Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ’‰ โ€“ President Trump is again linking vaccines with autism, using data from Amish communities that claims no completely unvaccinated Amish children have ever been diagnosed with autism.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ The IRGC claimed its forces shot down yet another USAF MQ-9 'Reaper' drone over the Strait of Hormuz, the second in less than 24 hours.

Our information is that an Iranian Sevom Khordad Air Defense system was responsible for the downing.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Air Raid Alert in Kyiv.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Air Raid Alert in Kyiv. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ—๏ธ - Multiple drones in the Kyiv and Bucha area.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ—๏ธ - Multiple drones in the Kyiv and Bucha area. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ’ฅ - Explosions reported in Western Kyiv. Cause is unknown. Drones are still operational above Kyiv.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ โ€“ The members of the recently expanded 'Mecca Agreement', Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, met today in Istanbul for the first time.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด โ€“ Sentinel-2 satellite imagery confirms at least one Iranian impact in Muwaffaq Salti airbase, Jordan, in what appears to be an aircraft maintenance hangar.

It's unknown whether a USAF fighter jet was at the hangar at the moment of the explosion.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ โ€“ Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping met at the margin of the Shangai Cooperation Organization (SCO) summit in Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ โ€“ Xi's and Putin's meeting was mostly focused on strengthening cooperation, discussing the implementation of initiatives both leaders discussed during Putin's visit to Beijing in May, and promoting the role of the SCO as a multilateral organization, South China Morning Post reported.

Energy projects, such as the stalled 'Power of Siberia 2' pipeline, and cooperation on trade, industry, transport, science and technology are expected to have been discussed.

International and regional issues were also discussed, although no further details were given.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - A U.S. Official to AXIOS reported that in recent days that an Iranian anti-aircraft missile was launched towards a U.S. F-35 fighter jet that was providing cover to ships in the Strait of Hormuz.

One incident that raised concern in recent days was the launch of an Iranian anti-aircraft missile toward a U.S. F-35 fighter jet that was providing cover to ships in the strait, a U.S. official said.

While the missile didn't come close enough to be a threat, it was a signal that Iran is trying to reconstitute its military capacity, according to the U.S. official.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The U.S. Official to AXIOS also reported that the military might need to strike Iran periodically in order to keep moving dozens of oil tankers out of the Gulf relatively safely every day.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The U.S. Official to AXIOS also reported that the military might need to strike Iran periodically in order to keep moving dozens of oil tankers out of the Gulf relatively safely every day.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - These plans were supported by Pete Hegseth and sent it to the White House, several days before last night's Iranian attack on U.S. forces in Jordan which as a result could have changed Trump's mind.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿ”ด - Air raid alerts are being issued across an increasing number of regions in Ukraine.

Kyiv City has now been under an air-raid alert for 1 hour and 43 minutes, making it the longest alert in the capital today, more than twice the duration of the previous longest alert.


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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ โ€“ According to TankerTrackers, during the last four weeks an average of 6.92 million barrels of oil have crossed outbound the U.S. blockade line.

Of those, over a third came from terminals in the Gulf of Oman (which don't require crossing the Strait of Hormuz), and the remaining came from Gulf countries beyond the SoH, and were mostly loaded into other tankers before the U.S. blockade line.

TankerTrackers doesn't just count vessels with AIS on: it combines AIS data with hundreds of daily satellite images, including visually identified AIS-offline tankers.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ€ผ๏ธ - Multiple Banderol Cruise Missile launches were detected towards Odesa.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Air Raid Alert in Kyiv. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐ŸŸข - All Clear in Kyiv. The alert period lasted 2 hours 40 minutes.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ€ผ๏ธ - Multiple Banderol Cruise Missile launches were detected towards Odesa. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ’ฅ - Explosions are being reported from Odesa.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The Telegraph reports :
Russia wants to turn Kyiv into a ghost town: Now, Putin will have a new strategy โ€“ a series of bombings of the capital,


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ด - Russia is currently mounting a large scale aerial raid on Odesa with numerous Banderol S8000 Cruise Missiles and drones being detected launched towards the city. Explosions can be heard.

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