Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ›ซ - German authorities have opened a sabotage investigation following two drone-related incidents at Leipzig/Halle Airport. An explosive drone was discovered on the tarmac beside a Ukrainian Antonov transport aircraft, leading to the airportโ€™s closureโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ›ซ - German security services believe Russia was behind the explosive drone attack on Leipzig airport, as it operates as a logistics hub for Ukrainian support.

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๐Ÿคฃ33๐Ÿคฏ12๐Ÿ˜6๐Ÿ’ฉ4๐Ÿ’ฏ4๐Ÿพ4โค2๐Ÿค”2๐Ÿ”ฅ1๐Ÿ˜ฑ1๐Ÿ‘€1
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ - UKMTO has confirmed that the Indian-flagged commercial vessel MSV Faize Noore Oliya was attacked by an uncrewed surface vessel (USV) approximately 9 nautical miles southwest of Al Mukha, Yemen.

The attack sparked a fire on board before the vessel eventually sank. All crew members were rescued by local authorities and are reported safe.

UKMTO said the incident remains under investigation and has advised vessels transiting the area to exercise caution.
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#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - The IRGC have reported via their media outlet Sepah News, that the proposed Strait of Hormuz agreement with Oman has been โ€œhereby postponedโ€, citing U.S. interference and President Trumpโ€™s threats as the reasoning for postponement.

Tehran said it โ€œwill not conclude any agreement under the shadow of threatsโ€ and claimed the Strait will not reopen while the U.S. continues its alleged โ€œviolations.โ€ It also reiterated that any future reopening would place the waterway under Iranโ€™s full sovereign authority, with transit fees imposed on all vessels.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The IDF has issued an urgent evacuation warning for residents of Al-Mansouri, southern Lebanon.

The warning states that the Israeli military intends to operate against what it says are Hezbollah positions in the area, accusing the group of violating the ceasefire agreement.

Residents have been instructed to evacuate immediately and move at least 1,000 meters north of the village into open areas. The IDF also warned that anyone near Hezbollah personnel, facilities, or military equipment is putting their life at risk.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - IDF Strikes are currently ongoing in Al-Mansouri, Southern Lebanon.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Despite President Trumpโ€™s claims that a deal is close, Reuters reports that an agreement to re-open the Strait of Hormuz is not expected anytime soon, with several major issues still unresolved.

Citing senior Iranian sources, Reuters says negotiations are continuing, but โ€œit is too early to say that a deal with Oman has been finalized.โ€ One source added that โ€œthe devil is in the details,โ€ warning that โ€œa single tweet from Trump could cause the whole thing to collapse.โ€


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒโ“ - UKMTO has just reported an attack 95 Nautical Miles southeast of Aden, Yemen.

Loud explosion was heard in close proximity to the vessel, but no damage was reported and all crew was accounted for and safe.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ’Š โ€“ The United States is offering over $100 million dollars for information on the new leaders of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG).

โ–ถ๏ธ The change of leadership came after an operation on February 22 which killed 'El Mencho', the cartel's leader. His stepson, Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzรกlez 'El Pelรณn', was identified by U.S. and Mexican authorities as his successor.

โ–ถ๏ธ The reward for information which leads to the arrest of 'El Pelรณn' is $25 million dollars. Between $2 and $15 million are offered for information on the whereabouts of other cartel leaders.

โ–ถ๏ธ 'El Pelรณn' was also identified as the DEA's "number one priority". The CJNG has grown to become the largest and most dangerous cartel in Mexico, even absorbing parts of the Sinaloa Cartel into its own structure.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Iranโ€™s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi says any agreement with Oman would not mean Tehran will implement Article 5 of the Islamabad memorandum.

Article 5 reportedly requires Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping free of charge for 60 days.

The statement contradicts recent reports that a potential Oman-Iran deal would include a 60 day period of free commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz.


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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Iranโ€™s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi says any agreement with Oman would not mean Tehran will implement Article 5 of the Islamabad memorandum. Article 5 reportedly requires Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping freeโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Iranโ€™s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi says the proposed new shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz is temporary, but could remain in effect for 2 to 4 months or longer.

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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ’Š โ€“ Spanish authorities seized two and a half tons of methamphetamine and arrested 13 people connected to a drug trafficking operation in Cataluรฑa.

โ–ถ๏ธ Seven of the arrested are Mexican nationals, and both the group and the drug shipment appear to be linked to the Mexican CJNG cartel.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒโ“ - UKMTO has just reported an attack 95 Nautical Miles southeast of Aden, Yemen. Loud explosion was heard in close proximity to the vessel, but no damage was reported and all crew was accounted for and safe. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ The Houthis claim to have struck the Saudi oil tanker 'Daisy', achieving a direct hit and making it turn back.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - AP reports that Iranian and Omani negotiators have finalized a draft agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, however they are awaiting the final sign-off from Iran's supreme leader.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - AP reports that Iranian and Omani negotiators have finalized a draft agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, however they are awaiting the final sign-off from Iran's supreme leader. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian says interactions with Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei are "very complicated" at the moment.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ โ€“ Even despite an agreement being reached with Oman without U.S. intervention, the implementation would still be contingent on the U.S. fulfilling other Iranian demands, including:

โ€ข Lifting the naval blockade.
โ€ข Removing export restrictions
โ€ข Releasing the frozen funds as agreed in Islamabad.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - According to Reuters, Iran has warned gulf countries that any new U.S. attacks on Iran will lead to Iran retaliating and targeting crucial energy infrastructure throughout the region.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - According to Reuters, Iran has warned gulf countries that any new U.S. attacks on Iran will lead to Iran retaliating and targeting crucial energy infrastructure throughout the region. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi has urged Gulf allies of the U.S. to use their influence with President Trump to prevent renewed strikes on Iran.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโ—๏ธ - Reportedly, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz are reportedly holding a high-level security meeting following the deadly incident in southern Lebanon earlier today, where two IDF soldiers were killed and seven others wounded after their unit was reportedly struck by a Hezbollah-planted explosive device during operations.

The military has reportedly requested approval for a โ€œsensitive operationโ€ requiring authorization at the political level.

If accurate, this suggests todayโ€™s strikes against Hezbollah may have been only the initial phase of Israelโ€™s response.


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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโ—๏ธ - Reportedly, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz are reportedly holding a high-level security meeting following the deadly incident in southern Lebanon earlier today, where two IDF soldiers were killed and sevenโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง - According to a Lebanese diplomatic source to Al Arabiya, the Rome negotiations between Israel and Lebanon have reportedly been suspended.

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๐Ÿคฃ50โค7๐Ÿ‘Ž6๐Ÿ”ฅ5๐Ÿ‘4๐Ÿคก4๐Ÿ’”2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿคฌ1๐ŸŽ‰1๐Ÿ˜ˆ1
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท - The Foreign Ministers of Egypt, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia and Turkey met in Amman today, in the fifth meeting of the forum.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Insane footage can be seen here of the Russian BM launches on Kyiv last night.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ43๐Ÿ’ฉ13โค9โคโ€๐Ÿ”ฅ5๐Ÿ’”3๐ŸŽ‰2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿคฏ1๐Ÿคฌ1๐Ÿ—ฟ1