Geopolitics Watch
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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (FRANCISCVS)
🇺🇸 🇮🇷 🇮🇱 Ahead of an imminent Iranian attack on Israel in retaliation for twin assassinations, the U.S. repositioned major naval assets in theater.

- Roosevelt CSG transited the Strait of Hormuz southbound on 30 July & operating in the Gulf of Oman
- Wasp ARG underway off the southeast coast of Crete, Greece
- 6 destroyers in the Med, Gulf, & Arabian Sea
- U.S. special operations mothership in Bahrain

📎 Ian Ellis
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🇺🇸✈️❗️ — United States Air Force Boeing KC-135R Stratotanker airbone over the Persian gulf

➡️ Flankers and Multirole fighters are likely following it with transponders off
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Forwarded from Assyria News Network
🇺🇸 — The US Army raises the level of readiness, deploys more ground-based missile defenses.
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🇮🇱🇭🇰✈️ — A Lonely Hong Kong-Tel Aviv flight from Challenge airlines is the only plane to land in Israel at the moment
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🇮🇷🌐 - The news that the advisor to the Iranian Foreign Ministry, Seyed Mohammad Marandi calling on Israelis to leave and that an attack is incoming are false.
The page's owner just said he's not the advisor and the tweet doesn't state that drones will be launched anytime soon.
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RAAD38 🇯🇴 Jordan Air Force (25th squadron - Intelligence, Surveillance & Reconnaissance) • AT-802i IOMAX active south of Amman.

The AT-802 light aircraft can carry GBU-12 Mk-82 bombs, as well as Hellfire missiles, dual M260 seven-tube rocket launchers, and GAU-19/A three-barrel gatling guns.
(old reg N60013 hex A7C9DC)

🔗MenchOsint
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Forwarded from Assyria News Network
🇺🇸 — The Pentagon states US will respond to any attack on American forces by Iran.
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Geopolitics Watch
🇮🇱🇱🇧🇸🇾 - again An airstrike with 3 missiles now on the Lebanese-Syrian border Raids on the town of Al-Qasr Hermel
🇮🇱🇱🇧🇸🇾 - Again - Israeli airstrikes on the Lebanese-Syrian border in Hermel
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🇮🇷 🚀 🇮🇱 - What we can learn from the April 13th Iranian attack on Israel that was launched around 22h30 local time (just via Flightradar24)

➡️ At the time missiles & drones were launched, traffic over Israel was still open but Jordan immediately closed it minutes after. (22h39)

➡️ The Israeli Government Plane flee at 22h10.

➡️ A well-informed civilian plane from Flydubai to Tel Aviv turned around at 21h20.

➡️ The Israeli Airspace was totally closed only after 00h30 (2 hours after the launch of the attack)

🔗Mench Osint
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Geopolitics Watch
🇮🇱🇱🇧🇸🇾 - Again - Israeli airstrikes on the Lebanese-Syrian border in Hermel
Admin opinion:-

what's happening looks like an attack on weapons loaded trucks sent to Hezbollah threw Syria or an attack on Hezbollah troops transferred from Syria back to Lebanon.

What seems interesting here is the fact that Israel is not waiting for those shipping routs to be completely in Lebanese soil to strike them rather on shared soil which looks to he a sign that Netanyahu (prime minister of Israel) is ready for a total war as trump looks like he is taking power and is threatening Syria's sovereignty for the sole reason that the Syrian regime/ Syrian soil could attack Israel if a total war breaks out.

Now this could be a good strategic goal for all Israel, America, Russia and Iran's visions of what the future holds.

Israel and America would benefit immensely from winning a war against the axis in multiple ways for visions in the Middle East through weakening Iran's regime and keeping the pro Syrian regime militias busy to help overthrow or at least weaken Asad's control over Syria additionally get rid of the threat of a state actor bordering Israel like Asad's regime being non tolerant towards them.

Iran would benefit from winning a war like that even more, they would firstly be able to further spread there revolution towards citizens of monarchies as most of these citizens agree with there monarchies on everything but the palestinian issue and it would be able to weaken Israel and prove to the Arab world that militarily defeating Israel is possible and it's not an impossible task, Israeli citizens are most likely going to flee as a war like that breaks out just like how on oct 7th 800K of them fled and 80% of those who fled said they will never go back to Israel.

The question here comes whether or not Israel has enough allies in the region to to protect it like Jordan and Egypt and whether it could replenish weapons mid war or not which are probably the main two issues regarding if Iran will go on a total war with Israel.
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🇺🇦🛸🇷🇺 - An Ukrainian drone hit a building in Oryol, Russia, 4 hours away of Moscow.
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