Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
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Geopolitics Watch
⚡️🇺🇸🇸🇦 – The U.S. State Department approved the possible sale of 48 F-35 'Lightning' II strike fighters to Saudi Arabia, valued at around $24.3 billion dollars.

The sale also includes 49 'Pratt & Whitney' ‌engines, communications equipment, spare parts and more.

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⚡️🇺🇸🇵🇱 – Trump said on Truth Social that a U.S. Army base could be established in Poland, with a location likely to be announced very soon.

GREAT NEWS! Thanks to the bold leadership of my friend, Karol Nawrocki, President of Poland, major progress is being made toward establishing a U.S. Army base in Poland. If this happens, the location will be announced very soon. This will be a historic step for our Great U.S./Polish Alliance. Thank you for your attention to this matter. President DONALD J. TRUMP
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⚡️🇺🇸 – A plane crashed in Blair County, Michigan, and authorities are responding to the incident.

Unconfirmed reports suggest the aircraft is an F-16, and that witnesses saw a parachute before the plane crashed. There were no reported casualties.

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⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷 – U.S. officials confirmed an Iranian delegation will be allowed to attend next week's United Nations General Assembly, following reports that the President of the Palestinian Aasembly, Mahmoud Abbas, didn't have the same luck.

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🇮🇱📞🇰🇼 — Israel's ambassador to UAE claims that Kuwait is possibly joining the Abraham Accords and is holding talks with Israel over the Iranian attacks, Israeli Kaan channel reported.

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⚡️🇺🇸 – It appears the aircraft that crashed in Blair County is indeed an F-16, and the preliminary cause of the crash was identified as a bird strike.

The pilot is reportedly conscious and alert following the incident.

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⚡️🇮🇷🇴🇲 – UKMTO reported a "security incident" against a vessel transiting the Strait of Hormuz. It's likely Iranian projectiles targeted the vessel but missed or where shot down. No damage to the vessel or crew was reported.

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 - Lockheed Martin has received the first mission critical PAC-3 MSE components produced by GM Defense, just 22 days after the companies signed their manufacturing agreement.

The delivery comes as Lockheed Martin hastened PAC-3 MSE production under a $58.62 billion U.S. government multiyear contract, with annual production capacity set to increase from roughly 600 to 2,000 interceptors.

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🇪🇺🤝🇺🇦 - European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has stated that tomorrow the EU will allocate €3.3 Billion to Ukraine for missile and drone acquisition.

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🇾🇪❌🇾🇪 - Yemeni Armed Forces have released combat footage against the Houthis on the Taiz Front.

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🇾🇪⚡️🇸🇦🇾🇪 - Over the past day Ansarullah has begun conducting pincer movements in an attempt to encircle the PLC held agglomeration southwest of Taizz.

➡️ As a result of this new offensive Ansarullah forces have captured the villages of Adinah, Al-Zawai, Al- Shariq (North), and Al Ashruh (South).

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🇺🇦❌🇷🇺 – Russia claims to have shot down a whopping 629 Ukrainian drones overnight.

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🇯🇵📈 – The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its interest rates by 25 basis points to 1.25%, a 31-year high.

The BoJ warned the rates could surge even higher to combat inflation caused by high energy prices and a weak yen. The latest decision was not unanimous, but had a 7-2 majority.

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❗️🇸🇦 - The damage caused by the Houthis strikes to the Saudi East-West pipeline was found to be much greater than previous estimates.

Three pumping stations were damaged and recovery could take up to 6 weeks.

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❗️🇺🇸🛢 - Exxon Mobil has shut down one of the largest diesel refineries in the Midwest U.S., which produces ~11 million gallons of gasoline and diesel fuel per day, due to outage issues.

This comes as diesel prices have already surged nearly 90% this year and the US has entered peak diesel demand season.

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🇾🇪❌🇸🇦🇮🇹 - An Italian Air Force F-2000 Eurofighter was hit during overnight attacks on King Fahd Air Base in Taif, Mecca region, Saudi Arabia according to the Italian Defense Ministry.

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🇾🇪❌🇸🇦🇮🇹 - An Italian Air Force F-2000 Eurofighter was hit during overnight attacks on King Fahd Air Base in Taif, Mecca region, Saudi Arabia according to the Italian Defense Ministry. @GeoPWatch
🇾🇪❌🇸🇦🇮🇹 - The jet was deployed alongside 3 other Eurofighters to Saudi Arabia as part of Italy’s Task Force Air Arabia detachment in March 2026.
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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 - JPMorgan :

We simply don’t know how to model the endgame.


The bank says says it no longer has a baseline outlook for oil for the first time since the Iran war began, and that several economic “red lines” it assumed Washington would avoid have now been crossed, while the path toward ending the disruption has become less clear.

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🇯🇵📈 — Japan raises interest rates from 1% to 1.25%.
The rate highest since 1995.

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🇸🇦🛢🇪🇺👎 - According to Bloomberg, Saudi Arabia will cease all sales of Crude Oil to European Refiners due to the recent attacks on the East-West pipeline.

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