Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Currently, fighter jets are reportedly flying eastward over central Israel.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- Donald Trump posted on Truth Social: Negotiations with the Islamic Republic of Iran are proceeding nicely! It will only be a Great Deal for all or, no Deal at all โ€” Back to the Battlefront and shooting, but bigger and stronger than ever before โ€”โ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- Qatari officials have stated that Doha has no current plans to join the Abraham Accords, adding that any Qatari engagement with Israel would focus solely on the resolution of the Palestinian issue. Pakistan has also rejected the idea of joining the Accords.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- A KC-135 Stratotanker bearing extensive shrapnel damage was spotted over the weekend at RAF Mildenhall in the UK, making it at least the second such aircraft to transit through the installation with war damage.

โžก๏ธ Photographs, taken by aviation photographer Andrew McKelvey, show heavy shrapnel damage to the aircraft's tail, vertical stabilizer, and flaps, with the refueling boom missing entirely. Temporary repair patches cover the affected areas.

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๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ชโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ - Thousands of Shi'ites Pakistani workers deported from the UAE without their personal belonging and saving.

The deportation 'trial' typically lasts minutes, with deportees being questioned about their tie to Iran before being detained and swiftly deported. Affected workers were not allowed to retrieve their luggage and lost access to their saving account.

Thousands of Pakistani workers were deported since the beginning of the War in Iran though advocacy groups estimate that the figure could be much higher. While crackdown on Shi'ites in the UAE is nothing new, the deportation has rapidly accelerated during the war in Iran.

Pakistan is home to 40 million Shi'ites, the world second largest Shi'ite population. Approximately 1.8 million Pakistanis work in the Emirates, accounting for $6 billion worth of remittance annually.

The Pakistani government is closely monitoring the situation but has not raised the issue to the Emirates for "diplomatic reasons", according to a senior official interviewed by Reuters. Pakistan is currently mediating the negotiation between US and Iran to end the conflict.

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๐Ÿคฌ43โค18๐Ÿคฃ16๐Ÿ–•6๐ŸŽ‰4๐Ÿ˜ข3๐Ÿ‘2๐Ÿ‘Œ2๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿ’ฉ1๐Ÿ’”1
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ - The war in Ukraine is heating up as Moscow takes a series of escalatory actions aimed at deterring Ukraine and Europe from increasingly audacious attacks.

โžก๏ธ A series of drone incursions occured over the Baltic states, scrambling air defense and even causing damage. This followed Russian accusation that these states allowed Ukrainiam drones to use their airspace for strikes on Russian northern region.

โžก๏ธ A British spy plane was intercepted while gathering intelligence over the Black Sea by two Russian jets. The jets flew within 6m of the RAF spycraft, endangering British personnel. Up until now, NATO reconnaissance planes have been able to fly over the Black Sea unchallenged to provide Ukraine with intelligence.

โžก๏ธ Russia launched a devastating strike on Kyiv on May 24, using two hypersonic Oreshniks and almost a hundred of other missiles, in addition to hundreds of drones. The Kremlin is threatening more strikes on Kyiv and have issued an evacuation notice for foreign nationals residing in the city.

Russia Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov provided a stark warning on April 18.
There is a chorus of voices saying that Russia should not be fearedโ€ฆ some may even call us a paper tiger... But I would warn against such parallels. We have, in our national character, such a quality as patience. We say: โ€˜God endured, and told us to endure as well.โ€™ But at some point, patience runs out.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- According to a source close to the Iranian negotiation team cited by Tasnim, Iran's 14-article memorandum of understanding calls for the release of approximately $24 billion in frozen assets during negotiations.

โžก๏ธ Iran is insisting that half ($12 billion) be made available at the moment the memorandum is announced, with the remainder transferred within 60 days. Ghalibaf's trip to Qatar was aimed at securing an understanding on implementing this demand and removing obstacles to accessing the first $12 billion, with the source describing the visit as producing good results.

โžก๏ธ The source stressed that Iran is proceeding with great caution given past experiences, citing the failure to fully access previously agreed funds held in South Korea and Qatar.

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#BREAKING ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโš“๏ธ๏ธ- U.S. Central Command spokesperson Captain Tim Hawkins has told Fox News that U.S. forces conducted "self-defense strikes" in southern Iran today, targeting missile launch sites and Iranian boats attempting to lay mines. "U.S. Centralโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- The IRGC announced that its air defense units shot down a U.S. Air Force MQ-9 Reaper drone after it entered Iranian airspace near Bandar Abbas, following what it described as "precise intelligence monitoring."

โžก๏ธ The IRGC also fired upon an RQ-4 Global Hawk drone and an F-35 fighter jet, forcing both to withdraw from Iranian airspace. The IRGC warned against further ceasefire violations by U.S. forces and stated that it considers the right to retaliate "legitimate and definite."

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- The Iranian Foreign Ministry has released a statement condemning the United States' aggression last night and says, "Iran will not leave any evil unanswered and will not hesitate to defend the Iranian nation":
The US terrorist army, continuing its illegal and unjustified actions since the ceasefire was declared on April 10, 1405, especially the numerous cases of maritime piracy against Iranian commercial ships in the past 48 hours, committed a gross violation of the ceasefire in the Hormozgan region.

The commission of these aggressive acts, simultaneously with the ongoing diplomatic process mediated by Pakistan, once again revealed the US ruling party's callousness and perfidy to the Iranian nation, the people of the region, and the international community, and showed that the principled approach of the Iranian nation in all three areas, the street and diplomacy, is based on deep suspicion of the US regime, based on logic and a deep understanding of its vindictive and criminal nature and actions against the Iranian people.

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran strongly condemns these aggressive actions, which are a clear violation of Article 2, Paragraph 4, of the United Nations Charter, as well as the ceasefire of Farvardin 19, 1405, and holds the US regime responsible for all consequences resulting from these aggressive actions.

Without a doubt, the Islamic Republic of Iran will not leave any evil unanswered and will not hesitate to defend the Iranian nation.


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๏ธ๏ธ๏ธ๏ธโ‰๏ธโŒ๐Ÿ›ฅ- UKMTO has received a report of an incident at 09:45 UTC today, 60 nautical miles east of Muscat, Oman. The captain of a tanker reports an external explosion. The crew and vessel are safe, although the captain reports some bunker fuel has spilled into the sea.
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Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโšก๏ธ โ€” NetBlocks live metrics indicate that internet connectivity is slowly being restored in Iran after 88 days, the longest nationwide internet blackout in modern history.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐ŸŒ- The First Vice-President of Iran, Mohammad Reza Aref:
In line with the esteemed President's mission and in fulfillment of the government's promise, the first step toward free and regulated access to cyberspace has been taken. With the reopening of the internet, smart services will be streamlined, the demands of the people who have thus stood by the system and Iran will be fulfilled, and the obstacles to knowledge-based development and scientific authority will be removed.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Approximately 1 hour ago, the Israeli Air Force targeted the largest dam in Lebanon, the Qaraoun Dam in the southern Beqaa Valley.

โžก๏ธ The Qaraoun Dam serves as a vital hub for hydropower generation (190 MW), irrigation, and drinking water.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- According to Israeli Channel 14, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defence Minister Katz are leaning toward approving a significant expansion of IDF operations in Lebanon. โžก๏ธ The IDF has formulated a broad attack plan targeting "Hezbollah infrastructureโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- According to Israeli Channel 12, the IDF has expanded its ground operations in Lebanon, moving into areas beyond the Yellow Line and outside previously army-controlled territory. The IDF has not yet commented on the reports, though military censorship has permitted their publication.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- The New York Post reports that Donald Trump will hold a cabinet meeting at Camp David in Maryland tomorrow, making a rare trip to the presidential retreat. A White House official confirmed that all cabinet members are expected to attend.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Images of a U.S. Air Force KC-135R Stratotanker of the "117th (Kansas Coyotes) Air Refueling Squadron," dragging a USAF F-16 Fighting Falcon of the "510th (The Buzzards) Fighter Squadron," somewhere in U.S. Central Command's area of responsibility on May 21st.

โžก๏ธ The F-16 Fighting Falcon is equipped with LAU-131/A APKWS along with AIM-9X Sidewinder & AIM-120 air-to-air missiles.
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