Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Yemeni forces claim to have targeted the Saudi Oil tanker "Wafa" in the Northern Red Sea, off the coast of Yanbu using ballistic missiles. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Yemenโ€™s Houthi Forces claims its military operations will continue and intensify, including targeting Saudi oil tankers in the northern Red Sea, with the stated objective of closing maritime access routes and preventing their passage.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ชโ“ - Reports claiming a Houthi attack on Jebel Ali Port in Dubai this morning remain unconfirmed. Sources on the ground, living in close proximity to the port, reported hearing no explosions, no alerts, and no indications from authorities consistent withโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช - As we reported this morning, the fire in Jebel Ali Industrial Area 1 does not appear to have been the result of a Houthi strike.

โ–ถ๏ธ The Houthisโ€™ 10:00 a.m. military statement made no mention of any operation targeting Dubai or Jebel Ali.

โœ”๏ธ Based on the information currently available, we can now assess with high confidence that the Jebel Ali fire was not caused by a Houthi attack. It appears to have been a separate industrial incident.

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and the Chief of Army Staff of Pakistan, Asim Munir, are scheduled to visit Saudi Arabia tomorrow.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - President Donald Trump when asked by a reporter โ€˜Where are we with Iran?โ€™ :

We will know in the next 48 hours.
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๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ›ซ - German authorities have opened a sabotage investigation following two drone-related incidents at Leipzig/Halle Airport.

An explosive drone was discovered on the tarmac beside a Ukrainian Antonov transport aircraft, leading to the airportโ€™s closure and the deployment of bomb disposal specialists and a robot.

Moments later, a departing DHL cargo aircraft was hit by an unidentified object at roughly 400 metres altitude, sustaining front-end damage leading to the aircraft conducting an emergency landing in Hannover.

Authorities are investigating if the unidentified object was a 2nd drone.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ชโ“ - An unverified source claiming to work for the Dubai Civil Defence stated that a petrol tank caught fire inside a warehouse/factory in Jebel Ali Industrial Area 1, triggering the explosion of multiple cylinders. The situation however remains extremelyโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ชโœ”๏ธ- Dubai Civil Defense have confirmed our reporting.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณ - The UN says Iran has executed at least 56 people on โ€œnational security-relatedโ€ charges since 19 March, including 27 linked to the January protests.

Some of the most notable cases:

โ€ข Saleh Mohammadi (19) โ€“ National wrestler executed after being convicted of killing a police officer during the protests. He denied the charge, and rights groups say his confession was obtained under torture.

โ€ข Amirhossein Hatami (18) โ€“ Executed for the alleged burning of a Basij base during protests.

โ€ข Arvin Kheirkhah (20) โ€“ Executed after being convicted for his role in the January protests.

The UN have repeatedly raised concerns that many of the convictions followed closed trials, relied on torture confessions, and failed to meet international fair trial standards.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Reports from Kyiv indicate up to 20 direct BM impacts across the city, with sources suggesting many of the missiles may have been 3M22 Zircons. If confirmed, this would be the largest Zircon strike on Kyiv since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion.โ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Reportedly at least 17 people were killed last night in Russian strikes targeting Kyiv.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ›ซ - German authorities have opened a sabotage investigation following two drone-related incidents at Leipzig/Halle Airport. An explosive drone was discovered on the tarmac beside a Ukrainian Antonov transport aircraft, leading to the airportโ€™s closureโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ’ฅ๐Ÿ›ซ - German security services believe Russia was behind the explosive drone attack on Leipzig airport, as it operates as a logistics hub for Ukrainian support.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ - UKMTO has confirmed that the Indian-flagged commercial vessel MSV Faize Noore Oliya was attacked by an uncrewed surface vessel (USV) approximately 9 nautical miles southwest of Al Mukha, Yemen.

The attack sparked a fire on board before the vessel eventually sank. All crew members were rescued by local authorities and are reported safe.

UKMTO said the incident remains under investigation and has advised vessels transiting the area to exercise caution.
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#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - The IRGC have reported via their media outlet Sepah News, that the proposed Strait of Hormuz agreement with Oman has been โ€œhereby postponedโ€, citing U.S. interference and President Trumpโ€™s threats as the reasoning for postponement.

Tehran said it โ€œwill not conclude any agreement under the shadow of threatsโ€ and claimed the Strait will not reopen while the U.S. continues its alleged โ€œviolations.โ€ It also reiterated that any future reopening would place the waterway under Iranโ€™s full sovereign authority, with transit fees imposed on all vessels.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The IDF has issued an urgent evacuation warning for residents of Al-Mansouri, southern Lebanon.

The warning states that the Israeli military intends to operate against what it says are Hezbollah positions in the area, accusing the group of violating the ceasefire agreement.

Residents have been instructed to evacuate immediately and move at least 1,000 meters north of the village into open areas. The IDF also warned that anyone near Hezbollah personnel, facilities, or military equipment is putting their life at risk.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - IDF Strikes are currently ongoing in Al-Mansouri, Southern Lebanon.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Despite President Trumpโ€™s claims that a deal is close, Reuters reports that an agreement to re-open the Strait of Hormuz is not expected anytime soon, with several major issues still unresolved.

Citing senior Iranian sources, Reuters says negotiations are continuing, but โ€œit is too early to say that a deal with Oman has been finalized.โ€ One source added that โ€œthe devil is in the details,โ€ warning that โ€œa single tweet from Trump could cause the whole thing to collapse.โ€


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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒโ“ - UKMTO has just reported an attack 95 Nautical Miles southeast of Aden, Yemen.

Loud explosion was heard in close proximity to the vessel, but no damage was reported and all crew was accounted for and safe.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ๐Ÿ’Š โ€“ The United States is offering over $100 million dollars for information on the new leaders of the Jalisco New Generation Cartel (CJNG).

โ–ถ๏ธ The change of leadership came after an operation on February 22 which killed 'El Mencho', the cartel's leader. His stepson, Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzรกlez 'El Pelรณn', was identified by U.S. and Mexican authorities as his successor.

โ–ถ๏ธ The reward for information which leads to the arrest of 'El Pelรณn' is $25 million dollars. Between $2 and $15 million are offered for information on the whereabouts of other cartel leaders.

โ–ถ๏ธ 'El Pelรณn' was also identified as the DEA's "number one priority". The CJNG has grown to become the largest and most dangerous cartel in Mexico, even absorbing parts of the Sinaloa Cartel into its own structure.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Iranโ€™s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi says any agreement with Oman would not mean Tehran will implement Article 5 of the Islamabad memorandum.

Article 5 reportedly requires Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping free of charge for 60 days.

The statement contradicts recent reports that a potential Oman-Iran deal would include a 60 day period of free commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz.


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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Iranโ€™s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi says any agreement with Oman would not mean Tehran will implement Article 5 of the Islamabad memorandum. Article 5 reportedly requires Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping freeโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ - Iranโ€™s Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi says the proposed new shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz is temporary, but could remain in effect for 2 to 4 months or longer.

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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ’Š โ€“ Spanish authorities seized two and a half tons of methamphetamine and arrested 13 people connected to a drug trafficking operation in Cataluรฑa.

โ–ถ๏ธ Seven of the arrested are Mexican nationals, and both the group and the drug shipment appear to be linked to the Mexican CJNG cartel.

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