Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- The Persian Gulf Strait Authority has published an image showing Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz: The Islamic Republic of Iran has defined the regulatory jurisdiction for the management of the Strait of Hormuz as follows: "The line connectingโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท-The US Treasury Department has sanctioned the Persian Gulf Strait Authority, the Iranian authority responsible for controlling vessel transit through the Strait of Hormuz.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- White House reporter Andrew Leyden has received initial reports regarding a swatting incident at a U.S. Supreme Court Justice's residence this evening.
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๐Ÿคฃ20๐Ÿคฏ6โค2๐Ÿ’ฏ2๐Ÿฅฐ1๐Ÿ˜ฑ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to Tasnim News Agency, a military source stated that an American oil tanker attempted to transit the Strait of Hormuz with its radar system disabled but was forced to stop and turn back after the IRGC Navy fired warning shots at the vessel.โ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to Tasnim & IRIB, military sources indicate that four vessels attempted to transit the Strait of Hormuz without permission tonight, and were forced to stop and turn back after warning shots were fired by the Iranian Navy.
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โค29๐Ÿ”ฅ6๐Ÿ‘Ž1
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ โ€” Sirens ring in Kuwait.
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๐Ÿ‘20๐Ÿ”ฅ11๐Ÿค”7โค2๐Ÿ˜2๐Ÿ˜ญ2๐Ÿ˜ˆ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ โ€” Sirens ring in Kuwait.
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ โ€” Mobile alert sent to Kuwaitis warning to stay indoors, away from windows.

It is possible Kuwaiti authorities have detected a missile/drone attack by Iran or the Islamic Resistance in Iraq.
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๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ โ€” Reports of an explosion in Kuwait. Separately, local Kuwaitis report feeling "vibrations".
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โค18๐Ÿ”ฅ6๐Ÿ˜ฑ2๐Ÿฅฐ1๐Ÿค”1๐Ÿ˜ˆ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ โ€” Reports of an explosion in Kuwait. Separately, local Kuwaitis report feeling "vibrations".
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ โ€” These explosions were likely the result of interceptions above Kuwait.
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๐Ÿ‘8โค4๐Ÿ‘Ž2๐Ÿ˜ข2๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿ˜ˆ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ โ€” These explosions were likely the result of interceptions above Kuwait.
โ‰๏ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ- At least 1 interception attempt has taken place above Al-Jahra, Kuwait.
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โ‰๏ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ- The Kuwaiti Army has announced that it is currently under attack via hostile missiles and drones.
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๐Ÿ”ฅ23๐Ÿ˜ˆ7โค2๐Ÿ‘€2
Geopolitics Watch
โ‰๏ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ- The Kuwaiti Army has announced that it is currently under attack via hostile missiles and drones.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ โ€” Minutes ago, at least one ballistic missile was launched from Khuzestan Province, Iran, likely towards Kuwait.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ- The IRGC has announced in a statement that following a US military strike on a site near Bandar Abbas Airport in the early hours of this morning, an American airbase, described as the origin of the aggression, was targeted in response.

โžก๏ธ The IRGC has described the strike as "a serious warning" that aggression will not go unanswered, adding that any repeat would be met with a "more decisive" response and placing full responsibility for the consequences on the US.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ- An image of the missile launch from Khuzestan Province, Iran, which targeted Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait.
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๐Ÿ”ฅ22โค8๐Ÿ˜ˆ3๐Ÿ’ฉ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ- An image of the missile launch from Khuzestan Province, Iran, which targeted Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Footage showing a launch of a missile from Khuzestan Province, Iran, towards the Ali Al Salem Base in Kuwait.
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โค36๐Ÿ”ฅ8๐Ÿคฌ2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿคฏ1๐Ÿ˜ˆ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The war in Ukraine is heating up as Moscow takes a series of escalatory actions aimed at deterring Ukraine and Europe from increasingly audacious attacks. โžก๏ธ A series of drone incursions occured over the Baltic states, scrambling air defense andโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Faced with threats of intensified Russian strikes against Kiev, President Zelensky sends a letter to the POTUS and Congress pleading for Patriot interceptor missile delivery.

Kiev is rapidly running out of interceptors for ballistic missiles. While European made air defense systems are present in Ukraine, none of them proved effective against the ballistic threat. Ukraine remains exclusively dependant on the US for the supply of ballistic-capable PAC-3 interceptors.

At the start of 2026, the US had ~2300 PAC-3s. CSIS estimated half of this stockpile were expended during the war in Iran. Current production is 650 per year and shared between the Pentagon and several US allies. On May 24 alone, Russia launched at least 36 ballistic and hypersonic missiles, which would theoretically require 11% of PAC-3 annual production to intercept.
๐Ÿคฃ40โค9๐Ÿคฎ5๐Ÿ‘Ž3๐Ÿ˜2๐Ÿ’”1
Geopolitics Watch
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Driven by infighting surrounding President Trump and the Israel issue, the 2026 US midterm primary elections are set to smash all previous spending records. โžก๏ธ The Texas primary between 4-term Senator John Cornyn and the Trump-endorsed Ken Paxton isโ€ฆ
โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - President Trump's endorsee Ken Paxton defeats the incumbent Senator John Cornyn in the Texas Republican Primary runoff 64 to 36%.

With Cornyn's defeat, President Trump has eliminated virtually all the Republican oppositions he set out to 'primary' in the 2026 Midterm. Despite declining poll number, especially among independent voters, the President still keeps a tight rein over the Republican Party.

The Texas Senate race is competitive according to polling data, even though the state has not elected a Democratic Senator in over 30 years. A poll by Emerson College in January 2026 showed the Democratic candidate Talarico tied with Paxton.
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Forwarded from Percy's Archive
Yet another airstrike in northern Gaza, this time targeting the AlQassam Brigades Commander of the Northern Brigade, Izz ElDin AlBek, alongside the Deputy Commander of the Gaza Brigade & Commander of the 'Zeitoun' Battalion, Imad Asleem.

Very clearly the IDF's Southern Command has leveraged the ceasefire by conducting intense intelligence efforts and tracing the most high-value targets in the strip, particularly in the northern sector, evidently, exploiting the security weaknesses as a result of extreme infrastructure damage and significant causalities.

The greenlight for these attacks was given in the opening week of May. The IDF had already prepared for an AlQassam Brigades retaliation by establishing the dirt embankments between the strip and set up sites. Moreover, the rocket and missile threat was largely neutralized.

The previous offensive campaigns allowed the IDF to plant espionage assets, easing this ongoing security collapse. The presence and arming of Palestinian syndicate groups, that launch frequent raids and abduction operations into Hamas territory and uproot stability during ceasefire had also complicated the status of security for the AlQassam Brigades, especially considering continuous IDF logistic, air and intelligence support for these groups.

The IDF is possibly aiming to destroy the group's command structure and neutralize senior experience in lights of an upcoming round of assaults that aims to sweep the northern sector in particular and destroy the Palestinian resistance in Gaza file once and for all, as hinted months ago.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- White House reporter Andrew Leyden has received initial reports regarding a swatting incident at a U.S. Supreme Court Justice's residence this evening.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Law enforcement responded to the scene and was aware of a VIP at the address. Given the nature of the call, they suspected a swatting call. They met up with the security detail outside, and the incident is now cleared, says Andrew Leyden.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ- The IRGC has announced in a statement that following a US military strike on a site near Bandar Abbas Airport in the early hours of this morning, an American airbase, described as the origin of the aggression, was targeted in response. โžก๏ธ The IRGCโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) has strongly condemned the Iranian attacks on Kuwait, reaffirming the solidarity of all GCC member states with Kuwait and their support for "any measures it takes to preserve its security and stability." The GCC is yet to condemn Donald Trump's threats on Oman.
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผ- The IRGC has announced in a statement that following a US military strike on a site near Bandar Abbas Airport in the early hours of this morning, an American airbase, described as the origin of the aggression, was targeted in response. โžก๏ธ The IRGCโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ผโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- U.S. Central Command has acknowledged the Iranian ballistic missile attack on Kuwait, confirming it was successfully intercepted by Kuwaiti forces.

โžก๏ธ CENTCOM also claimed the interception of five one-way attack drones near the Strait of Hormuz and the prevention of a sixth drone launch from Bandar Abbas, stating it remains "vigilant and measured" in defending against what it described as "unjustified Iranian aggression."
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#Breaking
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The Israeli Air Force has carried out a targeted assassination in the southern suburbs of Beirut.
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