Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei:
We will not allow the United States to determine when there is peace and war. The Americans are stuck in a self-made quagmire after 5 months.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei:
No negotiations with US, only Oman talks on Strait of Hormuz arrangements.


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๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - I have conducted an independent analysis on behalf of the GeoPWatch Team regarding reports of an attack on the Saudi Aramco Abqaiq oil processing facility.

The following has been identified:

โ€ข Reports from people on the ground of smoke in the Abqaiq area.


โ€ข Photos circulating online appearing to show smoke rising from the vicinity of the facility.


โ€ข NASA FIRMS / VIIRS data recorded multiple thermal hotspots at approximately 02:35 AST on 27 July.

After cross-checking FIRMS data from previous dates, the number and distribution of these thermal hotspots appear irregular compared to normal activity at the facility.

The available evidence I have found suggests an incident likely occurred at or near the Abqaiq facility. However, the extent of any damage remains unconfirmed and will require additional satellite imagery, verified footage, or official confirmation. It seems that yes that there is indeed a fire at Abqaiq facility, however it can't be confirmed if this is due to an attack or another industrial event.


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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ›ฉ - 2 Drones were shot down over Jordan.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ›ซ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Netanyahu has taken off for Washington.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs:
There are no negotiations with the United States, and there is nothing called a ceasefire.


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ฅ - Analysis and Satellite Imagery conducted by the GeoPWatch team shows: A probable point of impact within the Jazan Refinery tank farm, located approximately 45 km north of the city of Jazan, following the Houthi strike on Saturday, 25 July. Imageryโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ฅ - The smoke plume can still be seen from Jazan refinery. It is nearly 70km long.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The Saudi Defense Ministry says its forces shot down several drones launched from Iraq by Iranian-backed militias in recent hours, attempting to target oil facilities in the Eastern Region and Riyadh.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - I have conducted an independent analysis on behalf of the GeoPWatch Team regarding reports of an attack on the Saudi Aramco Abqaiq oil processing facility. The following has been identified: โ€ข Reports from people on the ground of smoke in the Abqaiqโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Satellite imagery has been released supporting my findings this morning in Abqaiq. Clear damage can be seen.

Abqaiq is the worldโ€™s largest crude oil processing and stabilization facility, operated by Aramco.
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