortal TA
BTC/USD Yesterday push was good, but during sideways conditions full retraces are common Market structure is still bearish (Lower highs). Even if we go to 72k we would still be in a range, so be patient 65k is the only interesting are for me now. It’s the…
BTC/USD UPDATE

Full retrace and 65k hit, as we talked yesterday

In these market conditions, it is difficult to maintain momentum

Full retraces/sideways are more common than continuations/breakouts

Now we are at 65k. Bulls need to form a higher low here, if they fail, we will revisit the lows

Weekend is here so I'm not longing 65k, I will wait for Monday to have a clear picture

https://www.tradingview.com/x/pZ3VrMNH/
Inmortal TA
BTC/USD UPDATE Full retrace and 65k hit, as we talked yesterday In these market conditions, it is difficult to maintain momentum Full retraces/sideways are more common than continuations/breakouts Now we are at 65k. Bulls need to form a higher low here…
BTC/USD UPDATE

Recap of the last 3 days: Sideways, just as we expected

Leg up, full retrace, repeat

It’s not manipulation, it’s normal behavior in low volatility environments

Something I like a lot is the fact that since the 62.5k low, we’ve made consecutive higher lows

If I had to follow my gut, I’d say we’ll revisit +72k in the not too distant future.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/OjszeShW/
BTC/USD

Back below 72k and weekend is coming. Be careful

My 2 areas of interest now

> 4h demand zone at 68k, nice spot for a higher low
> Reclaim of 72k lvl (less likely, imo)

In any case, I’m just observing, waiting for a trigger

https://www.tradingview.com/x/7mIeqYM2/
BTC/USD

If BTC is going to +80k, this is the retrace

Because if we go lower, it would mean “back to boring sideways”

This is the lowest point we can go without losing momentum, imo.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/d2SEk0UQ/
FLOKI/USD

Most memecoins at pre 2024 bullrun levels

-92% and 652 days since TOP

That’s the average duration and drawdown of an altcoin bear market

At least that’s how it used to be. We’ll see if that’s still the case

https://www.tradingview.com/x/1fWCV9P8/
BTC/USD

170 days since TOP

If this is a regular bear market (364 days), it's 46.7% completed.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/XRYidz6W/
BTC/USD

Chart is crystal clear

Below 74k (if we get rejected), expect more sideways between 74-60k (200MA W)

Above 74k we can expect expansion imo, up to yearly open at 87k

https://www.tradingview.com/x/mU3G5yF3/
FLOKI/USD

There is a point when price just stop moving

No up, no down, just sideways

It’s called time-based capitulation, and many altcoins are here now

When we get to this point, price-based capitulation is almost done (most are down -98% from ATH so it’s not hard to notice)

FLOKI is very simple.

0.00004 is the level to watch. Below it, accumulation, above it expansion

https://www.tradingview.com/x/keah2GCB/