Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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🇷🇺🇺🇦A warehouse in western Kyiv is burning according to FIRMS data, following Russia's large scale attack on the Ukrainian capital.

This same complex had
already been struck less than a month ago.

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🇷🇺🇺🇦Two additional fires are raging in southern Kyiv: one in what appears to be a logistics warehouse next to a school and a medical center (right), and the other in a residential unit (left).

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⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇷A few hours ago, Trump recognized he has still not won the war in Iran, claimed oil prices "will drop precipitously", and said it will "all happen quickly".

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#BREAKING
⚡️🇮🇱🇵🇸🇦🇪Emirati President Mohammed bin Zayed (MBZ) warned Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu of Hamas' plans to attack Israel over a week and a half before the October 7 attack, Haaretz has revealed.

MBZ held a phone call with Netanyahu warning him that the late Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar was planning to escalate, fearing a war with destabilizing consequences for the entire region could ensue. Three sources confirmed the details of the call.

While MBZ urged de-escalation in the West Bank and economic reforms for Gaza, Netanyahu said Israel was "prepared for any scenario" and assessed Hamas planned to operate mainly in the West Bank.

Surprisingly, no heads of defense were briefed on the warning: Neither the head of the Shin Bet, of Mossad, or the IDF Chief of Staff were informed of the call.


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🇮🇷🇺🇸 - The IRGC is claiming to have captured a U.S. Navy UUV in the Strait of Hormuz this morning. They are describing it as one of the US's most advanced unmanned underwater vehicles.

The IRGC plans to show more of it on State TV within the coming hours.
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🇮🇷🇺🇸 – Iran claims to have shot down a USAF 'MQ-1C' drone over the Strait of Hormuz.

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🇺🇸🇺🇸🇮🇷The U.S. Treasury has sanctioned every civilian airliner in Iran as part of Operation Economic Outcast.

At least 27 distinct entities were sanctioned.

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🇾🇪🇾🇪🇸🇦Preliminary estimates by BashaReport claim at least 221 Houthi fighters have been killed in action since large-scale fighting resumed on July.

Among the killed are one Major General (Hassan Hussein Ali Mutahhar), six Brigadier Generals, and 22 Colonels.

🔗 Source

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🇾🇪🇸🇦🚨 - Alerts issued in Najran, Saudi Arabia.

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🇾🇪🇸🇦🚨 - Alerts were also issued earlier in Abha and Jazan, Saudi Arabia, but they have since been lifted.

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Geopolitics Watch
🇾🇪🇸🇦🚨 - Alerts issued in Najran, Saudi Arabia. @GeoPWatch
🇾🇪🇸🇦🚨 - Alerts have been lifted in Najran, Saudi Arabia.

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Geopolitics Watch
🇮🇷🇺🇸 – Iran claims to have shot down a USAF 'MQ-1C' drone over the Strait of Hormuz. @GeoPWatch
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⚡️🇮🇷🇮🇷🇺🇸 - The IRGC has published footage of the interception of a USAF "MQ-1C" UCAV using an Air Defense missile over the Strait of Hormuz near 'Hormozgan' of southern Iran earlier today.

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Geopolitics Watch
🇾🇪🇸🇦 – The fire north of Ahba, Saudi Arabia, appears to be spreading, as NASA's FIRMS continues to detect new fires (the latest 50 minutes ago). They are also unusually extreme, with one of them emitting over 1,090 MW of fire radiative power (FRP). @GeoPWatch
🇾🇪🇸🇦As of less than an hour ago, the fire north of Ahba continues to rage. It appears to be somewhat under control, as the Fire Radiative Power (FRP) was sharply decreased from its high of over 1,000 FRP.

The fire has been active for around 18 hours now.

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⚡️🇮🇷🇮🇷🇺🇸The IRGC has published a first look at the captured U.S. UUV, identified as Anduril's advanced 'Dive LD'.

The drone appears to be in perfect condition, probably allowing Iranian scientists to reverse-engineer some of the technologies on board.

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⚡️🇮🇷🇮🇷🇺🇸According to Anduril's own website, the Large Diameter Autonomous Undersea Vehicle (LD-AUV) is capable of performing IPOE, ISR, Mine Warfare and Precision Placement missions, which could give the IRGC a more solid control of the Strait of Hormuz.

It can also be used for pipeline and cable inspection, mineral detection, and environmental monitoring.


It's also posible that, eventually, a reverse-engineered version of the LD-AUV could make its way to the Houthis, giving the Iranian proxy control over the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.

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⚡️🇮🇷🇮🇷🇺🇸The 'DIVE LD' has a claimed endurance of up to 10 days at sea, and at a maximum depth of 6,000 meters.

The IRGC would most likely find this drone useful for surveillance and patrols on the SoH, but also for sabotaging
undersea cables. It's reportedly unable to deploy mines, but can contribute to mine-clearing operations.

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🇮🇷🇺🇸Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammed Ghalibaf on the captured U.S. UUV:

Well, it seems the most modern U.S. intelligent UUV just had a 'Knock' on its door... from the IRGC Navy!


📝 It should be noted that the 'Dive-LD', although very advanced, is not the best UUV in the U.S. arsenal, with others such as the 'Remus 3000' or the 'Orca' XLUUV also contending for that honor.

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 – Reports of a Ballistic Missile launch from Jask, Iran towards the Strait of Hormuz.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷Iran's Khatam al-Anbiya Headquarters claim the U.S. threatened to target another three Iranian oil tankers, and warned they'd retaliate strongly against U.S. bases and interests in the region.

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