Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Kuwait's Ministry of Foreign Affairs has released a statement expressing their condemnation of attacks conducted by Iranian-backed militias in Iraq against Saudi Arabia, and reaffirm their support for Saudi Arabia's right to self-defense.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ โ€” An Iraqi security source told Al Araby TV that 12 members of the PMF were killed in Saudi/U.S. airstrikes that targeted their headquarters in the governorates of Nineveh and Diyala.

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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€“ Preliminary reports indicate the targeting of an IDF engineering vehicle in Ali Al Taher, southern Lebanon, by a Hezbollah booby-trapped drone.

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โคโ€๐Ÿ”ฅ78๐Ÿ”ฅ25๐ŸŽ‰9๐Ÿคก6๐Ÿคฌ5๐Ÿคฎ3๐Ÿคฃ3๐Ÿคจ3โค1๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ˜ฑ1
Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Mister Iowan)
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” Ansarallah announces shooting down a Karayel reconnaissance UAV operated by Saudi Arabia above Sa'dah Governorate, northwestern Yemen bordering Saudi Arabia, at dawn today.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Iranian state media reports that a location near the Piranshahr border area in northwestern Iran was hit in a reported U.S. airstrike. According to the province's crisis management chief, the missile hit an area with no buildings or residents, and no casualties were reported.
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๐Ÿ”ฅ26๐Ÿคฏ9โค7๐Ÿ˜4๐Ÿคฌ2๐Ÿ‘1
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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€“ Preliminary reports indicate the targeting of an IDF engineering vehicle in Ali Al Taher, southern Lebanon, by a Hezbollah booby-trapped drone. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโ€“ Israeli Channel 14 confirms the attack on an "D9 Bulldozer" and states that the IDF will conduct a response in southern Lebanon, excluding Beirut's southern suburbs (Dahye).

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๐Ÿ’ฉ42โค11๐Ÿ–•11๐Ÿ‘2๐Ÿ”ฅ2๐Ÿคฎ1
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ- The U.S.โ€“Saudi airstrikes carried out this morning reportedly targeted Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) positions in Iraq, following Saudi claims that Iranian-backed militias in Iraq were responsible for recent drone attacks on petroleum facilitiesโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถโ€“ Al Jazeera updated the toll to 20 deaths and 32 injuries among the PMF personnell.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - In an interview today to Fox News, President Trump said that the U.S. will strike Iran in response to the Iranian attack last night on American targets in Jordan.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - President Trump to Fox News :
We're going to hit Iran hard, we're going to knock them out of shape


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - President Trump to Fox News :
Last night's US and Saudi strikes were coordinated with the Iraqi government.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - President Trump to Fox News :
We are going to beat the fucking shit out of Iran.


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๐Ÿคฃ140๐Ÿ–•38๐Ÿ”ฅ25๐Ÿ’ฉ16๐Ÿ‘9๐Ÿคก9๐Ÿ‘6๐Ÿคฎ5๐Ÿซก2๐Ÿ‘Œ1๐Ÿ—ฟ1
Forwarded from Tabz - Live News (Tabz)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณโšก๏ธ โ€” Iran is expected to receive its first shipment within weeks under a deal for up to 400 Chinese-made man-portable air-defense systems (MANPADS), according to Reuters.

โžก๏ธ Deliveries will initially be by air from Urumqi in western China, then transiting through Pakistan to Iran.

โžก๏ธ The $60โ€“70 million contract covers 300 to 400 QW-12 and FN-16 shoulder-fired surface-to-air missiles and was signed through Hong Kong-based Zhongqing Baoshang International Investment.
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๐Ÿ”ฅ88โค29๐Ÿ‘Ž7๐Ÿ‘4๐Ÿ‘3๐ŸŽ‰2๐Ÿ–•2๐Ÿคฎ1๐ŸŽ…1
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถโ€“ Al Jazeera updated the toll to 20 deaths and 32 injuries among the PMF personnell. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโ€“ Iranian media report that 5 IRGC members were killed in the US-Saudi airstrikes on Iraq.

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1๐Ÿ’”118๐Ÿ”ฅ34๐Ÿ˜27๐Ÿพ19๐Ÿ˜ข13๐Ÿคฃ8๐Ÿคฌ5๐Ÿ˜ฑ4๐Ÿ˜ญ3๐Ÿ•Š2๐Ÿคฏ1
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ ๐Ÿค ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€“ Israeli Oppositon Leader and Former PM Naftali Bennett:

We should pursue peace and normalization with Saudi Arabia, despite the costs. Some argue that these costs are unacceptable.
I believe that we can achieve normalization without harming the interests of Israel, without establishing a Palestinian state, and without creating a path towards its creation.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ’ฅ - A U.S.-owned, Marshall Islands-flagged LNG floating storage facility was reportedly struck by at least one drone while moored at Damietta Port, Egypt, according to maritime security firm Ambrey.

No group has claimed responsibility. Initial reports indicate there were no casualties and no damage to port infrastructure.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ51๐Ÿคฏ30โค11๐ŸŽ‰8๐Ÿคฃ6๐Ÿซก3๐Ÿคฌ2๐Ÿคฉ2
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ’ฅ - A U.S.-owned, Marshall Islands-flagged LNG floating storage facility was reportedly struck by at least one drone while moored at Damietta Port, Egypt, according to maritime security firm Ambrey. No group has claimed responsibility. Initial reportsโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ โ€“ Egyptian officials told Al Hadath that the incident was caused by a fire in the engine room.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ดโ€“ Italy has officially concluded its contribution to the NATO enhanced Air Policing mission in Romania, wrapping up a successful deployment aimed at securing the Alliance's southeastern airspace.

โžก๏ธ During the mission, Italian Eurofighter aircraft operated from the Mihail Kogฤƒlniceanu Air Base in Constanศ›a, working alongside Romanian forces to conduct quick reaction alert (QRA) duties.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโ€“ The Russian military has captured the northeastern residential part of Kostyantynivka as well as advancing into the residential areas in the northwestern part of the city

โžก๏ธFrom there Russian personnel have entered Oleksijevo-Druzhkivka where they were geolocated walking around the southeastern residential part of the town.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐ŸŒž๐Ÿ’ฅ - Reports of Explosion in Sulaymaniyah, Iraq.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โŒ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ The CENTCOM announces:
We have so far altered the course of 20 commercial ships, disabled two ships, and boarded two other ships.
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๐Ÿ’ฉ56๐Ÿคก17๐Ÿ‘6๐Ÿคฎ2โค1
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ โ€“ Egyptian officials told Al Hadath that the incident was caused by a fire in the engine room. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ- Despite conflicting reports from various media outlets, including Iranian and Western channels, a clear analysis indicates that launching a drone from Iraq to strike Dumyat is geopolitically and physically impossible.

โžก๏ธ Such a trajectory would require the drone to traverse Jordan, Israel, and the entirety of the Sinai Peninsula, crossing the Suez Canal and passing over the Eastern Port naval base in Port said and landing 50 kilometers from Alexandria without detection.

โžก๏ธ This scenario is implausible given that the Sinai region is equipped with state-of-the-art radar systems capable of tracking fighter jets near Tel Aviv, alongside hundreds of surface-to-air missile batteries and over 700 radar units. It is highly improbable for a drone to infiltrate this heavily monitored airspace without immediate detection.

โžก๏ธ Furthermore, Dumyat is a minor port with limited strategic significance; if an attack on Egypt were feasible, a target of greater strategic importance would logically be selected.

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