Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ›ฅ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - According to a Gulf Source cited by Reuters, Oman has reportedly proposed a joint regional mechanism to manage the Strait of Hormuz, under which Iran would no longer exercise sole control of the strategic waterway.

The proposal, which reportedly has regional backing, is modeled on the Strait of Malacca and would include voluntary contributions from transiting vessels to fund navigation safety, environmental protection, and search-and-rescue services.


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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - A preliminary M7.1 earthquake has struck Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan, according to Japanโ€™s National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED).

Emergency warnings have been issued for Kumamoto, Nagasaki, Kagoshima, Fukuoka, Saga, Oita, and Miyazaki prefectures.

Further information on damage, casualties, and any tsunami risk is still being assessed.


The earthquake was observed 11 minutes ago.

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๐Ÿ˜ฑ29๐Ÿคฏ4โค3๐Ÿ”ฅ2๐Ÿคฉ2๐Ÿ‘1
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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - A preliminary M7.1 earthquake has struck Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan, according to Japanโ€™s National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED). Emergency warnings have been issued for Kumamoto, Nagasaki, Kagoshima, Fukuokaโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - According to Japan's NIED, buildings constructed with high resistance to earthquakes will sustain slight damage at a M7 level earthquake. However, old buildings or new ones constructed with low resistance to earthquakes will sustain major levels of damage and may even collapse.

It is impossible to remain standing or to move without crawling at this magnitude.


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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - According to Japan's NIED, buildings constructed with high resistance to earthquakes will sustain slight damage at a M7 level earthquake. However, old buildings or new ones constructed with low resistance to earthquakes will sustain major levels ofโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - A magnitude 7.1 earthquake at only 10 km depth is considered a major and potentially destructive earthquake.

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๐Ÿคฏ25๐Ÿ˜ฑ9๐Ÿ’”4๐Ÿ‘3โค1
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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - A preliminary M7.1 earthquake has struck Kumamoto Prefecture, Japan, according to Japanโ€™s National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience (NIED). Emergency warnings have been issued for Kumamoto, Nagasaki, Kagoshima, Fukuokaโ€ฆ
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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโš ๏ธโ€ผ๏ธ - The Magnitude 7 earthquake has now hit the Kumamoto region, Kumamoto Prefecture.

A tsunami warning has been issued by the Japan Meteorological Agency.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - According to i24NEWS, over the last 2 days around 20 drones were fired by Iranian backed militias in Iraq at Israel, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia.

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๐Ÿค”48๐Ÿ”ฅ12โค9๐Ÿฅด6๐Ÿคฉ3๐Ÿ•Š3๐Ÿ‘Ž2๐Ÿคฌ2๐Ÿ˜‡1
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Basem Naim, a Senior Political Figure of Hamas has announced that a Hamas delegation team is heading to Egypt's Cairo ahead of the second phase of negotiations on the ceasefire in Gaza.

The talks are to focus on humanitarian issues in the strip and the
ongoing ceasefire violations by the IDF, before the topic of the second phase of the "Trump" plan.

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โค25๐Ÿ–•7๐Ÿ˜4๐Ÿ‘3๐Ÿคก3
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - 2 days ago, Yemen's Ansarullah Houthis announced the shooting down of an RSAF "Bayraktar Akฤฑncฤฑ" UCAV in Yemen's 'AlJawf' Airspace.

The group published footage of the shooting down and the drone's carcass.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz:
We strongly desire to attack Iran's energy facilities, but the United States is currently not allowing us to do so.


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๐Ÿคฌ60๐Ÿ–•50๐Ÿ˜17๐Ÿ”ฅ9๐Ÿคก6๐Ÿคฎ5โค4๐Ÿ’ฏ3๐Ÿ‘2๐Ÿ‘€2
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - According to Japan's NIED, buildings constructed with high resistance to earthquakes will sustain slight damage at a M7 level earthquake. However, old buildings or new ones constructed with low resistance to earthquakes will sustain major levels ofโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - At least 50 injured in the Kumamoto earthquake are being treated at a hospital in Hikawa, Japan.

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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - At least 50 injured in the Kumamoto earthquake are being treated at a hospital in Hikawa, Japan. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - Following the M7.1 earthquake in southwestern Japan, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi says injuries and collapsed buildings have been reported.

Initial footage shows injured shoppers and damage inside a Costco in Kumamoto.

An explosion has also been reported at Aeon Mall in Kumamoto following the earthquake.

Additionally, the earthquake triggered a landslide on Mount Mayu in Shimabara, Nagasaki Prefecture.


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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - Following the M7.1 earthquake in southwestern Japan, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi says injuries and collapsed buildings have been reported. Initial footage shows injured shoppers and damage inside a Costco in Kumamoto. An explosion has also beenโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตโ€ผ๏ธโš ๏ธ - Preliminary reports of multiple deaths at the AEON Mall as a result of the explosion.

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๐Ÿ˜ข43๐Ÿ’”7๐Ÿฅฐ5โค1๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿค”1๐Ÿ˜ฑ1
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ฅ - Analysis and Satellite Imagery conducted by the GeoPWatch team shows: A probable point of impact within the Jazan Refinery tank farm, located approximately 45 km north of the city of Jazan, following the Houthi strike on Saturday, 25 July. Imageryโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโ—๏ธ๐Ÿ›ข- Reportedly, Saudi Aramco has shut down its 400,000 barrels per day Jazan refinery following the July 25th Houthi Attack.

Repairs are expected to be completed by August 15 after damage to the refineryโ€™s integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) system and tank farm.

If confirmed, the outage would temporarily remove one of Saudi Arabiaโ€™s major refining facilities from operation, accounting for around 14% of the Kingdomโ€™s domestic refining capacity.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The Houthis are claiming to have carried out another ballistic missile attack on a Saudi oil tanker in the Red Sea.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€“ Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha:

I held a discussion with my Iranian counterpart, emphasizing our objective to prevent any escalation. I assured Mr. Aragchi that our primary goal is to defend our nation against Russian aggression and that we had no intention of targeting civilian vessels. I stressed the necessity of refraining from any escalatory measures.


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๐Ÿคก79๐Ÿ˜16๐Ÿคฃ11โค8๐Ÿ–•7๐Ÿ”ฅ1๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿคฎ1
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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The Houthis are claiming to have carried out another ballistic missile attack on a Saudi oil tanker in the Red Sea. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - One notable detail is that the tanker was reportedly operating with its AIS (Automatic Identification System) switched off. If accurate, this suggests the Houthis relied on alternative targeting methods, potentially including coastal radar, ISR drones, maritime spotters, or commercial satellite imagery, rather than publicly available ship tracking.

The Houthis also reiterated that they intend to continue enforcing what they describe as a maritime blockade against Saudi Arabia.

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โค53๐Ÿ”ฅ9๐Ÿคก3๐Ÿฅด3๐Ÿคจ3๐ŸŽ‰2