Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇱- Donald Trump has announced that the cabinet meeting scheduled to be held in Camp David tomorrow has been postponed and will be held in the White House instead due to possible bad weather. @GeoPWatch
🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- Speaking during the cabinet meeting at the White House a couple minutes ago, Donald Trump stated that Iran is "very much intent" on making a deal, but that negotiations have not yet reached a satisfactory conclusion. "We're not satisfied with it, but we will be, either that or we'll have to just finish the job," Trump said.
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#NEW ⚡️🇮🇱🇺🇸❌🇮🇷 - Nearly an hour ago, the IAF-USAF struck the 'Bushehr' Nuclear Power Plant in Iran with 1 projectile. No technical damage or injuries were caused. This marks the third such reckless targeting of the facilities. @GeoPWatch
🇷🇺🇮🇷- Russia's state nuclear organization Rosatom has announced a delay in the redeployment of its personnel to Iran's Bushehr nuclear power plant, confirmed by Rosatom chief Alexei Likhachev today.

➡️ The corporation had previously evacuated 813 staff members from the plant, retaining only 20 essential workers on-site. No details have been provided regarding the timeline for the staff's return or the reasons for the delay.
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🇮🇷🌐- NetBlocks now shows that Iran has restored approximately 85% of its internet connectivity. NetBlocks says WhatsApp is now restricted, and some users still remain offline. @GeoPWatch
🇮🇷🌐- Iran's internet connectivity has been in a state of restoration for 24 hours, though some service remains filtered, with new restrictions on messaging applications and app stores, says NetBlocks.
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧🇵🇸- A large crater has been left by an Israeli airstrike in the Al-Bass Palestinian camp, east of Tyre in southern Lebanon, with multiple casualties reported.
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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- Speaking during the cabinet meeting at the White House a couple minutes ago, Donald Trump stated that Iran is "very much intent" on making a deal, but that negotiations have not yet reached a satisfactory conclusion. "We're not satisfied with it, but…
🇺🇸❌🇴🇲🇮🇷- Donald Trump has stated that the Strait of Hormuz "will be open to all and controlled by no one," adding, "We will watch over them."

➡️ Trump also threatened Oman, stating it will be treated the same as "everyone else," or "we will have to blow them up."
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🇺🇸❌🇴🇲🇮🇷- Donald Trump has stated that the Strait of Hormuz "will be open to all and controlled by no one," adding, "We will watch over them." ➡️ Trump also threatened Oman, stating it will be treated the same as "everyone else," or "we will have to blow…
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳🇷🇺- Donald Trump says he would not be comfortable with China or Russia taking possession of Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium.
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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- Donald Trump has told PBS that Iran will not receive sanctions relief in exchange for giving up its highly enriched uranium, stating directly, "No, no, not at all. Not sanctions relief, no."
🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- Donald Trump says that no sanctions relief or transfer of money to Iran is being discussed, adding that the U.S. maintains control over Iran's funds. "When they behave properly and do what's right, we will let them have their money," he said.
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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇨🇳🇷🇺- Donald Trump says he would not be comfortable with China or Russia taking possession of Iran's stockpile of highly enriched uranium.
🇺🇸🇵🇰🇮🇷- Donald Trump has stated that he "gave Iran a chance" at the request of "somebody that we greatly respect from Pakistan, the Field Marshal," in a reference to Pakistani Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir.
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🇺🇸🇵🇰🇮🇷- Donald Trump has stated that he "gave Iran a chance" at the request of "somebody that we greatly respect from Pakistan, the Field Marshal," in a reference to Pakistani Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir.
🇺🇸🇮🇱🇸🇦🇮🇷- Donald Trump stated he is not sure the US should sign a deal to end the war with Iran if Saudi Arabia and other Gulf countries do not agree to join the Abraham Accords, adding, "They owe it to us."
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧🇱🇧- The Lebanese Army has announced the death of a soldier following an Israeli airstrike targeting him on the Kfarman-Khardali road in southern Lebanon. The identity of the soldier has not been released as of yet.
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🇪🇺🤝🇺🇦- European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen spoke by phone with Ukrainian President Zelensky:
On the phone with President Zelensky, I reiterated Europe’s full support for Ukraine as Russia doubles down on its brutal war of aggression.

Air defence and drone and counter-drone capabilities are among Europe’s most urgent defence priorities.

And Ukraine will be fully integrated into these efforts.

The Ukraine Support Loan will make a vital contribution.

This year alone, it will provide €28.3 billion to help cover Ukraine’s military needs.

We also spoke about Ukraine’s path to EU membership.

The coming weeks will be important to take decisive steps forward in the accession process.
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🇸🇦🛢🤝🇾🇪- According to Reuters, Saudi Arabia will provide Yemen with oil derivatives worth $150 million to cover all diesel and fuel oil needs for the country's power stations through the end of 2026.
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🇫🇷🤝🇳🇴- Norway will come under France's nuclear umbrella following a new defence agreement signed in Paris today between Norwegian Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre and French President Emmanuel Macron.

➡️ Støre cited Russia's massive rearmament and its ongoing war against Ukraine as key factors behind the decision, though he stressed that no nuclear weapons will be deployed on Norwegian soil in peacetime.

➡️ In practice, the arrangement means that an attack on Norway could trigger a French nuclear response.
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🇮🇱❌🇵🇸🇵🇸- The IDF has announced that it struck two "prominent Hamas members" in the northern Gaza Strip, with further details expected to follow.
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🇮🇱❌🇵🇸🇵🇸- The IDF has announced that it struck two "prominent Hamas members" in the northern Gaza Strip, with further details expected to follow.
🇮🇱❌🇵🇸🇵🇸- Unconfirmed reports suggest at least 3 have been killed so far. The attack took place on Omar Al-Mukhtar Street, western Gaza City.
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🇮🇱❌🇵🇸🇵🇸- The IDF has announced that it struck two "prominent Hamas members" in the northern Gaza Strip, with further details expected to follow.
🇮🇱❌🇵🇸🇵🇸- The IDF struck the commander of Hamas' Northern Gaza Brigade and the deputy commander of the Gaza City Brigade. At least 7 have reportedly been killed and many more wounded so far, including children.
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🇮🇱❌🇵🇸🇵🇸- The IDF struck the commander of Hamas' Northern Gaza Brigade and the deputy commander of the Gaza City Brigade. At least 7 have reportedly been killed and many more wounded so far, including children.
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🇮🇱❌🇵🇸🇵🇸- Additional footage from the scene of the targeted assassination.
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🇮🇱❌🇱🇧🇱🇧- The Lebanese Army has announced the death of a soldier following an Israeli airstrike targeting him on the Kfarman-Khardali road in southern Lebanon. The identity of the soldier has not been released as of yet.
🇮🇱❌🇱🇧🇱🇧- The Lebanese Army has announced that the soldier killed in the IAF airstrike on the Kfarman-Khardali road in southern Lebanon was 25-year-old Kamel Marwan Markiz.
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🇮🇷🤝🇶🇦- According to sources cited by Al-Arabiya, Iran's Ghalibaf and Araghchi are in Doha to meet with Qatar's Prime Minister, with talks focusing on the Strait of Hormuz and the release of frozen funds, as part of ongoing efforts to advance a political settlement.
🇮🇷🇶🇦🇺🇸🇮🇱🇵🇰- According to Fars News, a member of the media team close to the Iranian negotiation delegation stated that Ghalibaf's trip to Qatar regarding the release of $12 billion in frozen assets was successful.

➡️ Based on technical progress made in Qatar, it is planned that immediately after any understanding between Iran and the U.S. is approved, part of Iran's frozen assets will be made available to the Central Bank in a non-reversible manner.

➡️ The 14-point MoU includes several concrete actions: access to frozen assets, exemption from oil, petrochemical, and related sanctions, and the lifting of the maritime blockade.
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🇮🇱❌🇵🇸🇵🇸- The IDF struck the commander of Hamas' Northern Gaza Brigade and the deputy commander of the Gaza City Brigade. At least 7 have reportedly been killed and many more wounded so far, including children.
🇮🇱❌🇵🇸🇵🇸- The Palestinian Red Crescent has stated that the 7 killed so far includes 2 children and more than 20 others injured.
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🇨🇳❌🇳🇱- The Royal Netherlands Navy frigate HNLMS De Ruyter (F804) was briefly approached by a Chinese Navy (PLAN) helicopter while transiting the South China Sea during its Indo-Pacific deployment.

➡️ The interaction was described as professional by the Dutch, with them describing the helicopter as simply identifying the vessel before departing.

➡️ China, however, took a harder stance, with a Chinese military spokesperson stating that "necessary measures," including warnings and electronic jamming, were taken after the HNLMS De Ruyter illegally intruded near the Paracel Islands and launched shipborne helicopters into Chinese airspace.
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