Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโšก๏ธ โ€” Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi:
Zelenskyy has attacked an Iranian commercial vessel, killing a sailor. A blatant UN Charter violation done at Israel's behest to drag Europe into its war. In calls with EU High Rep Kallas and FM Lavrov, made clear that what the freeloader in Kyiv did CANNOT GO UNANSWERED.
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- After around 8 months of a stagnant front north of Pokrovsk the Russian military has entered the eastern part of Bilytske.

Media surfaced of Russian forces waving their flags in the central and western parts of Bilytske, confirming their presence in the area.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Israeli Minister of Security stated that they are studying the possibility of displacing the citizens of entire towns in the West Bank.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ- According to Channel 13, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told cabinet ministers he will reject reported U.S. requests for Israeli troop withdrawals from Syria, Lebanon and Gaza.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ—๏ธ- Two people were killed and five others wounded in a mass shooting at a food festival near the Space Needle on Sunday evening.

Among the injured is a 2-year-old child. Authorities are investigating the incident, and at least one suspect has reportedly been taken into custody.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โŒ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - According to the New York Times, U.S. officials worry that Putin and Xi Jinping could be taking into account U.S. munitions shortages from the Iran War into calculations of their next moves, in Ukraine and Europe for Russia and against Taiwan for China.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช - Yemeni tribes are reportedly hunting down Houthi militants near the Marib province. Reports suggest they have killed at least seven Houthi fighters during ongoing clashes.

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๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ฅ - Analysis and Satellite Imagery conducted by the GeoPWatch team shows:

A probable point of impact within the Jazan Refinery tank farm, located approximately 45 km north of the city of Jazan, following the Houthi strike on Saturday, 25 July.

Imagery indicates the smoke plume is likely originating from the vicinity of a large above-ground hydrocarbon storage tank. Tank alignment, road layout, and surrounding infrastructure were used to geolocate the affected area.

Due to smoke obscuration, direct structural damage cannot be visually confirmed from the available imagery. However, the available evidence is consistent with damage to a storage tank within the refineryโ€™s tank farm.

As of 9AM KSA Time, the smoke plume is still visible via satellite imagery.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei:
We will not allow the United States to determine when there is peace and war. The Americans are stuck in a self-made quagmire after 5 months.


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei:
No negotiations with US, only Oman talks on Strait of Hormuz arrangements.


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๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - I have conducted an independent analysis on behalf of the GeoPWatch Team regarding reports of an attack on the Saudi Aramco Abqaiq oil processing facility.

The following has been identified:

โ€ข Reports from people on the ground of smoke in the Abqaiq area.


โ€ข Photos circulating online appearing to show smoke rising from the vicinity of the facility.


โ€ข NASA FIRMS / VIIRS data recorded multiple thermal hotspots at approximately 02:35 AST on 27 July.

After cross-checking FIRMS data from previous dates, the number and distribution of these thermal hotspots appear irregular compared to normal activity at the facility.

The available evidence I have found suggests an incident likely occurred at or near the Abqaiq facility. However, the extent of any damage remains unconfirmed and will require additional satellite imagery, verified footage, or official confirmation. It seems that yes that there is indeed a fire at Abqaiq facility, however it can't be confirmed if this is due to an attack or another industrial event.


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๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ›ฉ - 2 Drones were shot down over Jordan.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ›ซ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Netanyahu has taken off for Washington.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - The Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs:
There are no negotiations with the United States, and there is nothing called a ceasefire.


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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ฅ - Analysis and Satellite Imagery conducted by the GeoPWatch team shows: A probable point of impact within the Jazan Refinery tank farm, located approximately 45 km north of the city of Jazan, following the Houthi strike on Saturday, 25 July. Imageryโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ”ฅ - The smoke plume can still be seen from Jazan refinery. It is nearly 70km long.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The Saudi Defense Ministry says its forces shot down several drones launched from Iraq by Iranian-backed militias in recent hours, attempting to target oil facilities in the Eastern Region and Riyadh.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - I have conducted an independent analysis on behalf of the GeoPWatch Team regarding reports of an attack on the Saudi Aramco Abqaiq oil processing facility. The following has been identified: โ€ข Reports from people on the ground of smoke in the Abqaiqโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถโŒ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Satellite imagery has been released supporting my findings this morning in Abqaiq. Clear damage can be seen.

Abqaiq is the worldโ€™s largest crude oil processing and stabilization facility, operated by Aramco.
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - Aramco has suspended operations at Abqaiq after todayโ€™s attack.

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