Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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🇾🇪⚡️🇾🇪🇸🇦 - Following a week of heavy fighting in the Al Mazaq area Ansarullah managed to advance south of Al Qashimiyah into the Jabal Aghbar slopes as well as capturing the villages of Al Ghawl and Jabal al- Ayli.

➡️ To the east Houthi forces are advancing towards Al Qurayf where they have reached Ad Damdam along with capturing various small hamlets and villages along the way including Al Turayrah and Jabal Naman.

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⚡️🇨🇩🦠 – The Ebola outbreak in the DR Congo continues to spread, with over 8,067 cases reported so far and 3,901 fatalities, a terrible death rate of over 48%

The World Health Organization warned the crisis is "far from over," and the outbreak is still expected to surpass the deadliest in African history, while the U.S. announced $267 million in aid to help meet a $2 billion international funding target.


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🇬🇧🇺🇸⁉️ - Reportedly, all 5 suspects of the RAF Fairford incident are being investigated for links to a foreign actor and not fuel theft as widely speculated recently. @GeoPWatch
❗️🇺🇸🇬🇧 - British police reported that no bombs were found in U.K. air base scare, only gasoline, two days after the incident.

Senior U.S. and Western officials nevertheless claim the five suspects were low-level, perhaps unwitting operatives tied to broader Iranian plans involving possible attacks against American military bases across Europe.

The Iranian Embassy in Britain dismissed any suggestion that its government was involved in any possible attack on the British base.

The men were freed on bail on Monday.

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#NEW
🇮🇱🇦🇪🇸🇦 - This morning, a hijacking situation was assumed with Flydubai passenger flight "FZ1073", on the path to Israel's "Ben Gurion" Airport from Dubai, which squawked 7700 over Jordanian airspace before switching to 7500 and suddenly dove 15,000+ ft in under a minute. [2]

The Co-Pilot of Omani origin attempted to take control of the plane, and allegedly crash it. The Pilot, Emirati, reacted violently and stabbed him. The IAF scrambled Fighter Jets towards the plane.

The Aircraft emergency landed in Saudi Arabia's "Tabuk" airport. The rudder was damaged as a result of the aggressive plunge in altitude. [1]

The Co-Pilot is under interrogation by Saudi authorities. Note that hundreds of Israeli passengers were aboard.


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#NEW 🇮🇱🇦🇪🇸🇦 - This morning, a hijacking situation was assumed with Flydubai passenger flight "FZ1073", on the path to Israel's "Ben Gurion" Airport from Dubai, which squawked 7700 over Jordanian airspace before switching to 7500 and suddenly dove 15,000+ ft…
🇮🇱🇦🇪🇸🇦 - Passengers aboard the plane are now reporting that the Omani Co-Pilot attacked the main pilot, of Emirati origin, and stabbed him multiple times. Passengers and the cabin crew then stormed the cockpit after the plane dropped 20,000 feet in under a minute and managed to subdue the attacker.

Multiple passengers received injuries during the incident, unclear if due to the rapid drop in altitude or due to the attempt to subdue the attacker/Co-Pilot.

Nearly 180 people were onboard the plane, mostly consisting of Israeli citizens.

Israeli Authorities are reportedly investigating the incident as a Terrorist Attack.
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🇮🇷❗️ - An Iranian appeals court has rejected Parastoo Ahmadi’s appeal and have sentenced her to 74 lashes after she performed without a hijab in a December 2024 YouTube concert according to her lawyers.
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⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇶 – The U.S. has officially completed its withdrawal from Iraq, ending a 12-year mission.

All forces retreated to Turkey or Jordan.

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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸 - ASBM launch from the Fars Province, Iran.

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⚡️🇷🇺🇺🇸 – According to an unofficial diplomatic message seen by Reuters, the Kremlin warned NATO that isolating the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad, between Poland and Lithuania, could provoke a nuclear response against the "hotheads in Europe".

The warning comes as three Russian embassies in Europe warn that NATO is escalating tensions with military drills that involve planning against Russian attacks from Kaliningrad.

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⚡️🇨🇦🇪🇺 – Canada and the EU will announce an "expansive new partnership" at the end of October during a summit in Montreal, according to a draft joint statement obtained by POLITICO.

The partnership is expected to range from "breaking down digital trade barriers to joint support for Ukraine and investing in fighting wildfires", as well as strengthening supply chains and stockpiling critical resources, among others.

Both Ottawa and Brussels have drawn closer as they deal with a hostile White House, as they intend to create what Ursula von der Leyen called "a tech alliance".


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🇬🇧🇺🇸⁉️ - Reportedly, all 5 suspects of the RAF Fairford incident are being investigated for links to a foreign actor and not fuel theft as widely speculated recently. @GeoPWatch
🇮🇷❌🇬🇧🇺🇸- British Prime Minister Burnham has stated that signs indicate that Iran had a role in the attempted attack on RAF Fairford.

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🇮🇱📞🇺🇸 – Prime Minister Netanyahu will hold a phone call with Trump later today.

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🇸🇦❌🇾🇪 – The Houthis claim Saudi Arabia conducted 51 air raids and missile strikes against Yemen in the last 24 hours.

The air raids came from aircraft that took off from the Khamis Mushait airbase, and the missile attacks were launched from Najran and Jizan.

Marib, Saada, Hodeidah, Taiz, and Amran were targeted.


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⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇶 – Trump confirmed the withdrawal of all U.S. forces from Iraq and called today a "victory for the United States [and Iraq]", and the end of a "very expensive incursion into Hell".

He also praised the Iraqi Prime Minister, al-Zaidi, hoping he will be able to handle things "very well".
Today, I am pleased to announce, that the last American Forces are leaving Iraq!

It has been a long time, with very bad decision-making that got us involved in this quagmire in the first place, but soon, that will be part of History.

This is a Great Day for America and, importantly, we leave with Iraq having a wonderful new Prime Minister, Ali al-Zaidi, somebody I supported from the beginning and fully endorsed. He won an Election that he was not expected to win, and did so, in a landslide!

Launched in 2003 under the presidency of George W. Bush, and continued under the Administration of Barack Hussein Obama in 2014, and Sleepy Joe Biden, Operation Inherent Resolve ends in 2026 under the leadership of President Donald J. Trump.

This Day is a victory for the United States, a victory for Iraq, and a decisive victory over ISIS, which has been completely decimated by the Trump Administration, First Term, along with other very bad and dangerous players.

Unlike Afghanistan, where much Military Equipment and everything else was left behind, and 13 Warriors lie dead, with many badly wounded, this orderly departure of Coalition forces and equipment from Erbil Air Base marks the end of a very expensive excursion into Hell.

I set a clear mission, gave our Commanders the tools to finish it, and refused to let a temporary presence become a permanent one. I had a choice to stay or to leave, and felt, without question, that it was time for America to go home!

Prime Minister al-Zaidi, is outstanding, and he will hopefully be able to handle things very well.

We came to fight a caliphate. There is no longer a caliphate. We are going home! President DONALD J. TRUMP


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⚡️🇺🇸 – Earlier today Trump also lashed out at the conservative outlet Fox News, which is traditionally pro-Republican and pro-Trump, but joined the boycott of the White House Press Pool following Trump's ban on three outlets and has come under fire from the Trump admin since then.

He also claimed, again, to have won the 2020 election.
Why does FoxNews always put Chuck Schumer, Hakeem Jeffries, Jessica Tarlov, and every Democrat on, saying bad things about the Republican Party and, of course, me? I actually think they get more airtime than Pro Republicans.

This is why MAGA, and REAL Patriots, will never like Fox!

They repeat a completely negative narrative, on and on it goes, and then we get a quick retort. It’s truly amazing that I won all three Elections. The opposition is enormous, but the fight goes on! President DONALD J. TRUMP.


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🇷🇺❌🇺🇦 – Russia continues with its campaign against the Ukrainian power grid.

Today, multiple strikes were reported against electrical towers, substations and power plants across Kyiv, and power outages have been reported in the capital province of Ukraine.


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⚡️🇺🇸🇸🇾 – Syria has been removed from the U.S. arms export ban list, or ITAR, the Department of State confirmed Wednesday. U.S. arms sales will now be allowed on a case-by-case basis.

This comes following the removal of the "state sponsor of terrorism" designation on Syria in August, and the easing of economic sanctions on Damascus last year.


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⚡️🇸🇾 – An explosion occurred on a gas pipe at the Tishreen power plant in Syria, close to the capital of Damascus, due to unknown reasons.

Tge blast took the Deir Ali, Al-Nasiriyah, and Tishreen power plants out of service, according to Syrian outlet SANA.


The fire is still active and specialized teams are mobilizing to control the flames.

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⚡️🇺🇸 – The U.S. 10 Year Bond Yield is at a 24-year-high of 5.3%, and went close to 5.31% earlier today.

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📝 The rise in bond yields can translate directly into higher interest rates on mortgages and other loans, can depreciate the value of current bonds, and more importantly, the U.S. government will have a harder time servicing its massive ~$40 trillion dollar debt.

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