Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- According to sources cited by Al-Arabiya, Iran is seeking guarantees from China before proceeding with a deal to end the war with the U.S. and is demanding that some of its highly enriched uranium be transferred to China rather than the Unitedโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- Tasnim News Agency's investigations describe this report as false and part of American psychological operations.

โžก๏ธ According to Tasnim, the current memorandum of understanding contains no reference to the removal of nuclear materials, and Iran has made no commitments on nuclear action in the memorandum.

โžก๏ธ Tasnim also dismissed Al Arabiya's claim of citing "Iranian sources," describing it as a fabrication.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- According to two Israeli sources cited by the Jerusalem Post, Israeli officials are discussing potential changes to Israel's operational policy in Lebanon following a series of drone attacks targeting IDF soldiers. The current policy has been constrainedโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The IDF's Northern Command Commander Major General Rafi Milo stated during a Golan Brigade rally in Katzrin that "in the Lebanese sector, the Northern Command is at war."

โžก๏ธ He accused Hezbollah of deliberately escalating the situation and crossing "a serious and unacceptable red line" in Metula, Shomra, and along the border, claiming that the IDF will continue to act "resolutely in the face of any threat."
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- According to two Israeli sources cited by the Jerusalem Post, Israeli officials are discussing potential changes to Israel's operational policy in Lebanon following a series of drone attacks targeting IDF soldiers. The current policy has been constrainedโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- According to Israeli Channel 14, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defence Minister Katz are leaning toward approving a significant expansion of IDF operations in Lebanon.

โžก๏ธ The IDF has formulated a broad attack plan targeting "Hezbollah infrastructure and buildings," which it is recommending for immediate implementation pending political approval.

โžก๏ธ The expected decision would also mark a change in fire policy, allowing for more extensive strikes on "Hezbollah-linked" structures.

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๐Ÿคฌ17โค5๐Ÿ˜ฑ2๐Ÿคฎ2๐Ÿ‘1
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- According to Israeli Channel 14, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Defence Minister Katz are leaning toward approving a significant expansion of IDF operations in Lebanon. โžก๏ธ The IDF has formulated a broad attack plan targeting "Hezbollah infrastructureโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- A senior US official hinted to Axios that the Trump administration will support an escalation of Israeli actions against Lebanon, stating, "Israel will never be required to passively absorb attacks on its forces and citizens."

โžก๏ธ "This is not the Biden administration," they said. The official noted that since April 17, Hezbollah has launched more than 1,000 drones and over 700 rockets, describing the situation as "not sustainable" and placing full responsibility on Hezbollah for the current escalation.

โžก๏ธ The official added that Hezbollah violated the ceasefire on March 2nd and is now actively attempting to "sabotage" ongoing Lebanon-Israel negotiations supported by the US out of fear that a successful ceasefire led by the Lebanese government would undermine Hezbollah's power and narrative. "This constitutes an existential threat to Hezbollah," the official said.

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๐Ÿ–•21๐Ÿคฏ5๐Ÿคก5โค2๐Ÿ‘2๐Ÿ‘Ž1๐Ÿ˜ฑ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- A senior US official hinted to Axios that the Trump administration will support an escalation of Israeli actions against Lebanon, stating, "Israel will never be required to passively absorb attacks on its forces and citizens." โžก๏ธ "This is notโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- An American official told Al Jazeera that Hezbollah has "repeatedly ignored requests to cease its attacks against Israel, including the most recent warning," and that "Israel will respond to attacks on its forces and civilians."

โžก๏ธ The official stated that Hezbollah bears "full responsibility for the current escalation, having violated the ceasefire since early March."

โžก๏ธ The official added that Hezbollah is seeking to "deny the Lebanese people the opportunity for peace and reconstruction," as the prospect of direct negotiations resulting in significant American support poses an "existential" threat to the group.
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๐Ÿ–•26๐Ÿ‘2๐Ÿ’ฏ2๐Ÿ”ฅ1
Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโšก๏ธ โ€” New details regarding the ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and Iran, per Channel 12's Amit Segal:

โ€” Iran is currently only willing to commit to not developing nuclear weapons, while the U.S. is proposing several options for Iranโ€™s enriched uranium stockpile, including selling it to the U.S., transferring it to a third country, or diluting the material.

โ€” Disagreements also remain over the Strait of Hormuz, with Iran insisting on Iranian management of the waterway while the U.S. is demanding unrestricted free navigation.

โ€” There is still no agreement on frozen Iranian funds, though Qatar has proposed providing Iran with a $12 billion humanitarian loan.

โ€” Lebanon is also included as part of the broader agreement framework under discussion.
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๐Ÿคก13
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Israeli Air Force fighter jets are currently flying at low altitude over the Lebanese capital of Beirut.

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๐Ÿคฌ22๐Ÿ–•8โค3๐Ÿคฏ2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿคฉ1๐Ÿ‘Œ1
#Breaking
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- A senior Israeli official has told Israeli Channel 12 that "Israel has decided to significantly harm Hezbollah."

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๐Ÿคฃ18๐Ÿ–•11๐Ÿ”ฅ4๐Ÿคฏ2๐Ÿคฉ2๐ŸŒ2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ‘Œ1
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has released a statement saying that Israel will strike Lebanon even harder:
We are at war with Hezbollah. Just in recent weeks, our heroic fighters have eliminated over 600 terrorists. I want you to know thisโ€”over 600 terroristsโ€”but we are not taking our foot off the gas pedal. On the contrary, as I said, we will press the pedal down even harder. We will strike them. True, they are firing drones at us, fiber-optic drones; we have a special team working on this, and we will solve it. Meanwhile, you are showing resilienceโ€”I want to commend the residents of the northโ€”a resilience that inspires all of us. But what this requires of us now is to increase the blows, to increase the power. We will strike them hip and thigh.
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๐Ÿคก33๐Ÿ–•23๐Ÿคฎ11๐Ÿ”ฅ5โคโ€๐Ÿ”ฅ2โšก1๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ‘Ž1๐Ÿ‘Œ1
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The Israeli Air Force has targeted the town of Machgharah in the western Beqaa Valley, Lebanon, with 6 consecutive airstrikes so far.

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๐Ÿ–•30๐Ÿ”ฅ4๐Ÿคฉ2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ‘Œ1๐Ÿ˜ก1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has released a statement saying that Israel will strike Lebanon even harder: We are at war with Hezbollah. Just in recent weeks, our heroic fighters have eliminated over 600 terrorists. I want you to knowโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Precautionary evacuations have begun in Beirut's southern suburbs.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐ŸŒ- According to Mehr News Agency, citing a source at Iran's Ministry of Communications, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has ordered the restoration of internet access across the country.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- The Russian Foreign Ministry confirmed that Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov held a phone call with U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, during which Lavrov notified him of Moscow's intention to launch large-scale attacks on Kiev and drew his attention to the need to ensure the evacuation of American diplomatic personnel from the Ukrainian capital.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Precautionary evacuations have begun in Beirut's southern suburbs.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Footage of the current evacuations taking place in Beirut's southern suburbs.
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๐Ÿคฌ31๐Ÿ’”11๐Ÿ˜3๐Ÿคฉ2๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ‘Œ1
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- A senior US official hinted to Axios that the Trump administration will support an escalation of Israeli actions against Lebanon, stating, "Israel will never be required to passively absorb attacks on its forces and citizens." โžก๏ธ "This is notโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- An Israeli source has told Israel's i24NEWS:
The Americans understand that the Iranians are trying to use the framework of the agreement with the U.S. to neutralize Israel's capabilities. They will not go along with it.
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๐Ÿคฎ22๐Ÿคก10๐Ÿ’ฉ7๐Ÿ†’2โค1๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿคฌ1
#NEW
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to Al Hadath, an Israeli source has claimed that any expansion of operations toward Beirut refers specifically to the southern suburbs and that any expanded military operations in Lebanon would be time-limited.

โžก๏ธ The source also noted that Washington is discussing a ceasefire in Lebanon with Iran as a condition for curbing Hezbollah and revealed that Israel has attempted to target Hezbollah Secretary-General Naim Qassem at least twice in recent weeks.

โžก๏ธ As of yet, Israel has not formally announced a new operation in Lebanon.
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๐Ÿคก25๐Ÿค”4โค1
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- According to sources cited by Al-Arabiya, Iran's Ghalibaf and Araghchi are in Doha to meet with Qatar's Prime Minister, with talks focusing on the Strait of Hormuz and the release of frozen funds, as part of ongoing efforts to advance a political settlement.
#NEW
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- A source familiar with the talks between the high-level Iranian delegation and Qatari officials told Al-Jazeera that Qatari mediation has led to an understanding with the U.S. on Iran's frozen financial assets. With this key issue now resolved, the source indicated there is a strong likelihood of a US-Iran agreement being announced tomorrow.

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โค16๐Ÿ’ฉ9๐Ÿ‘3๐ŸŒš3๐Ÿค”1
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Footage of the current evacuations taking place in Beirut's southern suburbs.
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Images show the extensive evacuations in Dahieh, southern Beirut.

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๐Ÿ˜ข22๐Ÿ˜ก9๐Ÿ˜3โค1๐Ÿ‘1๐Ÿคฌ1๐Ÿ‘Œ1
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐ŸŒž- An Iranian rocket attack struck an Iranian-Kurdish opposition camp north of Erbil in northern Iraq, wounding at least two fighters.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ27โค5๐Ÿ‘4โšก3
Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐ŸŒž- An Iranian rocket attack struck an Iranian-Kurdish opposition camp north of Erbil in northern Iraq, wounding at least two fighters. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐ŸŒž- According to the Kurdish Freedom Party (PAK), Iran attacked PAK bases in Erbil with at least four missiles and suicide drones, wounding nine fighters, four of whom are in critical condition.

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๐Ÿ˜14๐Ÿ‘7โšก2โคโ€๐Ÿ”ฅ1๐Ÿ”ฅ1