Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ Unconfirmed reports of Saudi airstrikes in the port city of al-Mokha/Mocha, recently captured by the Houthis.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ-The Russian military is advancing west of Hryshyne where they have established positions in fields and tree lines just north of Udachne.

โžก๏ธ From there Russian forces continued their advance towards the village of Serhiivka where footage surfaced of Ukrainian strikes on Russian positions in the eastern part of the settlement.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Satellite imagery shows a large smoke plume and fire hotspots originating from the East-West Saudi Crude Oil Pipeline.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ The U.S. offered Cuba an oil and energy deal, which included providing an energetic lifeline to the island and the privatization of the Cuban state oil company (Cupet) in exchange for the stepping down of Cuban President Miguel Dรญaz-Canel.

The deal was meant for the U.S. to gain massive influence in the island while controlling its energy sectorโ€”the deal ultimately failed due to Cuban resistance and political pressure from Miami.


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช-Ansarullah forces have captured the strategic port town of Murad along with the island of Mayyun.

โžก๏ธ The Strait of Bab al-Mandab is now completely under Houthi control.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ โ€“ Putin and Xi Jinping have arrived in New Delhi for the 2026 BRICS summit, in the first visit by the Chinese leader to India as relations between both warm, following New Delhi's rupture with Washington D.C.

Iranian President Pezeshkian is also expected to be in attendance. The wars in the Middle East and Ukraine are expected to dominate the agenda of the group.


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๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ›ข โ€“ Brent crude oil is now trading at over $108 dollars per barrel.

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#BREAKING
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ Saudi Prince Mohammed bin Salman urged Trump to join his air campaign against the Houthis on two different phone calls Thursday, Axios reports. The President declined, and U.S. officials stressed the country has no intentions of joining the conflict in Yemen.

Still, the U.S. is stepping up support for Riyadh: today, CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper visited the country for "urgent coordination meetings", and CNN revealed up to
200 U.S. soldiers are deployed in the country.

This is a sharp change of posture for MBS, who assured Washington D.C. in July that it could handle the Houthis on its own. Now, following their
lighting offensive on the Red Sea coast and multiple strikes on Saudi refineries and pipelines, the tides appear to be turning.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น โ€“ Israeli outlets report that a new round of Israel-Lebanon talks will be held in Rome between Tuesday and Wednesday.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ โ€“ Only seven vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz Thursday, down from 11 the day before, and less than half of the 10-day average of 15, according to Kpler data cited by Reuters.

Of those, only two were outbound, and none were carrying oil. These numbers do not include vessels that may have transited the Strait with their AIS off.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Russia's Ministry of Defense claims to have shot down 777 Ukrainian Drones last night.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Ozon, the "Amazon of Russia", has suspended all e-commerce in the Saratov region after Ukrainian strikes set it's main distribution center in the Saratov region on fire.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช - The Royal Saudi Airforce reportedly conducted airstrikes on the Mokha International airport and Mokha port.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - According to Yemeni Government Sources, the Houthis have seized the strategic island of Perim in the Bab El-Mandeb strait early this morning, as government forces reportedly withdrew from the area.

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5๐ŸŽ‰77โค16๐Ÿซก8๐Ÿ”ฅ5๐Ÿ‘Ž3๐Ÿ˜3๐Ÿคก3๐Ÿ‘€2๐Ÿคฏ1๐Ÿ–•1
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#BREAKING
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ - Yesterday night, the IDF airstruck Muhammad Abdul Salam AlYazouri (Abu AlHaitham), the Commander of the AlQassam Brigades "Khan Yunis" Brigade in southern Gaza's 'AlMawasi' despite the ongoing ceasefire.

The IDF published footage of the strike.


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#BREAKING โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ - Yesterday night, the IDF airstruck Muhammad Abdul Salam AlYazouri (Abu AlHaitham), the Commander of the AlQassam Brigades "Khan Yunis" Brigade in southern Gaza's 'AlMawasi' despite the ongoing ceasefire. The IDF published footage ofโ€ฆ
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - The AlQassam Brigades confirmed his death as a result of the strike. [1]

A funeral procession is undergoing.
[2]

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthis said they successfully completed the Operation "Allah is Stronger in Might and More Severe in Punishment", the name given to their lighting advance through the Yemeni Red Sea Coast.

Throughout the operation, they claim to have captured around 5,400 square kilometers, to have downed nine Saudi aircraft (drones), to have liberated Houthi prisoners and to have killed, wounded and captured hundreds of PLC fighters and Saudi-backed mercenaries.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Reports of the sounds of explosions or gunfire on Qeshm Island are related to the testing of air defense systems.

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๐Ÿ”ฝ๐Ÿ›ข โ€“ Brent crude oil has fallen around 3% to less than $105 dollars per barrel. The U.S. benchmark price, WTI, has also fallen around 3% to barely less than $100 per barrel.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ โ€“ According to an assessment published on CNN, damage caused to the Saudi East-West Pipeline was made by Iraqi drones, likely from the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), and not the Houthis.

At least two pumping stations along the pipeline were struck, and it's unknown how much time repairs will take.


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