Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - Following the M7.1 earthquake in southwestern Japan, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi says injuries and collapsed buildings have been reported. Initial footage shows injured shoppers and damage inside a Costco in Kumamoto. An explosion has also beenโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - Preliminary reports of multiple deaths at the AEON Mall as a result of the explosion.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ฅ - Analysis and Satellite Imagery conducted by the GeoPWatch team shows: A probable point of impact within the Jazan Refinery tank farm, located approximately 45 km north of the city of Jazan, following the Houthi strike on Saturday, 25 July. Imageryโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ—๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข- Reportedly, Saudi Aramco has shut down its 400,000 barrels per day Jazan refinery following the July 25th Houthi Attack.

Repairs are expected to be completed by August 15 after damage to the refineryโ€™s integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) system and tank farm.

If confirmed, the outage would temporarily remove one of Saudi Arabiaโ€™s major refining facilities from operation, accounting for around 14% of the Kingdomโ€™s domestic refining capacity.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The Houthis are claiming to have carried out another ballistic missile attack on a Saudi oil tanker in the Red Sea.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha:

I held a discussion with my Iranian counterpart, emphasizing our objective to prevent any escalation. I assured Mr. Aragchi that our primary goal is to defend our nation against Russian aggression and that we had no intention of targeting civilian vessels. I stressed the necessity of refraining from any escalatory measures.


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The Houthis are claiming to have carried out another ballistic missile attack on a Saudi oil tanker in the Red Sea. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - One notable detail is that the tanker was reportedly operating with its AIS (Automatic Identification System) switched off. If accurate, this suggests the Houthis relied on alternative targeting methods, potentially including coastal radar, ISR drones, maritime spotters, or commercial satellite imagery, rather than publicly available ship tracking.

The Houthis also reiterated that they intend to continue enforcing what they describe as a maritime blockade against Saudi Arabia.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - According to Channel 12, during todayโ€™s meeting with Netanyahu President Trump made no demands for Israeli withdrawals from any front.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ’ฅ - Reports of explosions and a drone attack on Erbil International Airport, Iraq.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - False alerts near 'Nahel Oz', on the border with Gaza.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ - Reports of a fire at the U.S. base, Erbil Iraq. This comes after earlier reports of a drone attack and explosions.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - In the last 24 hours:

โ€ข The Houthis claimed an attack on the Saudi-flagged tanker NCC Ghazal, after the U.S. warned it holds Iran responsible for Houthi attacks.

โ€ข Public executions were carried out in Iran, alongside reports of security forces using live ammunition against protesters in Alikhani Square, Isfahan.

โ€ข Reports are coming out of a drone attack targeting Erbil International Airport, which also hosts U.S. forces at the Erbil Air Base.

The regionโ€™s so-called โ€œperiod of peaceโ€ appears increasingly fragile.
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