Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‘€โ“ - No retaliation has yet been seen from Iran, in response to this mornings U.S. strikes. Despite Kuwait announcing the death of a worker as a result of an Iranian strike, no alarms were sounded in the country.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ข - A laden Qatari LNG tanker transited the Hormuz, the first LNG carrier to do so since July 11.

The ship used the Iranian corridor and is en route to Pakistan.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- The IRGC claims that an Iranian missile strike on Muwaffaq al Salti Air Base in Jordan destroyed three U.S. F-35 fighter jets, damaged three additional aircraft, and killed several U.S. officers and technicians.

These claims have not been verified by any credible source and, at this stage, carry little to no weight.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - I have conducted satellite imagery analysis on behalf of the GeoPWatch team, and identified significant damage at the Khuzestan Intelligence Directorate in Ahvaz.

We received reports of the building being struck during last night's U.S. strikes, and satellite imagery from today indicates major damage on three sides of the main central building, affecting an area of approximately 2100 square meters.

The site is believed to be the provincial branch of Iranโ€™s Ministry of Intelligence, responsible for domestic intelligence, counterintelligence and internal-security operations in Khuzestan.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - US GDP growth last quarter is at 1.5%, well short of expectation.

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๐Ÿ›ถ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‘ฎ - Spain's enclave of Ceuta has declared an "Absolute Migratory Emergency" after a massive surge of illegal migrants flooded the Spanish enclave yesterday and breached the border fence today without control.

Ceutaโ€™s government demanded that Spain declare a national emergency and send the military to suppress the crisis.


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Brent crude plunges 12% overnight

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The drop follows an unexpected pause in the US-Iran conflict.
After 13 nights of strikes, the US halted operations on July 24. Iran stopped retaliating and says it will hold as long as the pause continues.

Talks are underway. Hormuz remains restricted. On July 28, Netanyahu met with Trump. A key meeting that could set the next direction for oil.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€” Explosions reported in Sana'a, likely Saudi airstrikes.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ—๏ธ - Misleading Sentinel-2 imagery is being used to support claims of damaged F-35s at Muwaffaq al Salti Air Base.

Several pages are comparing 25 July and 30 July Sentinel-2 imagery, increasing the gamma so aircraft appear as darker pixels, then citing those darker pixels as evidence of damage.

There is no evidence supporting those claims.

Why:

โ€ข No visible damage is apparent in the Sentinel-2 imagery.

โ€ข Sentinel-2 cannot confirm damage to individual fighter aircraft. At 10 m/pixel, an F-35 occupies only a handful of pixels, making the imagery unsuitable for assessing aircraft damage.

โ€ข No secondary indicators, such as blast damage to nearby shelters or surrounding infrastructure, are visible.

Even if Iran had struck parked F-35s, Sentinel-2 imagery should not be used as evidence for or against aircraft damage due to its limited spatial resolution. Higher-resolution commercial imagery would be required.


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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช โ€” Saudi Arabia has officially announced the establishment of an international alliance aimed at safeguarding maritime traffic in the Red Sea, with the participation of fourteen nations.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- The Multinational Maritime Defense Coalition has been established to enhance maritime security in the Persian (Arabian) Gulf, the Red Sea, and the Gulf of Aden.

โžก๏ธ The participating nations include The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the State of Kuwait, the Kingdom of Bahrain, the State of Qatar, the Islamic Republic of Pakistan, the Republic of Tรผrkiye, the Arab Republic of Egypt, the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, the Republic of Yemen, the Peopleโ€™s Republic of Bangladesh, the Federal Republic of Nigeria, the Republic of the Sudan, the Republic of Djibouti, and the Federal Republic of Somalia.

The Saudi Ministry of Defense stated that:
Other countries that participated in the meeting also confirmed their support for the initiative. They are currently completing their internal national approval procedures required to join the joint statement. The door will remain open for themโ€”and for any other countries wishing to join the statementโ€”once they complete their national procedures.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - According to Al Jazeera, the U.S. Senate have blocked a resolution that was attempting to halt the Iran war.

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๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐Ÿค ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€“ Morocco and Spain have agreed to repatriate all individuals who have arrived in Ceuta, in recent days and have not regularized their situation.

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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (Spiridon Fotino)
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๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ As the night fell, thousands of Moroccans keep crossing into Ceuta and run aimlessly on the city's streets.

The Spanish Gendarmerie (Guardia Civil) estimated earlier today that as many as 40k migrants jumped the fence from Morocco into Spain, an estimate that is very likely outdated as of the writing of this post.

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๐Ÿ’ธโ—๏ธBreaking News:

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Geopolitics Watch pinned ยซ๐Ÿ’ธโ—๏ธBreaking News: Today I want to introduce an experienced crypto trading analyst He specializes in analyzing market trends and organizing trading ideas based on global geopolitical conflicts and war situations โžก๏ธIf you are a crypto trader, you may communicateโ€ฆยป
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ’ฅ - A U.S.-owned, Marshall Islands-flagged LNG floating storage facility was reportedly struck by at least one drone while moored at Damietta Port, Egypt, according to maritime security firm Ambrey. No group has claimed responsibility. Initial reportsโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ - Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi released a statement on the attack of the floating LNG storage at a Egyptian terminal.

Egypt is considered a friend and important partner in the region, and its security constitutes an utmost priority for us. We must all remain vigilant toward Israeli schemes and "false flag" operations that aim to undermine regional peace. The threat is clear, shared, and fears Muslim solidarity.


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