Geopolitics Watch
84.1K subscribers
12.5K photos
6.89K videos
11 files
2.66K links
Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

For contact @GeopoliticsWatchBot
Download Telegram
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ›ข - The US inventory of crude oil and refinery products (government+commercial) are dropping at the fastest rate in recent history and may approach critically low level by the end of summer 2026.

This aggressive inventory drawdown is the primary reason why the oil market has not spiraled out of control.
โค27๐Ÿ”ฅ13๐Ÿคก9๐Ÿ‘6๐Ÿ˜5๐Ÿ˜ข3๐Ÿ™2
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ด- The drone strike was only 13.5km (8.4mi) west of the Romania/Ukraine border.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ณโŒ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - NATO condemns 'Russia's recklessness' after a drone deviated and hit apartment building in Romania during an attack on Ukraine.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿคฃ75๐Ÿ’ฏ7โค3๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿคฎ1
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒโ‰๏ธ- Footage appears to show a drone over the Marib region of Yemen getting intercepted by Houthi air defenses this morning.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ”ฅ65โค22๐ŸŽ‰10๐Ÿคฏ2๐Ÿ˜1
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- An informed source told Tasnim News Agency that the memorandum of understanding text has not yet been finalized, dismissing Western media reports claiming to have published details of a final text as inaccurate. The source stressed that any finalization will be officially announced and noted that the text has undergone changes over the past few days.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โค22๐Ÿคฃ9๐Ÿ‘3๐Ÿคก1๐Ÿฅด1
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- Iranian Speaker of Parliament, Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf:
1- We seize concessions not through dialogue, but with missiles; in negotiations, we merely make them understand.

2- We have no trust in guarantees or wordsโ€”only actions are the measure. No action will be taken before the other side acts.

3- The winner of any agreement is the one who is better prepared for war from the day after.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โคโ€๐Ÿ”ฅ45โค18๐Ÿ’ฏ11๐Ÿ’ฉ8๐Ÿ”ฅ5๐Ÿ–•2๐Ÿฅฐ1๐Ÿคก1
Geopolitics Watch
Photo
๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- The drone that was shot down by the Houthis over the Marib Governorate, east of Sana'a, was a U.S. Air Force MQ-9 Reaper UCAV. This is the second time Houthi forces have shot down an American MQ-9 drone above the Marib Governorate in less than 12 days.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ”ฅ50๐Ÿ‘9โค8๐Ÿฅฐ3๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ˜1
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡ด๐Ÿ‡ฒ- Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi spoke on the phone with his Omani counterpart, Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi:
In very productive call with FM Badr Al Busaidi, expressed Iran's solidarity with Oman in face of any threat.

We discussed Hormuz and its future administration in line with our sovereign responsibilities and international law.
We welcome consultation with all neighboring states.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โค35๐Ÿ‘6๐Ÿ–•3๐Ÿฅฐ2๐Ÿฅด1
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The IDF has issued an evacuation notice for all residents in the southern Lebanese town of Zefta.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ’ฉ20๐Ÿคฌ8โค2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿคฎ1๐Ÿ‘Œ1
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Donald Trump has posted on Truth Social:
Iran must agree that they will never have a Nuclear Weapon or Bomb. The Hormuz Strait must be immediately open, no tolls, for unrestricted shipping traffic, in both directions. All water mines (bombs), if any, will be terminated (we have removed, through detonation, numerous such mines with our great underwater mine sweepers. Iran will complete the immediate removal and/or detonation of any mines that are left, which will not be many!). Ships caught in the Strait due to our amazing and unprecedented Naval Blockade, which will now be lifted, may start the process of โ€œheading home!โ€ Say HELLO to your wives, husbands, parents, and families from me, your favorite President! The enriched material, sometimes referred to as โ€œNuclear Dust,โ€ which is buried deep underground with virtually collapsed mountains, caused by our powerful B2 Bomber attack 11 months ago, sitting on top of it, will be unearthed by the United States (which, it is agreed, is the only Country, along with China, with the mechanical capability of doing so!), in close coordination and conjunction with the Islamic Republic of Iran, plus the International Atomic Energy Agency, and DESTROYED. No money will be exchanged, until further notice. Other items, of far less importance, have been agreed to. I will be meeting now, in the Situation Room, to make a final determination. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ–•33๐Ÿคก15๐Ÿ”ฅ6๐Ÿค”3โค2๐Ÿคฃ2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿ’ฏ1๐Ÿ’…1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Donald Trump has posted on Truth Social:Iran must agree that they will never have a Nuclear Weapon or Bomb. The Hormuz Strait must be immediately open, no tolls, for unrestricted shipping traffic, in both directions. All water mines (bombs), if anyโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Summary: Donald Trump has announced that the U.S. naval blockade will be lifted, allowing ships that had been held up to begin heading towards their destination.

โžก๏ธ Donald Trump outlined the key terms he is demanding in any agreement with Iran. Iran must commit to never possessing a nuclear weapon, the Strait of Hormuz must be immediately opened for unrestricted shipping in both directions with no tolls, and all remaining sea mines must be removed or detonated.

โžก๏ธ Iran's enriched uranium stockpile, "buried underground" following B-2 bomber strikes, will be excavated jointly by the US and Iran in coordination with the IAEA and destroyed.

โžก๏ธ Trump acknowledged that both the US and China are the only countries with the mechanical capability to carry out such an excavation operation. No money will be exchanged "until further notice," and Trump noted that other less significant issues have also been agreed upon. He concluded by announcing he would be meeting in the Situation Room to make a final determination on the deal.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ’ฉ40๐Ÿคก6โค4๐Ÿ—ฟ2๐Ÿ’ฏ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Summary: Donald Trump has announced that the U.S. naval blockade will be lifted, allowing ships that had been held up to begin heading towards their destination. โžก๏ธ Donald Trump outlined the key terms he is demanding in any agreement with Iran. Iranโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- Axios reports that the memorandum of understanding involves a 60-day ceasefire extension, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and commits Iran to negotiate on its nuclear program but includes no specific concessions, with U.S. officials saying they have verbal commitments from Iran on nuclear materials.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿคฃ21๐Ÿ’ฉ9๐Ÿคก5โค2๐Ÿคจ1
Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐโšก๏ธ โ€” Secretary of State Marco Rubio meets with Pakistan's Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿคฎ26๐Ÿ’ฉ12๐Ÿ‘2โค1๐Ÿคก1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- Axios reports that the memorandum of understanding involves a 60-day ceasefire extension, the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, and commits Iran to negotiate on its nuclear program but includes no specific concessions, with U.S. officials sayingโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- According to Fars News Agency, informed sources have dismissed Donald Trump's recent claims about a deal with Iran as "a mix of truth and lies" and an attempt to stage a fake victory. The sources say the agreement text is still in its final stages of ratification in Iran, and no final decision has been made.

โžก๏ธ Fars identified two key distortions in Trump's account: first, that Iran is obliged to open the Strait of Hormuz without fees, something sources say is not in the text, with Iran planning its own arrangements for managing the strait; and second, that Iran will dismantle its nuclear materials, which sources describe as "fundamentally baseless" and absent from the memorandum entirely.

โžก๏ธ Two key clauses Trump reportedly omitted include the immediate payment of $12 billion in frozen Iranian assets, which must be paid before Iran enters any further negotiations, and a complete ceasefire in Lebanon in line with Hezbollah's position.

โžก๏ธ Iranian officials stressed that any final agreement will be based on Iran's red lines and approached with "complete distrust" of the US, with immediate countermeasures planned in the event of any breach.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ”ฅ21โค6๐Ÿ’ฏ4๐Ÿ‘Ž2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ’ฉ1๐Ÿคก1
This media is not supported in your browser
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ - During a conference in the Ein Prat Leadership Academy in Israel yesterday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that his directive is to increase the occupation of Gaza onto 70% of It's territory, from the current 60%.

Following a comment by an audience member, Netanyahu expressed the will to steadily increase the occupation up to 100% of Gaza.
๐Ÿ“ Transcript [click to expand]:
Netanyahu: So, we are in a process where our power, we can leverage our power in several directions. If there is a need to crush Hezbollah. We are currently striking Hamas, yes. We are now at 60% of the territory of the Strip. You know, we were at 50%. We moved to 60%. My directive is to move to..."

The audience then calls out: "100! 100!"

He chuckles and responds: "Go in order. First of all, 70%. Let's start with that. We are striking them from all directions, and we will handle the rest."
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿคฌ34โค9๐Ÿคฎ4๐Ÿ–•4๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ˜ฑ1๐Ÿ’”1
Geopolitics Watch
#BREAKING ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ - During a conference in the Ein Prat Leadership Academy in Israel yesterday, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that his directive is to increase the occupation of Gaza onto 70% of It's territory, from the current 60%. Following aโ€ฆ
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ - Presumably, the IDF is to achieve that goal through the already ongoing and gradual expansion of the yellow line, utilizing artillery fire and bulldozing the areas of advancements whilst avoid direct engagements, but is to do so in a more rapid pace.

This push serves as adding yet more pressure onto Hamas and the AlQassam Brigades, by further displacing the populations and expanding it's "security zones", to force them into
completely disarming and dissolving it's apparatuses, since the designated deadline had already expired.

Moreover, this is paired with the pressure of security collapse through high-ranking assassinations and continuous escalations that destabilize the strip.

Attached [1] is the estimated extent of expansion to occur. Do note that occupying the entire northern sector of Gaza [2] would also increase the extent of control to ~70%.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿคฌ29๐Ÿ–•4๐Ÿคฏ3โค2๐Ÿ‘Ž2๐Ÿ”ฅ1๐Ÿ‘Œ1