Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - US Secretary of State Rubio:
There's been progress made in talks with Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - US Secretary of State Rubio:
Nothing final on Hormuz; hoping an agreement will happen very shortly.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The U.S. and Israel Are Discussing a Land Blockade of Iran

What Does This Mean for Traders?

Washington and Jerusalem are considering the possibility of cutting off Iranโ€™s land trade routes. Trump and Netanyahu also discussed maintaining the blockade and the possibility of launching large-scale strikes.
The Strait of Hormuz is virtually paralyzed. Tensions remain high.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ โ€“ A Houthi Unmanned Surface Vessel (USV) struck and sank the MSV Faez Noor Awliya, an Indian-flagged tanker, in the Bab al-Mandab Strait.

โ–ถ๏ธ Indian and Yemeni authorities confirmed the sinking, and informed that the crew of 14 was rescued and transfered to Mokha port in Yemen.

โ–ถ๏ธ The tanker is the fourth vessel to be struck by the Houthi rebels since the blockade on Saudi ports was announced.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The Wall Street Journal states that initially, Iran agreed to a proposal by Oman to open the Strait of Hormuz, but then it added new conditions:

- The right to collect transit fees from ships.

- A guarantee that it would not be attacked again.

- An end to the US naval blockade.

- The lifting of oil sanctions.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - According to the Wall Street Journal, senior regional officials have stated that the United States and regional governments have rejected Iran's request to receive transit fees, as demanded by Iran in the Iran-Oman Strait of Hormuz deal.

Regional governments want a deal that includes assurances that Iran and its proxy groups will not pose a threat to their territories.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - According to the Wall Street Journal, senior regional officials have stated that the United States and regional governments have rejected Iran's request to receive transit fees, as demanded by Iran in the Iran-Oman Strait of Hormuz deal. Regionalโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Trumpโ€™s deadline for an Iranโ€“Oman agreement on the Strait of Hormuz expires tonight.

Trump said that if thereโ€™s no Hormuz deal today, there will be โ€œdevastating strikesโ€.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ€ผ๏ธ - According to Reuters, the U.S. has used โ€œvirtually allโ€ of its Army Tactical Missile Systems (ATACMS) and Precision Strike Missiles (PrSM) during the five-month war with Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ€ผ๏ธ โ€“ CNN reports that approximately 80% of the pre-war THAAD inventory and roughly half of the Patriot missile reserves have been exhausted during the conflict involving Iran.

โ–ถ๏ธ The U.S. now has to deal with a lack of long-range attack munitions, as well as a lack of defensive interceptors, meaning both attack and defense have become riskier or more costly for U.S. forces in the region.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ The United States has revoked the visa of Maria Luiza Viotti, the Ambassador of Brazil to Washington D.C., as diplomatic tensions between both nations continue to escalate.

โ–ถ๏ธ The U.S. has accused Brasilia of withholding diplomatic approval for the American ambassador designated by Trump, and revoking Luiza's visa is probably a retaliation for that.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Explosions heard in Kyiv as Russia launches another large-scale ballistic missile attack against the Ukrainian capital.

โ–ถ๏ธ At least ten Iskander-M and one Zircon hypersonic missile have reportedly been launched.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Explosions heard in Kyiv as Russia launches another large-scale ballistic missile attack against the Ukrainian capital. โ–ถ๏ธ At least ten Iskander-M and one Zircon hypersonic missile have reportedly been launched. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Mixed reports of 9 to 20 Zircon impacts in Kyiv.

Russia is actively launching a massive ballistic missile attack on Kyiv.


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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Reports from Kyiv indicate up to 20 direct BM impacts across the city, with sources suggesting many of the missiles may have been 3M22 Zircons. If confirmed, this would be the largest Zircon strike on Kyiv since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Ukraine has launched around 400 UAVs at Russia, they are currently en-route.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - 3 Iskander-Ms have been launched towards Kyiv. Kyiv is currently suffering from a severe shortage in Patriot Interceptor missiles, these Iskander-Ms are most likely going to impact.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - President Donald Trump via Truth Social:
My REAL Polling Numbers, not those made up by the Fake News Media, are the best they have ever been, and why wouldnโ€™t they be with the biggest tax cuts and employment numbers EVER, the biggest outside Investment in America in World history, a totally secure Border, a giant Victory in Venezuela, the Denuclearization of Iran, unparalleled respect and success throughout the World, and much more? Donโ€™t believe the Radical Leftโ€™s Fake Poll numbers. They are Crooked and Corrupt, just like the Country Destroying Dumocrats are Crooked and Corrupt. VOTE REPUBLICAN FOR GREATNESS IN AMERICA! Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DJT


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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - 3 Iskander-Ms have been launched towards Kyiv. Kyiv is currently suffering from a severe shortage in Patriot Interceptor missiles, these Iskander-Ms are most likely going to impact. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - An immense fire can be seen in Kyiv from what reportedly was a direct impact.

Unclear if this was caused by an Iskander, Zircon or something entirely different.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - An immense fire can be seen in Kyiv from what reportedly was a direct impact. Unclear if this was caused by an Iskander, Zircon or something entirely different.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Further imagery can be seen here.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Despite the current Russian attack being concentrated on Kyiv, air raid sirens are still sounding across Ukraine.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - 5 USAF Tankers and 1 E-3B Sentry are in the air over the Persian (Arabian) gulf

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