Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€“ The Houthis claimed Saudi Arabia struck a prison in northern Yemen, killing at least seven people and trapping at least 36 others, including 35 prisoners and a woman, under the rubble.

The strike took place in the Central Corrective Facility in Hazm, Jawf province, as fighting intensifies between the Houthis and the Saudi-backed PLC.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Alleged missile fire from Iran's 'Sirik' towards the Strait of Hormuz.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ Majed al-Nasari, Qatari foreign ministry spokesperson, said the U.S. military presence in the region is "not enough" anymore, but instead of calling for the U.S. to reinforce its position, he advocated for self-sufficiency, diversification in the security realm and for Gulf states to be responsible for their own defense.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ โ€“ Two Russian Su-35s fighter jets crashed against each other above Kursk earlier today. The debris of both aircraft is pictured above.

The status of the pilots remains unknown.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - A large-scale Russian aerial attack is expected against Ukraine tonight, with Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast facing the highest threat with the Lviv Oblast also potentially targeted.

โ–ถ๏ธ Current estimates suggest the potential use of hundreds of drones, up to 40 cruise missiles and 35โ€“50 ballistic/hypersonic missiles. Up to 8 Tu-95MS and 4 Tu-160 strategic bombers could participate, potentially carrying as many as 60 Kh-101 cruise missiles, with 4 Tu-160 bombers in the air right now flying from East Russia to West Russia to their launch lines.

โ–ถ๏ธ Geran-4 jet drones are expected to continue operating ahead of the main strike, to wear out Air Defense systems protecting the capital.

โšก๏ธ Nonetheless, nothing is officially confirmed.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - 370 Ukrainian drones have been launched to Russia.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€“ Volkswagen finalized a deal with Israeli defense firm 'Rafael' to transform its plant in Osnabrรผck, Germany, into a factory for components for the Israeli 'Iron Dome' air defense system.

The plant is expected to stop producing automobiles in 2027, and then switch to trucks, generators and launchers for the Iron Dome batteries.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The ceasefire for aerial strikes on Kyiv will end in 30 minutes. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - 72 hour ceasefire is officially over.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Ballistic missile threat in Kyiv.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - The first wave of Russian Geran-4 Jet Powered Drones appear to be enroute to Kyiv.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ”ด- Moscow Oblast is under Missile Threat.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง โ€“ IAF airstrikes killed 13 people in southern Lebanon today, and wounded others, in what represents another escalation and one of the deadliest days recorded in the last weeks.

11 of those people were killed on a single strike on Kfar Rumman, which destroyed a building.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Ballistic missile threat in Kyiv.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐ŸŸข - Ballistic missile threat in Kyiy has been lifted, however the capital is still under a drone attack and Kyiv remains under air raid alert.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ -The Russian militaryโ€™s bridgehead west of the Zherebets River, which was utilized by Russian forces to put pressure on Lyman from the north along with threatening Ukrainian formations with encirclement east of the Oskil River, has been completely eliminated by the Ukrainian military.

โžก๏ธ Over recent weeks as the AFU was conducting their pincer movements toward the village of Kolodyazi the Russian military withdrew their forces from the pocket north of Lyman, evading the what would be the encirclement of a couple hundred Russian personnel.

โžก๏ธ As a result of the Russian militaryโ€™s withdrawal back towards the Zherebets River Ukrainian forces have recaptured the villages of Drobysheve, Novoselivka, Derylove, Shandryholove, Serednje, and Zelena Dolyna, fighting for the village of Kolodyazi continues.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Reportedly, Houthi forces have just now targeted King Khalid Air Base in Khamis Mushait with BMs and One-Way Attack Drones.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Reportedly, Houthi forces have just now targeted King Khalid Air Base in Khamis Mushait with BMs and One-Way Attack Drones. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The Houthi BM and One-Way Attack Drone attack is still ongoing.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Ballistic missile threat in Kyiv.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Renewed ballistic missile threat in Kyiv.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - A Russian Tu-95 strategic bomber has been detected taking off from Olenya Guba base.

Tu-160 Bombers are reaching their launch lines any moment now. An attack appears to be imminent, however nothing is confirmed.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - A Russian Tu-95 strategic bomber has been detected taking off from Olenya Guba base. Tu-160 Bombers are reaching their launch lines any moment now. An attack appears to be imminent, however nothing is confirmed. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Russia redeployed Tu-95MS strategic bombers from the far east of Russia to Olenya Airbase in preparations for a large scale attack on Kyiv.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - A Russian Tu-95 strategic bomber has been detected taking off from Olenya Guba base. Tu-160 Bombers are reaching their launch lines any moment now. An attack appears to be imminent, however nothing is confirmed. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Up to 12 long-range Russian bombers are currently flying towards their launch lines.

Mixed reports between either 3 Tu-95 bombers and 4 Tu-160 bombers or 8 Tu-95 and 3 Tu-160 bombers.


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