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Geopolitics Watch

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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇷 — CENTCOM announces conducting airstrikes using fighter jets against Iranian radar & drone command sites in Goruk and Qeshm Island, in response to Iranian actions including the interception of a MQ-1 "Predator" UCAV likely operated by the Central Intelligence…

📝 After reviewing it more, the shot down drone in question is probably a MQ-1C "Grey Eagle" belonging to the U.S. Army, and the IRGC just didn't know about it. The IRGC specifically named the MQ-1 "Predator" which is no longer in service, leading us to initially believe the drone was Emirati. The MQ-1s and MQ-1Cs are also distinct systems that serve different doctrines due to being made for different service branches, and we're not sure why CENTCOM isn't distinctly stating the MQ-1C.

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3.94K viewsMister Iowan, edited 03:56

Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸🤝🛥❌🇮🇷 - US official says Central Command has helped 70 ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz in the last three weeks.

The official did not divulge what type of ships transited, which route they took and which direction. The average rate of crossing with CENTCOM assistance is low at ~3 ships per day, just 3% of the prewar rate, but it shows there is appetite for risk taking among shipowners.

The official's claim could not be verified by independent analysts with access to satellite imaging. The alleged crossings were made with transponders off.

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4.06K viewsAmman, edited 04:11

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— President Macron announces that the French Navy intercepted the crude oil tanker TAGOR in international waters at the Atlantic Ocean. This tanker is sanctioned and is part of Russia's shadow fleet of oil tankers.

The attached video shows a NH90 NFH helicopter in service with the French Naval Aviation landing on the ship, followed by two French soldiers inside the crude oil tanker.

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4.23K viewsMister Iowan, edited 04:52

Geopolitics Watch

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— President Trump claims that Iran wants to make a deal, and calls on Americans to be patient.

Iran really wants to make a deal, and it will be a good one for the U.S.A. and those that are with us. But don’t the Dumocrats, and various seemingly unpatriotic Republicans, understand that it is MUCH tougher for me to properly do my job and negotiate, when political hacks keep negatively “chirping,” at levels never seen before, over and over again, that I should move faster, or move slower, or go to war, or not go to war, or whatever. Just sit back and relax, it will all work out well in the end - It always does!

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3.99K viewsMister Iowan, edited 05:07

Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇰🇼 — Footage of the ballistic missile launch from Khuzestan Province, Iran towards Ali Al-Salam Base, Kuwait. @GeoPWatch

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— Iran has published footage of the launch of a Fateh-110 short-range ballistic missile towards the Ali Al-Salem Air Base in Kuwait.

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4.12K viewsMister Iowan, edited 05:16

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— Over the past ten minutes, two rocket alerts and one drone alert have activated in the Kiryat Shmona area.

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3.9K viewsMister Iowan, edited 05:27

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🛑🇹🇼 - Pete Hegseth's speech at Shangri La security conference makes zero mention of Taiwan, in an apparent attempt to placate Beijing.

The annual speech by the US Secretary of Defense is the first to evade the Taiwan issue completely in decades. Echoing President Trump, Mr Hegseth hailed ties with Beijing as “better than they’ve been in many years”. At a summit earlier this month, the US President signaled his willingness to compromise on Taiwan to end the trade war on favorable terms for the US.

Mr Hegseth insisted that the change in rhetoric does not indicate further policy change. “The only change you might see is how we talk,” he said, adding that the US should speak “softly, while carrying a big stick.” Following the Beijing summit, a $14 billion weapon deal for Taiwan has been shelved.

in related news, the US has informed its ally Japan that the delivery of an order of 400 Tomahawk missiles, originally scheduled between 2025 and 2027, could be delayed by up to two years.

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4.41K viewsAmman, edited 06:14

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— Explosions were reported heard in Bandar Abbas around one hour and twenty minutes ago.

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4.11K viewsMister Iowan, edited 06:19

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Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇷 — Explosions were reported heard in Bandar Abbas around one hour and twenty minutes ago. @GeoPWatch

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— Unexploded ordnance being dealt with, there is no attack.

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4.12K viewsMister Iowan, edited 06:21

Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇷 — Unexploded ordnance being dealt with, there is no attack. @GeoPWatch

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— Unexploded ordnance will be being detonated in Bandar Abbas for the next 72 hours. Any reports of explosions in the area should be assumed to be the controlled detonation of unexploded ordnance.

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4.1K viewsMister Iowan, edited 06:27

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Forwarded from Hudson War Mapping - Reporting on the Ukraine War

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A comparison of mappers in the Kostyantinivka direction.

1. Hudson WM
2. AMK Mapping
3. Hague Fugitive
4. SuriyakMaps
5. Anatoliy Radov

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4.26K viewsMister Iowan, 06:29

Geopolitics Watch

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– Joint statement to Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Israeli Defense Minister Katz:

Following Hezbollah's continuous ceasefire violations and its attacks on Israeli cities and civilians, PM Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel Katz have ordered the IDF to strike terror targets in Beirut's Dahiyeh district.

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12.9K viewsHadi, 07:16

Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

#BREAKING 🇮🇱

🇱🇧 – Joint statement to Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Israeli Defense Minister Katz: Following Hezbollah's continuous ceasefire violations and its attacks on Israeli cities and civilians, PM Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel…

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– Mass evacuation has begun in Dahyeh.

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10.9K viewsHadi, edited 07:25

Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇮🇱 - Iranian Speaker of the Parliament Ghalibaf comments on Israel action against Lebanon.

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9.79K viewsAmman, edited 09:02

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– The UK’s Sky News Group has ended its joint venture with Abu Dhabi’s IMI, handing full control of Sky News Arabia to UAE Vice President Sheikh Mansour, while retaining a brand licensing deal.

➡️ The exit follows a major scandal over the channel's biased coverage of the Sudan conflict. Sky News Arabia acted as a mouthpiece for the UAE-backed Rapid Support Forces (RSF), a paramilitary group accused by the UN of genocide in Darfur. The breaking point occurred when the network whitewashed atrocities and sent a reporter who was filmed hugging an RSF commander. The move allows the UK broadcaster to distance itself from the scandal while continuing to profit from the brand.

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9.4K viewsHadi, edited 10:12

Geopolitics Watch

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– The Guardian reports that the United Nations is set to add Israel and Russia to its annual blacklist of states and armed groups responsible for sexual violence during conflicts.

➡️ The upcoming UN report, expected to be published next month, cites systemic abuses by Russian forces in Ukraine and documented cases of sexual violence committed by Israeli forces against Palestinians in the occupied territories and Gaza. Inclusion on the list carries significant diplomatic stigma, though it does not trigger automatic international sanctions.

➡️Both Moscow and Jerusalem have strongly rejected the findings, accusing the UN of political bias, while human rights organizations have welcomed the move as a crucial step toward accountability for wartime atrocities.

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4.23K viewsHadi, 10:36

Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

#BREAKING 🇮🇱

🇱🇧 – Joint statement to Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Israeli Defense Minister Katz: Following Hezbollah's continuous ceasefire violations and its attacks on Israeli cities and civilians, PM Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Israel…

🇮🇷🇱🇧🇱🇧❌🇮🇱🇺🇸- Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi:

For immediate attention:

The ceasefire between Iran and the US is unequivocally a ceasefire on all fronts, including in Lebanon.

Its violation on one front is a violation of the ceasefire on all fronts.

The US and Israel are responsible for the consequences of any violation.

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4.45K viewsSana'a 🌿, edited 11:06

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🇮🇷🇮🇷❌🇺🇸- The IRGC has released footage of the interception of a U.S. Army MQ-1C "Grey Eagle" reconnaissance drone over southern Iran near the Strait of Hormuz, using what is believed to be their new "Arash-e Kamangir" air defense system.

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9.16K viewsSana'a 🌿, edited 11:46

Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇰🇼 — Footage of the ballistic missile launch from Khuzestan Province, Iran towards Ali Al-Salam Base, Kuwait. @GeoPWatch

🇮🇷🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇺🇸🇰🇼- U.S. Central Command claims to have intercepted both Iranian ballistic missiles launched at Ali Al-Salam Base in Kuwait from Khuzestan Province, Iran, last night. They also claimed that no American personnel were harmed in the attack.

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9.21K viewsSana'a 🌿, edited 12:10

Geopolitics Watch

🇾🇪🇾🇪🇮🇷🇱🇧❌🇮🇱- According to Iran's Mehr News Agency, sources close to Yemen's Houthis have stated that political, military, and operational coordination between the Houthis, Hezbollah, and all groups within the Axis of Resistance has never ceased.

➡️ The sources stressed that any further escalation by Israel will be met with a unified response from the Axis of Resistance and that the Houthis will never allow Lebanese territory to be used for Israeli operations or allow Hezbollah to stand alone.

➡️ The sources also noted widespread readiness and enthusiasm among the Yemeni people to fight alongside the Lebanese Resistance.

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4.56K viewsSana'a 🌿, edited 12:32

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🇮🇷🇮🇷- Iranian Air Force fighter jets have been conducting exercises in southwestern Iran, near the Iran/Iraq border, for the past 30 minutes.

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4.26K viewsSana'a 🌿, edited 12:43