Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ- An image of the missile launch from Khuzestan Province, Iran, which targeted Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Footage showing a launch of a missile from Khuzestan Province, Iran, towards the Ali Al Salem Base in Kuwait.
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โค36๐Ÿ”ฅ8๐Ÿคฌ2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿคฏ1๐Ÿ˜ˆ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The war in Ukraine is heating up as Moscow takes a series of escalatory actions aimed at deterring Ukraine and Europe from increasingly audacious attacks. โžก๏ธ A series of drone incursions occured over the Baltic states, scrambling air defense andโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Faced with threats of intensified Russian strikes against Kiev, President Zelensky sends a letter to the POTUS and Congress pleading for Patriot interceptor missile delivery.

Kiev is rapidly running out of interceptors for ballistic missiles. While European made air defense systems are present in Ukraine, none of them proved effective against the ballistic threat. Ukraine remains exclusively dependant on the US for the supply of ballistic-capable PAC-3 interceptors.

At the start of 2026, the US had ~2300 PAC-3s. CSIS estimated half of this stockpile were expended during the war in Iran. Current production is 650 per year and shared between the Pentagon and several US allies. On May 24 alone, Russia launched at least 36 ballistic and hypersonic missiles, which would theoretically require 11% of PAC-3 annual production to intercept.
๐Ÿคฃ40โค9๐Ÿคฎ5๐Ÿ‘Ž3๐Ÿ˜2๐Ÿ’”1
Geopolitics Watch
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Driven by infighting surrounding President Trump and the Israel issue, the 2026 US midterm primary elections are set to smash all previous spending records. โžก๏ธ The Texas primary between 4-term Senator John Cornyn and the Trump-endorsed Ken Paxton isโ€ฆ
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - President Trump's endorsee Ken Paxton defeats the incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the Texas Republican Primary runoff 64 to 36%.

With Cornyn's defeat, President Trump has eliminated virtually all the Republican oppositions he set out to 'primary' in the 2026 Midterm. Despite declining poll number, especially among independent voters, the President still keeps a tight rein over the Republican Party.

The Texas Senate race is competitive according to polling data, even though the state has not elected a Democratic Senator in over 30 years. A poll by Emerson College in January 2026 showed the Democratic candidate Talarico tied with Paxton.
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Forwarded from Percy's Archive
Yet another airstrike in northern Gaza, this time targeting the AlQassam Brigades Commander of the Northern Brigade, Izz ElDin AlBek, alongside the Deputy Commander of the Gaza Brigade & Commander of the 'Zeitoun' Battalion, Imad Asleem.

Very clearly the IDF's Southern Command has leveraged the ceasefire by conducting intense intelligence efforts and tracing the most high-value targets in the strip, particularly in the northern sector, evidently, exploiting the security weaknesses as a result of extreme infrastructure damage and significant causalities.

The greenlight for these attacks was given in the opening week of May. The IDF had already prepared for an AlQassam Brigades retaliation by establishing the dirt embankments between the strip and set up sites. Moreover, the rocket and missile threat was largely neutralized.

The previous offensive campaigns allowed the IDF to plant espionage assets, easing this ongoing security collapse. The presence and arming of Palestinian syndicate groups, that launch frequent raids and abduction operations into Hamas territory and uproot stability during ceasefire had also complicated the status of security for the AlQassam Brigades, especially considering continuous IDF logistic, air and intelligence support for these groups.

The IDF is possibly aiming to destroy the group's command structure and neutralize senior experience in lights of an upcoming round of assaults that aims to sweep the northern sector in particular and destroy the Palestinian resistance in Gaza file once and for all, as hinted months ago.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- White House reporter Andrew Leyden has received initial reports regarding a swatting incident at a U.S. Supreme Court Justice's residence this evening.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Law enforcement responded to the scene and was aware of a VIP at the address. Given the nature of the call, they suspected a swatting call. They met up with the security detail outside, and the incident is now cleared, says Andrew Leyden.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ- The IRGC has announced in a statement that following a US military strike on a site near Bandar Abbas Airport in the early hours of this morning, an American airbase, described as the origin of the aggression, was targeted in response. โžก๏ธ The IRGCโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) has strongly condemned the Iranian attacks on Kuwait, reaffirming the solidarity of all GCC member states with Kuwait and their support for "any measures it takes to preserve its security and stability." The GCC is yet to condemn Donald Trump's threats on Oman.
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๐Ÿ’ฉ48๐Ÿคก10๐Ÿ–•6๐Ÿ’ฏ3
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ- The IRGC has announced in a statement that following a US military strike on a site near Bandar Abbas Airport in the early hours of this morning, an American airbase, described as the origin of the aggression, was targeted in response. โžก๏ธ The IRGCโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- U.S. Central Command has acknowledged the Iranian ballistic missile attack on Kuwait, confirming it was successfully intercepted by Kuwaiti forces.

โžก๏ธ CENTCOM also claimed the interception of five one-way attack drones near the Strait of Hormuz and the prevention of a sixth drone launch from Bandar Abbas, stating it remains "vigilant and measured" in defending against what it described as "unjustified Iranian aggression."
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#Breaking
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The Israeli Air Force has carried out a targeted assassination in the southern suburbs of Beirut.
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๐Ÿคฌ19๐Ÿ”ฅ7๐Ÿ’ฉ3๐Ÿ‘Œ2โค1
Geopolitics Watch
#Breaking ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The Israeli Air Force has carried out a targeted assassination in the southern suburbs of Beirut.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Footage of the airstrike.
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๐Ÿคฌ17๐Ÿ”ฅ7๐Ÿ’ฉ5๐Ÿ‘Œ1
Geopolitics Watch
#Breaking ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The Israeli Air Force has carried out a targeted assassination in the southern suburbs of Beirut.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The IDF has confirmed that it carried out an airstrike in Dahieh, southern Beirut, with more details to follow.
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๐Ÿคฌ13โค2โคโ€๐Ÿ”ฅ1๐Ÿ”ฅ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The IDF has confirmed that it carried out an airstrike in Dahieh, southern Beirut, with more details to follow.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- An image of the targeted building.
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๐Ÿคฌ15๐Ÿ”ฅ6โค1๐Ÿ‘Œ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- An image of the targeted building.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Multiple Israeli media outlets claim the target was the commander of Hezbollah's missile units, Ali al-Husseini.
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๐Ÿคฌ16๐Ÿ”ฅ5๐Ÿ‘Œ2
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- An image of the targeted building.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- An additional image from the targeted building.
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๐Ÿคฌ16โค3๐Ÿ’”3๐Ÿ”ฅ1๐Ÿ‘Œ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- An additional image from the targeted building.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Initial assessments within Israel suggest that it is currently unclear whether or not the assassination attempt was actually successful; the attack was reportedly conducted despite U.S. restrictions.
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โ‰๏ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ- The commander of the 19th Brigade of the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), Uday Muhsin Jabbar al-Halfi, was killed after unknown militants detonated an explosive device targeting his vehicle in Maysan province, southern Iraq.
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Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆโšก๏ธ โ€” NEW: Sweden is donating 16 Saab JAS 39 Gripen C/D fighter jets to Ukraine, with Zelensky present in Stockholm for the announcement and signing at Uppsala Air Base.
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๐Ÿคฎ45โค12๐Ÿคก9๐ŸŒ4๐Ÿ–•4๐Ÿ”ฅ3๐Ÿค1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- U.S. Central Command has released an image of a U.S. Navy MH-60R SeaHawk helicopter coming in to land on the USS Delbert D. Black (DDG 119) after patrolling in the Arabian Sea. โžก๏ธ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 109 commercial vessels and disabledโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- U.S. Central Command has released an image of a U.S. Navy MH-60 SeaHawk helicopter lifting off from the flight deck of the USS Tripoli (LHA 7) during a training operation in the Arabian Sea.

โžก๏ธ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 111 commercial vessels and disabled 4 since April 13th.
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- The Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar will travel to Washington D.C. tomorrow to meet with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, where he will convey messages from Iran.
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โค17๐Ÿ’ฉ10๐Ÿค”4๐Ÿ‘€3๐Ÿ–•2