Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to Al-Arabiya, Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir is now en route to Tehran, where he is expected to serve as a messenger between the United States and Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Asim Munir seems to be traveling with a delegation of up to 35 people, as 2 Pakistani government aircraft have departed Islamabad, Pakistan, and are on the way to Tehran.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- U.S. Central Command has released an image taken by U.S. Marines from the 31st MEU aboard an MH-60R Seahawk helicopter looking towards the USS Tripoli (LHA-7). โžก๏ธ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 94 commercial vessels and disabled 4 since April 13th.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- U.S. Central Command has released an image of a U.S. Navy sailor aboard the USS Comstock (LSD 45) looking towards a commercial oil tanker in the Arabian Sea.

โžก๏ธ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 97 commercial vessels and disabled 4 since April 13th.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to Al-Arabiya, Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir is now en route to Tehran, where he is expected to serve as a messenger between the United States and Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- According to Reuters, a Qatari negotiating delegation has also arrived in Tehran today, coordinating with the U.S. in an effort to advance negotiations toward a deal to end the war and resolve outstanding issues.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to Al-Arabiya, Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir is now en route to Tehran, where he is expected to serve as a messenger between the United States and Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- According to Axios, Pakistani Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir is traveling to Tehran in an effort to finalize a deal under which the U.S. and Iran would agree to end the war and launch broader negotiations.

โžก๏ธ A Pakistani security source said mediators are working to conclude a letter of intent that would include an agreement to end the war and establish principles for a subsequent 30-day negotiation period covering a broader deal, including Iran's nuclear program.

โžก๏ธ A source close to Donald Trump stated that he has grown increasingly frustrated over recent days and has raised the possibility of launching a final major military operation, after which he could declare victory and end the war.

โžก๏ธ A U.S. official briefed on the diplomatic efforts described the negotiations as "agonizing," adding that drafts are "going back and forth every day" without meaningful progress.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Reporter:
Have you made progress today, sir, with the allies on getting the Strait of Hormuz fully back up and running?
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio:
No, that would be pretty ambitious to be able to open the straits at this meeting here today, but I can tell you that what I hope there is, this is what I hope for and this is the point I made is, we all would love to see an agreement with Iran in which the straits are open and they abandon their nuclear ambitions and so forth, uh their nuclear weapons ambitions.

That's what we'd all hope for, and that's what we're going to continue to work on, and that's what work is ongoing even as I speak to you now in that regard.

But, we also have to have a plan B, and plan B is what if Iran refuses to open the straits? What if Iran decides, 'We refuse to open the straits, we're going to own the straits, and we're going to charge tolls for it.'? Okay, at that point, something has to be done about it. And I would argue that there are countries represented here today that are more deeply impacted by this than even the United States is.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Marco Rubio:
Some countries in the region provided us logistical options that we wouldn't otherwise have. And when some of those bases are denied to you during a a a conflict that we're involved in, uh then you question whether that value still is. So, that's going to have to be discussed. There's no doubt about it

.I think there's also going to have to be some focus on how, a year after the meeting at The Hague, how much progress has been made in terms of the increased contributions. There are some countries that have doubled their defense spending over the last few years, then there are others that are still lagging

.In the end, the goal is to have a NATO that is strong, and the stronger our NATO allies are, the stronger NATO is going to be.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- Marco Rubio:
Yeah, the peace negotiations on Ukraine under American leadership, let me just say, we got involved, okay, because we were told we were the only ones that could do it, we were the only ones that the Russians and the Ukrainians would talk to. So we got involved. They were not fruitful, unfortunately, that's the point.
We stand ready to continue to play that role, despite leaks that are not true, despite stories out there about us forcing the Ukrainians to take this position or that position, which are not true. If we see an opportunity to pull together talks that are productive, not counterproductive, and that have the chance to be fruitful, we're prepared to play that role. There are no such talks occurring at this time.

But we hope that will change, because that war can only end with a negotiated settlement. It will not end with a military victory by one side or the other, at least from a traditional standpoint of how military victories are defined. So it will have to lead, and if we can play a role in making that happen, the President is very much interested in doing it.

We just, over the last few months, just sort of sensed that there wasn't a lot of progress being made, but maybe dynamics will change, and if they do, we stand ready to play whatever constructive role we can play. If someone else would like to handle it, they should. But it doesn't appear to be anybody else in the world right now that can handle it.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ- The first three F-35A Lightning II fighter jets destined for the Polish Air Force departed the United States, taking off from Naval Air Station Joint Reserve Base Fort Worth, Texas. The three aircraft are being ferried with their Polish red-and-white checkerboard insignia covered.

โžก๏ธ The jets will be permanently stationed at the 32nd Tactical Air Base in ลask, Poland's first base to host fifth-generation fighter aircraft. A second operating location will be established at the 21st Tactical Air Base in ลšwidwin.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF "NAMER" APC main hatch using an FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Houla' on the 12th of May.

The operation was not previously announced.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Kevin Warsh has been officially sworn in as Chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve, with the oath administered by Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to Al-Arabiya, Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir is now en route to Tehran, where he is expected to serve as a messenger between the United States and Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to Iranian media, Pakistani Army Chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, has arrived in Tehran, Iran.

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to Iranian media, Pakistani Army Chief, Field Marshal Asim Munir, has arrived in Tehran, Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- Iran's Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni welcomed Pakistani Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir upon his arrival in Tehran.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Tulsi Gabbard is resigning as U.S. Director of National Intelligence to support her husband through his battle with an extremely rare form of bone cancer, effective June 30th, according to Fox News.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ- The first three F-35A Lightning II fighter jets destined for the Polish Air Force departed the United States, taking off from Naval Air Station Joint Reserve Base Fort Worth, Texas. The three aircraft are being ferried with their Polish red-and-whiteโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ- The first three of Poland's 32 ordered F-35A Lightning II "Husarz" stealth fighter jets have arrived at the air force base in ลask. The aircraft are named after Poland's famous winged hussar cavalry units of the 16th to 18th centuries.

โžก๏ธ Defence Minister Wล‚adysล‚aw Kosiniak-Kamysz welcomed the jets, describing them as "the first fifth-generation fighters on NATO's eastern flank" and declaring Poland's entry into "the top league of global air forces."

โžก๏ธ The aircraft are due to be officially unveiled on June 12. A total of 14 F-35s are expected to arrive at ลask by the end of the year, reaching full operational readiness in 2026, with all 32 aircraft delivered and operational by 2032.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” President Trump when asked if he will attend his son Donald Trump Jr's wedding this weekend: This is not good timing for me. I have a thing called Iran and other things... hopefully they're gonna have a good marriage.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Donald Trump will not go to his son's wedding:
While I very much wanted to be with my son, Don Jr., and the newest member of the Trump Family, his soon to be wife, Bettina, circumstances pertaining to Government, and my love for the United States of America, do not allow me to do so. I feel it is important for me to remain in Washington, D.C., at the White House during this important period of time. Congratulations to Don and Bettina! President DONALD J. TRUMP


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Tulsi Gabbard is resigning as U.S. Director of National Intelligence to support her husband through his battle with an extremely rare form of bone cancer, effective June 30th, according to Fox News.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Tulsi Gabbard's resignation letter to Donald Trump:
Dear Mr. President,

I am deeply grateful for the trust you placed in me and for the opportunity to lead the Office of the Director of National Intelligence for the last year and a half.

Unfortunately, I must submit my resignation, effective June 30, 2026. My husband, Abraham, has recently been diagnosed with an extremely rare form of bone cancer. He faces major challenges in the coming weeks and months. At this time, I must step away from public service to be by his side and fully support him through this battle.

Abraham has been my rock throughout our eleven years of marriageโ€”standing steadfast through my deployment to East Africa on a Joint Special Operations mission, multiple political campaigns, and now my service in this role. His strength and love have sustained me through every challenge. I cannot in good conscience ask him to face this fight alone while I continue in this demanding and time-consuming position

While we have made significant progress at the ODNIโ€”advancing unprecedented transparency and restoring integrity to the intelligence communityโ€”I recognize there is still important work to be done. I am fully committed to ensuring a smooth and thorough transition over the coming weeks so that you and your team experience no disruption in leadership or momentum.

Thank you for your understanding during this deeply personal and difficult time for our family. I will remain forever grateful to you and to the American people for the profound honor of serving our nation as DNI.

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