Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” Two more Zircon impacts in Kyiv.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” Two more Zircon impacts in Kyiv. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” Photo confirming Zircon impacts in Kyiv, Ukraine, just now.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” Photo confirming Zircon impacts in Kyiv, Ukraine, just now. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” Seems like 4 Zircon hypersonics were launched, not 2. All impacted.

14/14 impacted today. 14 is by far the most launched towards Ukraine in one day.


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๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, speaking at a rally, accused 'far-right' elements in the US of interference against Mexico and her government.

Who decides in Mexico, foreign agencies or the people? We are going to defend โ Mexico's sovereignty and independence.


The US seeks to gain deeper influence on its southern neighbors by propping up right wing, ideologically aligned governments such as Argentina and El Salvador. At the same time, it works to undermine or oust left-wingers in Venezuela, Cuba, Brazil and Colombia. The Sheinbaum's government is center left but has largely been spared from the interference campaign thus far.

The Trump admin has also been pressuring the hemisphere to join the war on drug, often encroaching on local jurisdictions. Notably, in April 2026, two CIA agents were killed alongside two Mexican officials while on a counter-narcotic operation in northern Mexico, allegedly without President Sheinbaum knowledge.

During the trade war last year, Mexico was eager to make concession to appease its largest trading partner, unlike Canada, which retaliated against the US. Ms Sheinbaum's latest criticism underlines the emerging tension between Mexico and the US.

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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ“‰ - Japanese bond and currency face collapse as concerns over Takaichi's lack of fiscal discipline mount.

โžก๏ธ Japan spent $73 billion on the forex market to defend the yen from the 160 per dollar level. The 4th intervention in as many years failed to bring lasting relief, the yen subsequently fell back to the pre-intervention level.

โžก๏ธ Japanese 30-year bond yield has been on a tear, hitting an all time high of 4% in May 2026.

โžก๏ธ Japan has a high net debt to GDP ratio of ~130%. Prime Minister Takaichi is looking to add even more debt to fund several ambitious programs: remilitarization, investment into semiconductor manufacturing, populist welfare...

Japan holds $1.24 trillion in US Treasuries, the largest foreign holding in the world. A potential crisis in Japan could trigger a selloff and bring turmoil to the US financial system.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Israeli Defense Minister, Israel Katz:
Prime Minister Netanyahu and I, together with the IDF, led a move aimed at establishing a new equation: Beirutโ€™s Dahiyeh district will be treated the same as Israelโ€™s northern communities.

If Israeli towns continue to come under attack, we will evacuate and strike Beirutโ€™s Shiite Dahiyeh district, Hezbollahโ€™s main stronghold. We issued public warnings and the IDF published an evacuation notice. The immediate result was the evacuation of hundreds of thousands of residents โ€” 600,000 out of 950,000 by last night โ€” creating significant pressure on Hezbollah and the Lebanese government

The United States endorsed this principle and conveyed it to the Lebanese government and all relevant parties. The test of this policy will become clear in the coming days: either the attacks on Israeli communities stop, or if they continue and we strike Dahiyeh, the equation will have been enforced.

There will be no situation in which our communities are attacked without a powerful response against Dahiyeh. IDF operations inside Lebanon will continue regardless
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Israel continues to bombard southern Lebanon, with Nabatieh al-Fawqa struck within the past 10 minutes and numerous other towns also coming under attack in recent hours.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Israel continues to bombard southern Lebanon, with Nabatieh al-Fawqa struck within the past 10 minutes and numerous other towns also coming under attack in recent hours.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- An image of an airstrike that took place in the municipality of Srifa, southern Lebanon, in the past 20 minutes.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Jets have also been reported over: โžก๏ธ East Tehran; โžก๏ธ Southwest Iran, near Ahvaz; โžก๏ธ Mahidasht, western Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Last night, intense IRIAF/IRGCAF fighter jet activity was reported across Iran as part of extensive exercises that have been ongoing for almost a week.

โžก๏ธ Aircraft involved included domestically produced Saeqeh-80 jets, MiG-29 fighters, F-4 Phantom IIs, and also Su-24 Fencer strike bombers, with the Su-24's reported flying at very low altitude.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The IAF continues to conduct airstrikes in the town of Al-Mansouri, southern Lebanon.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Intense GPS jamming is currently taking place in central and southern Israel, southern Syria, Tehran, northern Oman, the Gulf of Oman, the UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, and some parts of Saudi Arabia.

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Geopolitics Watch
#BREAKING ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to Tasnim News Agency, Iran has halted all dialogue and text exchanges through intermediaries, citing Israeli ceasefire violations in Lebanon. โžก๏ธ Iranian negotiators had previously listed Lebanon as a precondition for anyโ€ฆ
#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- According to Fars News Agency, an informed source has confirmed that the exchange of messages between Iran and the US regarding a preliminary memorandum of understanding has been halted for at least a few days already, contradicting claims by some Western media and officials that communications are proceeding normally.

โžก๏ธThe source clarified that Iran's most recent message to Washington was a clear statement regarding Lebanon. This comes despite Donald Trump claiming last night that talks with Iran were proceeding at a high pace.
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๐Ÿ”ฅ30๐Ÿคฃ8โค3๐ŸŽ‰3๐Ÿซก2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ–•1
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Last night, intense IRIAF/IRGCAF fighter jet activity was reported across Iran as part of extensive exercises that have been ongoing for almost a week. โžก๏ธ Aircraft involved included domestically produced Saeqeh-80 jets, MiG-29 fighters, F-4 Phantomโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Last night's exercise also included helicopter operations across several cities in northwest Iran, including Tabriz, Marand, Ardabil, Ahar, and Khoy, in the East and West Azerbaijan provinces and Ardabil Province.

โžก๏ธ Aircraft involved included Mi-28NE attack helicopters, domestically produced Toufan I and II attack helicopters, and Bell AH-1 SuperCobra attack helicopters.

โžก๏ธ The training included live-fire exercises near the western border with Iraq, specifically around the cities of Kermanshah, Tabriz, and Bishak in western Iran, with some sounds of the exercises heard in nearby cities.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The Israeli Air Force has conducted multiple airstrikes in the town of Bourj al Chemal, southern Lebanon.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท - The US presses Oman to sever ties with Iran, threatening the country with sanctions and even airstrikes.

Washington is growing alarmed by the good relations between Oman and Iran, especially a potential pact to toll vessels transiting the Hormuz.

Oman is a US ally and served as the mediator in the previous round of negotiations between Iran and the US.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to MizarVision's analysis of satellite imagery, at least 261 vessels passed through the U.S. naval blockade line over the past week, including 132 oil tankers and 129 cargo ships, averaging approximately 37 vessels per day.
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Media is too big
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF "NAMER" APC side-rear and an "M113" rear using "Ababil" FPV drones in southern Lebanon's 'Debl' on the 31st of May.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” The F-15E "Strike Eagle" pilot shot down by Iranian air defense on April 3 had a really hard time during the Iran War. It turns out he was also one of three F-15E pilots shot down by friendly fire from a Kuwaiti F/A-18C "Hornet" fighter jet on March 1.
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